Preseason Rankings
Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2024-25
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#100
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.5#115
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#132
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#67
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.0% 2.1% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.2% 14.6% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.9% 6.1% 1.4%
Average Seed 9.7 9.7 10.7
.500 or above 78.4% 79.7% 47.6%
.500 or above in Conference 65.5% 66.5% 41.1%
Conference Champion 10.7% 11.0% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 3.8% 10.8%
First Four2.1% 2.2% 0.8%
First Round13.2% 13.5% 4.5%
Second Round5.6% 5.8% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Chicago St. (Home) - 96.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 411 - 11
Quad 48 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 332   Chicago St. W 77-58 96%    
  Nov 07, 2024 342   Detroit Mercy W 81-61 97%    
  Nov 15, 2024 104   @ Princeton L 69-71 41%    
  Nov 19, 2024 218   Southern Utah W 79-68 85%    
  Nov 23, 2024 148   Tulsa W 78-70 75%    
  Dec 03, 2024 287   Eastern Michigan W 76-61 90%    
  Dec 07, 2024 102   South Florida W 72-69 61%    
  Dec 15, 2024 82   San Francisco L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 18, 2024 297   Canisius W 77-62 91%    
  Dec 22, 2024 146   Oakland W 73-68 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 85   Virginia Commonwealth W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 08, 2025 173   @ La Salle W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 11, 2025 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 15, 2025 142   Rhode Island W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 59   @ Dayton L 64-71 30%    
  Jan 22, 2025 159   Fordham W 75-67 75%    
  Jan 29, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 01, 2025 90   Saint Joseph's W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 04, 2025 120   St. Bonaventure W 72-66 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 128   @ Duquesne W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 11, 2025 133   @ Richmond W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 14, 2025 94   Saint Louis W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 18, 2025 135   @ Davidson W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 21, 2025 59   Dayton L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 26, 2025 150   George Washington W 80-72 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 94   @ Saint Louis L 74-78 39%    
  Mar 05, 2025 135   Davidson W 71-64 71%    
  Mar 08, 2025 116   @ Massachusetts L 71-72 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 3.1 2.3 1.0 0.3 10.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 3.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.7 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 3.8 0.9 0.1 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.5 0.2 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 3.4 1.1 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.2 0.7 0.0 4.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.0 0.1 4.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 15th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.0 4.4 6.4 8.2 9.7 10.7 11.7 10.8 9.9 8.3 6.1 4.3 2.4 1.0 0.3 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.5% 1.0    1.0 0.0
16-2 94.7% 2.3    1.9 0.4 0.0
15-3 73.4% 3.1    2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0
14-4 42.4% 2.6    1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.8% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.7% 10.7 6.5 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 97.9% 58.3% 39.7% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.0%
17-1 1.0% 93.2% 47.0% 46.1% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 87.1%
16-2 2.4% 82.9% 34.9% 48.0% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 73.7%
15-3 4.3% 63.3% 29.6% 33.7% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.6 47.9%
14-4 6.1% 40.7% 21.9% 18.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.6 24.0%
13-5 8.3% 26.1% 17.6% 8.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 6.2 10.3%
12-6 9.9% 15.7% 13.3% 2.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.3 2.8%
11-7 10.8% 8.8% 8.3% 0.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.8 0.5%
10-8 11.7% 5.0% 4.8% 0.2% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.1 0.2%
9-9 10.7% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.4 0.0%
8-10 9.7% 1.5% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
7-11 8.2% 0.6% 0.6% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
6-12 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 4.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
4-14 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.2% 8.8% 5.4% 9.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.7 4.3 2.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 85.8 5.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 2.6 22.0 33.0 22.9 13.8 4.6 3.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 3.0 3.3 13.3 66.7 16.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 85.3% 2.6 26.5 29.4 14.7 14.7