IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pacific
West Coast
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.2	#314
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.3	#122
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.3	#278

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.9	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.5	12.9	13.8

.500 or above	3.0%	8.1%	1.6%
.500 or above in Conference	4.8%	8.9%	3.6%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	44.5%	32.5%	47.8%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: San Jose St. (Neutral) - 21.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 5	1 - 11
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 18
Quad 4	5 - 5	8 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	160	San Jose St.	L	67-75	22%
Nov 12, 2024	192	@ Hawaii	L	65-75	18%
Nov 14, 2024	286	Northern Arizona	W	75-74	53%
Nov 18, 2024	15	@ Arkansas	L	65-90	1%
Nov 22, 2024	58	@ Missouri	L	63-83	3%
Nov 27, 2024	358	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	83-74	79%
Nov 30, 2024	244	Cal St. Fullerton	L	69-70	46%
Dec 02, 2024	79	@ Colorado	L	63-82	5%
Dec 07, 2024	193	@ Illinois St.	L	63-73	20%
Dec 14, 2024	95	@ UNLV	L	62-79	7%
Dec 18, 2024	257	Portland St.	L	73-74	49%
Dec 21, 2024	279	Idaho	W	71-70	52%
Dec 28, 2024	35	@ St. Mary's	L	55-77	3%
Dec 30, 2024	282	@ San Diego	L	74-79	33%
Jan 02, 2025	82	San Francisco	L	66-78	15%
Jan 04, 2025	217	Pepperdine	L	72-74	42%
Jan 09, 2025	91	@ Washington St.	L	60-78	7%
Jan 11, 2025	123	Oregon St.	L	66-74	26%
Jan 16, 2025	271	@ Portland	L	72-78	31%
Jan 22, 2025	141	Loyola Marymount	L	69-75	30%
Jan 25, 2025	217	@ Pepperdine	L	69-77	25%
Jan 30, 2025	91	Washington St.	L	63-75	17%
Feb 01, 2025	98	@ Santa Clara	L	67-84	8%
Feb 06, 2025	282	San Diego	W	77-76	52%
Feb 08, 2025	6	Gonzaga	L	66-88	4%
Feb 12, 2025	141	@ Loyola Marymount	L	66-78	15%
Feb 15, 2025	123	@ Oregon St.	L	63-77	13%
Feb 20, 2025	82	@ San Francisco	L	63-81	7%
Feb 22, 2025	271	Portland	W	75-74	50%
Mar 01, 2025	98	Santa Clara	L	70-81	18%
Projected Record						8 - 22	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0							1.1	4th
5th								0.1	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0								2.2	5th
6th							0.1	0.9	1.7	1.1	0.2	0.0									4.0	6th
7th						0.3	1.8	3.1	1.6	0.3	0.0										7.0	7th
8th				0.0	0.6	3.4	4.9	2.2	0.3	0.0											11.4	8th
9th			0.0	1.6	6.0	6.2	2.3	0.3	0.0												16.5	9th
10th		0.5	4.6	9.6	7.5	2.3	0.2	0.0													24.7	10th
11th	4.7	10.5	10.5	5.4	1.2	0.1															32.5	11th

Total	4.7	11.1	15.2	16.6	15.3	12.4	9.4	6.5	4.1	2.5	1.3	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%
15-3	20.0%	0.0			0.0
14-4	13.6%	0.0			0.0
13-5	2.7%	0.0			0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0			0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.0%																							0.0
14-4	0.0%																							0.0
13-5	0.1%		2.7%	2.7%		12.8													0.0	0.0				0.1
12-6	0.3%		0.7%	0.7%		13.0														0.0				0.3
11-7	0.6%		0.8%	0.8%		12.5													0.0	0.0				0.6
10-8	1.3%																							1.3
9-9	2.5%		0.2%	0.2%		13.0														0.0				2.5
8-10	4.1%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		4.1
7-11	6.5%																							6.5
6-12	9.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
5-13	12.4%																							12.4
4-14	15.3%																							15.3
3-15	16.6%																							16.6
2-16	15.2%																							15.2
1-17	11.1%																							11.1
0-18	4.7%																							4.7

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	13.5													0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%