IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2024-25

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.7	#180
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.8	#41
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#185

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.3	#177

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.6%	21.7%	13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	13.6	14.5

.500 or above	73.3%	90.6%	70.4%
.500 or above in Conference	80.2%	90.3%	78.5%
Conference Champion	18.5%	29.9%	16.6%
Last Place in Conference	0.9%	0.2%	1.0%

First Four	1.5%	0.9%	1.7%
First Round	13.9%	21.4%	12.7%
Second Round	1.3%	2.6%	1.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.8%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 14.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	3 - 4	4 - 8
Quad 4	14 - 4	18 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	71	@ Central Florida	L	69-81	14%
Nov 12, 2024	298	Bethune-Cookman	W	81-72	80%
Nov 16, 2024	328	Southern Indiana	W	81-69	86%
Nov 20, 2024	67	@ Penn St.	L	71-83	14%
Nov 25, 2024	154	Drexel	L	70-71	46%
Nov 30, 2024	355	@ Texas A&M - Commerce	W	76-66	81%
Dec 05, 2024	342	@ Detroit Mercy	W	78-70	75%
Dec 08, 2024	295	Robert Morris	W	79-70	78%
Dec 11, 2024	360	IU Indianapolis	W	82-64	94%
Dec 15, 2024	287	@ Eastern Michigan	W	73-71	59%
Dec 22, 2024	30	@ Michigan	L	68-83	9%
Dec 29, 2024	310	@ Green Bay	W	72-68	64%
Jan 01, 2025	174	@ Northern Kentucky	L	72-75	40%
Jan 04, 2025	198	Youngstown St.	W	78-74	63%
Jan 08, 2025	200	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	82-78	63%
Jan 11, 2025	342	Detroit Mercy	W	81-67	88%
Jan 15, 2025	196	@ Wright St.	L	81-83	43%
Jan 22, 2025	146	@ Oakland	L	71-76	35%
Jan 25, 2025	360	@ IU Indianapolis	W	79-67	84%
Jan 30, 2025	213	Cleveland St.	W	77-72	66%
Feb 02, 2025	200	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	79-81	44%
Feb 05, 2025	196	Wright St.	W	84-80	63%
Feb 08, 2025	310	Green Bay	W	75-65	80%
Feb 12, 2025	198	@ Youngstown St.	L	75-77	43%
Feb 15, 2025	295	@ Robert Morris	W	76-73	60%
Feb 21, 2025	146	Oakland	W	74-73	55%
Feb 27, 2025	174	Northern Kentucky	W	75-72	59%
Mar 01, 2025	213	@ Cleveland St.	L	74-75	47%
Projected Record						16 - 12	12 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.9	2.7	4.6	4.8	3.4	1.6	0.4		18.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	1.7	4.3	5.2	3.1	0.9	0.1				15.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.3	2.3	5.2	4.5	1.6	0.2	0.0					14.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	2.5	5.1	3.9	0.9	0.1	0.0						12.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	2.4	4.5	2.9	0.6	0.0								10.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.0	0.5	2.3	3.9	2.3	0.5	0.0									9.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.0	0.6	2.1	2.9	1.7	0.3	0.0										7.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.6	1.7	2.1	0.9	0.1	0.0											5.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	0.5	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0												3.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0														1.7	10th
11th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.5	11th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.2	2.2	3.5	5.1	6.7	8.5	9.8	10.9	11.5	10.6	9.5	8.0	5.7	3.5	1.6	0.4			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
19-1	100.0%	1.6		1.6	0.0
18-2	97.0%	3.4		3.1	0.3	0.0
17-3	83.6%	4.8		3.7	1.1	0.0
16-4	57.7%	4.6		2.6	1.8	0.3	0.0
15-5	28.6%	2.7		0.9	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.4%	0.9		0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0					0.0			0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	18.5%	18.5		12.4	4.8	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.4%		61.3%	61.3%		11.4				0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2
19-1	1.6%		53.3%	53.3%		12.4								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0		0.7
18-2	3.5%		45.0%	44.9%	0.1%	13.1												0.0	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	1.9		0.1%
17-3	5.7%		35.5%	35.5%		13.6												0.0	0.2	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0	3.7
16-4	8.0%		30.1%	30.1%		14.1												0.0	0.1	0.5	1.0	0.7	0.1	5.6
15-5	9.5%		23.1%	23.1%		14.5													0.0	0.2	0.8	0.8	0.3	7.3
14-6	10.6%		16.2%	16.2%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	0.5	8.9
13-7	11.5%		12.2%	12.2%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	10.1
12-8	10.9%		8.6%	8.6%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	10.0
11-9	9.8%		6.2%	6.2%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	9.2
10-10	8.5%		3.8%	3.8%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	8.1
9-11	6.7%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																0.0	0.1	6.5
8-12	5.1%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	5.1
7-13	3.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
6-14	2.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.2
5-15	1.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.2
4-16	0.6%																							0.6
3-17	0.3%																							0.3
2-18	0.1%																							0.1
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.6%	14.6%	0.0%	14.3				0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.2	2.5	3.7	3.6	3.3	85.4		0.0%