Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
87 Yale 55.7%   12   20 - 5 10 - 3 +6.4      +6.7 52 -0.3 184 63.4 319 +7.8 77 +4.6 1
154 Harvard 17.6%   15 - 11 9 - 4 +0.3      -2.0 227 +2.3 111 60.4 357 -0.3 162 +3.3 2
162 Penn 14.5%   14 - 11 8 - 5 -0.3      -1.6 210 +1.2 136 71.8 92 +0.8 146 +1.2 3
164 Cornell 12.2%   12 - 12 7 - 6 -0.4      +6.0 57 -6.4 334 77.8 12 -1.5 184 -0.8 4
190 Columbia 0.0%   14 - 11 5 - 8 -2.0      -1.1 192 -0.9 206 67.5 207 -1.4 182 -5.0 7
239 Princeton 0.0%   8 - 19 5 - 8 -4.4      -1.8 217 -2.6 255 61.3 348 -7.0 279 -4.8 6
267 Dartmouth 0.0%   9 - 15 5 - 8 -6.0      -3.4 258 -2.6 254 72.7 69 -5.3 247 -3.8 5
283 Brown 0.0%   7 - 17 3 - 10 -6.7      -7.2 339 +0.5 153 66.4 241 -9.0 310 -8.1 8


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Mar 6 190 Columbia 64 154 Harvard 70 69%   
Fri, Mar 6 283 Brown 68 162 Penn 71 63%   
Sat, Mar 7 164 Cornell 89 267 Dartmouth 86 60%   
Sat, Mar 7 239 Princeton 64 87 Yale 78 90%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.0 100.0
Harvard 1.9 6.6 93.4
Penn 2.8 19.1 80.9
Cornell 3.8 22.1 77.9
Dartmouth 5.2 78.2 20.2 1.7
Columbia 5.3 68.1 29.4 2.6
Princeton 5.6 47.1 41.4 11.5
Brown 8.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 21 - 5 9.5 90.5
Harvard 10 - 4 16 - 11 30.5 69.5
Penn 9 - 5 15 - 11 36.7 63.3
Cornell 8 - 6 13 - 12 40.6 59.4
Dartmouth 5 - 9 9 - 16 59.4 40.6
Columbia 5 - 9 14 - 12 69.5 30.5
Princeton 5 - 9 8 - 20 90.5 9.5
Brown 3 - 11 7 - 18 63.3 36.7

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 100.0% 93.4 6.6
Harvard 6.6% 6.6
Penn
Cornell
Dartmouth
Columbia
Princeton
Brown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 55.7% 55.7% 0.0% 12   3.1 40.5 11.9 0.3 44.3 0.0%
Harvard 17.6% 17.6% 0.0% 0.3 4.7 9.4 3.1 0.1 82.4 0.0%
Penn 14.5% 14.5% 0.0% 0.1 2.8 7.1 4.2 0.2 85.6 0.0%
Cornell 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.4 3.4 7.7 0.8 87.8 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 0.0 100.0
2nd Round 8.7% 0.1 91.3 8.7
Sweet Sixteen 1.2% 0.0 98.8 1.2
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 55.7% 0.0% 55.7% 7.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 17.6% 0.0% 17.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 14.5% 0.0% 14.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 12.2% 0.1% 12.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%