Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
81 Yale 59.4%   12   16 - 4 6 - 2 +6.8      +8.1 40 -1.2 215 64.7 287 +7.3 81 +2.3 2
153 Harvard 16.6%   12 - 9 6 - 2 +0.1      -0.1 162 +0.2 160 61.0 353 -0.4 170 +4.5 1
159 Cornell 7.8%   9 - 10 4 - 4 -0.3      +7.0 47 -7.3 351 78.7 11 -2.0 204 -2.1 6
185 Penn 6.7%   10 - 10 4 - 4 -1.5      -0.6 175 -1.0 205 70.7 124 -0.4 172 -0.7 4
200 Columbia 2.2%   12 - 8 3 - 5 -2.5      -0.5 168 -2.0 241 68.8 178 -0.4 168 -4.6 7
221 Princeton 5.1%   7 - 15 4 - 4 -3.1      -2.4 232 -0.7 198 62.7 333 -5.5 251 -0.3 3
240 Dartmouth 2.3%   8 - 11 4 - 4 -4.5      -2.6 244 -1.9 232 73.4 59 -4.1 232 -1.2 5
278 Brown 0.0%   5 - 14 1 - 7 -6.8      -8.0 349 +1.2 130 65.4 266 -9.9 320 -12.2 8


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Feb 9 237 Howard 81 81 Yale 87   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Feb 13 200 Columbia 74 185 Penn 78 65%   
Fri, Feb 13 159 Cornell 81 221 Princeton 82 51%   
Fri, Feb 13 240 Dartmouth 74 81 Yale 83 79%   
Fri, Feb 13 278 Brown 59 153 Harvard 69 82%   
Sat, Feb 14 159 Cornell 87 185 Penn 89 57%   
Sat, Feb 14 153 Harvard 70 81 Yale 74 64%   
Sat, Feb 14 200 Columbia 70 221 Princeton 72 59%   
Sat, Feb 14 278 Brown 67 240 Dartmouth 72 70%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.2 82.0 14.9 2.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
Harvard 1.9 31.8 50.6 11.2 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.0
Cornell 3.8 3.7 16.3 27.7 20.2 16.4 10.9 4.6 0.2
Penn 3.8 2.9 15.2 27.7 23.1 16.1 9.8 5.1 0.2
Columbia 5.5 0.3 2.7 9.0 14.1 18.7 23.9 28.6 2.6
Princeton 4.2 1.7 10.8 22.6 23.5 19.0 13.8 8.2 0.3
Dartmouth 4.9 0.8 4.8 15.3 18.1 20.6 21.6 17.7 1.1
Brown 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.3 9.9 85.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 21 - 5 0.0 0.6 3.4 12.7 28.0 35.0 20.4
Harvard 9 - 5 15 - 12 0.9 6.6 19.1 30.7 26.9 12.7 3.1
Cornell 7 - 7 12 - 13 1.1 7.6 19.5 29.6 26.1 13.3 2.8
Penn 7 - 7 13 - 13 1.2 7.0 20.4 30.4 27.4 12.1 1.5
Columbia 6 - 8 15 - 11 2.1 12.8 26.5 31.1 19.7 6.9 1.0
Princeton 7 - 7 10 - 18 2.3 11.0 24.6 31.8 21.4 8.1 0.9
Dartmouth 6 - 8 10 - 15 5.5 21.1 31.1 26.0 12.6 3.5 0.3
Brown 3 - 11 7 - 18 12.7 29.5 31.2 18.6 6.5 1.4 0.2

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 82.0% 63.7 15.6 2.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Harvard 31.8% 15.1 14.2 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Cornell 3.7% 0.6 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 2.9% 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Columbia 0.3% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Princeton 1.7% 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brown


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 59.4% 59.4% 0.0% 12   0.0 7.5 40.1 11.3 0.5 40.6 0.0%
Harvard 16.6% 16.6% 0.0% 0.8 4.4 7.4 3.9 0.1 83.4 0.0%
Cornell 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.2 1.3 3.3 2.8 0.1 92.2 0.0%
Penn 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.0 0.2 93.4 0.0%
Columbia 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 97.8 0.0%
Princeton 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.2 4.9 94.9 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 97.7 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 98.4% 1.0 1.6 98.4
2nd Round 10.0% 0.1 90.1 10.0
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 59.4% 0.0% 59.4% 9.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 16.6% 0.0% 16.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 7.8% 0.0% 7.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 6.7% 0.0% 6.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 2.2% 0.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 5.1% 4.3% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.3% 0.8% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%