Preseason Rankings
Ivy League
2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
92 Yale 42.3%   12   0 - 0 0 - 0 18 - 6 10 - 4 +5.7      +3.5 84 +2.2 108 68.5 165 0.0 1 0.0 1
160 Cornell 12.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 -0.4      +3.1 89 -3.6 289 75.4 27 0.0 1 0.0 1
168 Brown 10.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 12 7 - 7 -1.0      -2.1 231 +1.1 130 65.3 259 0.0 1 0.0 1
171 Princeton 11.1%   0 - 0 0 - 0 13 - 13 7 - 7 -1.0      -1.0 198 0.0 163 67.0 211 0.0 1 0.0 1
172 Harvard 11.6%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 13 7 - 7 -1.0      -1.3 216 +0.3 153 64.8 276 0.0 1 0.0 1
230 Dartmouth 6.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 14 6 - 8 -3.7      -3.0 264 -0.7 191 75.2 29 0.0 1 0.0 1
265 Columbia 3.2%   0 - 0 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -5.5      -0.3 168 -5.2 327 75.5 25 0.0 1 0.0 1
278 Penn 2.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 16 5 - 9 -6.4      -1.2 208 -5.2 330 67.6 193 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.9 55.7 20.5 10.5 6.3 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.4
Cornell 3.7 14.8 18.8 16.8 14.8 12.6 10.3 7.5 4.4
Brown 3.9 12.9 16.6 17.0 15.2 13.0 10.8 8.7 5.8
Princeton 3.9 13.2 17.3 16.2 15.1 13.1 11.1 8.7 5.5
Harvard 4.0 12.8 16.9 16.4 15.3 13.0 11.2 8.5 5.8
Dartmouth 4.9 6.1 9.7 11.9 13.6 15.3 15.5 15.1 12.9
Columbia 5.5 3.3 6.1 9.0 11.4 14.1 16.7 19.4 20.0
Penn 5.8 2.4 4.9 7.5 9.8 13.2 16.3 20.7 25.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 10 - 4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.0 5.3 8.2 11.7 14.7 17.2 16.5 13.4 7.1
Cornell 8 - 6 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.7 6.5 9.4 11.7 13.3 13.8 13.0 11.0 7.7 4.5 2.0 0.6
Brown 7 - 7 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.8 7.2 9.8 12.3 13.4 14.1 12.5 9.5 7.0 3.9 1.7 0.4
Princeton 7 - 7 0.2 1.0 2.3 4.6 7.3 10.1 12.3 13.5 13.4 12.2 9.7 7.1 4.1 1.8 0.4
Harvard 7 - 7 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.8 7.4 10.1 12.1 13.7 13.6 12.2 9.8 6.9 3.7 1.6 0.4
Dartmouth 6 - 8 0.9 3.0 6.0 9.4 11.8 13.6 13.7 12.7 10.7 7.4 5.4 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1
Columbia 5 - 9 1.7 5.3 9.2 12.6 14.0 14.3 13.5 10.8 7.8 5.2 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 2.7 7.0 11.0 14.2 14.7 14.2 12.1 9.3 6.7 4.0 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 55.7% 43.3 10.2 1.9 0.2 0.0
Cornell 14.8% 8.9 4.6 1.2 0.2 0.0
Brown 12.9% 7.7 4.0 1.1 0.1 0.0
Princeton 13.2% 8.0 3.9 1.1 0.1 0.0
Harvard 12.8% 7.6 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
Dartmouth 6.1% 3.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
Columbia 3.3% 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 2.4% 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 42.3% 42.1% 0.3% 12   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 9.1 14.3 9.5 4.7 1.5 0.3 57.7 0.4%
Cornell 12.7% 12.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 3.4 2.9 1.8 0.8 87.3 0.0%
Brown 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.5 3.0 2.7 1.6 0.5 89.2 0.0%
Princeton 11.1% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.6 2.8 2.5 1.7 0.8 88.9 0.0%
Harvard 11.6% 11.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.4 3.1 2.9 1.9 0.9 88.4 0.0%
Dartmouth 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.4 0.8 94.0 0.0%
Columbia 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.5 96.8 0.0%
Penn 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 97.5 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 42.3% 0.3% 42.3% 8.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 12.7% 0.4% 12.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 10.8% 0.2% 10.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 11.1% 0.6% 11.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 11.6% 0.4% 11.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 6.0% 0.4% 6.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 3.2% 0.3% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 2.5% 0.3% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.7 0.3
1st Round 99.2% 1.0 0.8 97.8 1.4
2nd Round 12.4% 0.1 87.6 12.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.6% 0.0 97.4 2.6
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0