Ivy League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
76 Yale 56.9%   13   9 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 5 11 - 3 +7.3      +8.5 26 -1.2 208 66.9 252 +11.9 48 0.0 1
142 Columbia 15.9%   8 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 9 8 - 6 +1.2      +0.3 159 +1.0 134 70.3 158 +4.0 111 0.0 1
159 Cornell 11.3%   5 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 12 8 - 6 +0.1      +5.4 65 -5.2 332 77.8 23 -0.8 177 0.0 1
192 Harvard 5.8%   5 - 7 0 - 0 12 - 15 7 - 7 -2.1      -1.5 205 -0.6 184 63.8 323 -5.0 244 0.0 1
226 Brown 3.3%   4 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 15 6 - 8 -4.0      -6.0 330 +2.0 108 65.3 290 -8.4 298 0.0 1
240 Penn 2.6%   5 - 5 0 - 0 11 - 15 5 - 9 -4.6      -1.5 204 -3.2 284 72.7 91 -1.6 189 0.0 1
247 Dartmouth 2.3%   4 - 6 0 - 0 9 - 16 5 - 9 -4.9      -3.3 259 -1.7 222 75.2 45 -6.7 266 0.0 1
248 Princeton 2.0%   2 - 11 0 - 0 8 - 20 5 - 9 -5.0      -4.7 295 -0.3 174 67.0 249 -11.1 329 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 240 Penn 69 147 Rutgers 70   
Sat, Dec 20 192 Harvard 81 326 Holy Cross 53   
Sun, Dec 21 65 California 74 142 Columbia 56   
Sun, Dec 21 159 Cornell 83 310 Albany 75   
Mon, Dec 22 248 Princeton 61 151 Temple 65   
Tue, Dec 23 192 Harvard 59 19 St. John's 85   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 28 181 Colgate 72 192 Harvard 68 63%   
Sun, Dec 28 88 George Mason 81 240 Penn 67 90%   
Sun, Dec 28 142 Columbia 87 350 North Florida 77 84%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Yale 1.4 75.7 15.5 5.5 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0
Columbia 3.0 17.1 31.0 20.9 13.4 8.2 5.1 2.9 1.4
Cornell 3.4 12.3 25.3 21.4 15.7 10.9 7.3 4.6 2.6
Harvard 4.3 5.3 14.9 18.1 18.0 15.4 12.6 9.7 5.9
Brown 5.1 2.4 8.3 12.3 15.2 16.5 16.5 15.5 13.4
Penn 5.4 1.7 7.1 10.7 13.9 15.6 16.9 17.3 16.8
Dartmouth 5.5 1.6 6.1 9.9 13.0 15.6 17.2 18.0 18.6
Princeton 5.6 1.5 5.5 9.3 13.2 15.8 18.1 18.3 18.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Yale 11 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.4 8.4 13.7 20.4 23.1 18.7 8.6
Columbia 8 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.4 5.3 9.2 13.8 17.5 17.7 14.8 10.3 5.4 1.9 0.3
Cornell 8 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.4 7.7 12.0 15.7 17.1 16.2 12.1 7.3 3.5 1.2 0.2
Harvard 7 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.5 9.0 13.4 16.3 17.2 15.2 11.1 6.4 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
Brown 6 - 8 0.3 1.6 4.9 9.3 14.0 17.1 17.1 14.3 10.4 6.1 3.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Penn 5 - 9 0.5 2.5 6.1 11.2 15.3 17.4 16.4 13.0 9.0 5.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
Dartmouth 5 - 9 0.6 2.7 7.0 11.8 16.2 17.6 15.8 12.8 8.0 4.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Princeton 5 - 9 0.4 2.5 6.8 11.9 17.0 18.1 16.3 12.4 7.8 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Yale 75.7% 62.8 11.0 1.6 0.2 0.0
Columbia 17.1% 9.7 6.0 1.2 0.1 0.0
Cornell 12.3% 6.6 4.5 1.0 0.1 0.0
Harvard 5.3% 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
Brown 2.4% 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Penn 1.7% 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Dartmouth 1.6% 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Princeton 1.5% 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Yale 56.9% 56.8% 0.2% 13   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 11.0 31.0 12.2 1.2 0.0 43.1 0.4%
Columbia 15.9% 15.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.7 5.7 1.4 0.0 84.1 0.0%
Cornell 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.3 3.1 0.4 88.7 0.0%
Harvard 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.5 1.3 2.7 1.3 94.2 0.0%
Brown 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.7 96.7 0.0%
Penn 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.4 97.4 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 97.8 0.0%
Princeton 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.9 98.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Yale 56.9% 0.1% 56.9% 11.3% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Columbia 15.9% 0.0% 15.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cornell 11.3% 0.1% 11.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Harvard 5.8% 0.5% 5.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brown 3.3% 0.9% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Penn 2.6% 0.2% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dartmouth 2.3% 0.6% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Princeton 2.0% 1.7% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 98.5% 1.0 1.5 98.4 0.1
2nd Round 13.1% 0.1 86.9 13.1
Sweet Sixteen 2.7% 0.0 97.3 2.7
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0