Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +0.1 153
Expected Predictive Rating -0.4 170
Pace 61.0 353
Improvement +5.5 17

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #162 B- D D+ C- C+
Defense C #160 C C+ C- B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 122 58% 173 +1.2 132
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 227 40% 97 -0.6 209
Three Pointers 41% 172 38% 33 +2.6 94
1st FG Attempt 1.08 87 +3.3 87
Second Chance 25.9% 307 0.98 258 0.25 307
Turnovers 18.6% 286
Freethrows 0.25 330 82% 1 0.21 227
Total Offense -0.1 162

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 69 58% 172 -2.4 265
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 277 39% 214 +1.0 113
Three Pointers 40% 229 34% 166 +0.9 144
1st FG Attempt 1.03 194 -0.5 195
Second Chance 30.3% 174 0.99 118 0.30 144
Turnovers 16.2% 217
Freethrows 0.27 69 73% 232 0.20 84
Total Defense +0.2 160

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.5 120 +0.7 300
Shot Type Accuracy +2.7 89 -0.2 173
Possession Length 18.5 295 18.5 337
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 285 0.15 106
Improvement +3.0 #49 +2.5 #56

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17% 17% 12%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 93% 96% 76%
.500 or above in Conference 99% 100% 95%
Conference Champion 32% 35% 16%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round17% 17% 12%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 82.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 3
Quad 35 - 57 - 9
Quad 49 - 416 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 327 New Hampshire W 86 - 75 89% -6  14% 1 - 0 C- -2 B +6 A+ F B D- -8 F C+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 269 Northeastern L 60 - 77 81% -9  22% 1 - 1 F -26 F -19 F F+ F D- -8 C D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 341 @Army W 75 - 52 81% +9  95% 2 - 1 B+ +14 C+ +2 B+ F F A+ +14 B+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 163 @Marist W 56 - 54 40% +1  47% 3 - 1 C+ +5 D- -7 D+ D+ F A +12 B A A
 Wed, Nov 19 109 @Penn St. L 80 - 84 26% -2  31% 3 - 2 C+ +3 A +14 A+ A+ D+ F+ -11 D D D-
 Sat, Nov 22 275 Boston University L 74 - 75 74% +2  68% 3 - 3 D+ -7 C- -2 B C- F D -6 F D+ A
 Wed, Nov 26 129 @Boston College L 60 - 73 32% -9  1% 3 - 4 D -8 D+ -4 C- C- C D -5 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 342 Bryant W 56 - 53 91% +2  52% 4 - 4 D- -12 F -14 D F F+ B- +3 A- D F+
 Wed, Dec 3 183 @Massachusetts L 71 - 78 44% -10  0% 4 - 5 D+ -5 D- -7 D D C- C+ +2 F A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 176 @Furman L 69 - 79 43% -7  6% 4 - 6 D -8 D+ -3 C+ F+ B- D -5 F F A-
 Sat, Dec 20 321 Holy Cross W 81 - 53 89% +16  94% 5 - 6 A- +15 A- +11 A- A+ F A- +8 A+ D+ F
 Tue, Dec 23 20 @St. John's L 59 - 85 4% -10  30% 5 - 7 D+ -5 D -4 B F C- C- -2 D- C A-
 Sun, Dec 28 209 @Colgate W 78 - 69 50% +2  61% 6 - 7 B +9 B- +4 A+ F C+ B +6 B C+ C+
 Mon, Jan 5 240 Dartmouth L 68 - 76 77% -3  3% 6 - 8 0 - 1 F+ -15 D -4 F A C F -12 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 200 @Columbia W 79 - 54 49% +13  99% 7 - 8 1 - 1 A+ +25 A+ +16 A+ C+ D+ A+ +14 A+ B- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 221 Princeton W 87 - 80 OT 72% -7  13% 8 - 8 2 - 1 C +1 A +12 B+ D- A+ F -11 C+ F F
 Mon, Jan 19 185 Penn W 64 - 63 67% +1  55% 9 - 8 3 - 1 C- -4 D- -6 C+ D- F+ B- +3 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 159 Cornell L 79 - 86 63% +2  55% 9 - 9 3 - 2 D -10 C +0 D B+ C+ F -11 C- D C-
 Fri, Jan 30 278 @Brown W 69 - 59 65% +5  80% 10 - 9 4 - 2 B- +6 B +7 A+ F F C+ +1 B F F+
 Sat, Jan 31 81 @Yale W 67 - 65 18% +3  68% 11 - 9 5 - 2 B+ +12 B +6 B+ F C+ B+ +6 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 240 @Dartmouth W 71 - 58 56% +6  95% 12 - 9 6 - 2 B+ +12 C +1 B F D+ A +11 A A+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 278 Brown W 69 - 59 82%
 Sat, Feb 14 81 Yale L 70 - 74 36%
 Sat, Feb 21 159 @Cornell L 80 - 83 41%
 Fri, Feb 27 221 @Princeton W 66 - 65 52%
 Sat, Feb 28 185 @Penn L 70 - 71 46%
 Fri, Mar 6 200 Columbia W 73 - 67 70%
Totals 15 - 12 9 - 5 +0 C +0 B- D D+ C +0 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C+ B+ B- 41% 18% 41% C+ B- D C- D D+ D- A+ C- C C C C C 43% 17% 40% D C C C+ C+ C- B- C- B-
1.09 58% 40% 38% +3 0 1.08 26% 1.0 .25 19% .25 82% .21 1.08 58% 39% 34% 0 +1 1.03 30% 1.0 .30 16% .27 73% .18
Nov
9		 New Hampshire B C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 17% 30% B A+ F F F B D A C- D- D A+ F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F A F C+ C+ A F B-
1.23 61% 56% 50% +12 +2 1.28 19% 0.6 .11 13% .29 83% .25 1.07 61% 20% 45% +4 +1 1.11 17% 1.4 .23 20% .18 90% .16
Nov
11		 Northeastern F C F D F 36% 19% 45% D+ F D F F+ F A+ A+ A+ D- C+ A+ F C 41% 20% 39% B- C D+ D+ D+ F F A D-
0.90 60% 13% 32% -6 0 0.90 28% 0.8 .22 27% .49 83% .41 1.16 57% 10% 45% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .33 12% .39 61% .24
Nov
15		 Army C+ A A- A A 35% 26% 40% D B+ D- F F F A A A+ A+ D+ F A+ B+ 38% 13% 49% C+ B+ D B C A+ C A+ B
1.18 73% 45% 41% +12 -1 1.23 26% 0.9 .22 19% .43 82% .35 0.82 59% 50% 18% -10 +1 0.84 32% 0.8 .26 25% .25 58% .15
Nov
16		 Marist D- F F A+ D- 49% 13% 38% A+ D+ D C D+ F A+ A A+ A A+ D C+ A- 42% 19% 40% F B C A+ A A F+ A+ C-
0.89 37% 20% 40% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 24% .48 78% .37 0.86 40% 44% 32% -8 0 0.88 26% 0.7 .17 24% .31 67% .21
Nov
19		 Penn St. A A D+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 49% B A+ A- A+ A+ D+ D- A+ C F+ F A- A D+ 51% 12% 37% F+ D F A+ D D- F A- F+
1.25 72% 33% 43% +12 +1 1.28 38% 1.6 .58 20% .16 100% .16 1.32 76% 33% 28% +5 +2 1.16 45% 0.9 .41 11% .44 68% .30
Nov
22		 Boston University C- A+ F B- B+ 40% 18% 42% C+ B F A+ C- F F B+ F D F F F F 38% 16% 47% C- F A F D+ A A+ A+ A+
1.16 80% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 17% 1.8 .30 17% .17 78% .13 1.17 71% 71% 52% +23 +1 1.49 18% 1.7 .29 23% .16 50% .08
Nov
26		 Boston College D+ F A+ F C 41% 33% 26% D C- D- A C- C F A+ F D D B- F F 31% 15% 54% D F A A+ A+ F A+ F B
0.93 41% 56% 21% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 15% .11 83% .09 1.13 63% 38% 39% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .17 90% .16
Nov
29		 Bryant F F A+ A- D- 59% 10% 31% A- D C F F F+ F A+ F B- A+ A+ C A 40% 8% 52% D A- D D D F+ A+ F A
0.96 41% 60% 40% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.5 .18 17% .04 100% .04 0.91 32% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.75 30% 1.1 .33 17% .15 86% .12
Dec
3		 Massachusetts D- D+ A+ F D 42% 27% 31% D D B- F D C- F A F C+ D C F F 45% 27% 29% C+ F A A+ A+ B- D+ C C-
0.97 57% 60% 18% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.8 .24 18% .25 80% .20 1.07 64% 38% 50% +10 0 1.20 24% 0.7 .17 21% .36 67% .24
Dec
6		 Furman D+ D+ B- A B 35% 38% 27% F C+ F+ D- F+ B- D- F F D F F A+ F 41% 11% 48% D+ F B F F A- F F F
1.01 53% 43% 40% +3 -3 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .19 55% .10 1.16 83% 100% 24% +10 +1 1.25 26% 1.5 .39 23% .38 80% .31
Dec
20		 Holy Cross A- B- A A+ B+ 62% 13% 26% A A- B+ A+ A+ F B- A B+ A- B B+ A+ A+ 23% 23% 54% C A+ D- C+ D+ F A+ D+ A
1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24 0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13
Dec
23		 St. John's D A+ D- F A- 35% 27% 38% D B F F F C- F+ A+ D C- B- F F D+ 57% 2% 42% F D- F A C A- A- D B
0.87 82% 31% 22% 0 -1 1.00 19% 0.3 .06 22% .21 82% .17 1.25 53% 100% 41% +3 +4 1.15 47% 1.0 .47 18% .32 78% .25
Dec
28		 Colgate B- C- F A+ A+ 38% 20% 42% C A+ F A+ F C+ F A+ F B D- A+ A- B+ 48% 20% 31% F B A F C+ C+ A F B+
1.13 57% 27% 57% +12 0 1.25 13% 1.3 .17 15% .10 83% .09 1.00 65% 18% 29% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .25 17% .18 80% .14
Jan
5		 Dartmouth D F C+ F F 49% 9% 42% A- F C+ A+ A C C C+ C F D+ F F F 35% 21% 44% C+ F D+ F F D F A+ F
1.06 46% 40% 23% -13 +2 0.81 33% 1.4 .45 13% .27 73% .20 1.19 60% 56% 42% +10 0 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 17% .55 59% .32
Jan
10		 Columbia A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% A- A+ A F+ C+ D+ F A+ C- A+ A- B- A+ A+ 54% 20% 26% C- A+ D+ A B- B- B F C-
1.31 61% 40% 56% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.8 .31 15% .21 100% .21 0.90 48% 33% 17% -13 +1 0.78 39% 0.7 .28 23% .24 91% .22
Jan
17		 Princeton A D B- A+ B+ 48% 13% 39% B+ B+ B F D- A+ A- A+ A+ F A F B- B- 37% 10% 53% D- C+ F F F F F+ D F+
1.29 54% 43% 43% +4 +2 1.13 33% 0.7 .23 7% .37 83% .30 1.18 44% 60% 31% -5 +1 0.94 41% 1.3 .51 12% .37 77% .28
Jan
19		 Penn D- B F C- C- 47% 10% 43% A- C+ D F+ D- F+ F F F B- B+ F B- B 40% 21% 38% D- C+ C+ A+ A+ C+ C F+ D+
1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08 1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25
Jan
24		 Cornell C D F B- D- 42% 8% 50% B+ D D A+ B+ C+ C A+ B F B F F C- 47% 9% 45% D C- C+ F D C- F F+ F
1.21 55% 25% 38% 0 +2 1.06 27% 1.8 .47 14% .32 83% .27 1.31 55% 75% 43% +8 +2 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 17% .48 81% .39
Jan
30		 Brown B C+ A+ B+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A- A+ F C+ F F A+ A+ A+ C+ C F A+ B 44% 16% 40% C- B C- F F F+ F A+ C
1.13 60% 100% 38% +9 +2 1.24 11% 1.0 .11 23% .62 93% .58 0.97 55% 43% 17% -11 +1 0.82 29% 1.5 .44 16% .33 53% .18
Jan
31		 Yale B B+ D+ A+ A- 36% 26% 38% D+ B+ D- F F C+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F+ A- 48% 13% 40% F+ B+ A- A+ A+ F A+ D- A
1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30 1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Dartmouth C B A+ C+ B+ 37% 17% 46% C- B F F+ F D+ B+ A+ A+ A B+ A+ B A+ 44% 8% 48% F A A+ A+ A+ F A F C+
1.10 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 18% 0.8 .14 14% .33 89% .29 0.90 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.88 16% 0.5 .08 14% .23 92% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 3.9 13.3 11.4 3.1 31.8 1st
2nd 0.2 9.8 25.6 13.6 1.3 50.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.8 8.2 1.2 11.2 3rd
4th 0.1 3.5 1.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.4 1.0 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.3 0.1 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
Total 0.9 6.6 19.1 30.7 26.9 12.7 3.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 3.1    3.1
11-3 89.6% 11.4    7.2 4.2
10-4 49.4% 13.3    4.5 8.4 0.5
9-5 12.8% 3.9    0.3 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 31.8% 31.8 15.1 14.2 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 3.1% 25.8% 25.8% 12.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 2.3
11-3 12.7% 25.6% 25.6% 13.3 0.3 1.6 1.3 0.1 9.5
10-4 26.9% 18.9% 18.9% 13.7 0.1 1.8 2.7 0.6 0.0 21.8
9-5 30.7% 16.2% 16.2% 14.2 0.6 2.9 1.5 0.0 25.7
8-6 19.1% 11.8% 11.8% 14.8 0.1 0.5 1.7 0.1 16.8
7-7 6.6% 3.0% 3.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.4
6-8 0.9% 0.9
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 16.6% 16.6% 0.0% 13.9 83.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 12.7 43.8 47.5 8.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 0.9%