Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#301
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#259
Pace65.1#295
Improvement+2.0#45

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#263
First Shot+3.2#93
After Offensive Rebound-6.8#365
Layup/Dunks-3.3#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#6
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#119
Freethrows-2.0#290
Improvement+1.1#88

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#318
First Shot-9.0#364
After Offensive Rebounds+4.7#4
Layups/Dunks-9.7#364
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#243
Freethrows+2.0#72
Improvement+0.8#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 7.0% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 17.1% 30.4% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 46.0% 54.5% 43.4%
Conference Champion 4.6% 6.5% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 12.3% 8.4% 13.5%
First Four3.4% 3.6% 3.4%
First Round3.3% 5.2% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 23.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 411 - 1012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 72 @Providence L 79-89 5%     0 - 1 +0.7 +1.2 +0.5
  Sat, Nov 8 8 @BYU L 53-98 1%     0 - 2 -22.7 -11.9 -9.6
  Mon, Nov 10 117 @Utah L 69-87 10%     0 - 3 -11.8 -0.7 -11.4
  Sun, Nov 16 212 Hampton W 67-61 33%     1 - 3 +2.8 +4.8 -0.9
  Tue, Nov 18 225 @Brown L 49-68 25%     1 - 4 -19.8 -13.1 -9.4
  Fri, Nov 21 255 @Sacred Heart L 66-79 30%     1 - 5 -15.4 -8.0 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 24 161 Siena L 69-73 33%     1 - 6 -7.3 +0.7 -8.4
  Wed, Dec 3 227 Northeastern W 76-59 47%     2 - 6 +10.0 +5.4 +5.6
  Sat, Dec 6 211 @Fordham L 64-72 23%    
  Tue, Dec 16 261 Dartmouth W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Dec 20 193 @Harvard L 64-73 21%    
  Wed, Dec 31 304 Bucknell W 73-70 61%    
  Sat, Jan 3 198 Navy L 69-71 42%    
  Wed, Jan 7 299 @Lehigh L 68-71 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 250 @American L 69-75 29%    
  Wed, Jan 14 342 Army W 75-69 71%    
  Sat, Jan 17 331 @Lafayette L 69-70 46%    
  Wed, Jan 21 198 @Navy L 66-74 22%    
  Sat, Jan 24 250 American W 73-72 51%    
  Wed, Jan 28 176 @Colgate L 66-76 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 342 @Army W 72-71 52%    
  Mon, Feb 2 235 Boston University L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 299 Lehigh W 71-68 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 176 Colgate L 69-73 39%    
  Sun, Feb 15 319 @Loyola Maryland L 71-73 44%    
  Wed, Feb 18 331 Lafayette W 72-67 68%    
  Sun, Feb 22 304 @Bucknell L 70-73 41%    
  Wed, Feb 25 235 @Boston University L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 319 Loyola Maryland W 74-70 65%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.9 1.9 0.5 0.1 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.8 4.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 6.3 2.7 0.2 12.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 6.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 13.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.9 3.4 0.3 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.9 3.4 0.5 11.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.5 1.3 0.2 7.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 4.9 7.9 10.4 13.0 13.8 13.2 11.3 9.0 6.1 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 86.2% 0.7    0.6 0.1
14-4 70.3% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.1
13-5 36.8% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 12.7% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 23.5% 23.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 24.0% 24.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
14-4 1.8% 21.1% 21.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.4
13-5 3.4% 14.0% 14.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.0
12-6 6.1% 11.1% 11.1% 15.8 0.1 0.6 5.4
11-7 9.0% 9.1% 9.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 8.2
10-8 11.3% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.6
9-9 13.2% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.0 0.8 12.4
8-10 13.8% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.5 13.3
7-11 13.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 12.8
6-12 10.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.3
5-13 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.9
4-14 4.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-15 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 4.3 94.9 0.0%