Loyola Maryland
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.1#319
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#344
Pace69.0#199
Improvement-2.1#313

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#265
First Shot-1.8#222
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#288
Layup/Dunks+2.5#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#267
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#181
Freethrows-2.5#314
Improvement+0.7#124

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#337
First Shot-4.9#327
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#237
Layups/Dunks-6.2#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#165
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement-2.8#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.9% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 11.4% 17.8% 5.9%
.500 or above in Conference 34.4% 40.3% 29.3%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.5% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 19.0% 15.2% 22.2%
First Four2.8% 3.1% 2.5%
First Round1.8% 2.1% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: VMI (Away) - 46.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 411 - 1111 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 129 Towson L 56-67 14%     0 - 1 -8.6 -11.4 +2.1
  Tue, Nov 11 351 NJIT L 64-66 72%     0 - 2 -17.3 -11.7 -5.7
  Sat, Nov 15 338 Stonehill W 74-63 58%     1 - 2 -0.1 +2.7 -2.2
  Sun, Nov 16 294 @Fairfield L 82-85 33%     1 - 3 -7.5 +5.7 -13.1
  Wed, Nov 19 135 @Duquesne L 78-92 10%     1 - 4 -9.3 +2.8 -11.3
  Fri, Nov 21 23 @Kentucky L 46-88 1%     1 - 5 -24.0 -19.3 -3.5
  Sun, Nov 30 364 Coppin St. W 95-84 85%     2 - 5 -9.0 +13.6 -22.6
  Wed, Dec 3 212 @Hampton L 71-93 20%     2 - 6 -22.2 -5.3 -15.9
  Tue, Dec 9 337 @VMI L 74-75 46%    
  Sat, Dec 13 307 Mount St. Mary's W 74-72 58%    
  Sun, Dec 21 66 @George Mason L 61-82 3%    
  Wed, Dec 31 250 @American L 72-79 25%    
  Sat, Jan 3 331 Lafayette W 74-70 64%    
  Wed, Jan 7 342 @Army L 74-75 48%    
  Sat, Jan 10 304 @Bucknell L 72-76 36%    
  Wed, Jan 14 176 Colgate L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Jan 17 235 Boston University L 72-74 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 299 @Lehigh L 70-74 34%    
  Sat, Jan 24 304 Bucknell W 75-73 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 250 American L 75-76 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 198 @Navy L 67-77 19%    
  Wed, Feb 4 299 Lehigh W 73-71 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 235 @Boston University L 69-77 24%    
  Wed, Feb 11 331 @Lafayette L 71-73 43%    
  Sun, Feb 15 301 Holy Cross W 73-71 56%    
  Wed, Feb 18 342 Army W 77-72 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 176 @Colgate L 68-79 17%    
  Wed, Feb 25 198 Navy L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Feb 28 301 @Holy Cross L 70-74 35%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.2 3.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.3 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.4 2.9 5.4 2.2 0.2 11.1 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 6.4 2.6 0.2 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.0 3.7 0.4 13.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.4 5.6 3.3 0.5 14.0 9th
10th 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.4 3.7 1.8 0.2 11.9 10th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.4 7.6 10.9 12.8 13.7 13.3 11.4 9.2 6.4 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 94.4% 0.1    0.1
15-3 91.3% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 66.0% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 39.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 13.8% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 11.1% 11.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 27.2% 27.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-4 1.0% 18.2% 18.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 0.8
13-5 2.2% 14.6% 14.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3 1.9
12-6 3.8% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.4 3.5
11-7 6.4% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.6 5.8
10-8 9.2% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.5 8.7
9-9 11.4% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.6 10.8
8-10 13.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.0
7-11 13.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.5
6-12 12.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.7
5-13 10.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.8
4-14 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
3-15 4.4% 4.4
2-16 1.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.2 96.7 0.0%