Kentucky
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.0#23
Expected Predictive Rating+4.4#112
Pace73.6#87
Improvement-2.8#337

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#36
First Shot+7.0#25
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#140
Layup/Dunks+8.2#8
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#167
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement-2.1#335

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#20
First Shot+5.3#39
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#73
Layups/Dunks+5.6#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#283
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#290
Freethrows+4.3#9
Improvement-0.7#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 11.7% 11.7% 1.7%
Top 6 Seed 28.2% 28.2% 18.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 60.8% 60.9% 39.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 58.3% 58.4% 37.9%
Average Seed 6.9 6.8 7.6
.500 or above 77.0% 77.1% 52.5%
.500 or above in Conference 63.7% 63.7% 49.2%
Conference Champion 5.7% 5.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 2.1% 2.5%
First Four6.6% 6.6% 8.5%
First Round58.3% 58.4% 35.6%
Second Round40.7% 40.8% 27.1%
Sweet Sixteen18.1% 18.2% 8.5%
Elite Eight7.8% 7.8% 1.7%
Final Four3.2% 3.2% 1.7%
Championship Game1.2% 1.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 99.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 103 - 10
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 13
Quad 24 - 210 - 14
Quad 31 - 012 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 265 Nicholls St. W 77-51 98%     1 - 0 +17.2 +1.3 +15.9
  Fri, Nov 7 214 Valparaiso W 107-59 97%     2 - 0 +41.7 +26.3 +12.3
  Tue, Nov 11 14 @Louisville L 88-96 29%     2 - 1 +12.9 +15.7 -2.1
  Fri, Nov 14 325 Eastern Illinois W 99-53 99%     3 - 1 +33.8 +25.8 +9.5
  Tue, Nov 18 10 Michigan St. L 66-83 35%     3 - 2 +2.0 +3.1 -0.8
  Fri, Nov 21 319 Loyola Maryland W 88-46 99%     4 - 2 +29.9 +5.8 +23.0
  Wed, Nov 26 306 Tennessee Tech W 104-54 98%     5 - 2 +38.9 +22.4 +14.6
  Tue, Dec 2 21 North Carolina L 64-67 61%     5 - 3 +9.1 +3.2 +5.6
  Fri, Dec 5 4 Gonzaga L 59-94 26%     5 - 4 -13.4 -3.8 -9.4
  Tue, Dec 9 336 NC Central W 88-59 99.6%   
  Sat, Dec 13 24 Indiana W 78-75 63%    
  Sat, Dec 20 13 St. John's L 80-83 40%    
  Tue, Dec 23 292 Bellarmine W 90-65 99%    
  Sat, Jan 3 11 @Alabama L 84-91 27%    
  Wed, Jan 7 37 Missouri W 81-76 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 81 Mississippi St. W 83-72 84%    
  Wed, Jan 14 29 @LSU L 77-79 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 16 @Tennessee L 73-78 32%    
  Wed, Jan 21 50 Texas W 82-75 75%    
  Sat, Jan 24 58 Mississippi W 80-71 78%    
  Tue, Jan 27 12 @Vanderbilt L 78-85 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 22 @Arkansas L 78-81 39%    
  Wed, Feb 4 41 Oklahoma W 82-76 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 16 Tennessee W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 15 @Florida L 76-82 30%    
  Tue, Feb 17 19 Georgia W 87-84 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 20 @Auburn L 77-80 38%    
  Tue, Feb 24 89 @South Carolina W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Feb 28 12 Vanderbilt L 81-82 48%    
  Tue, Mar 3 38 @Texas A&M L 80-81 50%    
  Sat, Mar 7 15 Florida W 79-78 50%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 4.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.2 0.5 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 4.2 1.1 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 5.0 2.3 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.3 3.7 4.2 0.5 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 5.0 1.4 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.1 3.3 0.2 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 2.3 4.3 0.8 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 3.6 2.0 0.1 6.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.6 0.3 5.7 12th
13th 0.2 1.3 2.2 0.7 0.1 4.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.7 0.0 3.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.0 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.9 6.6 9.8 12.8 14.4 14.2 12.2 10.2 6.5 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.5% 0.7    0.7 0.1
15-3 80.5% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.0
14-4 50.1% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 19.9% 1.3    0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 42.9% 57.1% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.8% 100.0% 30.3% 69.7% 2.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.8% 100.0% 31.3% 68.7% 2.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.6% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 3.8 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 100.0%
13-5 6.5% 100.0% 17.3% 82.7% 4.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.9 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 10.2% 99.2% 13.1% 86.0% 5.6 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.6 2.7 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.0%
11-7 12.2% 98.3% 7.2% 91.1% 6.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.9 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.2 98.1%
10-8 14.2% 89.1% 4.1% 85.0% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 2.8 2.7 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.0 1.5 88.6%
9-9 14.4% 64.1% 2.3% 61.8% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 1.6 2.4 2.4 0.2 5.2 63.3%
8-10 12.8% 26.7% 1.1% 25.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.5 0.2 9.4 25.9%
7-11 9.8% 6.5% 0.7% 5.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 9.2 5.8%
6-12 6.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 0.5%
5-13 3.9% 0.5% 0.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 60.8% 6.0% 54.8% 6.9 0.6 1.5 3.6 6.0 7.9 8.5 8.5 7.4 5.3 5.7 5.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 39.2 58.3%