LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.8#29
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#39
Pace71.7#128
Improvement-2.4#325

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#39
First Shot+7.6#20
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#187
Layup/Dunks+9.1#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#278
Freethrows+3.0#44
Improvement-2.0#330

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#30
First Shot+4.3#55
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#65
Layups/Dunks+4.6#46
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#207
Freethrows+3.1#27
Improvement-0.4#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 2.0% 2.9% 1.1%
Top 4 Seed 12.1% 16.8% 7.4%
Top 6 Seed 30.6% 38.5% 22.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 72.2% 80.0% 64.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70.9% 78.9% 63.1%
Average Seed 7.0 6.6 7.4
.500 or above 97.7% 99.2% 96.2%
.500 or above in Conference 62.0% 66.9% 57.0%
Conference Champion 5.1% 6.1% 4.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.7% 3.2%
First Four5.9% 5.2% 6.6%
First Round69.5% 77.4% 61.4%
Second Round44.9% 52.1% 37.6%
Sweet Sixteen17.7% 22.0% 13.4%
Elite Eight6.7% 8.5% 5.0%
Final Four2.5% 3.3% 1.7%
Championship Game0.9% 1.2% 0.6%
National Champion0.4% 0.4% 0.3%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Neutral) - 50.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 8
Quad 25 - 210 - 10
Quad 34 - 015 - 10
Quad 47 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 202 Tarleton St. W 96-60 95%     1 - 0 +30.4 +23.3 +8.0
  Mon, Nov 10 216 New Orleans W 93-58 96%     2 - 0 +28.7 +13.7 +13.7
  Thu, Nov 13 207 Florida International W 98-81 96%     3 - 0 +11.0 +13.0 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 18 333 Alcorn St. W 107-81 99%     4 - 0 +12.5 +23.9 -12.5
  Fri, Nov 21 252 Nebraska Omaha W 99-73 97%     5 - 0 +17.8 +10.2 +5.0
  Fri, Nov 28 128 Drake W 71-62 85%     6 - 0 +11.5 +1.5 +10.2
  Sat, Nov 29 121 DePaul W 96-63 84%     7 - 0 +36.0 +26.5 +10.0
  Wed, Dec 3 132 @Boston College W 78-69 OT 80%     8 - 0 +13.9 +5.2 +8.1
  Sun, Dec 7 30 Texas Tech W 76-75 50%    
  Sat, Dec 13 40 SMU W 80-78 57%    
  Fri, Dec 19 248 SE Louisiana W 82-60 98%    
  Mon, Dec 22 322 Prairie View W 90-64 99%    
  Mon, Dec 29 219 Southern Miss W 86-66 97%    
  Sat, Jan 3 38 @Texas A&M L 79-80 44%    
  Tue, Jan 6 89 South Carolina W 79-68 85%    
  Sat, Jan 10 12 @Vanderbilt L 76-84 24%    
  Wed, Jan 14 23 Kentucky W 79-77 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 37 Missouri W 80-76 65%    
  Tue, Jan 20 15 @Florida L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Jan 24 22 @Arkansas L 76-80 35%    
  Wed, Jan 28 81 Mississippi St. W 82-72 80%    
  Sat, Jan 31 89 @South Carolina W 76-71 67%    
  Sat, Feb 7 19 Georgia W 85-84 54%    
  Tue, Feb 10 22 Arkansas W 79-77 57%    
  Sat, Feb 14 16 @Tennessee L 72-78 28%    
  Tue, Feb 17 50 @Texas W 78-77 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 11 Alabama L 86-88 43%    
  Wed, Feb 25 58 @Mississippi W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Feb 28 41 Oklahoma W 81-76 67%    
  Tue, Mar 3 20 @Auburn L 76-81 33%    
  Sat, Mar 7 38 Texas A&M W 82-77 66%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.1 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 5.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 2.8 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.1 0.6 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 4.7 1.1 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.9 2.2 0.1 8.5 6th
7th 0.3 3.7 3.8 0.4 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 4.6 1.5 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.0 3.0 0.2 7.7 9th
10th 0.1 2.1 4.6 0.8 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 3.8 2.0 0.1 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.5 0.4 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 0.7 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.1 0.0 3.7 14th
15th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 2.4 15th
16th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 16th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.3 7.3 9.7 13.2 13.7 13.8 12.1 9.4 6.8 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 95.9% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 74.1% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.8% 1.7    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
13-5 16.0% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.5 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 22.0% 78.0% 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.6% 100.0% 21.2% 78.8% 2.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.7% 100.0% 19.8% 80.2% 3.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.7% 100.0% 13.6% 86.4% 3.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 6.8% 100.0% 10.9% 89.0% 4.6 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 9.4% 99.9% 8.8% 91.1% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.6 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 12.1% 98.5% 5.9% 92.6% 6.4 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.0 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.4%
10-8 13.8% 95.7% 3.4% 92.3% 7.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.5 3.3 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.6 95.6%
9-9 13.7% 87.0% 2.0% 84.9% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 3.2 3.4 2.2 0.6 1.8 86.7%
8-10 13.2% 64.9% 0.9% 64.0% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 2.8 2.1 0.0 4.6 64.6%
7-11 9.7% 34.0% 0.6% 33.4% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.1 6.4 33.6%
6-12 7.3% 11.2% 0.5% 10.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 6.5 10.8%
5-13 4.3% 1.8% 1.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 4.2 1.8%
4-14 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 2.1
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 72.2% 4.3% 67.9% 7.0 0.6 1.4 3.7 6.4 8.8 9.7 10.2 10.1 8.8 7.2 5.2 0.1 27.8 70.9%