LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +9.8 57
Expected Predictive Rating +8.6 65
Pace 67.9 204
Improvement -8.2 364

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ #50 B A- B- A- C+
Defense B- #85 B- B C- B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 59 65% 50 +5.8 20
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 208 40% 101 -0.4 201
Three Pointers 38% 255 34% 157 -1.4 233
1st FG Attempt 1.10 65 +4.0 66
Second Chance 35.2% 58 1.21 20 0.42 22
Turnovers 15.1% 73
Freethrows 0.36 35 77% 41 0.28 19
Total Offense +6.6 50

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 266 54% 66 +3.1 77
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 131 34% 53 +0.4 155
Three Pointers 42% 128 35% 217 -1.2 243
1st FG Attempt 0.97 101 +2.3 99
Second Chance 29.3% 129 0.88 23 0.26 55
Turnovers 16.1% 229
Freethrows 0.30 161 66% 6 0.20 80
Total Defense +3.2 85

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.5 111 -0.3 110
Shot Type Accuracy +3.6 70 -2.0 98
Possession Length 16.6 95 18.6 340
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 74 0.13 43
Improvement -4.4 #351 -3.9 #342

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 10% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3% 10% 2%
Average Seed 10.7 10.6 10.8
.500 or above 74% 94% 70%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 31% 12% 34%
First Four2% 7% 1%
First Round2% 6% 1%
Second Round1% 2% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Tennessee (Away) - 14.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 23 - 35 - 13
Quad 33 - 29 - 15
Quad 48 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 214 Tarleton St. W 96 - 60 92% +19  96% 1 - 0 A+ +30 A+ +23 A+ A+ C+ A- +8 A+ A- F
 Mon, Nov 10 225 New Orleans W 93 - 58 93% +17  99% 2 - 0 A+ +29 B+ +9 B C+ A A+ +19 A+ A- F
 Thu, Nov 13 188 Florida International W 98 - 81 91% +10  90% 3 - 0 B+ +12 A- +10 C A+ B C +0 B C F+
 Tue, Nov 18 351 Alcorn St. W 107 - 81 98% +7  67% 4 - 0 B +10 A+ +19 D A+ B+ F+ -10 D- F D+
 Fri, Nov 21 249 Nebraska Omaha W 99 - 73 94% +16  99% 5 - 0 A +18 B+ +9 A+ D- C B+ +7 C+ A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 177 Drake W 71 - 62 84% +9  96% 6 - 0 B- +8 D -5 C F A A +13 A A+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 98 DePaul W 96 - 63 67% +23  99% 7 - 0 A+ +38 A+ +26 A+ A+ D A +12 B- A+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 129 @Boston College W 78 - 69 OT 68% +4  76% 8 - 0 B+ +14 B- +4 D+ B B A- +10 B- B+ B+
 Sun, Dec 7 16 Texas Tech L 58 - 82 21% -18  0% 8 - 1 D+ -6 F -10 F D+ A B +5 C+ A- A
 Sat, Dec 13 37 SMU W 89 - 77 34% +7  86% 9 - 1 A+ +26 A+ +25 A+ A+ C B- +2 C+ B- C+
 Fri, Dec 19 270 SE Louisiana W 78 - 65 95% +12  98% 10 - 1 C+ +4 A +12 A+ F+ A+ D -7 C+ F D-
 Mon, Dec 22 336 Prairie View W 104 - 90 98% +2  64% 11 - 1 C -0 A+ +15 C- A+ A- F -17 F C C-
 Mon, Dec 29 241 Southern Miss W 90 - 62 94% +14  96% 12 - 1 A +20 A +12 C+ A A+ A- +8 A+ A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 3 31 @Texas A&M L 72 - 75 23% -4  9% 12 - 2 0 - 1 A- +15 C +1 C B D A+ +13 B- A A+
 Tue, Jan 6 90 South Carolina L 68 - 78 76% -16  0% 12 - 3 0 - 2 D+ -8 C +0 C C F D- -9 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 14 @Vanderbilt L 73 - 84 13% -11  0% 12 - 4 0 - 3 B +11 B- +5 B+ C C B +6 B+ A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 14 24 Kentucky L 74 - 75 37% +8  89% 12 - 5 0 - 4 B+ +12 B+ +8 A+ B C- B +4 B+ A- C-
 Sat, Jan 17 48 Missouri W 78 - 70 56% +7  99% 13 - 5 1 - 4 A- +16 A+ +15 C- A+ A+ B- +3 A+ D+ C+
 Tue, Jan 20 4 @Florida L 61 - 79 7% -10  7% 13 - 6 1 - 5 B +8 C+ +2 C- A+ C B +5 A C C
 Sat, Jan 24 19 @Arkansas L 81 - 85 15% +1  66% 13 - 7 1 - 6 A- +17 A+ +15 C+ A+ A B- +2 F A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 28 79 Mississippi St. L 66 - 80 71% -18  0% 13 - 8 1 - 7 D -10 D+ -4 C C A- D -7 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 90 @South Carolina W 92 - 87 OT 55% +3  70% 14 - 8 2 - 7 B+ +13 A+ +15 A+ C C+ C- -2 A F F
 Sat, Feb 7 36 Georgia L 71 - 83 44% -1  45% 14 - 9 2 - 8 C -1 B- +4 C- A- D+ D -6 D- F+ B
 Tue, Feb 10 19 Arkansas L 62 - 91 31% -18  0% 14 - 10 2 - 9 D- -14 F -13 F D- C- C+ +0 B- A C+
 Sat, Feb 14 18 @Tennessee L 68 - 79 15%
 Tue, Feb 17 30 @Texas L 75 - 83 23%
 Sat, Feb 21 17 Alabama L 84 - 89 31%
 Wed, Feb 25 65 @Mississippi L 72 - 74 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 54 Oklahoma W 80 - 77 59%
 Tue, Mar 3 28 @Auburn L 75 - 83 21%
 Sat, Mar 7 31 Texas A&M L 80 - 82 45%
Totals 16 - 15 4 - 14 +10 B+ +7 B A- B- B- +3 B- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ C+ C+ B 43% 19% 38% C+ B B A- A- B- B+ B+ A- B- B- B C- B- 36% 22% 42% C+ B- C+ B+ B C- C+ A B-
1.18 65% 40% 34% +4 +1 1.10 35% 1.2 .42 15% .36 77% .28 1.04 54% 34% 35% -2 0 0.97 29% 0.9 .26 16% .30 66% .24
Nov
5		 Tarleton St. A+ A+ A A+ A+ 54% 10% 37% A A+ A+ A A+ C+ A+ B A+ A- A A+ A- A+ 43% 17% 40% F+ A+ B A A- F B- B B
1.41 95% 50% 47% +28 +2 1.63 44% 1.3 .56 22% .55 76% .41 0.88 43% 11% 29% -14 +1 0.75 27% 0.8 .23 13% .30 72% .22
Nov
10		 New Orleans B+ B F A B- 46% 11% 44% B+ B A- D- C+ A A- C+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C A+ A+ C- A- F A B+ A+
1.28 62% 0% 40% +2 +2 1.09 43% 0.9 .38 10% .43 75% .32 0.80 40% 8% 25% -19 -1 0.63 24% 1.1 .26 12% .27 71% .19
Nov
13		 Florida International A- A- C- F C 43% 25% 31% D+ C B- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ C B F A+ A- 48% 13% 38% D- B C+ C- C F+ C+ A- B-
1.26 68% 38% 25% 0 0 1.02 39% 1.8 .68 18% .53 88% .47 1.04 52% 50% 26% -6 +2 0.93 31% 1.1 .33 13% .31 62% .19
Nov
18		 Alcorn St. A+ C- F F 61% 0% 39% A+ D A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F+ A- F D- F+ 27% 27% 46% B+ D- F F F D+ B A+ A
1.47 61% 28% -2 +4 1.07 56% 1.6 .88 15% .63 79% .50 1.11 47% 53% 38% +4 -2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 18% .18 45% .08
Nov
21		 Nebraska Omaha B+ A- A A+ A+ 38% 7% 55% B A+ D- D- D- C B C B B+ C+ F B C 28% 21% 52% B- C+ C A+ A+ D+ F A+ B
1.28 71% 50% 45% +15 +2 1.36 23% 0.9 .20 14% .36 75% .27 0.94 56% 50% 30% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 15% .38 48% .18
Nov
28		 Drake D C A+ F D 62% 4% 35% A+ C F F F A B+ D B- A A+ F A A+ 32% 14% 54% D- A A+ A+ A+ F+ A F+ A-
1.04 59% 50% 28% -2 +4 1.06 15% 0.6 .09 10% .36 64% .23 0.91 44% 50% 27% -8 0 0.86 14% 0.8 .12 10% .21 77% .16
Nov
29		 DePaul A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 60% 13% 28% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A A+ F A C+ 29% 27% 45% A- B- A+ A+ A+ B- F A+ C+
1.39 79% 67% 38% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.8 .74 22% .48 81% .39 0.91 43% 69% 27% 0 -1 0.98 22% 0.6 .14 19% .41 52% .21
Dec
3		 Boston College B- C+ C F C- 40% 33% 28% D D+ B+ C+ B B C+ A+ A A- B- A+ D+ B- 31% 27% 42% B B- B A- B+ B+ D C- D
1.03 57% 37% 19% -7 -1 0.84 33% 0.9 .31 13% .30 85% .26 0.91 53% 27% 35% -4 -1 0.91 26% 0.8 .21 18% .34 67% .23
Dec
7		 Texas Tech F B- D F F+ 18% 44% 38% F F D C- D+ A B D C+ B B A+ F C+ 34% 19% 47% D+ C+ C A+ A- A D C D
0.82 60% 33% 19% -10 -4 0.73 20% 0.9 .18 13% .31 63% .19 1.16 56% 30% 48% +8 0 1.17 35% 0.8 .27 20% .32 72% .23
Dec
13		 SMU A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 42% 28% 30% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C D+ A+ C+ B- C+ D+ F C+ 41% 27% 33% C C+ F+ A B- C+ C- A+ B+
1.38 62% 57% 47% +13 -1 1.26 43% 1.9 .83 19% .23 83% .19 1.20 60% 46% 44% +8 -1 1.16 43% 0.8 .35 16% .31 59% .18
Dec
19		 SE Louisiana A A+ F+ A+ A+ 34% 17% 49% C+ A+ F+ D F+ A+ A+ D A D C+ F A+ C+ 33% 22% 45% C- C+ D F F D- B D- C+
1.27 79% 29% 45% +14 0 1.29 24% 1.0 .24 13% .50 70% .36 1.06 56% 45% 23% -6 -1 0.88 30% 1.4 .42 15% .29 73% .21
Dec
22		 Prairie View A+ D+ A+ F D+ 53% 9% 38% A C- A A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F D A+ F F 27% 31% 42% C+ F C+ C C C- F F F
1.39 54% 100% 29% +1 +3 1.09 47% 1.4 .63 15% .77 88% .67 1.20 62% 20% 60% +12 -2 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 15% .44 93% .41
Dec
29		 Southern Miss A A+ A- D+ B+ 20% 35% 44% F C+ C+ A+ A A+ B B- B+ A- C A+ A+ A 24% 49% 27% A+ A+ C- A+ A+ F+ F B- F
1.28 82% 47% 33% +8 -3 1.11 29% 1.4 .41 9% .39 72% .28 0.88 58% 25% 23% -11 -5 0.71 31% 0.5 .15 14% .48 72% .35
Jan
3		 Texas A&M C A+ F C- C+ 33% 29% 38% D C D A+ B D A- A A A+ F A+ B B- 40% 16% 44% B+ B- F+ A+ A A+ D B+ C-
1.00 75% 21% 33% +1 -1 1.00 23% 1.4 .33 22% .36 80% .28 1.04 80% 13% 32% +3 +1 1.10 39% 0.5 .21 21% .37 71% .26
Jan
6		 South Carolina C F+ C- B+ C 39% 22% 39% C+ C A+ F C F C+ A+ B+ D- A D+ F F 36% 23% 40% B- F A A+ A+ F D+ B C-
1.07 47% 36% 37% -3 0 0.96 43% 0.6 .28 22% .28 86% .24 1.22 47% 45% 58% +12 -1 1.26 22% 0.7 .16 9% .36 76% .28
Jan
10		 Vanderbilt B- D A+ C+ B 46% 19% 35% A- B+ B- D+ C C D D D- B C- F A+ B+ 38% 15% 47% C- B+ C A+ A+ D- F C- F
1.02 50% 50% 33% -2 +1 1.00 29% 0.9 .26 20% .30 71% .21 1.18 65% 75% 24% +1 +1 1.06 32% 0.6 .19 10% .45 79% .36
Jan
14		 Kentucky B+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 20% 43% B A+ C- A+ B C- A+ D- A+ B A A F B+ 35% 22% 43% B B+ A+ F A- C- D B+ C-
1.11 33% 63% 53% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.1 .28 18% .51 68% .35 1.12 50% 27% 41% -1 0 1.00 22% 1.6 .34 13% .38 68% .26
Jan
17		 Missouri A+ B+ F C+ C- 28% 28% 43% D+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ B- C A+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% B A+ B+ F D+ C+ F F F
1.26 62% 23% 35% -2 -2 0.93 43% 1.3 .57 11% .42 78% .33 1.13 63% 22% 27% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 19% .60 80% .48
Jan
20		 Florida C+ B+ D- F C+ 35% 43% 22% F+ C- C+ A+ A+ C C D+ C- B F A+ A- B+ 34% 22% 44% A+ A F A- C C F A+ C+
0.91 59% 29% 27% -6 -3 0.84 21% 1.4 .30 16% .27 67% .18 1.18 76% 18% 27% -2 0 0.96 51% 0.9 .45 15% .47 52% .25
Jan
24		 Arkansas A+ B- B+ F B 33% 40% 27% F C+ A A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B- F F F F 38% 24% 38% B F A+ A+ A+ C- B- A+ A+
1.18 59% 43% 21% -3 -3 0.90 39% 1.5 .61 13% .42 88% .37 1.24 79% 67% 42% +20 0 1.40 26% 1.0 .26 12% .30 39% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Mississippi St. D+ C- A+ F C- 44% 22% 34% A C D A+ C A- A+ F C+ D D A+ F F 38% 19% 43% D F F A- D A+ F C- F
0.97 55% 55% 18% -6 0 0.90 21% 1.3 .26 10% .38 52% .20 1.18 67% 22% 50% +11 0 1.23 45% 0.8 .38 24% .39 70% .27
Jan
31		 South Carolina A+ A+ F A+ A+ 41% 22% 37% C+ A+ C+ D+ C C+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ B- F+ A- 34% 29% 38% A- A D- F F F F A F+
1.23 86% 8% 45% +11 0 1.24 31% 0.9 .28 15% .39 84% .33 1.16 37% 38% 38% -5 -1 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 8% .45 71% .32
Feb
7		 Georgia B- A F F C- 39% 17% 43% C+ C- A B- A- D+ A+ A+ A+ D D C+ F F+ 40% 11% 49% C D- F D+ F+ B F A+ C+
1.08 67% 13% 25% -7 0 0.89 41% 1.0 .41 21% .46 83% .39 1.26 67% 40% 41% +9 +1 1.22 44% 1.1 .50 17% .44 54% .24
Feb
10		 Arkansas F F+ F F F 50% 15% 35% A- F A+ F D- C- A+ D- A+ C+ D+ B+ A+ B+ 64% 16% 20% F B- A C A C+ D C D
0.83 46% 25% 11% -20 +2 0.65 43% 0.6 .27 19% .45 63% .28 1.22 69% 33% 27% +4 +2 1.15 27% 1.3 .33 13% .37 75% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.4 0.3 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 1.7 0.2 2.7 11th
12th 0.3 6.6 9.9 2.3 0.1 19.1 12th
13th 0.1 5.2 12.5 2.9 0.1 20.8 13th
14th 2.3 13.8 5.6 0.2 21.9 14th
15th 0.9 11.7 9.4 0.7 22.8 15th
16th 4.8 6.4 0.8 12.0 16th
Total 5.7 20.5 29.4 25.4 13.7 4.5 0.7 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-10 0.7% 65.2% 65.2% 10.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 65.2%
7-11 4.5% 26.3% 0.4% 25.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.3 26.0%
6-12 13.7% 7.1% 0.2% 6.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 12.7 6.9%
5-13 25.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.6% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 25.2 0.6%
4-14 29.4% 29.4
3-15 20.5% 20.5
2-16 5.7% 5.7
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 0.1% 2.8% 10.7 97.2 2.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.7%