Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#37
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#67
Pace70.5#161
Improvement+0.0#191

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#26
First Shot+6.6#31
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#83
Layup/Dunks+5.0#37
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#129
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#176
Freethrows+0.7#139
Improvement-1.1#272

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#58
First Shot+1.9#116
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#48
Layups/Dunks+7.8#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#321
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#352
Freethrows+3.2#23
Improvement+1.1#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 2.0% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 6.2% 11.6% 4.2%
Top 6 Seed 19.7% 31.0% 15.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58.5% 73.1% 53.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 57.5% 72.2% 52.0%
Average Seed 7.4 7.0 7.7
.500 or above 89.9% 96.7% 87.3%
.500 or above in Conference 52.6% 60.7% 49.6%
Conference Champion 3.4% 5.2% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 2.5% 4.5%
First Four5.7% 5.0% 5.9%
First Round56.0% 71.0% 50.4%
Second Round33.7% 45.4% 29.3%
Sweet Sixteen11.4% 17.2% 9.3%
Elite Eight4.1% 6.6% 3.2%
Final Four1.4% 2.5% 1.0%
Championship Game0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 27.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 46 - 11
Quad 24 - 29 - 12
Quad 32 - 011 - 13
Quad 49 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 315 @Howard W 88-67 95%     1 - 0 +15.5 +11.2 +3.8
  Fri, Nov 7 233 Southeast Missouri St. W 89-84 96%     2 - 0 -2.2 +5.1 -7.8
  Sun, Nov 9 337 VMI W 106-68 98%     3 - 0 +24.0 +17.9 +3.3
  Wed, Nov 12 95 Minnesota W 83-60 84%     4 - 0 +25.1 +22.2 +6.0
  Mon, Nov 17 322 Prairie View W 91-73 98%     5 - 0 +5.8 +6.0 -1.6
  Thu, Nov 20 276 South Dakota W 102-68 97%     6 - 0 +24.8 +17.9 +5.0
  Tue, Nov 25 352 South Carolina St. W 98-66 99%     7 - 0 +16.4 +18.8 -2.4
  Fri, Nov 28 308 Cleveland St. W 86-59 98%     8 - 0 +15.9 +4.1 +11.5
  Tue, Dec 2 56 @Notre Dame L 71-76 51%     8 - 1 +7.5 +5.6 +1.9
  Sun, Dec 7 18 @Kansas L 71-77 27%    
  Thu, Dec 11 268 Alabama St. W 88-66 98%    
  Sun, Dec 14 218 Bethune-Cookman W 85-66 96%    
  Mon, Dec 22 17 Illinois L 78-82 34%    
  Sat, Jan 3 15 Florida L 78-80 43%    
  Wed, Jan 7 23 @Kentucky L 76-81 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 58 @Mississippi W 76-75 50%    
  Wed, Jan 14 20 Auburn W 79-78 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 29 @LSU L 76-80 35%    
  Tue, Jan 20 19 Georgia W 86-85 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 41 Oklahoma W 81-77 64%    
  Tue, Jan 27 11 @Alabama L 83-92 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 81 Mississippi St. W 82-73 78%    
  Sat, Feb 7 89 @South Carolina W 76-72 64%    
  Wed, Feb 11 38 @Texas A&M L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 50 Texas W 81-76 68%    
  Wed, Feb 18 12 Vanderbilt L 80-83 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 22 @Arkansas L 77-82 32%    
  Tue, Feb 24 16 Tennessee L 75-76 45%    
  Sat, Feb 28 81 @Mississippi St. W 79-76 59%    
  Tue, Mar 3 41 @Oklahoma L 78-80 43%    
  Sat, Mar 7 22 Arkansas W 80-79 52%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 2.5 1.6 0.2 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.7 0.7 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.4 1.9 0.1 7.4 6th
7th 0.3 3.8 3.8 0.4 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.8 1.6 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.0 2.9 0.2 7.7 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 4.9 0.9 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.4 2.2 0.1 8.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.3 0.4 7.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.1 0.8 0.0 6.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.5 1.3 0.1 5.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.9 0.1 3.6 15th
16th 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.9 16th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.8 6.2 9.4 11.8 13.6 13.8 12.8 10.1 7.0 4.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.8% 0.4    0.3 0.0 0.0
15-3 82.6% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.1
14-4 45.5% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1
13-5 14.4% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 30.8% 69.2% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 15.5% 84.5% 2.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.1% 100.0% 13.8% 86.2% 3.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.5% 100.0% 11.9% 88.1% 4.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 100.0%
13-5 4.8% 100.0% 9.7% 90.3% 4.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 7.0% 99.4% 6.9% 92.5% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.3%
11-7 10.1% 97.4% 3.9% 93.5% 6.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.2 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.3 97.3%
10-8 12.8% 92.9% 2.0% 90.8% 7.8 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.8 3.7 2.1 1.0 0.2 0.9 92.7%
9-9 13.8% 80.1% 1.3% 78.8% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.8 3.0 2.6 0.8 0.0 2.8 79.8%
8-10 13.6% 52.0% 0.4% 51.5% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.4 2.3 0.1 6.5 51.8%
7-11 11.8% 19.0% 0.2% 18.7% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.1 9.5 18.8%
6-12 9.4% 5.4% 0.3% 5.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 8.9 5.1%
5-13 6.2% 0.3% 0.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 6.2 0.3%
4-14 3.8% 3.8
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 58.5% 2.4% 56.1% 7.4 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.4 6.0 7.5 9.0 9.8 7.8 7.1 4.8 0.3 41.5 57.5%