Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.2 322
Results Rating -8.5 300
Consistency 0.15 147
Pace 72.9 63
Improvement +2.0 112

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 167 C+ D+ C- C+ C
Defense F 362 F F+ D+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 353 C- 56% 232 -5.8 349
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 287 D 34% 301 -2.2 286
Three Pointers 53% 8 B+ 38% 30 +9.5 4
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 206 C+ +1.6 115
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 126
Second Chance D 24.6% 330 C+ 1.05 138 D+ 0.26 298
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 148
Other Turnovers D 8.5% 320
Turnovers C- 17.7% 244
Freethrows C 0.31 170 B 76% 71 C+ 0.23 131
Total Offense C -0.2 167

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 153 F 17.7% 364
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 181 C- 5.8% 247
Three Pointers D+ 79% 293 F 2.0% 350
Total B- 60% 80 D- 7.3% 334


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 249 F 69% 363 +2.7 274
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 287 D 43% 331 -0.5 142
Three Pointers 46% 39 D- 38% 334 +5.4 350
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 224 F +7.1 362
1st FG Attempt F 1.17 361
Second Chance F+ 36.2% 352 D+ 1.09 271 F+ 0.39 344
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.0% 294
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 186
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 275
Freethrows C- 0.32 233 D- 76% 344 D+ 0.24 272
Total Defense F -10.0 362

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 56% 322 D 7.2% 320
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 250 C- 3.9% 229
Three Pointers D+ 88% 295 C- 0.6% 221
Total D 63% 330 D 3.6% 327

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 127 16.7 66
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 67 0.21 321
Consistency 0.12 177 0.12 129
Improvement +0.9 138 +1.1 126

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 323 321 319
Results Rating Rank 299 295 292
Conference Record 6 - 14 6 - 14 6 - 14
Conference Finish 10 10 10
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 102 - 14
Quad 46 - 88 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 279 @Loyola Chicago L 88 - 91 26% -2  25% 0 - 1 D+ -6 B+ +9 B- A F F -16 D+ C- F
 Mon, Nov 10 66 @Northwestern L 63 - 110 3% -24  1% 0 - 2 F -35 F -10 C C- F F -22 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 15 152 Kent St. L 95 - 102 16% -2  22% 0 - 3 D+ -7 A- +11 A A+ F+ F -17 D F F+
 Sun, Nov 16 243 Radford W 87 - 82 29% -9  10% 1 - 3 C +0 D+ -4 C+ F+ D+ B +4 A D- C+
 Wed, Nov 19 156 Valparaiso L 75 - 90 24% -12  0% 1 - 4 F+ -18 C -0 C D A F -18 F F D
 Sat, Nov 22 152 @Kent St. L 71 - 91 11% -14  1% 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -12 D D- F C- -3 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 46 @Missouri L 59 - 86 2% -19  0% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -12 C- F+ F C -0 C- F A
 Wed, Dec 3 183 @Northern Kentucky L 80 - 95 14% -8  2% 1 - 7 0 - 1 D- -14 B- +4 A- B- F F -17 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 229 Detroit Mercy L 59 - 71 37% -4  24% 1 - 8 0 - 2 F -19 F -15 F C- F D -5 C B- F
 Wed, Dec 17 116 @UAB L 77 - 101 7% -7  18% 1 - 9 F -18 C+ +2 A F D F -18 F D- D
 Sun, Dec 21 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71 - 81 46% +0  49% 1 - 10 0 - 3 F -19 D -4 F D A+ F -16 D F F
 Mon, Dec 29 327 IU Indianapolis W 99 - 86 64% +10  94% 2 - 10 1 - 3 C -1 B +7 B- C+ B- F+ -9 B F D-
 Sun, Jan 4 258 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 74 23% +4  70% 2 - 11 1 - 4 D+ -5 D+ -2 F+ A+ D- C- -3 C D D-
 Fri, Jan 9 171 @Oakland L 72 - 97 13% -13  6% 2 - 12 1 - 5 F -23 F -11 F C C- F -11 B- F B-
 Sun, Jan 11 229 @Detroit Mercy L 84 - 94 19% -11  1% 2 - 13 1 - 6 D -11 C +1 A F F F -11 F+ F A
 Thu, Jan 15 210 Green Bay L 73 - 88 33% -2  43% 2 - 14 1 - 7 F -21 C+ +2 B+ F+ C- F -25 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 217 Youngstown St. W 80 - 78 36% +1  52% 3 - 14 2 - 7 C- -4 B- +4 A+ D+ F+ D- -8 C A- F
 Wed, Jan 21 157 @Wright St. W 85 - 79 11% -0  33% 4 - 14 3 - 7 B +9 A- +11 B+ D A- C -1 B F+ F
 Fri, Jan 30 210 @Green Bay W 89 - 82 16% +5  80% 5 - 14 4 - 7 B- +7 A+ +17 A+ A+ D- F+ -9 D F F+
 Sun, Feb 1 274 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 90 - 88 25% +4  96% 6 - 14 5 - 7 C -1 A +12 A+ A- C F -14 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 171 Oakland W 91 - 78 27% -2  25% 7 - 14 6 - 7 B +9 B+ +8 A+ F+ C C+ +1 C B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 327 @IU Indianapolis L 74 - 82 41% -13  1% 7 - 15 6 - 8 F+ -16 F -12 F+ F D+ D+ -3 F A C+
 Thu, Feb 12 155 Robert Morris L 68 - 85 24% -10  12% 7 - 16 6 - 9 F -20 C- -1 C- F A- F -20 F F+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 157 Wright St. L 90 - 102 24% -10  2% 7 - 17 6 - 10 F+ -15 B +6 A D B+ F -20 F C+ C+
 Wed, Feb 18 217 @Youngstown St. L 82 - 106 18% -14  0% 7 - 18 6 - 11 F -24 B +7 B+ F A+ F -32 F F D-
 Sun, Feb 22 258 Purdue Fort Wayne L 86 - 92 43% -6  12% 7 - 19 6 - 12 D- -14 C- -1 B D C+ F -13 F B B-
 Wed, Feb 25 183 Northern Kentucky L 70 - 81 30% -14  0% 7 - 20 6 - 13 F+ -16 F+ -10 F C B+ D -6 F D+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 155 @Robert Morris L 64 - 83 11% -3  43% 7 - 21 6 - 14 F+ -16 D+ -4 D- A B F -13 F D- C+
 Mon, Mar 2 327 IU Indianapolis W 101 - 93 64% +5  78% 8 - 21 D+ -6 C +1 A+ F D+ F+ -8 F+ B+ D+
 Wed, Mar 4 157 @Wright St. L 61 - 90 11% -11  1% 8 - 22 F -26 F -14 F F A- F -12 D F D
Totals 8 - 22 6 - 14 -10 C +0 C+ C+ C F -10 B+ B C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D B+ C+ 30% 28% 53% C C+ D C+ D+ C- C B C+ F F D D- F 37% 17% 46% C- F F+ D+ F+ D+ C- D- D+
1.08 56% 34% 38% +2 0 1.05 25% 1.1 .26 18% .31 76% .23 1.23 69% 43% 38% +7 0 1.17 36% 1.1 .39 15% .32 76% .23
Nov
3		 Loyola Chicago B+ D A+ C- B- 32% 21% 46% C- B- A+ F+ A F A+ A+ A+ F B- F D D+ 34% 7% 59% C- D+ C+ D C- F F F F
1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36 1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29
Nov
10		 Northwestern F B F C+ C 26% 22% 52% D+ C D- A C- F D- F F F D- D F F 47% 19% 34% D- F F F F D- C D+ C
0.85 62% 18% 35% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .28 23% .23 38% .09 1.49 67% 45% 50% +14 +1 1.31 39% 1.7 .68 9% .33 77% .25
Nov
15		 Kent St. A- B D+ A+ A 22% 12% 66% C- A A+ B- A+ F+ A+ A A+ F F B- A- D+ 46% 12% 42% F+ D F+ F F F+ F C F
1.25 64% 33% 42% +9 0 1.20 47% 1.1 .50 20% .49 80% .39 1.34 70% 33% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.4 .54 14% .71 74% .52
Nov
16		 Radford D+ D+ A+ B- C 39% 9% 52% B- C+ D+ F F+ D+ A+ F A+ B A- F A+ A 40% 19% 41% C A F B- D- C+ F A- D-
1.06 56% 50% 38% +3 +2 1.11 29% 0.8 .23 20% .70 65% .45 1.00 48% 55% 21% -9 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .35 18% .45 67% .30
Nov
19		 Valparaiso C A D- F C- 40% 14% 46% B C F A+ D A A- A+ A+ F F F C- F 35% 29% 36% D+ F F C F D B- D C
1.08 70% 29% 26% -2 +1 1.00 16% 1.4 .23 13% .38 83% .32 1.30 74% 50% 35% +9 -1 1.18 42% 1.1 .45 13% .33 75% .25
Nov
22		 Kent St. F F A+ C+ D- 48% 14% 39% B+ D F A+ D- F A+ C+ A+ C- C- A+ F F 30% 7% 63% D F F+ A C+ A+ A+ C+ A+
0.91 43% 50% 35% -5 +2 0.95 13% 1.8 .22 23% .50 73% .37 1.16 59% 25% 44% +9 +1 1.23 40% 0.9 .34 24% .25 73% .19
Nov
28		 Missouri F C- F B- D+ 29% 18% 53% B- C- D F F+ F F F F C F D+ C C- 27% 10% 63% C+ C- F C+ F A A+ F A-
0.83 53% 11% 37% -4 0 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 24% .20 55% .11 1.22 79% 40% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.1 .57 23% .24 85% .20
Dec
3		 Northern Kentucky B- F F A+ A 29% 15% 56% C- A- C- A B- F A+ A A+ F F+ F+ F F 37% 17% 46% B- F F F F B B F D
1.12 42% 0% 57% +9 0 1.20 32% 1.4 .44 28% .54 79% .43 1.32 68% 44% 46% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.3 .56 20% .26 93% .24
Dec
6		 Detroit Mercy F F F B F 37% 15% 48% C F A F C- F B+ D+ B D F B- A- D+ 24% 49% 27% A+ C B- C B- F D- B D
0.93 41% 0% 36% -10 +1 0.83 43% 0.8 .33 21% .40 70% .28 1.12 83% 36% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 0.9 .26 9% .33 74% .24
Dec
17		 UAB C+ F F A+ A- 47% 8% 45% A A F F F D C+ A+ A- F F B- F F 56% 11% 33% F F D D+ D- D F A- F
1.04 44% 25% 54% +6 +2 1.19 16% 0.0 .00 19% .25 93% .23 1.37 71% 33% 39% +9 +3 1.25 36% 1.1 .39 9% .43 66% .28
Dec
21		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D F F+ A- F+ 29% 25% 45% F F F A+ D A+ B+ C- B F F C+ C F+ 25% 25% 51% B+ D F B- F F A+ F B+
1.10 40% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 17% 1.7 .28 11% .38 73% .28 1.25 69% 38% 33% +2 -1 1.04 44% 1.0 .44 8% .17 80% .13
Dec
29		 IU Indianapolis B A+ B F+ B- 44% 15% 42% C- B- C- B+ C+ B- A+ A+ A+ F+ F C- A+ B 31% 17% 53% D+ B F+ F+ F D- F B- F
1.30 81% 43% 30% +8 +1 1.21 34% 1.3 .45 17% .56 86% .48 1.13 89% 40% 16% -4 0 0.93 33% 1.2 .40 13% .33 68% .23
Jan
4		 Purdue Fort Wayne D+ F F B- F+ 13% 13% 74% F+ F+ A- A A+ D- F+ A D C- F A+ B C 27% 8% 65% C C D C- D D- F F F
1.06 33% 17% 37% -2 -1 0.96 42% 1.3 .55 22% .21 82% .17 1.10 69% 25% 31% -1 +1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 12% .36 81% .29
Jan
9		 Oakland F A C- F F 34% 28% 38% D F B D C C- F A F+ F C- F A+ B 42% 14% 44% D B- F C F B- F F F
0.97 71% 41% 9% -9 -1 0.82 39% 0.9 .35 16% .16 80% .13 1.31 60% 50% 23% -5 +1 0.95 53% 1.1 .60 16% .43 89% .39
Jan
11		 Detroit Mercy C C+ F A+ A 34% 9% 57% C+ A F F F F B F C- F F A+ F F 32% 32% 36% D+ F+ F C F A F F+ F
1.11 61% 0% 47% +8 +1 1.21 22% 0.8 .16 19% .39 63% .24 1.24 71% 24% 47% +7 -2 1.11 51% 0.9 .46 21% .52 84% .44
Jan
15		 Green Bay C+ A B- B+ B+ 24% 12% 63% C+ B+ F A+ F+ C- A+ B+ A+ F F F F F 26% 13% 61% B- F C- F F D B- F D+
1.19 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.5 .23 15% .46 79% .36 1.44 75% 50% 46% +17 0 1.37 25% 2.0 .50 13% .32 88% .28
Jan
17		 Youngstown St. B- C D+ A+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A- A+ F A+ D+ F+ A+ B- A+ D- F F A+ C 29% 7% 64% C- C F A+ A- F C F D-
1.16 60% 33% 50% +12 +2 1.29 18% 1.5 .27 22% .72 77% .55 1.13 81% 100% 22% 0 +1 1.04 44% 0.5 .20 13% .27 88% .23
Jan
21		 Wright St. A- D+ F+ A+ B+ 44% 12% 44% B+ B+ F A+ D A- A- A+ A+ C B+ F A+ B+ 45% 20% 36% D+ B C+ F F+ F B- A B
1.23 55% 33% 45% +5 +2 1.16 15% 1.8 .26 13% .37 91% .33 1.14 52% 82% 15% -4 +1 0.95 30% 1.5 .45 10% .29 67% .19
Jan
30		 Green Bay A+ F+ B- A+ A+ 23% 23% 53% D- A+ B+ A+ A+ D- A+ A- A+ F+ A+ C F D+ 40% 10% 50% D D F C- F F+ C F D
1.36 50% 40% 57% +17 -1 1.33 38% 1.4 .54 17% .48 81% .39 1.25 40% 40% 48% +3 +1 1.12 32% 1.1 .35 12% .35 85% .30
Feb
1		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A C- A+ A+ A+ 31% 4% 64% B- A+ B- A+ A- C A+ B A+ F D- F D- F 23% 21% 56% B- F D- F F C- F F F
1.29 57% 100% 45% +13 +2 1.31 32% 1.4 .45 16% .44 77% .34 1.26 64% 60% 37% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.4 .48 14% .45 78% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Oakland B+ D- A- A+ A+ 27% 11% 63% B- A+ B+ F F+ C B+ A- A- C+ F F+ A+ C- 36% 22% 42% B C C B+ B- A- D F+ F+
1.28 53% 50% 49% +14 0 1.30 41% 0.6 .23 15% .30 78% .23 1.09 72% 45% 24% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 81% .29
Feb
7		 IU Indianapolis F A A+ F F+ 34% 6% 60% C F+ F F F D+ D+ C- D+ D+ C- A F F 46% 13% 41% F F B- A+ A C+ F B F
0.99 72% 67% 25% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.7 .18 20% .37 73% .27 1.09 62% 29% 43% +6 +2 1.18 24% 0.8 .18 17% .29 67% .19
Feb
12		 Robert Morris C- B- A- D C 29% 20% 51% D C- F C+ F A- B A- A- F F D+ F+ F 22% 20% 59% B F F C+ F+ F C C- C
1.08 62% 44% 30% 0 -1 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 13% .40 82% .33 1.35 82% 40% 40% +11 -1 1.22 45% 1.1 .48 13% .24 69% .16
Feb
15		 Wright St. B A+ F A+ A+ 36% 21% 43% C- A F A+ D B+ F A+ F F F A+ F F 50% 15% 35% F F F+ A+ C+ C+ F D+ F
1.21 77% 31% 42% +11 0 1.23 18% 1.3 .24 13% .19 83% .16 1.37 75% 14% 71% +24 +2 1.54 38% 0.9 .33 18% .47 76% .36
Feb
18		 Youngstown St. B A+ A+ C B+ 16% 9% 75% C- B+ F+ F F A+ F C- F F F+ A+ F F 48% 9% 43% F+ F D- F F D- F D- F
1.17 89% 60% 35% +8 0 1.18 23% 0.8 .18 11% .18 73% .13 1.51 68% 25% 65% +24 +2 1.54 33% 1.6 .54 16% .57 76% .44
Feb
22		 Purdue Fort Wayne C- A- F A B+ 23% 9% 68% C- B F A+ D C+ B+ D- B- F D- F F F 38% 4% 58% F+ F C A+ B B- F A+ D
1.13 69% 20% 42% +9 0 1.21 19% 1.5 .29 18% .32 70% .23 1.21 65% 100% 48% +18 +2 1.42 22% 0.7 .16 17% .36 57% .21
Feb
25		 Northern Kentucky F+ D F F F 43% 13% 44% B F F A+ C B+ C+ A+ B+ D F A+ D+ F 33% 11% 57% C F B+ F D+ B F D+ F
0.97 52% 14% 21% -14 +1 0.76 21% 1.9 .38 17% .35 81% .28 1.12 80% 20% 35% +6 +1 1.15 24% 1.4 .34 19% .45 73% .33
Feb
28		 Robert Morris D+ A F D+ D+ 20% 31% 49% F D- C A+ A B F F F F F D F F 35% 25% 40% B- F D D+ D- C+ F D+ F
1.00 70% 25% 32% -3 -3 0.90 30% 1.5 .43 14% .15 50% .07 1.30 88% 42% 42% +16 -1 1.33 39% 1.2 .46 19% .33 71% .23
Mar
2		 IU Indianapolis C A- A+ A+ A+ 44% 20% 36% D A+ F C+ F D+ D D- D- F+ D- C+ F F 37% 29% 34% B- F+ B A- B+ D+ F D+ F
1.22 71% 55% 55% +20 0 1.44 20% 1.2 .24 20% .35 70% .24 1.12 67% 37% 41% +6 -1 1.12 24% 0.9 .21 14% .27 74% .20
Mar
4		 Wright St. F F C+ F F 26% 23% 51% D- F F F F A- D A+ C+ F F F A+ D- 46% 29% 25% B- D F F F D F F+ F
0.88 43% 42% 26% -9 -1 0.81 16% 0.7 .11 13% .27 88% .23 1.30 71% 47% 23% +4 -1 1.10 40% 1.7 .67 14% .42 80% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%