Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#208
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#198
Pace72.6#98
Improvement-0.2#192

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#221
First Shot-3.3#268
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#87
Layup/Dunks+0.3#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#311
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#206
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement-0.4#207

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#207
First Shot-5.4#338
After Offensive Rebounds+4.2#4
Layups/Dunks-0.6#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
Freethrows-3.9#354
Improvement+0.2#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 9.1% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.0
.500 or above 70.1% 84.3% 62.8%
.500 or above in Conference 59.6% 76.2% 51.0%
Conference Champion 2.9% 6.0% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.2% 1.2%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round6.5% 8.9% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Robert Morris (Away) - 34.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 73 - 9
Quad 413 - 516 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 14 @Tennessee L 56-95 2%     0 - 1 -18.4 -5.5 -13.1
  Wed, Nov 12 141 @East Tennessee St. L 63-75 24%     0 - 2 -7.7 -11.0 +3.7
  Thu, Nov 20 323 @Central Michigan W 90-66 64%     1 - 2 +17.2 +15.2 +2.6
  Mon, Nov 24 259 Eastern Kentucky W 82-71 70%     2 - 2 +2.6 +2.8 -0.4
  Wed, Nov 26 220 Wofford W 93-83 64%     3 - 2 +3.2 +11.3 -8.6
  Sat, Nov 29 288 Boston University W 74-65 73%     4 - 2 -0.7 +1.4 -1.0
  Wed, Dec 3 334 Cleveland St. W 95-80 84%     5 - 2 1 - 0 +1.5 +10.5 -9.4
  Sat, Dec 6 199 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-79 36%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -1.4 -2.6 +1.3
  Sat, Dec 13 267 @Bellarmine W 80-76 49%     6 - 3 +1.2 +2.1 -0.9
  Wed, Dec 17 137 Oakland L 77-82 43%     6 - 4 1 - 2 -6.3 -3.2 -2.9
  Sun, Dec 21 169 College of Charleston L 74-85 52%     6 - 5 -14.6 -4.9 -9.1
  Mon, Dec 29 185 @Robert Morris L 71-75 34%    
  Thu, Jan 1 354 IU Indianapolis W 94-80 90%    
  Sun, Jan 4 163 Youngstown St. W 74-73 51%    
  Fri, Jan 9 210 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-79 39%    
  Sun, Jan 11 283 @Green Bay W 74-73 52%    
  Thu, Jan 15 296 Detroit Mercy W 78-71 74%    
  Sat, Jan 17 185 Robert Morris W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 153 @Wright St. L 70-77 27%    
  Fri, Jan 30 296 @Detroit Mercy W 75-74 54%    
  Sun, Feb 1 137 @Oakland L 79-87 24%    
  Wed, Feb 4 283 Green Bay W 77-71 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-76 60%    
  Thu, Feb 12 354 @IU Indianapolis W 91-83 75%    
  Wed, Feb 18 199 Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-78 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 163 @Youngstown St. L 70-76 30%    
  Wed, Feb 25 334 @Cleveland St. W 81-77 66%    
  Sat, Feb 28 153 Wright St. L 73-74 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.6 3.0 0.3 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 7.3 4.2 0.5 0.0 16.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.6 7.1 4.1 0.7 16.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7 5.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 13.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.4 7.8 10.6 14.4 15.4 15.0 11.9 8.7 5.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 96.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 72.1% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 43.4% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 15.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.3% 23.7% 23.7% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 1.0% 27.2% 27.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
15-5 2.4% 20.7% 20.7% 14.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.9
14-6 5.0% 17.4% 17.4% 14.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.1
13-7 8.7% 14.0% 14.0% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 7.4
12-8 11.9% 9.9% 9.9% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 10.7
11-9 15.0% 7.2% 7.2% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 13.9
10-10 15.4% 5.4% 5.4% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 14.6
9-11 14.4% 2.7% 2.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 14.0
8-12 10.6% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.3
7-13 7.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.7
6-14 4.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.4
5-15 2.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.0 1.7 93.2 0.0%