Tennessee
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +18.6 14
Results Rating +17.7 22
Consistency 0.12 39
Pace 64.3 294
Improvement -0.6 213

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 38 B A+ C- B- C+
Defense A 12 A- A- C+ B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 40 B 63% 77 +5.4 22
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 193 C+ 40% 112 +0.1 168
Three Pointers 36% 287 B- 36% 106 -1.7 238
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 116 B +3.3 80
1st FG Attempt B 1.10 75
Second Chance A+ 46.7% 1 C+ 1.08 105 A+ 0.50 3
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 243
Other Turnovers C 7.2% 185
Turnovers C- 17.2% 214
Freethrows B+ 0.35 40 D+ 70% 258 B- 0.25 80
Total Offense B+ +8.4 38

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A 68% 6 B 8.4% 46
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 58 C+ 4.3% 135
Three Pointers B- 87% 114 B- 0.6% 113
Total A- 67% 13 B- 4.8% 91


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 320 B+ 52% 35 -5.3 34
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 87 B+ 33% 27 -0.2 176
Three Pointers 44% 92 A- 29% 16 -1.7 116
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 66 A -6.3 12
1st FG Attempt A- 0.88 14
Second Chance A- 23.8% 15 B+ 0.91 30 A- 0.22 12
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.0% 31
Other Turnovers D- 5.8% 347
Turnovers C+ 17.8% 108
Freethrows C+ 0.28 118 A+ 66% 3 B 0.19 58
Total Defense A +10.2 12

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 37% 9 B 14.6% 53
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 77 C 5.0% 158
Three Pointers A- 76% 22 A- 2.2% 19
Total B+ 47% 25 B- 7.0% 72

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 125 19.1 357
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 51 0.11 28
Consistency 0.12 123 0.09 5
Improvement -0.9 236 +0.2 184

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Lock
Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 19 14 10
Results Rating Rank 26 20 10
Conference Record 11 - 7 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Finish 4 4 2
NCAA Tourney Seed 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Finish 1st Round 2nd Round Final 4

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 3% 5% 1%
Top 4 Seed 41% 52% 23%
Top 6 Seed 93% 98% 85%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100% 100% 100%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100% 100% 100%
Average Seed 4.7 4.4 5.3
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round100% 100% 100%
Second Round88% 90% 84%
Sweet Sixteen48% 52% 42%
Elite Eight16% 18% 14%
Final Four6% 7% 5%
Championship Game2% 2% 2%
National Champion1% 1% 0%
Next Game: Vanderbilt (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 65 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 37 - 9
Quad 27 - 114 - 10
Quad 32 - 016 - 10
Quad 47 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 178 Mercer W 76 - 61 97% +11  82% 1 - 0 B +11 D+ -4 D A+ F A+ +15 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 183 Northern Kentucky W 95 - 56 97% +18  94% 2 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +18 A A+ B A+ +16 A+ C A
 Wed, Nov 12 340 North Florida W 99 - 66 100% +15  91% 3 - 0 A- +18 B- +4 C- A+ F A +11 A C- A-
 Mon, Nov 17 218 Rice W 91 - 66 98% +12  99% 4 - 0 A +19 A +13 B- A+ C B+ +6 B+ A+ D+
 Thu, Nov 20 199 Tennessee St. W 89 - 60 98% +22  98% 5 - 0 A+ +24 C -0 D A+ D A+ +20 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Nov 24 108 Rutgers W 85 - 60 91% +19  97% 6 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +15 A- A+ D+ A+ +14 A- A A+
 Tue, Nov 25 6 Houston W 76 - 73 36% -2  33% 7 - 0 A+ +25 A+ +24 B+ A+ A+ B- +2 D+ A B+
 Wed, Nov 26 20 Kansas L 76 - 81 54% +3  70% 7 - 1 B+ +12 A +12 A- B+ A+ C +0 A- A- C-
 Tue, Dec 2 77 @Syracuse L 60 - 62 77% -2  14% 7 - 2 B +9 F+ -10 D B- F A+ +19 A A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 5 Illinois L 62 - 75 35% -4  6% 7 - 3 B +9 C+ +2 D- A+ F B+ +5 B B+ D-
 Tue, Dec 16 13 Louisville W 83 - 62 61% +11  94% 8 - 3 A+ +37 A+ +15 A+ A- B- A+ +22 A+ A+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 360 Gardner-Webb W 94 - 52 100% +26  86% 9 - 3 A +21 B+ +9 A- B B A+ +13 A- B+ C-
 Tue, Dec 30 359 South Carolina St. W 105 - 54 100% +23  99% 10 - 3 A+ +32 A+ +23 A+ A+ B A +9 A- B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 17 @Arkansas L 75 - 86 39% -1  32% 10 - 4 0 - 1 B +11 C +2 B- B C- A +10 A+ B A+
 Tue, Jan 6 31 Texas W 85 - 71 74% +11  90% 11 - 4 1 - 1 A+ +26 A +14 A+ A+ F A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 3 @Florida L 67 - 91 17% -10  22% 11 - 5 1 - 2 C+ +5 C+ +2 B+ C+ F B +4 C B+ D
 Tue, Jan 13 33 Texas A&M W 87 - 82 2OT 75% -3  15% 12 - 5 2 - 2 A- +16 C+ +2 F+ A+ F+ A+ +13 A A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 22 Kentucky L 78 - 80 71% +7  97% 12 - 6 2 - 3 B +11 A+ +17 A+ C D+ D -6 B F C-
 Sat, Jan 24 16 @Alabama W 79 - 73 39% -1  36% 13 - 6 3 - 3 A+ +28 A +13 A+ C C- A+ +15 A+ B D
 Wed, Jan 28 26 @Georgia W 86 - 85 OT 50% -1  42% 14 - 6 4 - 3 A +20 A+ +17 B A+ B- B- +2 D A+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 38 Auburn W 77 - 69 78% +8  99% 15 - 6 5 - 3 A +19 B- +4 C+ B+ D- A+ +15 A+ B C+
 Tue, Feb 3 74 Mississippi W 84 - 66 89% +7  89% 16 - 6 6 - 3 A +23 A+ +18 B A+ A+ B+ +7 B- D+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 22 @Kentucky L 71 - 74 49% +5  86% 16 - 7 6 - 4 A- +16 B +7 B B+ D A +9 B+ C+ D+
 Wed, Feb 11 93 @Mississippi St. W 73 - 64 82% +9  91% 17 - 7 7 - 4 A +18 C+ +2 C A D+ A+ +16 A- A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 14 58 LSU W 73 - 63 87% +5  86% 18 - 7 8 - 4 A- +17 A +13 D+ A+ C B+ +6 A- A+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 43 Oklahoma W 89 - 66 80% +10  98% 19 - 7 9 - 4 A+ +33 A+ +20 A A+ A+ A+ +14 B- A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 18 @Vanderbilt W 69 - 65 41% -1  32% 20 - 7 10 - 4 A+ +25 A- +10 C+ B+ A+ A+ +16 A- A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 24 46 @Missouri L 69 - 73 65% +2  63% 20 - 8 10 - 5 B +11 B- +4 C- A+ F B+ +7 B A+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 16 Alabama L 69 - 71 62% +6  92% 20 - 9 10 - 6 B+ +14 B- +4 F+ A+ A A +9 A B+ B+
 Tue, Mar 3 98 @South Carolina W 78 - 59 83% +10  98% 21 - 9 11 - 6 A+ +28 A+ +18 A A+ A+ A+ +12 A C A-
 Sat, Mar 7 18 Vanderbilt W 77 - 73 62%
Totals 22 - 9 12 - 6 +19 B+ +8 A+ B C+ A +10 B- D+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B C+ B- B 44% 36% 36% C+ B A+ C+ A+ C- B+ D+ B- A B+ B+ A- A 33% 23% 44% B A- A- B+ A- C+ C+ A+ B
1.21 63% 40% 36% +3 0 1.10 47% 1.1 .50 17% .35 70% .25 0.94 52% 33% 29% -6 -1 0.88 24% 0.9 .22 18% .28 66% .23
Nov
3		 Mercer D+ F A A D- 52% 20% 28% B D A+ A A+ F B- F D+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 31% 25% 44% B A+ A A+ A+ F B- C+ B-
1.08 42% 50% 43% -2 +1 1.00 46% 1.2 .54 27% .29 60% .18 0.87 44% 27% 23% -14 -1 0.71 25% 0.7 .18 7% .32 71% .23
Nov
8		 Northern Kentucky A+ C+ A+ A A 37% 19% 44% C- A A+ D A+ B C A+ B- A+ B B- A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% C- A+ B+ F C A B+ A+ A+
1.36 60% 60% 42% +10 0 1.22 52% 1.1 .55 17% .33 79% .26 0.80 53% 33% 21% -12 +1 0.80 24% 1.3 .32 22% .24 38% .09
Nov
12		 North Florida B- C- A+ D- C- 42% 15% 43% C C- A+ A- A+ F A+ C A A A C A- A+ 33% 9% 58% D+ A D+ C+ C- A- B A+ A+
1.30 59% 63% 30% +2 +1 1.08 63% 1.4 .84 18% .39 71% .27 0.87 44% 40% 28% -9 +1 0.85 27% 1.1 .30 22% .20 50% .10
Nov
17		 Rice A B- D+ D+ C 52% 12% 36% A+ B- A+ A A+ C B+ B A- B+ A C- A- A- 26% 26% 48% C- B+ B- A+ A+ D+ F D+ F
1.33 65% 33% 33% +3 +2 1.12 51% 1.2 .63 16% .38 77% .29 0.96 46% 38% 29% -6 -2 0.86 33% 0.6 .19 16% .43 72% .31
Nov
20		 Tennessee St. C C+ F C- D- 46% 12% 42% C+ D B A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 24% 29% 47% B A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F C F
1.12 61% 17% 33% -2 +2 1.02 36% 1.5 .54 21% .56 89% .50 0.76 73% 23% 19% -11 -2 0.76 30% 0.6 .18 28% .44 76% .33
Nov
24		 Rutgers A+ C- F A+ A 39% 17% 43% B- A- A+ A+ A+ D+ A- D B A+ B- A+ B- A 33% 31% 36% C A- B+ A+ A A+ F A D-
1.27 56% 25% 50% +7 0 1.17 47% 1.3 .59 19% .32 71% .22 0.90 53% 21% 31% -8 -2 0.82 28% 0.9 .26 21% .46 67% .30
Nov
25		 Houston A+ A+ F D B 45% 14% 40% A B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- C- D- F D 29% 35% 37% B D+ F+ A+ A B+ B+ B+ A-
1.26 68% 0% 29% -4 +1 0.98 42% 1.2 .52 15% .56 79% .45 1.21 67% 44% 42% +9 -2 1.15 44% 0.7 .29 15% .21 73% .16
Nov
26		 Kansas A B- B C A 33% 27% 40% C- A- B A- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C B B+ B- A 45% 25% 29% C- A- B A A- C- F F F
1.10 56% 40% 32% -2 -1 0.96 31% 1.0 .31 10% .35 77% .27 1.17 57% 31% 33% -3 0 0.96 29% 1.0 .29 13% .50 87% .43
Dec
2		 Syracuse F+ F+ F+ D+ D- 47% 26% 28% C D B- C+ B- F C F F+ A+ B D- A- A 39% 24% 37% B A B+ A+ A+ A+ F A D+
0.87 45% 25% 31% -11 0 0.81 34% 1.2 .39 25% .29 53% .15 0.90 56% 45% 29% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.7 .18 23% .42 59% .25
Dec
6		 Illinois C+ F F D+ F 45% 21% 34% A+ D- A+ C+ A+ F A+ F A- B+ B- A- C A- 48% 6% 46% F B A+ D- B+ D- A- A+ A+
1.01 43% 10% 31% -14 0 0.74 53% 1.0 .51 21% .37 44% .16 1.22 58% 33% 35% 0 +3 1.08 32% 1.4 .44 10% .25 57% .14
Dec
16		 Louisville A+ A+ A A A+ 47% 20% 33% A A+ A+ C A- B- A+ F+ A+ A+ C D A+ A+ 38% 4% 58% C- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B
1.20 71% 44% 40% +10 +1 1.24 36% 1.0 .36 16% .48 64% .31 0.90 63% 50% 24% -6 +2 0.94 32% 0.6 .19 23% .34 61% .21
Dec
21		 Gardner-Webb B+ A B- A- B+ 46% 9% 45% B+ A- A- C- B B F F F A+ D- A+ A+ A- 30% 19% 52% A- A- A C B+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.34 73% 40% 40% +11 +2 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 13% .20 67% .13 0.74 63% 10% 25% -11 0 0.80 15% 1.0 .15 19% .16 56% .09
Dec
30		 South Carolina St. A+ A+ A+ D- A+ 48% 10% 42% C+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B A+ F B A A+ B B+ A- 27% 39% 35% B+ A- A+ F B- F C- A+ B+
1.52 91% 80% 30% +18 +2 1.42 67% 1.1 .73 14% .56 58% .32 0.78 38% 32% 29% -10 -3 0.76 16% 1.5 .24 14% .34 50% .17
Jan
3		 Arkansas C F+ B- A+ C+ 56% 20% 24% A- B- B- B B C- A+ F B- A C- A+ B- A+ 29% 31% 40% A+ A+ C- A B A+ F F F
1.00 46% 40% 42% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.3 .40 19% .38 52% .20 1.15 67% 25% 33% -2 -2 0.94 35% 1.1 .38 19% .54 88% .48
Jan
6		 Texas A A+ F A+ A+ 50% 18% 32% A A+ A+ C+ A+ F A+ C A+ A+ A+ F+ C A+ 34% 14% 52% C- A+ D+ F F A+ C D- C-
1.27 73% 25% 43% +9 +1 1.23 48% 1.0 .48 19% .54 72% .39 1.06 33% 50% 35% -6 +1 0.91 41% 1.4 .57 24% .39 80% .31
Jan
10		 Florida C+ B+ F A- B+ 38% 33% 29% C- B+ D+ A+ C+ F A+ D A+ B F F+ B+ C 38% 15% 46% B+ C A+ D B+ D D F F+
0.90 59% 27% 38% -2 -2 0.96 17% 1.0 .17 24% .51 66% .34 1.22 75% 50% 29% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 13% .39 80% .31
Jan
13		 Texas A&M C+ D+ D- F F+ 34% 26% 40% D+ F+ A+ C- A+ F+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A A+ C+ A 32% 2% 67% C A A+ A+ A+ C+ F A+ F+
1.05 53% 31% 25% -9 -1 0.82 49% 0.9 .43 23% .66 74% .48 0.99 50% 0% 34% -3 +2 1.00 22% 0.5 .11 16% .46 66% .30
Jan
17		 Kentucky A+ B A+ A+ A+ 46% 13% 41% A+ A+ A+ F C D+ A+ D A+ D A+ A+ F B+ 39% 11% 50% D- B D- F F C- D A+ C+
1.23 61% 60% 50% +14 +2 1.33 52% 0.4 .19 19% .56 69% .39 1.26 44% 20% 43% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.4 .56 14% .39 62% .24
Jan
24		 Alabama A A- A B+ A+ 33% 35% 33% D A+ A F C C- A+ C A+ A+ D+ B+ A+ A+ 29% 20% 51% A+ A+ A D- B D D- A- D+
1.18 63% 47% 38% +6 -2 1.10 38% 0.7 .27 15% .44 68% .30 1.09 64% 40% 24% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.3 .34 10% .40 71% .28
Jan
28		 Georgia A+ D+ A B B+ 32% 30% 38% D- B A+ C+ A+ B- A+ F A+ B- D- F D F+ 36% 21% 43% A D A+ A+ A+ F C+ A- B-
1.24 50% 47% 37% +2 -2 1.02 57% 0.9 .52 17% .44 60% .26 1.23 70% 58% 38% +11 0 1.23 21% 0.6 .12 9% .32 70% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Auburn B- A+ F B- B- 37% 37% 26% F+ C+ A+ F B+ D- A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 39% 11% 50% C- A+ A+ F B C+ B+ B+ A
1.12 75% 25% 36% +2 -2 1.02 49% 0.8 .37 22% .58 81% .47 1.01 57% 17% 22% -12 +1 0.81 29% 1.3 .37 15% .34 70% .24
Feb
3		 Mississippi A+ F A+ C+ B 31% 21% 48% C+ B A+ A- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ B+ D- C+ B- 16% 30% 55% C+ B- A F D+ C+ F+ A+ C
1.30 38% 67% 35% +1 -1 1.02 52% 1.2 .64 12% .60 68% .41 1.02 57% 46% 33% +2 -3 1.00 23% 1.6 .37 14% .38 62% .23
Feb
7		 Kentucky B A C B+ A 19% 40% 40% F B A+ F+ B+ D A+ D- A+ A F A- A+ A- 48% 20% 32% C- B+ A+ F C+ D+ D+ A+ B-
1.05 67% 37% 37% +3 -4 1.00 45% 0.6 .29 19% .46 68% .31 1.09 75% 30% 19% -1 +1 1.02 23% 1.8 .40 13% .38 59% .22
Feb
11		 Mississippi St. C+ A- F+ F C 39% 39% 22% D+ C A A- A D+ B+ A+ A A+ B B+ C- B+ 25% 38% 36% A+ A- A+ A A+ C+ A- A+ A
1.04 65% 30% 27% -3 -2 0.92 35% 1.2 .41 16% .31 83% .25 0.92 57% 33% 35% -2 -3 0.93 18% 0.9 .15 16% .22 54% .12
Feb
14		 LSU A D C D D+ 40% 28% 33% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A- A+ B+ B+ A+ F+ A- 36% 21% 43% B A- A+ A+ A+ F C+ A B
1.25 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 50% 1.4 .69 15% .46 74% .34 1.08 53% 20% 40% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 5% .34 68% .23
Feb
18		 Oklahoma A+ A+ A+ F A- 52% 20% 28% A- A A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F C C- 17% 36% 48% A+ B- A+ B A+ A+ F C- F
1.35 69% 60% 21% +5 +1 1.14 54% 1.1 .61 11% .42 72% .31 1.00 43% 60% 35% +6 -3 1.07 22% 1.2 .26 23% .41 76% .31
Feb
21		 Vanderbilt A- D D- B+ C 55% 21% 23% A C+ A+ D B+ A+ B+ D B- A+ A+ C- F+ A- 33% 25% 42% A- A- A+ A+ A+ B+ C- A+ B
1.09 50% 30% 36% -5 +1 0.94 39% 0.9 .33 14% .39 71% .28 1.03 44% 42% 40% 0 -1 1.00 24% 0.8 .18 16% .34 67% .23
Feb
24		 Missouri B- A C- F C- 31% 29% 40% D+ C- A+ A+ A+ F C F D- B+ F A A+ B 39% 24% 37% A- B A+ A+ A+ F C F D
1.05 67% 36% 26% -3 -2 0.94 46% 1.1 .51 23% .28 57% .16 1.11 83% 27% 24% +1 0 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 12% .38 77% .30
Feb
28		 Alabama B- F B- F F+ 36% 38% 26% D F+ A+ C A+ A F D- F A B+ C+ C A 35% 18% 47% A- A A- B- B+ B+ A F A-
1.10 37% 40% 21% -12 -2 0.74 54% 1.0 .54 10% .14 63% .09 1.13 53% 44% 35% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 16% .25 85% .21
Mar
3		 South Carolina A+ A+ F D+ A- 52% 22% 26% B A A+ A+ A+ A+ D- D D- A+ F A+ C+ A 16% 27% 57% A+ A B F+ C A- F+ A+ C-
1.27 77% 18% 31% +4 +1 1.12 42% 1.6 .69 10% .22 67% .14 0.96 71% 17% 32% -5 -2 0.86 26% 1.3 .32 18% .40 70% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 5.3 5.3 2nd
3rd 26.7 26.7 3rd
4th 37.7 30.4 68.1 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 37.7 62.3 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 62.3% 100.0% 12.3% 87.7% 4.4 0.1 3.0 10.6 19.0 20.2 8.2 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 37.7% 99.8% 6.6% 93.2% 5.3 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.9 11.4 12.0 5.0 0.6 0.0 0.1 99.8%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.9% 10.1% 89.8% 4.7 0.1 99.9%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.6% 100.0% 3.1 1.2 26.2 39.8 27.4 4.8 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.4% 100.0% 4.0 3.5 24.5 40.8 27.2 3.8 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 28.8% 99.9% 4.4 2.0 15.7 33.4 36.5 11.2 1.1
Lose Out 10.7% 99.7% 6.0 1.2 6.0 21.4 41.2 25.3 4.3 0.3