Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
10 Alabama 98.2%   3   6 - 2 0 - 0 22 - 9 12 - 6 +18.7      +13.3 2 +5.3 45 83.8 5 +20.4 12 0.0 1
11 Vanderbilt 99.0%   3   9 - 0 0 - 0 25 - 6 12 - 6 +18.6      +12.2 3 +6.4 32 73.1 93 +21.7 10 0.0 1
14 Florida 94.0%   4   5 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +18.0      +8.4 25 +9.6 10 75.5 44 +13.4 40 0.0 1
17 Tennessee 85.3%   5   7 - 3 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +16.2      +8.0 31 +8.2 12 66.8 258 +12.2 47 0.0 1
19 Georgia 85.4%   6   8 - 1 0 - 0 22 - 9 10 - 8 +15.5      +9.1 20 +6.4 30 85.3 4 +14.1 33 0.0 1
20 Arkansas 83.6%   5   7 - 2 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +15.2      +7.7 35 +7.5 17 74.2 68 +16.7 23 0.0 1
21 Kentucky 62.5%   7   5 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 13 10 - 8 +15.1      +7.8 34 +7.4 19 73.6 84 +4.6 112 0.0 1
26 Auburn 77.6%   6   7 - 3 0 - 0 19 - 12 9 - 9 +14.2      +9.9 14 +4.4 62 69.6 181 +17.7 18 0.0 1
31 LSU 69.8%   8   8 - 0 0 - 0 21 - 10 9 - 9 +13.6      +7.1 44 +6.4 31 71.9 121 +13.1 44 0.0 1
37 Missouri 58.4%   10   8 - 1 0 - 0 19 - 12 9 - 9 +12.8      +8.3 27 +4.5 59 71.2 141 +9.5 69 0.0 1
39 Texas A&M 46.9%   11   7 - 2 0 - 0 19 - 12 8 - 10 +12.0      +7.4 41 +4.6 55 74.7 55 +8.9 72 0.0 1
46 Texas 31.5%   5 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 14 7 - 11 +10.9      +8.1 29 +2.8 90 68.7 204 +7.4 81 0.0 1
53 Oklahoma 32.6%   6 - 3 0 - 0 17 - 14 7 - 11 +10.2      +8.2 28 +2.1 107 69.8 175 +9.7 67 0.0 1
57 Mississippi 21.5%   5 - 4 0 - 0 15 - 16 7 - 11 +10.0      +4.8 68 +5.2 46 65.6 284 +3.9 118 0.0 1
78 Mississippi St. 7.7%   4 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 18 5 - 13 +7.3      +4.2 78 +3.1 83 70.8 151 +3.2 126 0.0 1
87 South Carolina 3.1%   6 - 3 0 - 0 14 - 17 4 - 14 +6.1      +3.4 90 +2.7 91 64.8 303 +1.2 151 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 26 Auburn 83 36 North Carolina St. 73   
Wed, Dec 3 46 Texas 69 23 Virginia 88   
Wed, Dec 3 10 Alabama 90 33 Clemson 84   
Wed, Dec 3 20 Arkansas 89 13 Louisville 80   
Wed, Dec 3 40 SMU 69 11 Vanderbilt 88   
Wed, Dec 3 145 Boston College 69 31 LSU 78   
Wed, Dec 3 135 Georgia Tech 73 78 Mississippi St. 85   
Fri, Dec 5 4 Gonzaga 94 21 Kentucky 59   
Sat, Dec 6 15 Illinois 75 17 Tennessee 62   
Sat, Dec 6 5 Arizona 97 26 Auburn 68   
Sat, Dec 6 66 Arizona St. 86 53 Oklahoma 70   
Sat, Dec 6 57 Mississippi 58 16 St. John's 63   
Sat, Dec 6 20 Arkansas 82 183 Fresno St. 58   
Sat, Dec 6 87 South Carolina 82 347 Stetson 51   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 7 31 LSU 74 29 Texas Tech 75 50%   
Sun, Dec 7 40 SMU 81 39 Texas A&M 82 50%   
Sun, Dec 7 18 Kansas 78 37 Missouri 72 73%   
Sun, Dec 7 78 Mississippi St. 75 100 San Francisco 73 59%   
Sun, Dec 7 10 Alabama 99 277 Texas San Antonio 72 99%   
Mon, Dec 8 199 Southern 70 46 Texas 87 93%   
Tue, Dec 9 14 Florida 71 6 Connecticut 74 60%   
Tue, Dec 9 21 Kentucky 88 350 NC Central 57 99%   
Thu, Dec 11 276 Alabama St. 67 37 Missouri 88 97%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Alabama 3.8 26.4 18.2 13.8 10.1 7.6 6.3 4.5 3.9 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
Vanderbilt 3.8 27.0 17.8 12.8 10.1 8.0 6.1 4.9 3.7 2.9 2.2 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
Florida 4.1 24.2 16.6 13.2 10.3 8.1 6.5 5.4 4.4 3.4 2.6 1.9 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
Tennessee 6.0 9.9 10.2 10.1 10.2 9.7 8.9 8.3 7.4 6.4 5.2 4.5 3.5 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.4
Georgia 5.9 10.7 10.8 10.6 10.2 9.6 8.6 7.8 7.1 5.9 5.1 4.2 3.3 2.6 1.9 1.1 0.5
Arkansas 6.4 8.2 9.5 9.5 9.6 9.1 8.6 8.2 7.4 6.9 6.1 5.0 4.2 3.4 2.6 1.2 0.7
Kentucky 7.0 6.1 7.5 8.3 8.6 8.5 8.7 8.3 8.2 7.7 7.1 6.2 5.3 4.1 2.9 1.7 0.7
Auburn 7.4 5.1 6.7 7.4 7.9 8.4 8.7 8.6 8.3 7.8 7.5 6.7 5.8 4.7 3.5 2.2 0.9
LSU 7.5 5.0 6.2 7.4 8.1 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.1 7.7 7.7 6.8 5.8 4.9 3.7 2.4 1.3
Missouri 8.2 3.7 5.0 6.0 6.7 7.3 7.9 8.0 8.1 8.1 7.6 7.9 6.8 6.1 5.0 3.8 2.0
Texas A&M 8.9 2.1 3.3 4.5 5.4 6.3 7.3 7.7 8.3 8.7 8.8 8.4 8.4 7.7 6.3 4.6 2.4
Texas 10.0 1.3 2.2 2.9 3.8 4.7 5.4 6.3 6.9 7.6 8.7 9.4 9.9 9.8 9.4 7.3 4.4
Oklahoma 10.5 0.9 1.8 2.5 3.4 4.2 5.0 5.5 6.1 7.5 8.2 9.2 10.0 10.4 10.1 9.1 6.1
Mississippi 10.8 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.3 5.0 6.0 7.1 8.1 9.5 10.6 11.1 11.2 10.0 7.0
Mississippi St. 12.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.9 2.3 3.2 4.3 5.2 6.7 8.7 11.4 14.5 18.6 20.0
South Carolina 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.6 3.6 5.0 6.8 10.0 14.7 21.6 30.3




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Alabama 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.0 6.8 9.5 12.6 15.4 15.3 13.5 10.3 5.8 2.5 0.6
Vanderbilt 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 2.4 4.2 6.5 9.8 12.7 14.7 14.9 13.3 10.2 6.0 2.7 0.7
Florida 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.9 4.9 7.5 10.4 13.2 14.7 14.3 12.6 9.3 5.2 2.3 0.5
Tennessee 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.2 6.4 9.7 12.8 14.3 14.7 12.8 9.9 6.2 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.1
Georgia 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 3.8 6.6 9.2 11.8 13.8 14.3 13.0 10.3 6.9 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.1
Arkansas 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 5.1 7.5 10.7 13.2 13.7 13.8 11.7 8.9 5.9 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
Kentucky 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.6 6.1 9.3 12.3 14.1 14.1 12.8 10.5 7.3 4.3 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
Auburn 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.2 6.7 10.0 12.8 14.3 14.4 12.1 9.7 6.3 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
LSU 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 4.6 7.1 10.3 12.6 14.1 13.8 12.1 9.4 6.3 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
Missouri 9 - 9 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.0 8.7 12.0 12.9 13.9 12.6 10.6 7.7 4.9 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0
Texas A&M 8 - 10 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.4 7.4 10.7 13.3 14.4 13.9 12.1 9.1 5.6 3.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Texas 7 - 11 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.8 7.0 10.7 13.2 14.4 13.7 12.1 8.9 6.5 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma 7 - 11 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.0 8.4 11.3 13.7 14.5 13.1 10.6 8.4 5.5 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 7 - 11 0.1 0.9 2.7 5.9 9.3 12.7 14.4 14.7 12.8 10.2 7.1 4.6 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 1.0 4.3 8.4 12.3 15.2 15.6 13.9 10.7 8.1 5.2 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 1.9 6.7 12.5 16.5 17.1 15.4 11.7 8.1 4.9 2.8 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Alabama 26.4% 16.7 6.8 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
Vanderbilt 27.0% 17.0 7.2 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
Florida 24.2% 14.8 6.7 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
Tennessee 9.9% 5.2 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Georgia 10.7% 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Arkansas 8.2% 4.1 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kentucky 6.1% 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Auburn 5.1% 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
LSU 5.0% 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Missouri 3.7% 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 2.1% 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas 1.3% 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma 0.9% 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 0.8% 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Alabama 98.2% 18.6% 79.5% 3   13.5 21.0 20.9 16.1 11.0 6.7 3.3 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 1.8 97.7%
Vanderbilt 99.0% 18.1% 80.9% 3   14.1 22.2 22.5 15.4 10.4 6.2 3.4 2.2 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.0 98.8%
Florida 94.0% 16.2% 77.9% 4   6.8 12.4 16.8 16.4 13.8 9.6 7.0 4.1 2.9 2.3 1.8 0.2 6.0 92.8%
Tennessee 85.3% 9.0% 76.4% 5   1.9 4.6 9.4 12.5 13.5 12.2 10.7 7.2 4.9 4.1 4.0 0.3 0.0 14.7 83.9%
Georgia 85.4% 7.5% 78.0% 6   1.4 3.7 7.7 10.9 12.3 12.4 11.2 9.5 7.0 5.6 3.6 0.1 0.0 14.6 84.3%
Arkansas 83.6% 6.8% 76.8% 5   1.6 4.5 9.6 12.6 13.6 12.0 9.4 6.4 4.9 4.2 4.4 0.3 0.0 16.4 82.4%
Kentucky 62.5% 6.4% 56.1% 7   0.5 1.4 3.8 6.4 8.3 8.9 9.1 7.3 5.7 5.5 5.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 37.5 60.0%
Auburn 77.6% 4.9% 72.7% 6   0.9 3.0 7.0 10.5 12.1 11.7 8.5 6.0 5.4 5.4 6.4 0.6 0.0 22.4 76.4%
LSU 69.8% 4.1% 65.7% 8   0.5 1.3 3.5 5.6 8.0 9.4 10.3 10.0 8.1 7.5 5.4 0.2 30.2 68.5%
Missouri 58.4% 3.0% 55.4% 10   0.1 0.6 1.9 3.7 5.9 7.2 9.0 9.6 8.4 7.0 4.8 0.2 41.6 57.1%
Texas A&M 46.9% 2.0% 44.9% 11   0.1 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.3 4.6 6.7 8.4 8.2 7.3 5.3 0.3 53.1 45.8%
Texas 31.5% 1.4% 30.2% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 2.1 3.3 4.8 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.5 0.3 0.0 68.5 30.6%
Oklahoma 32.6% 0.9% 31.7% 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.8 4.9 6.3 5.9 5.3 4.5 0.3 0.0 67.4 32.0%
Mississippi 21.5% 0.9% 20.7% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.8 2.9 4.1 3.6 3.5 3.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 78.5 20.8%
Mississippi St. 7.7% 0.2% 7.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 92.3 7.5%
South Carolina 3.1% 0.1% 2.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.0 96.9 2.9%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Alabama 98.2% 1.3% 97.6% 87.0% 56.2% 28.5% 13.2% 6.2% 2.6%
Vanderbilt 99.0% 0.7% 98.7% 88.4% 57.1% 29.3% 13.7% 6.1% 2.6%
Florida 94.0% 2.2% 93.2% 78.9% 47.4% 23.1% 10.8% 4.8% 1.9%
Tennessee 85.3% 4.6% 83.6% 63.7% 31.7% 13.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.7%
Georgia 85.4% 4.0% 83.7% 59.9% 27.6% 11.3% 4.5% 1.7% 0.7%
Arkansas 83.6% 5.2% 81.3% 60.0% 28.5% 11.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Kentucky 62.5% 6.1% 60.2% 42.4% 18.5% 7.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
Auburn 77.6% 7.6% 74.1% 51.4% 22.1% 8.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
LSU 69.8% 6.0% 66.9% 42.2% 15.9% 5.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Missouri 58.4% 5.6% 55.9% 33.8% 11.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Texas A&M 46.9% 6.1% 44.0% 25.0% 7.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Texas 31.5% 5.2% 29.0% 16.1% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Oklahoma 32.6% 5.2% 30.0% 15.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mississippi 21.5% 4.2% 19.4% 10.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 7.7% 2.0% 6.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 3.1% 0.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.6 0.0 0.2 2.5 13.2 31.3 33.0 16.1 3.3 0.3 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 9.3 0.0 0.5 4.5 18.6 35.0 28.7 10.7 1.8 0.1 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.8 0.0 0.5 3.0 11.8 25.5 30.5 20.2 7.1 1.3 0.1
Sweet Sixteen 99.6% 3.4 0.4 4.6 18.2 32.2 28.4 12.7 2.9 0.5 0.0 0.0
Elite Eight 85.3% 1.5 14.7 38.3 33.1 11.7 2.0 0.1 0.0
Final Four 51.8% 0.6 48.2 41.2 9.9 0.8 0.0
Final Game 24.8% 0.3 75.2 23.5 1.3
Champion 10.3% 0.1 89.7 10.3