Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +15.9 #24
Expected Predictive Rating +17.1 #22
Pace 84.1 #2
Improvement -1.5 #257

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #27 B A- A- A B+
Defense #26 A- B- B A- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #107 1.28 #63 +4.1 #51
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #320 0.91 #31 -1.6 #264
Three Pointers 45% #101 0.98 #237 +1.3 #138
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #72 +3.9 #72
Freethrows 20.9 #34 77% #37 16.1 #16
Second Chance 37.8% #22 1.11 #102 0.42 #33
Turnovers 13.5% #28
Total Offense +8.8 #27

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #109 0.96 #13 +2.5 #97
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #160 0.68 #68 +0.6 #143
Three Pointers 38% #271 0.94 #86 +3.0 #70
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #28 +6.1 #27
Freethrows 14.8 #43 67% #15 9.9 #23
Second Chance 31.6% #230 0.92 #34 0.29 #103
Turnovers 18.7% #61
Total Defense +7.1 #26

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #48 0.3% #193
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.3% #95 -12.2% #17
Possession Length 14.3 #5 17.5 #209
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.35 #2 0.17 #185
Improvement -1.8 #292 +0.3 #168

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.9% 3.1% 0.8%
Top 4 Seed 20.9% 28.9% 13.1%
Top 6 Seed 61.9% 73.2% 50.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.4% 99.3% 95.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.2% 99.2% 95.4%
Average Seed 6.0 5.5 6.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 88.8% 95.3% 82.5%
Conference Champion 7.8% 12.1% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four1.3% 0.5% 2.1%
First Round96.8% 99.0% 94.7%
Second Round70.8% 76.7% 65.1%
Sweet Sixteen29.8% 34.6% 25.1%
Elite Eight11.1% 13.1% 9.2%
Final Four4.1% 5.0% 3.2%
Championship Game1.5% 1.8% 1.2%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.4%

Next Game: Texas (Away) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b6 - 38 - 7
Quad 26 - 114 - 9
Quad 32 - 016 - 9
Quad 48 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 300 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 99% +18  1 - 0 +34 +12 C+ F A+ +18 A+ A A+
 Wed, Nov 5 330 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99% +27  2 - 0 +51 +12 F A+ A +36 A+ B+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 302 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 99% +21  3 - 0 +28 +25 A+ A+ A- -2 A+ F B
 Fri, Nov 14 113 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 92% +3  4 - 0 +5 +6 C A+ D+ -2 B- C+ C
 Mon, Nov 17 313 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 99% +20  5 - 0 +18 +3 F A+ C +13 C+ A- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 81 Xavier W 78 - 77 79% +4  6 - 0 +8 +6 C- A- A- +2 A+ D C-
 Sun, Nov 23 32 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 57% +0  6 - 1 +11 +15 A+ C+ C+ -4 C+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 29 342 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 99% +23  7 - 1 +27 +20 A+ D+ A -1 B- C+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 111 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 81% +19  8 - 1 +41 +25 A+ A+ B+ +12 A- A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 49 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 69% +1  9 - 1 +30 +14 B- A+ C+ +14 A+ B A-
 Thu, Dec 18 289 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 98% +16  10 - 1 +20 +18 A+ C C+ -2 F C- B
 Mon, Dec 22 338 West Georgia W 103 - 74 99% +20  11 - 1 +15 +5 F A+ B+ +5 A+ B- A
 Mon, Dec 29 222 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 97% +1  12 - 1 +8 +7 C A- C +0 B+ B- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 27 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 65% +1  13 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +19 A+ C+ A+ -4 B B+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 10 @Florida L 77 - 92 24% -6  13 - 2 1 - 1 +8 +8 C A- A+ +2 B- A- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 69 @South Carolina W 75 - 70 68% -1  14 - 2 2 - 1 +16 +9 A- F A +7 A A+ D
 Wed, Jan 14 62 Mississippi L 95 - 97 OT 83% -0  14 - 3 2 - 2 +4 +18 A B A+ -14 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 20 Arkansas W 90 - 76 56% +10  15 - 3 3 - 2 +28 +7 A- A+ D- +19 A+ C- A+
 Tue, Jan 20 50 @Missouri W 74 - 72 58% +2  16 - 3 4 - 2 +16 +9 C C- B+ +7 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 38 @Texas L 85 - 86 49%
 Tue, Jan 27 22 Tennessee W 81 - 79 59%
 Sat, Jan 31 34 Texas A&M W 91 - 86 68%
 Sat, Feb 7 43 @LSU W 84 - 83 53%
 Wed, Feb 11 10 Florida L 85 - 86 44%
 Sat, Feb 14 57 @Oklahoma W 86 - 83 61%
 Tue, Feb 17 25 @Kentucky L 83 - 86 40%
 Sat, Feb 21 38 Texas W 89 - 83 70%
 Wed, Feb 25 21 @Vanderbilt L 86 - 90 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 69 South Carolina W 85 - 74 84%
 Tue, Mar 3 17 Alabama W 96 - 95 54%
 Sat, Mar 7 76 @Mississippi St. W 85 - 80 69%
Totals 23 - 8 11 - 7 +16 +9 B A- A- +7 A- B- B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.4 3.1 1.6 0.3 7.8 1st
2nd 0.4 3.7 6.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 7.5 3.4 0.3 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 7.3 4.9 0.4 13.5 4th
5th 0.1 4.0 7.2 1.2 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 6.7 2.8 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.2 3.8 4.8 0.4 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.5 1.3 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 2.3 0.1 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 3.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.0 2.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 1.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.8 7.3 12.2 17.9 20.6 17.7 12.4 5.8 1.8 0.3 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 98.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 88.3% 1.6    1.2 0.4 0.0
14-4 53.6% 3.1    1.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.0
13-5 19.3% 2.4    0.4 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 3.0 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 20.6% 79.4% 2.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.8% 100.0% 20.2% 79.8% 2.8 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 100.0%
14-4 5.8% 100.0% 16.0% 84.0% 3.6 0.1 0.5 1.9 2.2 0.9 0.2 100.0%
13-5 12.4% 100.0% 14.7% 85.3% 4.3 0.1 0.3 2.3 4.3 4.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 17.7% 100.0% 12.2% 87.7% 5.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.8 7.0 4.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 20.6% 99.9% 6.8% 93.1% 5.8 0.0 0.3 1.6 5.4 7.9 4.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 99.9%
10-8 17.9% 99.5% 3.9% 95.6% 6.6 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.5 6.3 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.1 99.5%
9-9 12.2% 98.3% 3.4% 94.9% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.8 4.0 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.2 98.2%
8-10 7.3% 91.2% 1.4% 89.8% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.6 91.1%
7-11 2.8% 72.9% 1.1% 71.8% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.8 72.6%
6-12 0.9% 29.1% 0.5% 28.6% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 28.7%
5-13 0.2% 10.5% 10.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 10.5%
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.4% 8.0% 89.4% 6.0 2.6 97.2%