Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#345
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#329
Pace71.9#125
Improvement+1.8#53

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#340
First Shot-2.4#242
After Offensive Rebound-4.2#352
Layup/Dunks+3.1#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#177
Freethrows-4.2#349
Improvement+2.5#16

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#331
First Shot-4.8#325
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#192
Layups/Dunks-1.6#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#241
Freethrows-2.2#306
Improvement-0.7#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 3.0% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 4.3% 7.7% 1.8%
.500 or above in Conference 25.3% 32.9% 19.7%
Conference Champion 1.3% 2.0% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 5.4% 9.9%
First Four1.9% 2.5% 1.4%
First Round1.1% 1.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 42.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 118 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 79 @South Florida L 67-102 3%     0 - 1 -24.7 -9.5 -10.8
  Sat, Nov 8 162 Kennesaw St. L 72-92 22%     0 - 2 -23.4 -13.7 -7.1
  Tue, Nov 11 63 @Central Florida L 60-97 3%     0 - 3 -25.2 -13.0 -9.9
  Mon, Nov 17 19 @Georgia L 57-87 1%     0 - 4 -11.5 -12.5 +3.4
  Tue, Dec 2 275 @Jacksonville L 82-85 OT 22%     0 - 5 -6.2 +4.9 -10.9
  Wed, Dec 17 275 Jacksonville L 69-71 42%    
  Fri, Dec 19 202 @Tarleton St. L 68-80 13%    
  Sun, Dec 21 48 @TCU L 61-86 1%    
  Sun, Dec 28 134 @Georgia Tech L 65-81 7%    
  Sat, Jan 3 218 @Bethune-Cookman L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Jan 10 201 Southern L 74-80 30%    
  Mon, Jan 12 284 Grambling St. L 69-71 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 358 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 76-77 49%    
  Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Jan 24 333 Alcorn St. W 76-74 58%    
  Wed, Jan 28 312 Jackson St. W 73-72 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 266 @Alabama A&M L 66-75 23%    
  Mon, Feb 2 268 @Alabama St. L 71-79 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 296 Texas Southern L 75-76 47%    
  Mon, Feb 9 322 Prairie View W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 312 @Jackson St. L 69-75 30%    
  Mon, Feb 16 333 @Alcorn St. L 73-77 37%    
  Thu, Feb 19 266 Alabama A&M L 69-72 41%    
  Thu, Feb 19 268 Alabama St. L 74-76 41%    
  Thu, Feb 26 201 @Southern L 71-83 16%    
  Thu, Feb 26 284 @Grambling St. L 66-74 25%    
  Thu, Mar 5 218 Bethune-Cookman L 71-76 34%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.5 3.0 0.4 6.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.5 2.0 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.6 3.6 0.3 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.4 4.9 0.9 0.0 14.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.8 6.5 4.8 1.1 0.0 17.4 10th
11th 0.4 2.2 5.1 5.6 3.2 0.8 0.0 17.3 11th
12th 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 4.2 12th
Total 0.4 1.4 3.7 7.1 10.0 12.4 14.2 13.7 11.7 9.2 7.1 4.4 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 92.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0
14-4 81.3% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 36.7% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 15.7% 15.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 18.7% 18.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-5 1.3% 14.0% 14.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1
12-6 2.6% 10.2% 10.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.3
11-7 4.4% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.4 4.1
10-8 7.1% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.4 6.6
9-9 9.2% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.4 8.9
8-10 11.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 11.4
7-11 13.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.6
6-12 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 12.4% 12.4
4-14 10.0% 10.0
3-15 7.1% 7.1
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 2.0 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%