Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.5 323
Results Rating -12.0 338
Consistency 0.13 64
Pace 78.2 11
Improvement +0.2 178

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 326 F+ D B- B F+
Defense D 295 D F+ B- D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 271 D 52% 313 -3.7 312
2 Pt. Jumpers 60% 15 C- 36% 254 +4.3 23
Three Pointers 30% 351 D- 30% 330 -7.4 356
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.9 351 D- -4.9 335
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.89 351
Second Chance D- 23.5% 343 C+ 1.06 125 D 0.25 315
Opponents' Steals B 8.2% 69
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 210
Turnovers B- 15.7% 111
Freethrows B 0.34 70 B 76% 72 B 0.26 50
Total Offense D -6.3 326

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 26% 364 C+ 10.4% 149
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 125 B- 3.7% 91
Three Pointers C- 81% 256 B+ 0.2% 26
Total F 39% 363 C+ 5.1% 115


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 71 C- 59% 208 +3.0 287
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 227 D+ 41% 276 -0.1 179
Three Pointers 38% 266 D- 38% 330 +0.7 223
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 266 D +2.9 294
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 297
Second Chance F+ 36.1% 349 D+ 1.10 287 F+ 0.40 347
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 189
Other Turnovers B+ 8.8% 28
Turnovers B- 18.2% 91
Freethrows D- 0.37 336 D+ 74% 276 D- 0.27 344
Total Defense D -4.2 295

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 288 C+ 12.5% 110
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 261 A- 8.9% 30
Three Pointers B- 80% 78 B- 1.4% 75
Total C- 57% 229 B 7.6% 47

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 59 15.8 5
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 65 0.18 209
Consistency 0.10 31 0.10 31
Improvement -0.8 233 +1.1 129

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 332 325 317
Results Rating Rank 344 339 322
Conference Record 8 - 10 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 8 8 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 6% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 31% 100% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four4% 6% 3%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 31.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 410 - 1210 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 92 @Wichita St. L 62 - 105 4% -18  0% 0 - 1 F -34 F -13 F A F F -17 F D D+
 Wed, Nov 12 63 @Oklahoma St. L 67 - 94 3% -16  1% 0 - 2 F+ -15 F -12 C- F B C+ +1 B+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 17 46 @Missouri L 73 - 91 2% -19  2% 0 - 3 C- -3 D+ -3 F+ D+ A+ C+ +1 C C- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 231 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 69 26% +2  57% 0 - 4 C- -5 D -4 F D A- C -1 D+ B B-
 Sun, Nov 23 340 North Florida W 85 - 82 58% -5  9% 1 - 4 D -9 D -4 D- F D+ D -5 F F+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 136 @North Texas L 69 - 72 9% +2  69% 1 - 5 C +1 C- -0 D+ D+ A+ C+ +2 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 284 @South Dakota L 85 - 97 26% -9  12% 1 - 6 F+ -16 C- -2 C- D D+ F -12 D F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 58 @LSU L 90 - 104 3% -2  32% 1 - 7 C -1 A +13 A+ D+ C+ F -13 C F C
 Mon, Dec 29 33 @Texas A&M L 82 - 111 1% -22  0% 1 - 8 D- -12 C- -1 D- B B D+ -5 D+ D- B-
 Sat, Jan 3 308 @Grambling St. L 72 - 76 33% -4  1% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D -10 D- -7 F D+ F C- -3 F D A+
 Mon, Jan 5 278 @Southern W 89 - 85 25% +5  84% 2 - 9 1 - 1 C +1 B- +5 B B- B- D -5 C D C+
 Sat, Jan 10 365 Mississippi Valley W 70 - 69 91% -2  21% 3 - 9 2 - 1 F -24 F -16 F+ F B- F+ -8 F F A
 Mon, Jan 12 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73 - 61 65% +6  85% 4 - 9 3 - 1 C- -3 F+ -10 D+ F A+ A- +7 A+ C- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 345 @Jackson St. L 78 - 82 48% -4  13% 4 - 10 3 - 2 D- -14 D- -7 F D- C+ D -6 F D A-
 Mon, Jan 19 351 @Alcorn St. L 75 - 76 50% -3  14% 4 - 11 3 - 3 D- -12 D -5 C F A- D- -7 C F C
 Sat, Jan 24 316 Alabama St. L 80 - 95 58% -12  0% 4 - 12 3 - 4 F -27 F -13 F B+ F F -12 F C- C-
 Tue, Jan 27 302 Alabama A&M L 60 - 80 54% -12  8% 4 - 13 3 - 5 F -32 F -21 F F C- F -11 F B- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 299 Texas Southern W 85 - 78 53% +2  57% 5 - 13 4 - 5 C- -4 C- -1 D- D A+ D+ -4 C- F C
 Sat, Feb 7 237 @Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 82 19% -0  44% 5 - 14 4 - 6 D+ -7 D -4 F D A+ C- -2 A+ F D
 Mon, Feb 9 319 @Florida A&M L 96 - 100 35% -13  2% 5 - 15 4 - 7 D -11 C+ +2 C C- D- F -12 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 278 Southern L 82 - 87 46% -0  45% 5 - 16 4 - 8 D- -14 D -5 D+ F B+ F+ -9 D F D
 Mon, Feb 16 308 Grambling St. W 68 - 63 56% +3  67% 6 - 16 5 - 8 D+ -7 F+ -10 F B A+ B- +3 A F B+
 Thu, Feb 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 72 - 62 80% +6  89% 7 - 16 6 - 8 D -9 D- -8 F A- D C -1 A- D- F
 Sat, Feb 21 332 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 82 - 84 43% -3  11% 7 - 17 6 - 9 D -11 B- +4 D A- F F -15 F F F+
 Thu, Feb 26 345 Jackson St. W 85 - 76 OT 70% +1  61% 8 - 17 7 - 9 D+ -7 D+ -4 F A+ C+ D+ -3 D F B
 Sat, Feb 28 351 Alcorn St. W 72 - 51 72% +14  99% 9 - 17 8 - 9 C+ +4 F -12 D F A- A+ +16 A+ A C+
 Thu, Mar 5 299 @Texas Southern L 77 - 82 31%
Totals 9 - 18 8 - 10 -11 D -6 F D- F+ D -4 D- B B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D C- D- D- 36% 60% 30% F+ F+ D- C+ D B- B B B D C- D+ D- D 43% 19% 38% D+ D F+ D+ F+ B- D- D+ D-
1.00 52% 36% 30% -5 -2 0.89 23% 1.1 .25 16% .34 76% .26 1.15 59% 41% 38% +3 +1 1.09 36% 1.1 .40 18% .37 74% .25
Nov
8		 Wichita St. F F F F F 27% 46% 27% F F C A+ A F A+ A+ A+ F C- F F F 42% 13% 44% F+ F D+ D+ D D+ F F F
0.81 43% 25% 7% -21 -4 0.52 28% 1.4 .40 22% .47 79% .37 1.37 59% 57% 43% +9 +1 1.23 41% 1.1 .44 13% .61 76% .46
Nov
12		 Oklahoma St. F F+ C- C+ D+ 41% 19% 40% C C- F D- F B F+ F F C+ B+ B- C- B+ 45% 16% 39% B B+ F F F B+ D- B D+
0.85 46% 36% 35% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 15% .21 57% .12 1.19 52% 33% 36% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.2 .51 18% .41 70% .29
Nov
17		 Missouri D+ F F B- F+ 35% 28% 37% C F+ F A+ D+ A+ D A+ C C+ C+ A+ F C+ 50% 11% 39% D- C C+ D C- C+ D+ C+ C-
0.96 43% 24% 36% -8 -1 0.83 14% 1.5 .21 12% .24 88% .21 1.19 59% 17% 43% +3 +2 1.13 35% 1.3 .44 18% .40 68% .27
Nov
22		 Tennessee Martin D D B- F F+ 23% 45% 32% F F D- C- D A- A+ A A+ C D F A+ C- 40% 18% 43% D D+ A- C B B- F D F
0.98 55% 38% 20% -8 -4 0.79 27% 0.9 .24 16% .53 77% .41 0.99 63% 57% 24% -2 +1 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 23% .56 70% .39
Nov
23		 North Florida D A- C D- C- 24% 39% 37% F D- A- F F D+ A+ C- A+ D D F F F 36% 11% 53% D+ F F B+ F+ A+ F B+ F
1.16 69% 43% 30% +2 -3 1.00 45% 0.5 .23 14% .52 70% .36 1.12 63% 80% 46% +16 +1 1.36 38% 1.0 .38 29% .42 73% .31
Nov
30		 North Texas C- D+ C+ F D+ 49% 27% 24% C+ D+ F A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A- C+ F A+ F F 52% 20% 27% C- F C A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.98 54% 38% 25% -5 0 0.92 18% 1.5 .27 16% .37 82% .30 1.02 74% 0% 50% +7 +1 1.18 34% 0.6 .21 27% .51 69% .35
Dec
13		 South Dakota C- D+ A+ D D+ 67% 12% 22% A- C- D D+ D D+ C- D+ C- F C F B+ D+ 52% 19% 29% D D F C- F C- F D+ F
1.07 55% 57% 31% -1 +3 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 18% .28 72% .20 1.22 56% 56% 29% 0 +1 1.04 42% 1.0 .42 16% .66 77% .51
Dec
22		 LSU A B F A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% F+ A+ F+ B- D+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F B+ F A- B- 53% 9% 38% F C F F+ F C F F F
1.20 62% 20% 60% +12 -2 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 15% .44 93% .41 1.39 54% 100% 29% +1 +3 1.09 47% 1.4 .63 15% .77 88% .67
Dec
29		 Texas A&M C- F C D+ D+ 31% 36% 33% F D- F+ A+ B B A+ B A+ D+ D A- F+ D+ 45% 10% 45% C D+ C- F+ D- B- F A- F
0.95 44% 38% 32% -5 -3 0.86 20% 1.7 .33 17% .44 77% .34 1.29 67% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.22 34% 1.1 .39 16% .48 69% .33
Jan
3		 Grambling St. D- F+ F C+ F 33% 31% 35% F F C D- D+ F A+ B+ A+ C- F A F F 33% 37% 30% A+ F F+ C D A+ F A- F
0.96 50% 27% 35% -6 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37 1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42
Jan
5		 Southern B- B+ A+ C+ A- 33% 41% 26% F B F A+ B- B- C+ D- C D A- A F C+ 49% 24% 27% F+ C F C+ D C+ F F F
1.17 67% 55% 36% +10 -3 1.17 23% 1.9 .42 17% .38 71% .27 1.12 46% 25% 46% -4 0 0.94 36% 1.0 .36 17% .56 80% .44
Jan
10		 Mississippi Valley F F B B D 24% 40% 36% F F+ F F F B- A+ F A F+ B+ F D- F 35% 37% 29% D F F C+ F A F A D
0.99 45% 44% 38% +1 -4 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 15% .60 61% .37 0.97 47% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 38% 0.8 .32 25% .36 63% .23
Jan
12		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F+ F B A+ C 33% 38% 29% F D+ D F F A+ A+ F B- A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C- A+ D C+ C- B- F A+ D+
1.05 44% 44% 43% +1 -3 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 10% .50 61% .30 0.88 41% 18% 30% -13 -1 0.75 30% 0.8 .25 20% .42 61% .25
Jan
17		 Jackson St. D- D- C- D F 31% 31% 39% F F F+ C+ D- C+ A+ B- A+ D F B D F 37% 17% 46% F F F A+ D A- F A- D-
1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43 1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25
Jan
19		 Alcorn St. D B+ D- A B- 38% 29% 33% F C F F F A- C- A+ B- D- C+ F A+ C+ 44% 17% 39% F C F B+ F C D F F+
1.07 70% 33% 41% +7 -1 1.13 13% 0.5 .07 14% .32 84% .27 1.09 54% 56% 24% -5 +1 0.94 48% 0.8 .38 19% .28 81% .23
Jan
24		 Alabama St. F B- F F F 40% 33% 27% F F D A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ F D+ D F F 44% 17% 39% F+ F B+ F C- C- D- B D+
0.95 63% 25% 23% -7 -2 0.85 29% 1.6 .46 27% .56 88% .49 1.13 58% 40% 52% +11 +1 1.25 25% 1.1 .28 17% .33 65% .21
Jan
27		 Alabama A&M F C- F F F 43% 34% 23% F F C+ F F C- F B- F F F F+ D- F 37% 33% 30% B F C- A- B- C+ A+ F B
0.88 58% 26% 23% -8 -1 0.84 34% 0.3 .11 16% .21 75% .16 1.17 75% 44% 38% +10 -2 1.19 26% 0.9 .22 18% .23 92% .21
Jan
31		 Texas Southern C- B F F+ D 35% 23% 42% D- D- F B+ D A+ C A+ B D+ A- D F C- 42% 28% 30% C C- F F F C F A F
1.14 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.2 .29 9% .37 80% .30 1.05 48% 43% 40% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.5 .53 17% .44 63% .28
Feb
7		 Bethune-Cookman D F+ A+ F F 42% 24% 34% D F D- C+ D A+ B+ C+ B+ C- A- A+ A+ A+ 58% 19% 23% F A+ F D F D F D+ F
1.00 46% 53% 14% -11 0 0.79 26% 1.2 .30 9% .38 73% .27 1.08 48% 20% 17% -15 +2 0.75 40% 1.1 .44 16% .53 71% .37
Feb
9		 Florida A&M C+ B F A+ C 52% 22% 26% C+ C D- B+ C- D- A+ F A+ F D- A+ F F 47% 27% 25% D+ F F F F A+ F C+ F
1.12 64% 25% 43% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.1 .27 21% .59 68% .40 1.16 65% 20% 71% +13 0 1.27 39% 1.2 .45 27% .46 66% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Southern D C- C C D+ 37% 25% 38% D+ D+ F C+ F B+ A+ B- A+ F+ D- F A+ D+ 52% 21% 27% F D F+ F+ F D F F F
1.07 58% 38% 35% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .20 16% .49 78% .38 1.13 63% 45% 21% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.2 .42 14% .50 76% .38
Feb
16		 Grambling St. F+ C F F F 42% 38% 21% F F F+ A+ B A+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ B+ F A- 40% 38% 23% A+ A F F F B+ A+ F B+
0.96 60% 28% 10% -11 -2 0.77 26% 1.6 .42 14% .48 79% .38 0.89 32% 28% 45% -10 -2 0.77 38% 1.4 .53 24% .21 91% .19
Feb
19		 Mississippi Valley D- F A F F 39% 30% 30% F+ F B B+ A- D A F B- C A F A+ A 28% 38% 34% C- A- B F D- F F+ F F
1.06 39% 50% 21% -10 -1 0.80 42% 1.4 .58 19% .49 67% .33 0.91 43% 47% 12% -12 -3 0.72 20% 1.4 .29 16% .33 89% .30
Feb
21		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B- D+ A+ F D+ 36% 30% 34% F D C+ A+ A- F A+ A+ A+ F F F B+ F 39% 20% 41% D F C+ F F F+ D C D+
1.21 56% 62% 20% -1 -1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 21% .52 89% .46 1.24 79% 60% 30% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.5 .36 15% .35 75% .26
Feb
26		 Jackson St. D+ F F A F 34% 36% 29% F F A- A+ A+ C+ B A+ A+ D+ F A D+ D- 24% 30% 46% B D F F+ F B F C- F
1.14 40% 14% 41% -12 -2 0.74 45% 1.5 .66 15% .38 92% .35 1.02 67% 27% 35% -1 -2 0.96 38% 1.1 .44 21% .38 77% .29
Feb
28		 Alcorn St. F B+ C F+ C- 38% 35% 27% F D F+ F F A- F F F A+ A+ A+ B A+ 53% 22% 25% F A+ A+ D+ A C+ C F D-
1.02 70% 39% 29% +3 -2 1.04 30% 1.0 .30 14% .25 60% .15 0.72 37% 9% 31% -19 +1 0.67 13% 1.0 .13 20% .25 86% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 2.1 2.1 6th
7th 16.8 16.8 7th
8th 68.6 12.6 81.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 68.6 31.5 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 31.5% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 1.9 29.5
8-10 68.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 2.1 66.4
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 16.0 95.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.9% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.4%
Lose Out 57.1%