South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#276
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#253
Pace80.0#10
Improvement+0.3#164

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#226
First Shot-5.4#318
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#33
Layup/Dunks-0.5#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#334
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement-0.1#185

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#314
First Shot-3.2#287
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#252
Layups/Dunks-9.7#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.5#6
Freethrows-3.0#332
Improvement+0.4#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.8% 6.6% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 31.1% 51.5% 26.6%
.500 or above in Conference 50.0% 60.3% 47.7%
Conference Champion 4.5% 7.4% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 5.3% 9.5%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 2.0%
First Round3.7% 5.6% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Away) - 18.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 412 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 254 Utah Tech L 79-81 OT 58%     0 - 1 -10.3 -8.9 -1.1
  Wed, Nov 5 45 @Creighton L 76-92 4%     0 - 2 -1.7 +5.9 -7.0
  Wed, Nov 12 317 Southern Indiana W 89-74 70%     1 - 2 +3.4 -2.7 +3.7
  Sun, Nov 16 267 Western Michigan W 83-78 60%     2 - 2 -3.9 +6.8 -10.6
  Thu, Nov 20 37 @Missouri L 68-102 3%     2 - 3 -18.2 -2.6 -13.7
  Sun, Nov 23 352 South Carolina St. W 82-81 81%     3 - 3 -14.6 +2.1 -16.7
  Sat, Nov 29 332 Air Force W 80-63 65%     4 - 3 +6.9 +4.9 +2.3
  Wed, Dec 3 156 Portland St. L 71-77 38%     4 - 4 -9.0 -7.2 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 6 151 @Northern Colorado L 76-85 18%    
  Tue, Dec 9 106 @Wyoming L 73-87 10%    
  Sat, Dec 13 322 Prairie View W 85-79 71%    
  Sat, Dec 20 71 @Kansas St. L 79-96 6%    
  Wed, Dec 31 149 @North Dakota St. L 73-83 19%    
  Wed, Jan 7 166 @St. Thomas L 76-84 21%    
  Sat, Jan 10 291 Denver W 85-81 64%    
  Thu, Jan 15 339 UMKC W 83-75 76%    
  Sat, Jan 17 340 @North Dakota W 81-79 57%    
  Wed, Jan 21 252 @Nebraska Omaha L 81-85 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 166 St. Thomas L 79-81 42%    
  Thu, Jan 29 311 Oral Roberts W 87-82 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 149 North Dakota St. L 76-80 37%    
  Wed, Feb 4 339 @UMKC W 80-78 57%    
  Sat, Feb 7 147 @South Dakota St. L 74-84 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 340 North Dakota W 84-76 75%    
  Thu, Feb 19 291 @Denver L 82-84 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 311 @Oral Roberts L 84-85 47%    
  Wed, Feb 25 252 Nebraska Omaha W 84-82 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 147 South Dakota St. L 77-81 36%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.1 1.9 0.2 12.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.8 6.5 2.2 0.2 16.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 7.0 7.0 1.9 0.1 17.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 6.2 5.8 1.5 0.1 15.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.2 4.5 1.0 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.5 2.8 0.7 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.1 6.3 10.2 13.2 15.2 15.2 13.0 9.8 6.3 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 95.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1
13-3 76.5% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
12-4 40.7% 1.4    0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-5 14.8% 0.9    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0
10-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 30.8% 30.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 20.8% 20.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.7% 14.9% 14.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
12-4 3.4% 15.1% 15.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.9
11-5 6.3% 11.3% 11.3% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 5.6
10-6 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 8.8
9-7 13.0% 6.6% 6.6% 15.8 0.1 0.7 12.1
8-8 15.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.6 14.6
7-9 15.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4 14.8
6-10 13.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.0
5-11 10.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.1
4-12 6.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-13 3.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-14 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.5
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.8% 4.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 95.2 0.0%