South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#291
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#262
Pace78.9#12
Improvement-0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#199
First Shot-4.0#296
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#36
Layup/Dunks+0.4#171
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#333
Freethrows+0.5#137
Improvement+1.4#82

Defense
Total Defense-5.6#337
First Shot-5.5#340
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#197
Layups/Dunks-11.2#365
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#105
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#13
Freethrows-1.5#285
Improvement-1.4#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 5.5% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 20.5% 39.0% 16.8%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 64.3% 36.3%
Conference Champion 2.3% 6.5% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 4.2% 12.7%
First Four1.8% 2.1% 1.7%
First Round2.4% 4.4% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Away) - 16.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 251 Utah Tech L 79-81 OT 55%     0 - 1 -10.2 -9.7 -0.2
  Wed, Nov 5 36 @Creighton L 76-92 3%     0 - 2 +0.2 +7.9 -7.1
  Wed, Nov 12 339 Southern Indiana W 89-74 76%     1 - 2 +0.6 -3.1 +1.3
  Sun, Nov 16 280 Western Michigan W 83-78 60%     2 - 2 -4.3 +5.7 -9.9
  Thu, Nov 20 60 @Missouri L 68-102 5%     2 - 3 -22.2 -5.3 -15.0
  Sun, Nov 23 358 South Carolina St. W 82-81 85%     3 - 3 -16.9 +0.1 -17.0
  Sat, Nov 29 322 Air Force W 80-63 61%     4 - 3 +7.2 +6.0 +1.5
  Wed, Dec 3 173 Portland St. L 71-77 39%     4 - 4 -10.0 -6.5 -3.1
  Sat, Dec 6 171 @Northern Colorado L 87-89 OT 19%     4 - 5 +0.3 +7.1 -6.6
  Tue, Dec 9 103 @Wyoming L 79-106 9%     4 - 6 -19.3 +5.0 -22.6
  Sat, Dec 13 320 Prairie View W 97-85 71%     5 - 6 -0.5 +7.1 -9.0
  Sat, Dec 20 58 @Kansas St. L 76-106 5%     5 - 7 -18.1 +1.7 -17.5
  Wed, Dec 31 155 @North Dakota St. L 76-86 17%    
  Wed, Jan 7 135 @St. Thomas L 76-88 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 290 Denver W 88-85 60%    
  Thu, Jan 15 343 UMKC W 83-75 76%    
  Sat, Jan 17 333 @North Dakota W 82-81 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 221 @Nebraska Omaha L 79-85 29%    
  Sat, Jan 24 135 St. Thomas L 79-85 30%    
  Thu, Jan 29 303 Oral Roberts W 84-80 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 155 North Dakota St. L 79-83 35%    
  Wed, Feb 4 343 @UMKC W 80-78 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 172 @South Dakota St. L 78-87 20%    
  Wed, Feb 11 333 North Dakota W 85-78 73%    
  Thu, Feb 19 290 @Denver L 85-88 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 303 @Oral Roberts L 81-83 44%    
  Wed, Feb 25 221 Nebraska Omaha W 83-82 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 172 South Dakota St. L 81-84 39%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.9 1.4 0.1 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 5.8 6.1 1.8 0.1 15.2 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 7.5 7.0 1.9 0.1 18.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 7.3 6.7 1.4 0.1 17.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 6.4 5.2 1.1 0.0 15.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.6 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.9 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.4 8.2 12.2 15.2 16.7 14.8 11.6 7.5 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 95.6% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 75.5% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
12-4 44.4% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 11.3% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
10-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 20.6% 20.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.7% 12.7% 12.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
12-4 2.0% 14.7% 14.7% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.7
11-5 4.1% 9.5% 9.5% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.7
10-6 7.5% 6.1% 6.1% 15.6 0.2 0.3 7.0
9-7 11.6% 5.0% 5.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 11.0
8-8 14.8% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.3
7-9 16.7% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 16.3
6-10 15.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 15.0
5-11 12.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.1
4-12 8.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 8.1
3-13 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-14 1.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 96.7 0.0%