Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.5 #261
Expected Predictive Rating -7.9 #294
Pace 68.2 #204
Improvement +0.5 #159

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #222 C D C C- C
Defense #282 D+ C D- C- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #240 1.14 #192 -1.5 #241
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #192 0.81 #104 +0.2 #164
Three Pointers 44% #127 0.99 #223 +0.9 #147
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #192 -0.4 #189
Freethrows 17.0 #225 71% #221 12.1 #217
Second Chance 25.2% #319 1.06 #162 0.27 #286
Turnovers 16.7% #191
Total Offense -1.9 #222

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #228 1.27 #312 -1.3 #223
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #341 0.80 #254 +2.0 #40
Three Pointers 49% #22 1.00 #156 -3.4 #313
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #265 -2.6 #266
Freethrows 18.1 #210 75% #327 13.6 #247
Second Chance 28.6% #98 1.10 #261 0.31 #167
Turnovers 13.7% #329
Total Defense -3.6 #282

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #201 1.4% #303
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.8% #191 3.7% #250
Possession Length 18.5 #296 16.5 #56
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #288 0.16 #153
Improvement -1.4 #266 +1.9 #71

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 5.0% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 2.5% 3.4% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 28.5% 36.6% 12.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.3% 10.8%
First Four3.4% 3.6% 2.9%
First Round3.0% 3.5% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UMKC (Away) - 66.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 47 - 810 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 97 Murray St. L 77 - 85 16% -5  0 - 1 -3 -5 B- F F +3 A+ C B+
 Thu, Nov 6 258 @Abilene Christian L 71 - 73 37% -4  0 - 2 -4 -0 C+ F F -4 D- C C+
 Sun, Nov 9 96 @Colorado St. L 74 - 97 10% -8  0 - 3 -15 +6 B- F A+ -23 D F C-
 Sat, Nov 15 284 Southern Utah W 90 - 85 67% +3  1 - 3 -5 +9 A+ F C+ -14 F A F
 Fri, Nov 21 43 @LSU L 73 - 99 4% -16  1 - 4 -11 -1 C+ F C -8 F A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 231 James Madison L 77 - 88 44% -13  1 - 5 -15 +6 A+ C+ F -22 F F F
 Wed, Nov 26 192 @Florida International L 61 - 74 27% -8  1 - 6 -12 -13 F B+ F +1 B B- F
 Wed, Dec 3 185 Northern Colorado L 70 - 75 47% -1  1 - 7 -10 -3 D B D+ -7 D A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 153 @Portland St. W 60 - 55 20% +2  2 - 7 +9 +5 F A+ C- +5 A+ C D
 Sat, Dec 20 211 @Lamar W 85 - 82 OT 30% +7  3 - 7 +3 +11 A C+ C -8 C F D
 Sun, Dec 28 68 @Oregon L 57 - 80 7% -11  3 - 8 -12 -5 F C B+ -9 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 1 170 @South Dakota St. L 69 - 84 24% -6  3 - 9 0 - 1 -13 -3 F F A+ -10 C F D
 Sat, Jan 3 353 UMKC L 66 - 73 84% -2  3 - 10 0 - 2 -23 -12 D D F -12 D B+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 297 North Dakota W 90 - 79 69% +7  4 - 10 1 - 2 +0 +12 A+ D- B- -12 D+ C F
 Sat, Jan 10 147 North Dakota St. L 76 - 78 37% +6  4 - 11 1 - 3 -4 +12 B- A+ C -16 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 17 321 @Oral Roberts W 73 - 62 55% +6  5 - 11 2 - 3 +4 +0 B F A +4 B+ B C
 Wed, Jan 21 283 South Dakota L 64 - 68 66% +2  5 - 12 2 - 4 -14 -18 F F F +4 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 353 @UMKC W 77 - 72 67%
 Wed, Jan 28 170 South Dakota St. L 75 - 77 44%
 Sat, Jan 31 280 @Denver L 80 - 82 43%
 Thu, Feb 5 297 @North Dakota L 76 - 77 47%
 Sat, Feb 7 147 @North Dakota St. L 69 - 78 19%
 Thu, Feb 12 131 St. Thomas L 74 - 78 34%
 Sat, Feb 14 280 Denver W 83 - 79 65%
 Wed, Feb 18 321 Oral Roberts W 77 - 70 75%
 Wed, Feb 25 283 @South Dakota L 80 - 82 44%
 Sat, Feb 28 131 @St. Thomas L 71 - 81 17%
Totals 10 - 17 7 - 9 -6 -2 C D C -4 D+ C D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.2 3rd
4th 0.0 2.1 7.3 4.7 0.7 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 2.5 10.7 6.7 1.0 0.0 20.8 5th
6th 0.1 3.0 11.1 8.7 1.2 0.0 24.0 6th
7th 0.3 3.7 11.0 8.0 1.1 0.0 24.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 3.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 9th
Total 0.4 2.4 8.0 16.3 21.8 22.5 16.1 8.7 2.9 0.7 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 6.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.7% 17.0% 17.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.6
10-6 2.9% 12.1% 12.1% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.6
9-7 8.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.9 0.1 0.7 7.9
8-8 16.1% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9 15.2
7-9 22.5% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 1.0 21.5
6-10 21.8% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.7 21.2
5-11 16.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.4 15.9
4-12 8.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 7.9
3-13 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-14 0.4% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.9 95.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%