James Madison
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#198
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#196
Pace64.6#310
Improvement-1.0#247

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#125
First Shot+2.1#114
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#217
Layup/Dunks-0.9#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#301
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#48
Freethrows+0.7#132
Improvement-0.5#216

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#305
First Shot-4.6#329
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#133
Layups/Dunks-1.5#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#200
Freethrows-3.8#352
Improvement-0.4#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.9% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.6 14.3
.500 or above 61.4% 85.3% 60.8%
.500 or above in Conference 57.7% 72.0% 57.3%
Conference Champion 2.3% 3.6% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.7% 6.9% 4.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 64 - 10
Quad 411 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 59 @Akron L 71-85 10%     0 - 1 -2.1 -3.2 +1.5
  Sun, Nov 9 364 Coppin St. W 84-70 96%     1 - 1 -8.2 +1.0 -9.2
  Wed, Nov 12 298 @Longwood L 72-82 58%     1 - 2 -14.5 -3.2 -11.3
  Sat, Nov 15 206 @LIU Brooklyn L 79-88 40%     1 - 3 -8.9 -0.3 -7.9
  Tue, Nov 18 128 Towson W 81-75 44%     2 - 3 +5.2 +20.0 -14.0
  Mon, Nov 24 182 @Florida International W 80-72 36%     3 - 3 +9.4 +11.0 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 25 221 Nebraska Omaha W 88-77 56%     4 - 3 +7.2 +18.5 -10.4
  Sat, Nov 29 88 @George Mason L 66-82 14%     4 - 4 -6.7 +1.2 -8.7
  Wed, Dec 3 348 NC Central W 67-62 88%     5 - 4 -10.3 -4.5 -5.3
  Sat, Dec 6 243 Norfolk St. W 68-67 70%     6 - 4 -6.8 -1.0 -5.7
  Wed, Dec 17 217 @Old Dominion L 68-77 43%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -9.5 -2.2 -7.7
  Sat, Dec 20 213 @Georgia Southern L 92-96 OT 42%     6 - 6 0 - 2 -4.4 +6.7 -10.6
  Mon, Dec 29 23 @Arkansas L 68-89 3%    
  Sun, Jan 4 136 @Arkansas St. L 76-83 25%    
  Wed, Jan 7 161 Marshall W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 217 Old Dominion W 77-73 65%    
  Thu, Jan 15 228 @Appalachian St. L 66-67 45%    
  Sat, Jan 17 161 @Marshall L 72-77 32%    
  Thu, Jan 22 190 South Alabama W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Jan 24 255 Texas St. W 73-67 70%    
  Thu, Jan 29 139 @Troy L 70-77 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 207 @Southern Miss L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Feb 4 314 Louisiana W 71-61 81%    
  Thu, Feb 12 330 Georgia St. W 79-68 84%    
  Sat, Feb 14 228 Appalachian St. W 69-64 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 230 @Coastal Carolina L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Feb 21 330 @Georgia St. W 76-71 66%    
  Wed, Feb 25 213 Georgia Southern W 81-77 64%    
  Fri, Feb 27 230 Coastal Carolina W 75-70 67%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.5 3.5 1.0 0.1 7.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 5.1 1.9 0.1 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.8 5.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.2 3.9 5.3 0.7 0.0 10.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 6.4 2.0 0.1 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 5.1 4.2 0.3 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.9 5.3 1.0 0.0 9.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.0 2.2 0.1 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.4 8.2 11.8 14.7 16.5 15.0 12.1 8.0 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 94.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 77.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 50.3% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 19.6% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.5% 30.9% 30.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.6% 28.7% 28.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.1
13-5 4.0% 23.1% 23.1% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.1
12-6 8.0% 13.7% 13.7% 14.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 6.9
11-7 12.1% 8.0% 8.0% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 11.1
10-8 15.0% 3.6% 3.6% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 14.4
9-9 16.5% 1.9% 1.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 16.2
8-10 14.7% 1.0% 1.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.6
7-11 11.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 11.8
6-12 8.2% 8.2
5-13 4.4% 4.4
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.6 0.3 95.3 0.0%