NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -13.2 347
Results Rating -12.0 339
Consistency 0.13 91
Pace 66.7 231
Improvement -0.1 190

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 317 D D+ D+ C C-
Defense F+ 351 F+ D B- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 101 D- 51% 335 -1.3 232
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 23 D+ 34% 300 +0.7 141
Three Pointers 34% 326 C- 33% 219 -4.1 319
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 231 D -4.4 322
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 327
Second Chance D+ 27.7% 257 C- 1.00 225 D+ 0.28 257
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 232
Other Turnovers D+ 8.1% 292
Turnovers D+ 18.0% 271
Freethrows C 0.30 191 C+ 74% 127 C 0.22 161
Total Offense D -5.7 317

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 52% 124 F 16.1% 359
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 38% 29 B- 3.5% 76
Three Pointers D 79% 300 C+ 0.7% 142
Total C 56% 163 F+ 7.8% 347


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 239 F 68% 359 +2.6 267
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 333 D 42% 305 -1.3 77
Three Pointers 47% 26 D- 38% 333 +6.1 358
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 269 F +6.6 360
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.17 360
Second Chance F 38.6% 364 B- 0.97 81 D 0.37 320
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.6% 98
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 141
Turnovers B- 18.1% 94
Freethrows C+ 0.29 158 C 73% 209 C+ 0.21 157
Total Defense F+ -7.5 351

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 288 C- 9.6% 224
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 293 C 5.0% 157
Three Pointers D 89% 321 C+ 1.2% 115
Total D- 63% 333 C- 4.9% 232

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 240 17.3 184
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 135 0.26 362
Consistency 0.13 238 0.11 104
Improvement +2.2 86 -2.2 297

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 352 346 331
Results Rating Rank 346 337 319
Conference Record 8 - 6 9 - 5 9 - 5
Conference Finish 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 5% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four5% 5% 3%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 72.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 30 - 9
Quad 410 - 810 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 34 @North Carolina St. L 65 - 114 1% -28  0% 0 - 1 F -32 D- -7 C- C- F F -23 F F C
 Fri, Nov 7 21 @Virginia L 62 - 81 1% -19  0% 0 - 2 C +1 B- +4 D C+ B+ D -5 C- F+ A-
 Sun, Nov 9 172 @Appalachian St. L 54 - 76 9% -16  0% 0 - 3 F -20 F -14 F D- D- F+ -8 B+ F D-
 Fri, Nov 14 26 @North Carolina L 53 - 97 1% -20  0% 0 - 4 F -26 F -15 F D- B F -11 C- F B-
 Sat, Nov 22 75 @Dayton L 55 - 74 2% -19  2% 0 - 5 D -8 F+ -10 F A+ F C+ +0 B- C F
 Tue, Nov 25 302 @South Carolina Upstate L 67 - 82 23% -10  3% 0 - 6 F -20 D- -7 F C B F -14 F C- A
 Wed, Dec 3 207 @James Madison L 62 - 67 11% -4  12% 0 - 7 C- -4 D- -8 F+ C+ F B- +3 A B- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 281 N.C. A&T L 54 - 69 36% +1  57% 0 - 8 F -25 F -29 F F D B +5 B D A+
 Tue, Dec 9 22 @Kentucky L 67 - 103 1% -19  0% 0 - 9 F+ -17 C- -1 C C C- F -15 F C D
 Sat, Dec 20 254 Longwood L 72 - 74 32% -2  24% 0 - 10 D -10 D- -7 F D B- C- -3 C- F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 110 @Penn St. L 67 - 90 4% -8  23% 0 - 11 F+ -16 D -6 C+ A+ F F -11 F A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 3 312 Norfolk St. W 69 - 67 46% +3  78% 1 - 11 1 - 0 D -10 F+ -9 D F D- C -1 C B C-
 Sat, Jan 10 363 @Coppin St. W 88 - 77 59% -3  35% 2 - 11 2 - 0 C- -4 A +14 D+ A B+ F -17 F B D
 Mon, Jan 12 348 @Morgan St. W 89 - 78 40% +4  79% 3 - 11 3 - 0 C +1 B+ +9 A+ F B- F+ -8 F B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 17 182 Howard L 69 - 83 21% -5  23% 3 - 12 3 - 1 F -19 D+ -4 B F D+ F -15 D F D+
 Mon, Feb 2 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 65 - 63 63% +4  89% 4 - 12 4 - 1 D- -14 D- -7 A+ F D+ D- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 312 @Norfolk St. L 68 - 75 25% -3  18% 4 - 13 4 - 2 D- -13 F -11 D+ F F C- -2 F+ F+ A+
 Mon, Feb 9 361 Delaware St. W 72 - 63 78% +0  50% 5 - 13 5 - 2 D- -12 B- +5 C C+ A+ F -15 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 363 Coppin St. L 56 - 58 78% +2  69% 5 - 14 5 - 3 F -23 F -21 F D B C- -3 D+ A- F
 Mon, Feb 16 348 Morgan St. W 80 - 76 63% +11  90% 6 - 14 6 - 3 D- -12 D- -8 D B+ F D+ -5 D+ C B-
 Wed, Feb 18 359 @South Carolina St. L 72 - 85 51% -5  6% 6 - 15 6 - 4 F -26 D -5 C- F D+ F -22 F A F
 Sat, Feb 21 182 @Howard L 67 - 100 9% -17  0% 6 - 16 6 - 5 F -32 D -6 F A+ C- F -25 F F D
 Sat, Feb 28 361 @Delaware St. W 74 - 60 58% +2  46% 7 - 16 7 - 5 C -1 B +6 D- A+ A- D -5 F F+ A+
 Mon, Mar 2 349 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 77 - 73 40% -3  32% 8 - 16 8 - 5 D+ -6 C +1 B F D+ D- -8 F F A+
 Thu, Mar 5 359 South Carolina St. W 77 - 71 72%
Totals 9 - 16 9 - 5 -13 D -6 F D C- F+ -7 C- C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D+ C- D 42% 58% 34% C- D D+ C- D+ D+ C C+ C F+ F D D- F 37% 16% 47% D+ F+ F B- D B- C+ C C+
1.01 51% 34% 33% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.0 .28 18% .30 74% .22 1.19 68% 42% 38% +7 +1 1.17 39% 1.0 .37 18% .29 73% .22
Nov
3		 North Carolina St. D- B D+ F C 37% 21% 42% D+ C- D A- C- F A+ D- A+ F F A+ F F 26% 9% 64% C+ F F F F C F A- F
0.89 63% 33% 28% -3 0 0.95 21% 1.1 .24 25% .51 64% .33 1.57 93% 20% 44% +17 +1 1.38 45% 1.4 .65 12% .47 70% .33
Nov
7		 Virginia B- F F A+ D 43% 29% 29% C+ D A F C+ B+ A+ A A+ D F A+ D D 22% 15% 63% A C- F B+ F+ A- F+ A+ C+
0.99 33% 21% 43% -12 -1 0.78 36% 0.7 .25 14% .41 82% .33 1.29 80% 29% 38% +7 0 1.15 53% 1.0 .53 19% .37 58% .22
Nov
9		 Appalachian St. F F F F+ F 44% 13% 44% B+ F F B- D- D- A+ A+ A+ F+ C- A- A+ B+ 33% 15% 52% C B+ D F F D- F F F
0.84 38% 17% 29% -15 +1 0.75 19% 1.0 .19 17% .38 90% .34 1.18 60% 29% 25% -8 0 0.87 33% 1.6 .55 12% .52 72% .37
Nov
14		 North Carolina F F F D+ F 31% 28% 41% C F C+ F D- B A+ C- A+ F F D+ C- D+ 33% 15% 52% C C- F F F B- F D- F
0.76 24% 20% 32% -17 -1 0.65 26% 0.5 .13 13% .33 70% .23 1.38 75% 43% 36% +8 0 1.19 43% 1.5 .64 14% .58 74% .43
Nov
22		 Dayton F+ D+ F F F 38% 38% 24% D- F D+ A+ A+ F D+ A+ C+ C+ F+ D+ A B- 31% 15% 54% B+ B- D- A C F A A+ A+
0.83 53% 12% 27% -14 -2 0.69 26% 1.9 .50 27% .27 85% .23 1.12 71% 38% 28% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 11% .32 58% .19
Nov
25		 South Carolina Upstate D- F F C+ F 51% 20% 29% C+ F B+ F C B A+ B+ A+ F F A- F F 48% 16% 36% F+ F F A C- A F D F
0.97 36% 20% 36% -14 +1 0.76 37% 0.9 .35 13% .54 75% .40 1.19 71% 29% 50% +14 +1 1.32 39% 0.8 .29 23% .49 73% .36
Dec
3		 James Madison D- F F D F 42% 17% 42% B- F+ D+ A C+ F F+ C+ D- B- A+ A C+ A+ 38% 10% 53% D A D+ A+ B- D+ F C+ F
0.97 45% 25% 30% -10 +1 0.83 27% 1.2 .33 17% .28 73% .21 1.05 40% 25% 33% -9 +1 0.88 32% 0.8 .26 16% .60 69% .41
Dec
6		 N.C. A&T F F F F F 46% 21% 33% C+ F D- F F D A+ B A+ B B- D A+ B+ 38% 23% 40% D- B F+ B- D A+ F B- F
0.75 45% 20% 13% -20 0 0.63 21% 0.4 .09 15% .49 73% .36 0.96 53% 44% 25% -6 0 0.90 36% 1.0 .36 29% .69 71% .49
Dec
9		 Kentucky C- B F+ D C 35% 33% 33% D+ C D- A C C- C B C+ F F F D- F 40% 11% 49% D- F A+ F C D A+ F B+
0.93 61% 29% 29% -4 -2 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 18% .29 76% .22 1.43 87% 50% 39% +17 +1 1.39 27% 1.6 .42 13% .22 93% .21
Dec
20		 Longwood D- A+ F F F 40% 23% 36% D F D- D+ D B- A+ A+ A+ C- D- F A+ C- 38% 18% 44% D C- F C F A+ F B F
1.02 84% 27% 12% -4 0 0.94 23% 0.9 .19 17% .51 80% .41 1.04 65% 50% 25% -1 0 1.00 44% 0.9 .42 25% .45 71% .32
Dec
29		 Penn St. D A+ C D+ B- 36% 30% 34% D- C+ A+ A+ A+ F F+ F F F F F F F 31% 10% 60% C- F C+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ A
0.98 75% 38% 33% +6 -1 1.11 42% 1.7 .71 34% .15 57% .09 1.32 81% 60% 45% +19 +1 1.42 28% 0.8 .21 16% .23 77% .17
Jan
3		 Norfolk St. F+ B F F D- 50% 14% 36% C+ D A+ F F D- A D B+ C B- F A+ C+ 43% 26% 32% D+ C F A+ B C- D+ C+ C-
1.03 68% 29% 22% -3 +2 1.00 45% 0.3 .14 19% .46 68% .31 1.00 50% 50% 27% -4 0 0.94 40% 0.6 .24 18% .36 65% .24
Jan
10		 Coppin St. A F F+ A+ C 27% 32% 41% F D+ D- A+ A B+ A+ B- A+ F C F F F 27% 38% 35% A+ F C A+ B D A F B+
1.35 45% 31% 53% +6 -2 1.10 30% 1.9 .56 14% .64 78% .50 1.18 54% 44% 65% +18 -3 1.31 29% 0.8 .21 20% .23 75% .17
Jan
12		 Morgan St. B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 64% 20% 16% C A+ F F F B- A+ B+ A+ F+ F A F F 33% 27% 40% C F D- A+ B+ D+ F B+ F
1.30 68% 67% 57% +18 +2 1.41 17% 0.8 .13 13% .55 76% .42 1.14 73% 25% 39% +5 -1 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 16% .57 70% .40
Jan
17		 Howard D+ D- A+ B- B 41% 12% 47% C+ B D+ F F D+ D- F F F F F A+ D+ 48% 12% 40% D- D F F+ F D+ A- C B+
1.01 50% 67% 35% +1 +1 1.06 30% 0.7 .22 20% .27 60% .16 1.21 64% 50% 24% -2 +2 1.02 46% 1.2 .57 19% .27 73% .20
Feb
2		 Maryland Eastern Shore D- A+ A+ B A+ 43% 14% 43% B- A+ D- F F D+ D F F+ D- A+ C+ F F 44% 21% 36% D F F F F A+ C B+ C+
1.05 74% 50% 37% +10 +1 1.25 27% 0.1 .03 18% .31 63% .20 1.02 41% 38% 57% +5 0 1.13 46% 1.3 .58 36% .23 67% .15
Feb
7		 Norfolk St. F F A+ D+ D+ 45% 24% 31% D D+ F F F F F A F C- C- F B D+ 55% 7% 38% F F+ F C F+ A+ F F F
0.95 48% 67% 31% +1 0 1.04 21% 0.8 .18 22% .25 79% .20 1.05 57% 67% 31% 0 +3 1.07 39% 1.0 .39 28% .52 78% .41
Feb
9		 Delaware St. B- C A C- C 56% 24% 20% C- C A- F+ C+ A+ C- B C+ F F F C+ F 27% 41% 32% A- F F F F A- D- D- F+
1.23 64% 45% 33% +5 +1 1.13 40% 1.0 .40 12% .33 76% .25 1.08 64% 47% 31% +4 -4 1.02 41% 1.0 .41 24% .34 73% .25
Feb
14		 Coppin St. F F F F F 37% 22% 41% D+ F C D- D B F F F C- D+ F A+ C+ 47% 8% 45% F D+ C A+ A- F A+ A+ A+
0.90 37% 27% 29% -14 0 0.75 35% 1.0 .35 14% .17 44% .07 0.93 58% 50% 22% -7 +2 0.92 28% 0.7 .19 14% .22 50% .11
Feb
16		 Morgan St. D- F C+ A+ D+ 48% 22% 30% D D C- A+ B+ F B- A+ A- D+ B A+ F C- 41% 21% 38% F+ D+ F A+ C B- D- C+ D
1.10 41% 40% 50% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 22% .44 80% .35 1.04 48% 17% 43% -4 0 0.95 47% 0.5 .23 19% .39 74% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
18		 South Carolina St. D D A- A- C 39% 22% 39% F+ C- D- F+ F D+ B F D F F C- F F 34% 26% 40% D- F B A+ A F B- F D-
1.08 56% 50% 39% +4 0 1.11 31% 1.0 .31 18% .44 58% .26 1.27 76% 38% 50% +16 -1 1.32 25% 0.7 .17 13% .29 88% .26
Feb
21		 Howard D D+ D F F 55% 20% 25% C+ F C+ A+ A+ C- C F D- F F A+ F F 48% 12% 40% D- F F D F D C- C- C-
0.94 54% 30% 8% -14 +1 0.76 34% 1.9 .66 20% .33 58% .19 1.40 79% 17% 55% +20 +2 1.46 43% 1.2 .50 18% .34 75% .26
Feb
28		 Delaware St. B F F A+ D 39% 24% 37% D- D- D- A+ A+ A- F A+ C- D F D C- F 38% 22% 40% F F F B+ F+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.20 44% 18% 53% 0 0 1.02 26% 2.1 .56 15% .25 92% .23 0.98 65% 40% 33% +3 0 1.07 44% 0.6 .26 26% .13 50% .07
Mar
2		 Maryland Eastern Shore C F A+ A+ B 42% 13% 44% B- B F D- F D+ A+ B- A+ D- F F D F 41% 27% 32% C+ F F C- F A+ B+ D B
1.13 47% 50% 45% +4 +1 1.13 22% 1.0 .22 18% .52 76% .39 1.07 67% 50% 36% +8 -1 1.16 59% 0.9 .53 34% .18 75% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 16.6 16.6 2nd
3rd 18.5 55.6 74.1 3rd
4th 9.3 9.3 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 27.8 72.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 72.2% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 3.7 68.5
8-6 27.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.8 27.0
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 95.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.7% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.3%
Lose Out 11.6%