Preseason Rankings
Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.1#355
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.7#36
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#327
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#358
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 13.8% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.0 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 15.7% 42.4% 15.4%
.500 or above in Conference 42.6% 65.7% 42.4%
Conference Champion 8.7% 19.9% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 15.5% 5.0% 15.6%
First Four5.5% 7.3% 5.5%
First Round3.5% 13.0% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 49 - 119 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 69   @ Georgetown L 64-88 1%    
  Nov 11, 2025 304   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 81-83 42%    
  Nov 15, 2025 361   @ Mercyhurst L 69-70 49%    
  Nov 18, 2025 351   N.C. A&T W 78-76 58%    
  Nov 21, 2025 200   @ Old Dominion L 67-81 11%    
  Nov 25, 2025 227   Drexel L 65-71 29%    
  Dec 06, 2025 204   Longwood L 74-82 25%    
  Dec 09, 2025 84   @ DePaul L 64-87 2%    
  Dec 13, 2025 335   Niagara W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 19, 2025 91   @ California L 65-87 3%    
  Dec 21, 2025 75   @ San Francisco L 64-87 2%    
  Dec 23, 2025 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-83 6%    
  Jan 03, 2026 360   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 10, 2026 311   South Carolina St. L 75-77 44%    
  Jan 12, 2026 329   NC Central L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 17, 2026 338   @ Delaware St. L 76-81 32%    
  Jan 24, 2026 324   @ Howard L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 26, 2026 251   @ Norfolk St. L 68-79 17%    
  Jan 31, 2026 362   @ Coppin St. W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 07, 2026 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 14, 2026 311   @ South Carolina St. L 72-80 26%    
  Feb 16, 2026 329   @ NC Central L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 21, 2026 338   Delaware St. W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 28, 2026 324   Howard L 78-79 49%    
  Mar 02, 2026 251   Norfolk St. L 71-76 33%    
  Mar 05, 2026 362   Coppin St. W 76-69 72%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.5 2.6 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 8.7 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 4.1 4.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.0 5.2 1.7 0.3 0.0 15.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 6.9 5.1 1.0 0.1 15.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 6.2 5.0 0.6 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 5.6 4.6 0.6 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.0 3.8 0.5 11.6 7th
8th 0.7 2.5 3.7 2.0 0.4 9.3 8th
Total 0.7 2.6 5.9 8.7 11.6 13.3 14.3 12.9 10.7 8.2 5.7 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 91.0% 1.4    1.2 0.2
11-3 72.4% 2.2    1.6 0.6 0.0
10-4 45.8% 2.6    1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0
9-5 18.4% 1.5    0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0
8-6 3.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 5.0 2.8 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 60.1% 60.1% 18.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.5% 41.6% 41.6% 18.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3
12-2 1.5% 39.0% 39.0% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9
11-3 3.1% 28.0% 28.0% 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.2
10-4 5.7% 19.1% 19.1% 16.9 0.1 1.1 4.6
9-5 8.2% 12.1% 12.1% 17.3 0.0 1.1 7.2
8-6 10.7% 8.6% 8.6% 16.6 1.0 9.8
7-7 12.9% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.7 12.2
6-8 14.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 13.9
5-9 13.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.1
4-10 11.6% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.5
3-11 8.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.7
2-12 5.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.9
1-13 2.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.6
0-14 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 6.3% 6.3% 0.0% 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 6.3 93.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%