Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.5#360
Expected Predictive Rating-19.7#361
Pace72.6#95
Improvement-2.0#308

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#338
First Shot-4.9#314
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#297
Layup/Dunks-5.2#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#345
Freethrows+2.0#67
Improvement-1.2#266

Defense
Total Defense-8.7#362
First Shot-5.5#341
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#346
Layups/Dunks-2.5#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
Freethrows-4.6#359
Improvement-0.8#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 3.0% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 28.0% 47.3% 20.6%
Conference Champion 1.4% 3.1% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 22.6% 10.7% 27.1%
First Four2.0% 3.0% 1.6%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Away) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 47 - 147 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 99 @Georgetown L 70-87 2%     0 - 1 -8.6 -4.7 -2.7
  Tue, Nov 11 292 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-81 30%     0 - 2 -12.1 -1.7 -10.3
  Sat, Nov 15 318 @Mercyhurst L 72-86 19%     0 - 3 -20.3 +0.1 -20.9
  Tue, Nov 18 301 N.C. A&T L 73-79 32%     0 - 4 -16.7 -3.4 -13.4
  Fri, Nov 21 217 @Old Dominion L 56-88 9%     0 - 5 -32.5 -14.3 -19.8
  Tue, Nov 25 274 Drexel L 66-71 27%     0 - 6 -14.0 -6.0 -8.4
  Sat, Dec 6 298 Longwood L 80-84 32%     0 - 7 -14.5 -3.2 -11.0
  Tue, Dec 9 115 @DePaul L 49-92 3%     0 - 8 -36.7 -16.9 -21.3
  Sat, Dec 13 352 Niagara W 81-73 53%     1 - 8 -8.2 +5.2 -13.1
  Fri, Dec 19 65 @California L 50-97 2%     1 - 9 -35.7 -16.8 -19.3
  Sun, Dec 21 95 @San Francisco L 64-94 2%     1 - 10 -21.2 -3.2 -18.9
  Tue, Dec 23 123 @Loyola Marymount L 56-83 4%     1 - 11 -21.6 -10.2 -11.5
  Sat, Jan 3 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 67-73 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 358 South Carolina St. W 78-76 59%    
  Mon, Jan 12 348 NC Central L 73-74 50%    
  Sat, Jan 17 346 @Delaware St. L 70-76 28%    
  Sat, Jan 24 265 @Howard L 69-82 12%    
  Mon, Jan 26 243 @Norfolk St. L 66-80 10%    
  Sat, Jan 31 364 @Coppin St. W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 345 Maryland Eastern Shore L 70-71 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 358 @South Carolina St. L 75-79 37%    
  Mon, Feb 16 348 @NC Central L 70-76 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 346 Delaware St. L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Feb 28 265 Howard L 72-79 28%    
  Mon, Mar 2 243 Norfolk St. L 69-77 24%    
  Thu, Mar 5 364 Coppin St. W 80-73 73%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 4.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.3 4.0 7.2 2.5 0.2 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.2 9.0 3.1 0.2 17.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 5.8 9.6 3.5 0.2 19.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 6.7 8.6 3.1 0.2 20.1 7th
8th 0.4 2.1 4.6 4.4 1.4 0.1 13.0 8th
Total 0.4 2.2 6.1 11.8 16.3 18.4 16.9 13.1 8.2 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 89.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
11-3 60.5% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
10-4 30.1% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 26.5% 26.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.6% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.1 0.5
10-4 1.8% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.2 1.6
9-5 4.2% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.3 3.9
8-6 8.2% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.3 7.8
7-7 13.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 12.8
6-8 16.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 16.6
5-9 18.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 18.2
4-10 16.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 16.1
3-11 11.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.7
2-12 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
1-13 2.2% 2.2
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 16.0 2.0 98.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%