IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.0	#304
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.3	#44
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#193

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.1	#354

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.1%	15.9%	8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	17.4	14.8	15.6

.500 or above	46.5%	78.8%	45.4%
.500 or above in Conference	58.6%	79.1%	57.9%
Conference Champion	10.7%	23.0%	10.3%
Last Place in Conference	8.6%	3.1%	8.8%

First Four	4.8%	3.6%	4.8%
First Round	7.8%	15.6%	7.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	13 - 9	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2025	65	@ Dayton	L	65-85	3%
Nov 11, 2025	355	@ Morgan St.	W	83-81	58%
Nov 16, 2025	343	Wagner	W	68-62	72%
Nov 19, 2025	85	@ George Washington	L	69-86	6%
Nov 29, 2025	338	Delaware St.	W	83-77	69%
Dec 03, 2025	69	@ Georgetown	L	69-88	4%
Dec 06, 2025	287	@ Bucknell	L	75-79	37%
Dec 09, 2025	334	Buffalo	W	83-78	68%
Dec 12, 2025	353	Army	W	81-74	74%
Dec 21, 2025	106	@ South Florida	L	71-86	9%
Dec 29, 2025	362	@ Coppin St.	W	78-72	70%
Jan 08, 2026	290	Maine	W	73-71	57%
Jan 10, 2026	356	New Hampshire	W	81-73	76%
Jan 15, 2026	250	@ Bryant	L	81-87	29%
Jan 19, 2026	331	@ Binghamton	L	74-75	46%
Jan 22, 2026	357	NJIT	W	78-69	78%
Jan 24, 2026	295	Umass Lowell	W	81-79	58%
Jan 29, 2026	205	@ Vermont	L	66-74	24%
Jan 31, 2026	302	@ Albany	L	76-79	40%
Feb 05, 2026	331	Binghamton	W	77-72	66%
Feb 12, 2026	290	@ Maine	L	70-74	37%
Feb 14, 2026	356	@ New Hampshire	W	78-76	58%
Feb 19, 2026	205	Vermont	L	69-71	42%
Feb 21, 2026	302	Albany	W	79-76	59%
Feb 26, 2026	250	Bryant	L	83-84	49%
Feb 28, 2026	295	@ Umass Lowell	L	78-82	39%
Mar 03, 2026	357	@ NJIT	W	75-72	60%
Projected Record						13 - 14	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.2	1.2	2.8	3.2	2.1	1.0	0.2		10.7	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	2.6	4.9	3.3	1.1	0.1				12.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.7	3.9	5.6	2.8	0.6	0.0					13.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.7	4.7	5.7	2.2	0.1							13.5	4th
5th						0.0	1.1	4.6	5.6	1.8	0.1								13.2	5th
6th					0.1	1.2	4.7	5.0	1.4	0.1									12.6	6th
7th				0.2	1.4	3.9	3.9	1.1	0.1										10.5	7th
8th		0.0	0.4	1.7	3.2	2.5	0.6	0.0											8.4	8th
9th	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.7	0.9	0.2	0.0												5.0	9th

Total	0.1	0.7	1.8	3.6	5.6	7.8	10.4	11.4	12.5	12.0	10.7	9.0	6.6	4.3	2.3	1.0	0.2			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
15-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
14-2	94.2%	2.1		1.8	0.3
13-3	73.8%	3.2		2.1	1.0	0.1
12-4	41.8%	2.8		1.1	1.3	0.3	0.0
11-5	13.4%	1.2		0.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.0%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	10.7%	10.7		6.4	3.3	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%		71.5%	71.5%		14.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-1	1.0%		53.9%	53.9%		14.4													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.5
14-2	2.3%		36.8%	36.8%		16.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	1.4
13-3	4.3%		30.7%	30.7%		17.0														0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	3.0
12-4	6.6%		20.7%	20.7%		18.4														0.0	0.1	0.6	1.0	5.2
11-5	9.0%		16.3%	16.3%		18.4															0.0	0.3	1.4	7.5
10-6	10.7%		11.2%	11.2%		18.1															0.0	0.2	1.2	9.5
9-7	12.0%		7.5%	7.5%		18.2															0.0	0.1	1.0	11.1
8-8	12.5%		4.8%	4.8%		17.5															0.0	0.0	0.7	11.9
7-9	11.4%		3.3%	3.3%		16.3																	0.4	11.1
6-10	10.4%		2.1%	2.1%		16.3																	0.2	10.1
5-11	7.8%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	7.8
4-12	5.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	5.6
3-13	3.6%																							3.6
2-14	1.8%																							1.8
1-15	0.7%																							0.7
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.1%	9.1%	0.0%	17.4												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	2.2	6.9	90.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%