Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#259
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#146
Pace66.7#262
Improvement+1.0#116

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#215
First Shot+0.4#162
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#300
Layup/Dunks+2.7#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#220
Freethrows-1.8#292
Improvement+1.6#62

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#301
First Shot-4.6#320
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#129
Layups/Dunks-3.9#304
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#283
Freethrows+4.3#8
Improvement-0.6#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.0% 21.4% 16.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 84.4% 90.8% 76.3%
.500 or above in Conference 83.7% 86.8% 79.7%
Conference Champion 24.6% 28.0% 20.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 1.7% 3.3%
First Four7.7% 7.3% 8.2%
First Round14.8% 17.3% 11.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 55.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 11 - 5
Quad 417 - 617 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 70 @Dayton L 71-77 7%     0 - 1 +5.1 +8.8 -4.1
  Tue, Nov 11 358 @Morgan St. W 81-79 71%     1 - 1 -9.0 +0.2 -9.3
  Sun, Nov 16 298 Wagner W 71-70 OT 69%     2 - 1 -9.6 -11.3 +1.6
  Wed, Nov 19 59 @George Washington L 52-89 6%     2 - 2 -24.5 -19.7 -4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 351 Delaware St. W 71-57 84%     3 - 2 -1.8 -1.6 +0.6
  Wed, Dec 3 86 @Georgetown L 81-90 9%     3 - 3 +0.3 +14.9 -15.0
  Sat, Dec 6 316 @Bucknell W 73-66 51%     4 - 3 +1.4 +3.7 -1.8
  Tue, Dec 9 223 Buffalo W 75-74 56%    
  Fri, Dec 12 340 Army W 78-69 80%    
  Sun, Dec 21 79 @South Florida L 70-86 7%    
  Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 76-67 80%    
  Thu, Jan 8 328 Maine W 70-63 76%    
  Sat, Jan 10 335 New Hampshire W 75-67 77%    
  Thu, Jan 15 297 @Bryant L 70-71 47%    
  Mon, Jan 19 354 @Binghamton W 73-68 67%    
  Thu, Jan 22 348 NJIT W 77-67 82%    
  Sat, Jan 24 317 Umass Lowell W 78-72 71%    
  Thu, Jan 29 185 @Vermont L 69-76 27%    
  Sat, Jan 31 330 @Albany W 74-72 56%    
  Thu, Feb 5 354 Binghamton W 76-65 83%    
  Thu, Feb 12 328 @Maine W 67-66 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 335 @New Hampshire W 72-70 58%    
  Thu, Feb 19 185 Vermont L 72-73 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 330 Albany W 77-69 75%    
  Thu, Feb 26 297 Bryant W 73-68 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 317 @Umass Lowell W 76-75 51%    
  Tue, Mar 3 348 @NJIT W 74-70 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.2 7.2 4.9 2.1 0.4 24.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 6.3 9.2 6.2 2.3 0.3 25.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.9 6.7 2.8 0.4 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.6 4.9 1.4 0.1 11.6 4th
5th 0.4 2.9 3.9 0.8 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.0 0.7 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.6 4.7 7.3 10.5 13.0 15.1 15.2 12.8 9.5 5.2 2.1 0.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 100.0% 2.1    2.0 0.0
14-2 94.8% 4.9    4.3 0.6 0.0
13-3 76.2% 7.2    5.1 2.0 0.1
12-4 48.5% 6.2    3.1 2.6 0.5 0.0
11-5 20.9% 3.2    0.8 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.7% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 24.6% 24.6 15.9 6.8 1.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 56.1% 56.1% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-1 2.1% 46.6% 46.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.1
14-2 5.2% 38.8% 38.8% 14.9 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.4 3.2
13-3 9.5% 32.3% 32.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.5 1.3 6.4
12-4 12.8% 27.0% 27.0% 15.6 0.1 1.1 2.2 9.3
11-5 15.2% 20.6% 20.6% 15.8 0.0 0.5 2.6 12.1
10-6 15.1% 16.9% 16.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.3 12.5
9-7 13.0% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.1 1.6 11.3
8-8 10.5% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0 9.4
7-9 7.3% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.6 6.7
6-10 4.7% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.2 4.4
5-11 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 2.5
4-12 1.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.2
3-13 0.5% 0.5
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 19.0% 19.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 1.3 5.0 12.4 81.0 0.0%