Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#304
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#292
Pace68.8#206
Improvement-1.2#275

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#283
First Shot-2.3#239
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#292
Layup/Dunks-7.9#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.5#8
Freethrows-0.6#213
Improvement+0.7#121

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#301
First Shot-3.7#300
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#195
Layups/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#330
Freethrows-1.0#252
Improvement-1.9#326
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 5.7% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 9.8% 14.0% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 44.4% 49.6% 38.1%
Conference Champion 3.8% 4.8% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 12.3% 10.1% 15.0%
First Four3.8% 4.2% 3.2%
First Round3.0% 3.5% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Baltimore Co. (Home) - 54.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 411 - 1012 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 287 Delaware W 78-70 58%     1 - 0 -1.9 -1.3 -0.7
  Fri, Nov 7 307 @Mount St. Mary's W 73-62 39%     2 - 0 +5.9 +3.1 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 11 247 @Princeton L 63-73 28%     2 - 1 -11.7 -7.1 -4.9
  Fri, Nov 14 136 Hofstra L 77-83 26%     2 - 2 -7.3 +1.0 -8.0
  Mon, Nov 17 92 @Pittsburgh L 50-84 7%     2 - 3 -25.6 -15.0 -13.3
  Thu, Nov 20 13 @St. John's L 49-97 1%     2 - 4 -27.1 -19.3 -4.1
  Mon, Nov 24 119 Bowling Green L 66-71 15%     2 - 5 -1.8 -2.4 +0.5
  Wed, Nov 26 215 Buffalo L 71-73 33%     2 - 6 -5.3 +5.3 -10.9
  Sun, Nov 30 150 Cornell L 72-101 31%     2 - 7 -31.7 -9.7 -20.5
  Wed, Dec 3 54 @Akron L 77-97 4%     2 - 8 -7.4 +7.5 -15.2
  Sat, Dec 6 272 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-73 55%    
  Tue, Dec 9 335 @Rider L 70-71 48%    
  Sat, Dec 20 27 Iowa L 59-81 2%    
  Wed, Dec 31 301 @Holy Cross L 70-73 39%    
  Sat, Jan 3 299 Lehigh W 73-70 60%    
  Wed, Jan 7 198 @Navy L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Jan 10 319 Loyola Maryland W 76-72 64%    
  Wed, Jan 14 331 Lafayette W 74-69 68%    
  Sat, Jan 17 176 @Colgate L 67-77 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 342 Army W 76-70 72%    
  Sat, Jan 24 319 @Loyola Maryland L 73-75 43%    
  Mon, Jan 26 331 @Lafayette L 71-72 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 235 Boston University L 71-72 48%    
  Wed, Feb 4 250 @American L 71-77 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 176 Colgate L 70-74 37%    
  Mon, Feb 9 198 Navy L 70-73 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 235 @Boston University L 68-74 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 250 American L 73-74 50%    
  Sun, Feb 22 301 Holy Cross W 73-70 59%    
  Wed, Feb 25 342 @Army W 74-73 51%    
  Sat, Feb 28 299 @Lehigh L 70-73 39%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 3.8 1st
2nd 0.3 1.7 2.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.7 3.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.3 3.3 5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.4 3.3 6.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.2 3.1 6.4 3.2 0.3 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.4 2.7 6.2 3.6 0.3 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.0 3.4 0.5 11.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 4.1 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 5.2 8.3 10.6 13.6 14.1 13.5 11.2 8.4 5.6 3.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.8% 0.2    0.2
15-3 88.7% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 66.3% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 38.1% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 11.1% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 27.1% 27.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.7% 18.9% 18.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
14-4 1.5% 28.8% 28.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1
13-5 3.3% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 2.8
12-6 5.6% 11.7% 11.7% 15.9 0.0 0.6 5.0
11-7 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 7.7
10-8 11.2% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.4
9-9 13.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.6 12.9
8-10 14.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.5 13.6
7-11 13.6% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 13.3
6-12 10.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 10.5
5-13 8.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.2
4-14 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-15 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.6 95.1 0.0%