American
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.2 255
Results Rating -6.4 265
Consistency 0.16 219
Pace 67.1 220
Improvement -2.3 264

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 256 C D- C D+ B-
Defense C- 229 D C B- D- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 218 C- 55% 248 -1.7 242
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 320 D+ 35% 259 -3.0 318
Three Pointers 49% 29 C 34% 190 +4.1 50
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 84 C- -1.4 224
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 191
Second Chance D 25.3% 317 D- 0.91 330 D- 0.23 340
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 193
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 136
Turnovers C 16.5% 161
Freethrows D 0.27 307 B- 75% 84 D+ 0.20 253
Total Offense D+ -3.3 256

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 38% 328 D+ 12.8% 289
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 10% 353 C- 6.0% 256
Three Pointers C 84% 180 D- 1.6% 326
Total C- 53% 234 D+ 6.3% 272


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 71 D 62% 297 +4.4 324
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 163 D 42% 303 +0.9 266
Three Pointers 36% 314 C- 35% 235 -1.8 104
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 218 D +3.1 300
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 289
Second Chance C- 31.1% 223 C+ 1.01 144 C 0.31 202
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 167
Other Turnovers B 8.5% 48
Turnovers B- 18.2% 88
Freethrows F+ 0.38 347 C+ 72% 137 D- 0.27 337
Total Defense C- -2.0 229

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 274 F 3.4% 364
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 20 D 2.4% 317
Three Pointers D+ 86% 262 D 0.3% 311
Total C 55% 165 F 2.1% 364

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 273 16.8 80
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 160 0.18 199
Consistency 0.12 161 0.12 180
Improvement -1.3 259 -1.0 243

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 269 257 237
Results Rating Rank 289 280 218
Conference Record 9 - 9 9 - 9 9 - 9
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 17% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 n/a
.500 or above 15% 31% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four5% 11% 0%
First Round6% 12% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 413 - 915 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 70 @Wake Forest L 74 - 88 7% -9  2% 0 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 C B- F C+ +1 B+ F+ C
 Sun, Nov 9 162 Penn W 84 - 78 43% +3  76% 1 - 1 C+ +3 C +1 B D C- C+ +1 C B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 12 78 @George Washington L 67 - 107 8% -20  0% 1 - 2 F -29 F -11 C F D- F -15 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 109 @Rutgers L 71 - 80 14% -1  44% 1 - 3 C- -2 C- -2 F+ D A+ C -1 C+ F C+
 Fri, Nov 28 346 Maine W 74 - 61 84% +12  98% 2 - 3 C- -3 C- -1 B- F A+ C- -2 F C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 208 Siena L 55 - 59 51% -1  24% 2 - 4 D -9 F -23 F F+ F A+ +13 B+ A A+
 Sun, Nov 30 254 Longwood W 92 - 66 61% +8  73% 3 - 4 A- +18 A- +11 B- B B- B+ +6 A+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 214 Drexel W 75 - 73 53% -1  42% 4 - 4 C- -4 C+ +3 B+ F A+ D- -7 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 78 - 60 85% +10  71% 5 - 4 C +2 B +7 A- F+ B- D+ -3 F A+ A+
 Thu, Dec 18 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 83 - 105 5% -12  2% 5 - 5 D+ -8 A +13 B+ D+ A F -20 F+ F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 21 @Virginia L 51 - 95 2% -22  0% 5 - 6 F -24 F+ -9 D C B- F -19 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 314 Loyola Maryland W 84 - 69 76% +10  86% 6 - 6 1 - 0 C+ +2 B- +5 A F+ C+ C- -2 F B A+
 Sat, Jan 3 256 @Boston University W 64 - 62 39% +5  77% 7 - 6 2 - 0 C -0 D -4 C+ F D+ B +4 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 252 @Colgate L 62 - 64 38% +5  84% 7 - 7 2 - 1 C- -4 D -5 A F F+ C -0 B- D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 328 Holy Cross L 73 - 84 80% -3  44% 7 - 8 2 - 2 F -25 F -11 F D+ C- F -14 F D+ D
 Mon, Jan 12 140 Navy W 65 - 51 37% +11  98% 8 - 8 3 - 2 B+ +12 C- -1 C- F A+ A+ +15 A+ A A-
 Sun, Jan 18 340 @Army W 78 - 67 66% +7  93% 9 - 8 4 - 2 C +2 B +6 C+ A+ F D+ -3 D- C D
 Wed, Jan 21 252 Colgate W 70 - 66 61% +1  53% 10 - 8 5 - 2 C- -4 D- -8 D+ A+ F B +4 B- B+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 328 @Holy Cross W 76 - 67 60% +8  96% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C +1 C+ +3 C D- B C -1 F B A
 Wed, Jan 28 314 @Loyola Maryland L 68 - 77 55% -8  8% 11 - 9 6 - 3 F+ -16 F -15 D F D C+ +0 A- F C-
 Sat, Jan 31 324 Lafayette L 65 - 67 79% +1  62% 11 - 10 6 - 4 F+ -16 F+ -10 F+ C- D- D -6 F+ B+ C+
 Wed, Feb 4 330 Bucknell L 59 - 60 81% +2  63% 11 - 11 6 - 5 F+ -15 F -11 F D- D+ D -5 D+ F+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 140 @Navy L 73 - 82 19% -3  14% 11 - 12 6 - 6 C- -5 B+ +8 B+ D+ C- F -14 F C- F
 Wed, Feb 11 294 @Lehigh L 82 - 90 48% -11  5% 11 - 13 6 - 7 D- -13 C -0 D+ C+ A- F -12 F C- B
 Sat, Feb 14 340 Army W 75 - 63 83% +6  73% 12 - 13 7 - 7 C- -3 D+ -3 A F D C+ +1 C F+ A
 Wed, Feb 18 330 @Bucknell W 75 - 57 62% +6  80% 13 - 13 8 - 7 B +10 B- +4 D- D- A+ A- +7 C- C- B+
 Sun, Feb 22 324 @Lafayette W 75 - 61 59% +5  82% 14 - 13 9 - 7 B- +6 A- +11 B+ C+ B C- -2 D+ C+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 294 Lehigh L 73 - 78 70% -3  34% 14 - 14 9 - 8 F+ -16 D+ -4 F+ B- A+ F -12 F C D-
 Sat, Feb 28 256 Boston University L 65 - 68 62% -10  1% 14 - 15 9 - 9 D -11 F -13 F F B- C+ +1 F A+ A
 Thu, Mar 5 256 @Boston University L 70 - 73 39%
Totals 14 - 16 9 - 9 -5 D+ -3 A C- B- C- -2 C B- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D+ C C- 37% 25% 49% B- C D D- D- C D B- D+ C- D D C- D 43% 21% 36% C- D C- C+ C B- F+ C+ D-
1.04 55% 35% 34% -1 +1 1.01 25% 0.9 .23 16% .27 75% .20 1.11 62% 42% 35% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.0 .31 18% .38 72% .19
Nov
3		 Wake Forest D+ A D F C- 38% 6% 56% A- C D+ A+ B- F C+ A+ A- C+ F A+ A+ A 53% 12% 35% F B+ C- F F+ C D- C- F+
0.98 68% 33% 25% -4 +2 0.98 26% 1.3 .34 24% .31 89% .28 1.17 70% 14% 20% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 15% .37 79% .29
Nov
9		 Penn C D+ A+ C- B- 41% 9% 50% B+ B D+ D- D C- A+ C A C+ D A+ F C- 31% 27% 42% C+ C A C- B+ A+ F F F
1.09 57% 100% 32% +3 +2 1.13 27% 0.8 .22 17% .36 65% .23 1.01 60% 15% 45% +1 -1 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 23% .54 78% .42
Nov
12		 George Washington F A+ C+ F C 34% 19% 47% C C F C- F D- F F F F C+ F F F 46% 6% 48% C- F F F F C- F D- F
0.88 75% 36% 26% 0 0 1.02 13% 1.0 .13 21% .13 50% .07 1.41 58% 67% 52% +15 +2 1.37 45% 1.4 .62 17% .53 79% .41
Nov
18		 Rutgers C- F F B- F 39% 15% 46% B F+ D- C- D A+ D+ B+ C- C D+ A+ C B- 44% 29% 27% D- C+ B- F F C+ F F+ F
1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18 1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40
Nov
28		 Maine C- C+ C- B+ B 33% 17% 50% C B- F F F A+ A+ D+ A- C- F F C+ F 41% 26% 33% C+ F F+ A+ C+ A+ F A+ F
1.11 63% 38% 38% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.8 .16 12% .41 67% .27 0.92 69% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 24% 0.7 .17 27% .60 52% .31
Nov
29		 Siena F C- F F F 39% 32% 29% D F F+ D F+ F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ B 37% 39% 24% A- B+ F+ A+ A A+ F A+ F
0.79 56% 23% 17% -13 -1 0.73 24% 0.9 .21 27% .41 76% .31 0.85 43% 53% 22% -4 -3 0.89 35% 0.5 .18 29% .70 60% .42
Nov
30		 Longwood A- B+ D A- B 33% 12% 55% C B- D+ A+ B B- A+ A+ A+ B+ C A+ A+ A+ 45% 19% 36% D- A+ B- A+ A+ F F C- F
1.28 71% 33% 39% +8 +1 1.20 25% 1.3 .32 17% .50 90% .45 0.92 57% 11% 12% -18 +1 0.68 30% 0.5 .15 14% .68 76% .52
Dec
3		 Drexel C+ D A A B+ 37% 16% 47% B- B+ D F F A+ A+ F A D- F B+ F F 54% 19% 27% F+ F B- A+ A+ D- C A B-
1.12 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.08 26% 0.4 .10 9% .44 67% .30 1.09 68% 30% 43% +7 +1 1.19 26% 0.3 .09 16% .27 60% .16
Dec
6		 Maryland Eastern Shore B F A+ A+ B+ 47% 4% 49% A A- B- F F+ B- F C+ F D+ F D F F 45% 35% 20% B F A+ D- A+ A+ A B+ A
1.25 44% 50% 50% +6 +3 1.19 35% 0.8 .26 14% .15 75% .11 0.96 83% 43% 50% +18 -1 1.35 11% 1.0 .11 30% .14 67% .09
Dec
18		 Virginia Commonwealth A D+ F A+ B+ 37% 11% 52% B- B+ C- F+ D+ A A- A+ A+ F F C- D F 43% 13% 44% C F+ F F F C- A F C
1.18 50% 17% 43% +2 +1 1.07 28% 0.8 .23 13% .36 86% .31 1.49 74% 43% 38% +10 +1 1.24 50% 1.5 .77 14% .30 94% .28
Dec
22		 Virginia F+ B+ F F D- 19% 23% 58% C- D C- C+ C B- F A+ F F F F D F 52% 4% 44% F F F F F C- C- A+ B+
0.80 60% 25% 23% -12 -2 0.75 24% 0.9 .22 16% .11 83% .09 1.49 72% 100% 38% +12 +3 1.33 52% 1.5 .78 14% .33 56% .18
Dec
31		 Loyola Maryland B- B A+ A+ A 51% 18% 31% B A F A F+ C+ F F F C- A F F F 38% 10% 52% D+ F F A+ B A+ F F F
1.25 68% 60% 41% +12 +1 1.29 19% 1.4 .27 13% .15 67% .10 1.03 44% 75% 41% +3 +1 1.12 38% 0.5 .21 28% .44 86% .37
Jan
3		 Boston University D F A+ A C+ 39% 20% 41% C C+ F F F D+ D A+ C- B C A+ B- A+ 27% 18% 55% B A+ D+ F F F D- C+ D
1.09 44% 67% 42% +5 0 1.13 14% 0.8 .11 14% .24 83% .20 1.05 58% 0% 33% -7 0 0.86 29% 1.3 .37 14% .33 71% .24
Jan
7		 Colgate D D- D+ A+ B+ 57% 6% 36% A+ A F F F F+ F F F C C A D+ B 50% 24% 26% D- B- F A D+ C+ F A+ F
1.04 52% 33% 53% +6 +3 1.21 21% 0.5 .10 19% .12 50% .06 1.08 57% 30% 36% -1 0 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 17% .47 61% .28
Jan
10		 Holy Cross F A A F F 37% 20% 43% C- F C- D+ D+ C- A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 32% 34% 34% B- F C+ F D+ D F B F
1.03 74% 50% 9% -8 0 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 14% .43 88% .38 1.18 73% 69% 25% +11 -2 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .54 73% .39
Jan
12		 Navy C- A- A+ F D 35% 6% 59% A+ C- B+ F F A+ F B F A+ A- B A+ A+ 38% 23% 40% C- A+ A- A+ A A- F B- F
1.04 68% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.94 37% 0.5 .17 11% .16 78% .13 0.82 47% 33% 19% -15 0 0.73 25% 0.8 .19 22% .50 71% .35
Jan
18		 Army B C B B+ C+ 30% 16% 53% C- C+ B+ A+ A+ F A- B- A D+ D+ F B D- 51% 8% 41% F D- F+ A C D A F B-
1.24 62% 43% 39% +6 0 1.14 37% 1.7 .63 22% .43 76% .33 1.06 60% 50% 30% -1 +3 1.06 35% 0.8 .26 16% .17 89% .15
Jan
21		 Colgate D- C+ F C+ D+ 45% 16% 39% B- D+ B+ A+ A+ F D+ A+ B- B D- C B C 30% 36% 34% A B- C+ A B+ B+ F A F
1.04 60% 14% 35% -2 +1 1.00 38% 1.3 .48 28% .29 86% .25 0.98 64% 41% 31% +2 -3 1.00 25% 0.8 .19 19% .42 65% .28
Jan
24		 Holy Cross C+ B- C+ D- C- 49% 13% 38% B+ C D+ F+ D- B D- A+ D+ C B C F F 35% 26% 39% D+ F D+ A+ B A C F D+
1.18 65% 43% 30% +2 +2 1.09 26% 1.0 .26 11% .21 83% .17 1.04 50% 42% 50% +8 -1 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 22% .28 86% .24
Jan
28		 Loyola Maryland F F F A F+ 43% 13% 45% B+ D F F F D D C D+ C+ A+ F A A- 39% 22% 39% B+ A- C+ F F C- F F F
0.92 46% 29% 40% -2 +1 1.00 6% 0.0 .00 16% .26 75% .19 1.04 42% 45% 26% -9 0 0.84 26% 1.4 .37 16% .47 83% .39
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Lafayette F+ A+ F F F+ 33% 23% 44% C- F+ B F C- D- C C- C D D+ F D+ F 38% 13% 49% C- F+ F A+ B+ C+ F A+ C-
1.02 75% 27% 24% -4 -1 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 17% .29 73% .21 1.05 61% 50% 35% +3 +1 1.11 35% 0.4 .15 17% .36 58% .21
Feb
4		 Bucknell F F C D F 23% 11% 66% B- F B F D- D+ F F F D A- F+ C- D+ 38% 18% 45% C D+ B F F+ A- F F F
1.00 45% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.7 .27 19% .23 64% .15 1.01 47% 43% 33% -4 0 0.95 22% 1.7 .37 24% .38 88% .33
Feb
7		 Navy B+ A B+ B- A- 21% 17% 62% C B+ B- F D+ C- D F F+ F D+ F F F 45% 25% 30% D+ F C+ D+ C- F F B F
1.13 73% 44% 34% +5 -1 1.10 34% 0.8 .26 19% .21 64% .13 1.27 60% 55% 46% +10 0 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 14% .52 69% .36
Feb
11		 Lehigh C D F C+ D- 42% 10% 47% B+ D+ D- A+ C+ A- C+ B B- F D F F F 34% 23% 43% C F B F C- B F B F
1.11 52% 17% 36% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 12% .32 76% .25 1.21 63% 64% 55% +21 -1 1.43 18% 1.3 .23 20% .44 69% .30
Feb
14		 Army D+ A A+ B- A 39% 20% 41% C A F F F D B- B- B C+ A+ A+ F C+ 41% 9% 50% D C D- F+ F+ A F B+ F+
1.14 72% 67% 37% +13 0 1.28 20% 0.4 .08 17% .38 76% .29 0.96 42% 0% 39% -6 +2 0.93 33% 1.1 .36 23% .35 67% .24
Feb
18		 Bucknell B- D- F B F 38% 16% 47% B D- F B- D- A+ A+ A- A+ A- C F A+ D+ 37% 26% 37% B+ C- D B- C- B+ C- B C
1.16 53% 14% 38% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .26 11% .54 81% .43 0.88 56% 73% 13% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.0 .30 23% .28 71% .20
Feb
22		 Lafayette A- C- F A+ B+ 35% 21% 44% C B+ D A+ C+ B F+ C- F+ C- D F A+ C- 60% 13% 27% F D+ A F C+ F D+ C C-
1.27 59% 20% 52% +9 0 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 12% .21 73% .15 1.04 63% 50% 17% -2 +2 1.02 17% 1.2 .21 12% .31 69% .21
Feb
25		 Lehigh D+ F A+ F F 42% 4% 55% A F+ D+ A B- A+ B+ F C+ F F C- D F 43% 22% 35% D- F B- D C D- F B- F
1.10 45% 100% 28% -8 +2 0.91 31% 1.3 .38 8% .36 64% .23 1.18 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 19% 1.0 .19 15% .50 71% .35
Feb
28		 Boston University F F A- D- F 40% 4% 56% A F D F F B- B- B+ B C+ F F D F 39% 14% 48% D+ F A+ A+ A+ A D+ F D-
1.01 40% 50% 32% -8 +2 0.90 26% 0.6 .15 11% .31 78% .24 1.06 76% 50% 38% +12 +1 1.27 13% 0.3 .04 23% .30 80% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 8.6% 8.6% 15.9 0.6 8.0 91.4
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 15.9 91.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.6% 100.0% 15.9 7.2 92.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 34.5%
Lose Out 50.3%