Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#161
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#133
Pace64.6#306
Improvement-1.0#264

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#194
First Shot-2.4#244
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#106
Layup/Dunks+2.3#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#18
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.8#359
Freethrows+0.1#176
Improvement-1.4#287

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#144
First Shot+0.5#154
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#167
Layups/Dunks-4.4#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#273
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#39
Freethrows+1.3#110
Improvement+0.4#154
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.9% 21.3% 16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.3 14.7
.500 or above 98.9% 99.1% 95.7%
.500 or above in Conference 96.6% 97.2% 89.0%
Conference Champion 29.6% 30.8% 13.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round20.7% 21.1% 15.6%
Second Round0.8% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Canisius (Home) - 92.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 34 - 5
Quad 420 - 423 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 295 Bryant W 82-66 83%     1 - 0 +5.5 +10.2 -3.9
  Fri, Nov 7 225 @Brown W 62-46 52%     2 - 0 +15.2 -4.0 +20.0
  Wed, Nov 12 111 @St. Bonaventure L 66-75 25%     2 - 1 -2.2 +3.3 -6.3
  Mon, Nov 17 176 Colgate L 69-72 65%     2 - 2 -7.3 -0.2 -7.3
  Fri, Nov 21 324 Albany W 73-63 87%     3 - 2 -2.2 +5.5 -6.1
  Mon, Nov 24 301 @Holy Cross W 73-69 67%     4 - 2 -0.8 +3.1 -3.6
  Fri, Nov 28 289 Longwood W 70-63 74%     5 - 2 +0.1 -3.9 +4.2
  Sat, Nov 29 250 @American W 59-55 56%     6 - 2 +2.1 -13.4 +15.6
  Sun, Nov 30 326 Maine W 64-60 80%     7 - 2 -5.3 +1.1 -5.7
  Fri, Dec 5 347 Niagara W 83-54 90%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +14.4 +10.5 +6.0
  Sun, Dec 7 353 Canisius W 73-57 93%    
  Wed, Dec 17 189 @Vermont L 70-71 46%    
  Mon, Dec 22 24 @Indiana L 61-79 5%    
  Fri, Jan 2 174 @Iona L 74-76 42%    
  Sun, Jan 4 335 @Rider W 71-64 75%    
  Fri, Jan 9 277 Merrimack W 71-62 81%    
  Sun, Jan 11 307 @Mount St. Mary's W 72-67 67%    
  Wed, Jan 14 255 Sacred Heart W 80-72 77%    
  Sat, Jan 17 310 @Manhattan W 76-71 67%    
  Mon, Jan 19 294 Fairfield W 75-65 82%    
  Thu, Jan 22 159 Marist W 64-61 61%    
  Fri, Jan 30 347 @Niagara W 69-61 77%    
  Sun, Feb 1 353 @Canisius W 70-60 80%    
  Thu, Feb 5 174 Iona W 77-73 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 329 @St. Peter's W 69-63 71%    
  Fri, Feb 13 154 Quinnipiac W 74-71 59%    
  Sun, Feb 15 159 @Marist L 61-64 40%    
  Fri, Feb 20 277 @Merrimack W 68-65 61%    
  Sun, Feb 22 329 St. Peter's W 72-60 87%    
  Fri, Feb 27 294 @Fairfield W 72-68 64%    
  Sun, Mar 1 335 Rider W 74-61 88%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.4 6.9 8.6 6.1 2.9 0.6 29.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.1 7.7 6.3 2.2 0.2 0.0 23.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 4.8 6.3 3.9 0.8 0.0 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.1 4.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.6 6.5 9.2 12.3 14.6 15.5 14.1 10.8 6.3 2.9 0.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
19-1 99.5% 2.9    2.8 0.1
18-2 96.4% 6.1    5.2 0.9
17-3 79.2% 8.6    6.0 2.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 48.9% 6.9    3.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
15-5 22.1% 3.4    1.1 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-6 6.4% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 29.6% 29.6 19.4 7.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.6% 43.4% 43.4% 12.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
19-1 2.9% 44.8% 44.8% 13.1 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.6
18-2 6.3% 38.2% 38.2% 13.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.2 3.9
17-3 10.8% 30.2% 30.2% 13.8 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.6 0.0 7.5
16-4 14.1% 27.4% 27.4% 14.3 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.5 0.1 10.3
15-5 15.5% 22.6% 22.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.6 0.2 12.0
14-6 14.6% 18.8% 18.8% 14.8 0.1 0.8 1.6 0.4 11.9
13-7 12.3% 14.1% 14.1% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 10.5
12-8 9.2% 12.3% 12.3% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 8.1
11-9 6.5% 6.3% 6.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 6.1
10-10 3.6% 4.6% 4.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 3.4
9-11 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
8-12 0.9% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.9
7-13 0.4% 0.4
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.9% 20.9% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 0.7 3.4 7.5 7.2 2.0 79.1 0.0%