Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#255
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#245
Pace74.5#64
Improvement+0.8#117

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#150
First Shot-0.8#202
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#118
Layup/Dunks-9.0#362
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.4#1
Freethrows+0.8#136
Improvement+0.9#109

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#342
First Shot-4.5#315
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#269
Layups/Dunks-2.4#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#32
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#348
Freethrows+2.1#62
Improvement-0.1#201
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 7.4% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 43.9% 57.7% 32.4%
.500 or above in Conference 74.5% 85.6% 65.2%
Conference Champion 6.3% 10.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.3% 2.3%
First Four1.6% 1.7% 1.6%
First Round4.8% 6.6% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 62 - 9
Quad 414 - 715 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 135 @Duquesne L 80-92 17%     0 - 1 -7.3 +5.2 -11.8
  Tue, Nov 11 39 @Villanova L 60-94 4%     0 - 2 -19.0 -2.4 -18.8
  Sat, Nov 15 199 @Queens L 64-81 28%     0 - 3 -16.4 -12.4 -4.1
  Fri, Nov 21 301 Holy Cross W 79-66 70%     1 - 3 +2.2 +4.1 -1.4
  Mon, Nov 24 244 @Central Connecticut St. L 106-108 OT 36%     1 - 4 -3.6 +19.3 -22.6
  Sat, Nov 29 96 @Penn St. L 59-90 11%     1 - 5 -22.9 -17.8 -2.1
  Wed, Dec 3 307 @Mount St. Mary's W 87-80 49%     2 - 5 1 - 0 +1.9 +15.3 -13.1
  Sun, Dec 7 174 Iona L 84-85 46%    
  Sat, Dec 13 351 @NJIT W 80-76 65%    
  Tue, Dec 16 314 @Umass Lowell W 82-81 50%    
  Fri, Dec 19 261 Dartmouth W 83-80 62%    
  Mon, Dec 22 129 @Towson L 68-79 16%    
  Mon, Dec 29 277 Merrimack W 77-73 65%    
  Fri, Jan 2 347 @Niagara W 75-72 61%    
  Sun, Jan 4 353 @Canisius W 76-71 66%    
  Fri, Jan 9 159 Marist L 70-72 43%    
  Sun, Jan 11 154 Quinnipiac L 82-84 41%    
  Wed, Jan 14 161 @Siena L 72-80 23%    
  Mon, Jan 19 335 @Rider W 78-76 58%    
  Thu, Jan 22 353 Canisius W 79-68 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 347 Niagara W 78-69 79%    
  Fri, Jan 30 154 @Quinnipiac L 79-87 22%    
  Sun, Feb 1 277 @Merrimack L 74-76 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 294 Fairfield W 82-77 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 310 @Manhattan L 82-83 49%    
  Fri, Feb 13 329 St. Peter's W 78-71 75%    
  Sun, Feb 15 335 Rider W 81-73 77%    
  Fri, Feb 20 294 @Fairfield L 79-80 47%    
  Sun, Feb 22 159 @Marist L 67-75 24%    
  Fri, Feb 27 307 Mount St. Mary's W 81-75 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 6.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.7 3.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 9.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.4 4.1 4.1 2.0 0.3 12.0 3rd
4th 0.2 1.6 5.2 4.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 5.2 5.9 1.9 0.3 15.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.0 4.9 1.3 0.1 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.9 4.2 1.0 0.1 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.1 1.0 0.1 7.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.4 2.3 0.8 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.3 6.9 9.7 12.3 12.9 14.0 12.0 9.5 6.9 4.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
18-2 95.9% 0.8    0.6 0.1
17-3 76.6% 1.5    1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 51.3% 2.1    1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
15-5 19.2% 1.3    0.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.4% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 36.8% 36.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.8% 22.4% 22.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-3 1.9% 22.1% 22.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.5
16-4 4.0% 17.1% 17.1% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 3.3
15-5 6.9% 14.1% 14.1% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 5.9
14-6 9.5% 9.3% 9.3% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.5 8.6
13-7 12.0% 8.0% 8.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 11.1
12-8 14.0% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.3
11-9 12.9% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.5
10-10 12.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 12.0
9-11 9.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.7
8-12 6.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.8
7-13 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.3
6-14 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.2 94.4 0.0%