Indiana
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +13.4 #37
Expected Predictive Rating +10.4 #58
Pace 69.2 #172
Improvement -3.4 #323

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #31 A+ C B B+ A
Defense #52 A B C+ D+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #157 1.32 #28 +3.6 #65
2 Pt. Jumpers 9% #352 0.96 #14 -3.8 #340
Three Pointers 52% #16 1.12 #50 +8.2 #8
1st FG Attempt 1.18 #13 +8.1 #16
Freethrows 19.6 #88 78% #14 15.3 #41
Second Chance 32.0% #145 1.04 #180 0.33 #142
Turnovers 14.5% #69
Total Offense +8.4 #31

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #292 1.00 #25 +5.0 #38
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #32 0.67 #60 -1.6 #307
Three Pointers 38% #263 0.95 #97 +2.7 #82
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #26 +6.1 #28
Freethrows 18.6 #233 74% #284 13.8 #261
Second Chance 26.7% #50 1.04 #176 0.28 #82
Turnovers 17.5% #107
Total Defense +5.0 #52

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.1% #20 -2.3% #27
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 12.7% #20 -10.2% #34
Possession Length 16.9 #128 18.0 #290
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #141 0.11 #24
Improvement +0.8 #140 -4.2 #350

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.6% 3.2% 0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.9% 44.2% 26.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 39.5% 43.8% 26.6%
Average Seed 9.2 9.1 9.5
.500 or above 92.0% 95.5% 81.6%
.500 or above in Conference 37.6% 44.0% 18.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four10.8% 11.4% 9.0%
First Round35.3% 39.5% 23.0%
Second Round18.2% 20.5% 11.2%
Sweet Sixteen5.0% 5.6% 3.0%
Elite Eight1.8% 2.0% 1.1%
Final Four0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.1%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 74.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 102 - 10
Quad 1b1 - 33 - 12
Quad 25 - 28 - 14
Quad 34 - 012 - 14
Quad 47 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 301 Alabama A&M W 98 - 51 98% +31  1 - 0 +36 +21 A+ C- C +15 A+ A+ D+
 Sun, Nov 9 102 Marquette W 100 - 77 80% +12  2 - 0 +28 +22 A+ B+ A+ +4 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 248 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 101 - 70 97% +13  3 - 0 +23 +22 A+ A- A+ +1 D- B A+
 Sun, Nov 16 223 Incarnate Word W 69 - 61 96% +10  4 - 0 +1 -1 D- C- C+ +3 B- B+ C
 Thu, Nov 20 237 Lindenwood W 73 - 53 96% +14  5 - 0 +13 -2 F C A+ +14 A+ B+ C+
 Tue, Nov 25 85 Kansas St. W 86 - 69 81% +13  6 - 0 +21 +8 A+ C- F +12 B- A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 269 Bethune-Cookman W 100 - 56 97% +26  7 - 0 +35 +21 A+ D- A+ +13 A+ B D+
 Wed, Dec 3 71 @Minnesota L 64 - 73 59% -1  7 - 1 0 - 1 +2 +1 C C- A+ +1 B F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 13 Louisville L 78 - 87 32% -12  7 - 2 +9 +8 B- A+ C- +2 C A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 9 116 Penn St. W 113 - 72 89% +28  8 - 2 1 - 1 +41 +33 A+ A+ A+ +6 A C A+
 Sat, Dec 13 25 @Kentucky L 60 - 72 30% +0  8 - 3 +7 -1 F C F +8 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 357 Chicago St. W 78 - 58 99% +18  9 - 3 +3 -1 A F C- +5 B- A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 169 Siena W 81 - 60 94% +18  10 - 3 +17 +8 A- F D +9 A+ B F
 Sun, Jan 4 47 Washington W 90 - 80 70% +7  11 - 3 2 - 1 +18 +29 A+ A+ A+ -10 B- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 100 @Maryland W 84 - 66 70% +6  12 - 3 3 - 1 +26 +17 C+ A+ B- +9 A+ C C-
 Sat, Jan 10 14 Nebraska L 77 - 83 43% +1  12 - 4 3 - 2 +9 +15 A+ A+ D+ -6 D+ C C-
 Tue, Jan 13 11 @Michigan St. L 60 - 81 18% -5  12 - 5 3 - 3 +2 +7 A+ B- F -7 F B- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 23 Iowa L 57 - 74 50% -9  12 - 6 3 - 4 -4 +3 B+ F A+ -11 D+ A+ D+
 Tue, Jan 20 1 @Michigan L 72 - 86 9% -14  12 - 7 3 - 5 +14 +14 A+ F A+ +1 B- B- A+
 Fri, Jan 23 115 @Rutgers W 78 - 71 75%
 Tue, Jan 27 5 Purdue L 73 - 78 33%
 Sat, Jan 31 36 @UCLA L 72 - 75 38%
 Tue, Feb 3 48 @USC L 77 - 78 48%
 Sat, Feb 7 35 Wisconsin W 82 - 79 61%
 Mon, Feb 9 68 Oregon W 79 - 71 79%
 Sun, Feb 15 9 @Illinois L 73 - 83 18%
 Fri, Feb 20 5 @Purdue L 70 - 81 16%
 Tue, Feb 24 60 Northwestern W 79 - 72 75%
 Sun, Mar 1 11 Michigan St. L 69 - 73 37%
 Wed, Mar 4 71 Minnesota W 75 - 67 78%
 Sat, Mar 7 30 @Ohio St. L 76 - 80 36%
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 11 +13 +8 A+ C B +5 A B C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.9 0.8 3.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.4 2.2 0.2 6.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 4.5 0.8 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.3 4.3 7.9 2.3 0.1 14.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 3.6 9.8 5.0 0.3 19.0 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 8.5 6.1 0.7 0.0 17.3 11th
12th 0.6 5.3 5.8 1.1 0.0 12.8 12th
13th 0.1 2.5 4.2 1.2 0.1 8.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 2.1 0.8 0.1 3.8 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.0 1.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.4 2.0 6.1 12.5 19.4 22.0 19.0 11.2 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.4% 100.0% 7.1% 92.9% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.7% 99.4% 3.2% 96.2% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 99.4%
12-8 5.3% 97.4% 1.5% 95.9% 7.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.1 97.3%
11-9 11.2% 89.9% 1.6% 88.3% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 3.2 2.0 0.6 1.1 89.8%
10-10 19.0% 70.1% 0.8% 69.3% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.0 4.7 3.3 0.0 5.7 69.8%
9-11 22.0% 33.7% 0.4% 33.3% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 4.7 0.1 14.6 33.4%
8-12 19.4% 8.5% 0.2% 8.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3 0.1 17.7 8.3%
7-13 12.5% 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.4 1.0%
6-14 6.1% 6.1
5-15 2.0% 2.0
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 39.9% 0.6% 39.2% 9.2 60.1 39.5%