Preseason Rankings
Rutgers
Big Ten
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#81
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.6#107
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#94
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#72
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.8% 2.9% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.9% 14.4% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.7% 14.2% 3.0%
Average Seed 8.3 8.3 9.0
.500 or above 37.5% 38.7% 12.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.3% 15.8% 5.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.4% 19.8% 34.2%
First Four2.9% 2.9% 1.1%
First Round12.4% 12.9% 2.1%
Second Round6.3% 6.5% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 95.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 12
Quad 23 - 46 - 15
Quad 32 - 18 - 16
Quad 47 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2025 313   Rider W 78-60 96%    
  Nov 10, 2025 290   Maine W 76-59 94%    
  Nov 14, 2025 306   Lehigh W 80-62 95%    
  Nov 18, 2025 303   American W 75-57 94%    
  Nov 21, 2025 305   Central Connecticut St. W 76-58 95%    
  Nov 24, 2025 16   Tennessee L 61-71 18%    
  Nov 25, 2025 63   Notre Dame L 68-70 42%    
  Dec 02, 2025 2   Purdue L 65-79 12%    
  Dec 06, 2025 6   @ Michigan L 67-83 9%    
  Dec 13, 2025 101   @ Seton Hall L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 20, 2025 278   Penn W 81-65 92%    
  Dec 29, 2025 338   Delaware St. W 85-64 96%    
  Jan 02, 2026 27   Ohio St. L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 05, 2026 28   Oregon L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 08, 2026 15   @ Illinois L 72-85 12%    
  Jan 11, 2026 71   Northwestern W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 17, 2026 26   @ Wisconsin L 67-78 18%    
  Jan 20, 2026 32   @ Iowa L 72-82 20%    
  Jan 23, 2026 34   Indiana L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 27, 2026 21   Michigan St. L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 31, 2026 29   @ USC L 69-79 20%    
  Feb 03, 2026 14   @ UCLA L 62-76 13%    
  Feb 07, 2026 60   Nebraska W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 15, 2026 40   Maryland L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 18, 2026 90   @ Penn St. L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 21, 2026 87   @ Minnesota L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 24, 2026 48   Washington L 73-74 46%    
  Mar 01, 2026 40   @ Maryland L 68-77 23%    
  Mar 05, 2026 21   @ Michigan St. L 65-77 17%    
  Mar 08, 2026 90   Penn St. W 76-72 63%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 2.7 1.2 0.1 5.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.3 2.4 3.2 0.8 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.0 0.1 8.2 13th
14th 0.2 1.6 4.3 2.7 0.5 9.3 14th
15th 0.1 1.5 4.3 3.9 0.9 0.1 10.8 15th
16th 0.1 1.6 4.5 4.5 1.5 0.1 12.3 16th
17th 0.2 1.9 4.7 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 13.1 17th
18th 1.1 3.2 4.3 3.1 1.0 0.2 12.8 18th
Total 1.1 3.4 6.3 9.5 11.5 12.5 12.2 10.9 9.4 7.8 5.6 3.9 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 85.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 61.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 33.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 5.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 14.1% 85.9% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 23.9% 76.1% 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 7.2% 92.8% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.4% 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.8% 100.0% 4.4% 95.6% 5.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.6% 96.6% 1.6% 95.1% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.6%
12-8 2.7% 89.2% 0.8% 88.4% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.3 89.1%
11-9 3.9% 77.4% 0.3% 77.1% 8.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.9 77.3%
10-10 5.6% 53.3% 0.3% 53.0% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 2.6 53.2%
9-11 7.8% 21.9% 0.2% 21.7% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.0 6.1 21.7%
8-12 9.4% 6.6% 0.1% 6.5% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.8 6.5%
7-13 10.9% 0.8% 0.8% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.9 0.8%
6-14 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 12.2 0.1%
5-15 12.5% 12.5
4-16 11.5% 11.5
3-17 9.5% 9.5
2-18 6.3% 6.3
1-19 3.4% 3.4
0-20 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 13.9% 0.2% 13.7% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.4 3.0 1.8 0.1 86.1 13.7%