Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +3.6 108
Results Rating +4.8 103
Consistency 0.15 186
Pace 66.3 244
Improvement +2.3 103

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 119 D+ B B B F+
Defense C+ 126 C C+ C+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 307 D+ 55% 267 -3.7 311
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 41 C+ 40% 102 +4.7 18
Three Pointers 35% 306 C- 33% 241 -3.9 310
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.6 342 C- -1.2 221
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 272
Second Chance B- 32.7% 100 B 1.14 45 B 0.37 60
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 84
Other Turnovers B 6.3% 63
Turnovers B 14.6% 57
Freethrows B 0.35 45 C+ 74% 137 B 0.26 42
Total Offense C+ +1.9 119

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 164 D+ 13.0% 307
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 151 C+ 4.0% 117
Three Pointers B 90% 54 B- 0.5% 97
Total C- 53% 230 C- 5.9% 219


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 223 C 58% 171 -0.8 143
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 122 B+ 34% 37 -0.4 157
Three Pointers 40% 198 D+ 36% 261 +0.8 226
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 121 C -0.1 174
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 163
Second Chance C- 31.4% 240 B- 0.96 69 C+ 0.30 154
Turnovers from Steals C 9.5% 181
Other Turnovers B 8.3% 58
Turnovers C+ 17.8% 109
Freethrows B+ 0.25 32 D+ 74% 284 B 0.18 51
Total Defense C+ +1.7 126

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 190 C+ 11.8% 138
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 93 B- 6.8% 70
Three Pointers C 84% 196 C- 0.6% 234
Total C 56% 190 C+ 6.2% 134

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 145 18.2 303
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 73 0.17 168
Consistency 0.11 58 0.12 180
Improvement +1.3 125 +1.0 134

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 127 112 102
Results Rating Rank 121 103 93
Conference Record 5 - 15 6 - 14 6 - 14
Conference Finish 15 14 14
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 3.2% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 100 - 10
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 13
Quad 22 - 52 - 18
Quad 35 - 07 - 18
Quad 46 - 113 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 356 Rider W 81 - 53 97% +14  93% 1 - 0 B +10 C +1 F B+ A A +10 A+ D+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 346 Maine W 72 - 60 96% +11  98% 2 - 0 C- -4 C +0 C+ A F+ C- -3 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 292 Lehigh W 84 - 72 91% +4  73% 3 - 0 C +1 C+ +3 C+ A- B- C- -2 B- C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 254 American W 80 - 71 86% +1  49% 4 - 0 C +1 C +1 F+ A+ B+ C +0 A- C F
 Fri, Nov 21 310 Central Connecticut St. L 54 - 67 92% -5  11% 4 - 1 F -25 F -22 F F+ F+ D -5 C B+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 14 Tennessee L 60 - 85 9% -19  1% 4 - 2 D+ -6 C- -2 D+ B- D- D -5 D F+ B
 Tue, Nov 25 89 Notre Dame L 63 - 68 39% -8  6% 4 - 3 C +1 D+ -3 D- A+ F B +4 C- F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 103 UNLV W 80 - 65 47% +3  58% 5 - 3 A +19 B- +5 F A- A- A+ +14 A A F
 Tue, Dec 2 8 Purdue L 65 - 81 10% -12  7% 5 - 4 0 - 1 C +1 C- -0 B D A- C+ +1 B+ B- B-
 Sat, Dec 6 2 @Michigan L 60 - 101 2% -22  0% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D -11 C- -2 D+ A+ F+ D- -7 F C+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 52 @Seton Hall L 59 - 81 17% -11  0% 5 - 6 D -8 D+ -3 F A+ D- D- -6 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 162 Penn W 70 - 69 75% -4  7% 6 - 6 C- -2 D+ -4 F+ F A+ C+ +2 A+ F A-
 Mon, Dec 29 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 50 98% +9  90% 7 - 6 D+ -6 F -13 F A+ F A- +8 B- C B
 Fri, Jan 2 28 Ohio St. L 73 - 80 21% +1  46% 7 - 7 0 - 3 B- +5 A- +11 C A+ A D -6 D+ B- A
 Mon, Jan 5 83 Oregon W 88 - 85 OT 49% -1  40% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B- +7 A- +11 C+ D+ A+ D+ -4 C+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 5 @Illinois L 55 - 81 3% -17  2% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C -1 D- -7 D C B B +4 D A+ D+
 Sun, Jan 11 66 Northwestern W 77 - 75 OT 41% -4  11% 9 - 8 2 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 C+ C- A+ B +5 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 24 @Wisconsin L 87 - 96 9% -13  3% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +10 A+ +15 A A B D+ -5 B F C+
 Tue, Jan 20 29 @Iowa L 62 - 68 9% -1  34% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B+ +12 C -0 C+ D+ F A+ +12 A- A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 23 39 Indiana L 59 - 82 25% -13  0% 9 - 11 2 - 7 D- -12 C- -2 D- C+ A+ F -15 F B F
 Tue, Jan 27 9 Michigan St. L 79 - 88 OT 11% +5  80% 9 - 12 2 - 8 B +8 A +12 B+ B- A+ D+ -3 B F A-
 Sat, Jan 31 70 @USC L 75 - 78 22% -10  3% 9 - 13 2 - 9 B +9 B +6 D- A+ A+ B- +2 F A A+
 Tue, Feb 3 30 @UCLA L 66 - 98 10% -14  3% 9 - 14 2 - 10 D- -14 B- +4 B- C A F -22 F F+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 15 Nebraska L 68 - 80 13% -10  3% 9 - 15 2 - 11 C+ +4 B- +4 A- B D+ C -1 B B+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 109 Maryland W 68 - 57 62% +4  80% 10 - 15 3 - 11 B+ +12 C- -1 F A C+ A+ +14 A+ A- D
 Wed, Feb 18 119 @Penn St. W 85 - 72 41% +13  100% 11 - 15 4 - 11 A +19 A +12 A- C- B- A- +7 D+ A A+
 Sat, Feb 21 61 @Minnesota L 61 - 80 21% -10  8% 11 - 16 4 - 12 D+ -7 C+ +3 C+ C- A+ F -14 F D+ B-
 Tue, Feb 24 49 Washington L 72 - 79 33% -9  2% 11 - 17 4 - 13 C +1 C +0 C- C- A+ C+ +1 C B C-
 Sun, Mar 1 109 @Maryland W 69 - 65 39% +7  89% 12 - 17 5 - 13 B +11 D+ -3 F D- A+ A+ +14 C+ B A+
 Thu, Mar 5 9 @Michigan St. L 60 - 80 3%
 Sun, Mar 8 119 Penn St. W 78 - 74 64%
Totals 13 - 18 6 - 14 +4 C+ +2 B C- F+ C+ +2 C- C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C+ C- C- 34% 52% 35% F+ D+ B- B B B B C+ B C+ C B+ D+ C 37% 22% 40% C+ C C- B- C+ C+ B+ D+ B
1.11 55% 40% 33% -1 -2 0.96 33% 1.1 .37 15% .35 74% .26 1.06 58% 34% 36% 0 0 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 18% .25 74% .26
Nov
5		 Rider C F C B- F 42% 11% 47% C F A D+ B+ A A+ F+ A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D A+ F A D+ A- F F F
1.22 42% 40% 38% -4 +1 0.98 44% 1.0 .42 11% .55 64% .35 0.80 44% 14% 13% -22 -1 0.55 44% 0.7 .31 21% .34 83% .29
Nov
10		 Maine C B- F+ A- B- 43% 25% 33% D+ C+ A- B A F+ A+ F A+ C- B+ D F F 23% 32% 45% A+ F D+ A C+ A+ B A+ A-
1.13 65% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 45% 1.1 .52 22% .58 62% .36 0.94 50% 43% 45% +7 -3 1.11 21% 0.8 .17 28% .28 54% .15
Nov
14		 Lehigh C+ C+ A+ F B- 45% 31% 24% D C+ A- B- A- B- A+ D+ A+ C- C+ C- C+ C+ 29% 27% 44% B B- B F C- F C+ B+ B-
1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32 1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18
Nov
18		 American C C F C- F+ 44% 29% 27% D F+ C- A+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ C A+ A+ D A- 39% 15% 46% C A- C C C F B D B-
1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40 1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18
Nov
21		 Central Connecticut St. F F+ F F F 35% 29% 37% F F D F F+ F+ F+ F F D C+ B+ F C 31% 37% 33% B- C F+ A+ B+ F C A- C+
0.87 47% 29% 28% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 16% .19 70% .13 1.08 56% 32% 41% +1 -3 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 11% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Tennessee C- C- F C- C- 33% 31% 36% D D+ B C B- D- A+ C A+ D B A+ F D 39% 17% 43% C D C F F+ B B C B-
0.90 53% 21% 31% -8 -2 0.82 28% 0.9 .26 21% .46 67% .30 1.27 56% 25% 50% +7 0 1.17 47% 1.3 .59 19% .32 71% .22
Nov
25		 Notre Dame D+ F F A D 16% 30% 53% F D- B+ A+ A+ F A- D B B B C+ F C+ 52% 18% 30% F C- F C- F A+ A+ B A+
1.01 43% 15% 39% -5 -3 0.86 31% 1.5 .46 23% .35 71% .25 1.09 57% 38% 46% +4 +1 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 26% .19 67% .13
Nov
27		 UNLV B- F C+ F+ F+ 33% 38% 29% F F A- C+ A- A- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A 36% 29% 35% A A A A A F A A A+
1.15 44% 39% 29% -7 -3 0.83 38% 1.1 .43 14% .61 78% .47 0.94 45% 56% 26% -3 -1 0.93 24% 0.7 .17 12% .26 63% .16
Dec
2		 Purdue C- F B- A+ B+ 33% 37% 29% D+ B D+ F D A- C- D D+ C+ D A+ D+ A 34% 18% 48% D+ B+ C+ B- B- B- F+ F F
1.00 47% 42% 47% +3 -3 1.04 19% 0.8 .16 14% .20 64% .13 1.25 71% 22% 38% +4 0 1.10 37% 1.2 .43 14% .36 85% .30
Dec
6		 Michigan C- C D F C- 22% 43% 35% F D+ A- A+ A+ F+ D- D- D- D- F F F F 48% 3% 48% D F D+ B+ C+ C A+ A A+
0.83 50% 30% 21% -12 -4 0.70 33% 1.3 .42 22% .16 67% .11 1.39 75% 50% 46% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.3 .54 15% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Seton Hall D+ F F C F 45% 26% 29% C- F A A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A- D- F B- C F 54% 23% 23% D+ F F C+ F A+ A+ D+ A
0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30 1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17
Dec
20		 Penn D+ F A+ F D 32% 34% 34% F F+ F F F A+ A+ B- A+ C+ D- D+ A+ A+ 37% 28% 35% C A+ F+ F F A- F D+ F
1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34 1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33
Dec
29		 Delaware St. F F C- F F 21% 33% 45% F F A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ D- B- 30% 39% 30% B B- A- F C B F+ A C-
0.97 22% 36% 16% -21 -3 0.55 50% 1.3 .64 25% .58 83% .48 0.74 43% 22% 36% -10 -3 0.76 18% 1.0 .18 22% .35 61% .21
Jan
2		 Ohio St. A- C A+ F C 33% 29% 38% C C A+ C A+ A B- B B D F+ A+ F C- 48% 24% 29% D- D+ F A+ B- A F F+ F
1.18 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.92 47% 1.0 .47 13% .31 76% .24 1.29 75% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 50% 0.7 .35 19% .46 83% .38
Jan
5		 Oregon A- F A B+ B 27% 44% 29% F C+ D+ D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B- A+ F+ C+ 32% 15% 53% B- C+ F F+ F A+ B+ C- B
1.19 40% 50% 38% +2 -4 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .51 88% .45 1.15 53% 13% 39% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.3 .55 23% .28 75% .21
Jan
8		 Illinois D- F C+ C- C- 18% 48% 34% F D C- B C B D+ F F+ B B- F D- D- 31% 16% 53% B+ D A A+ A+ D+ D- F+ F
0.85 30% 37% 32% -7 -5 0.79 21% 1.0 .21 11% .14 38% .05 1.26 60% 75% 38% +10 0 1.22 34% 0.3 .11 11% .37 86% .31
Jan
11		 Northwestern C+ D+ B B- B 30% 39% 30% F C+ C- D+ C- A+ A+ C- A+ B A+ F A- A+ 36% 39% 25% A+ A+ A- C B+ F+ F A+ C-
1.09 53% 41% 35% 0 -3 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 8% .42 70% .29 1.06 35% 50% 29% -6 -3 0.86 24% 1.3 .31 8% .45 59% .26
Jan
17		 Wisconsin A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ 15% 36% 49% F A A B+ A B B+ A A- D+ D+ A+ D+ B 33% 14% 53% B- B B+ F F C+ F F F
1.19 63% 55% 37% +9 -4 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 14% .30 79% .24 1.32 65% 14% 37% +1 +1 1.06 27% 2.3 .60 12% .45 90% .41
Jan
20		 Iowa C A+ F+ D+ B- 33% 28% 40% D- C+ A F D+ F A+ A- A+ A+ C B- B- A- 40% 21% 38% B A- A+ A+ A+ A- B- D C+
0.96 77% 27% 31% +1 -1 1.03 35% 0.6 .19 29% .53 79% .42 1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.7 .17 19% .30 81% .25
Jan
23		 Indiana C- F C- F D 33% 37% 29% D- D- D+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ C F B- F F F 24% 10% 65% B+ F F A+ B F A+ F A+
1.00 41% 37% 27% -9 -3 0.78 24% 1.3 .32 8% .26 86% .22 1.39 58% 80% 47% +17 0 1.37 38% 0.7 .28 8% .13 100% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Michigan St. A C C+ B- A- 24% 29% 47% D B+ D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ B- B 40% 23% 38% C- B D- F F A- F F F
1.10 54% 38% 35% -1 -2 0.96 16% 1.2 .18 7% .35 83% .29 1.23 79% 9% 33% +1 0 1.04 45% 1.4 .62 21% .46 92% .42
Jan
31		 USC B F D D- D 31% 38% 31% F D- A A A+ A+ F C F B- F D- D F 49% 32% 20% B- F F A+ A A+ F C F
1.06 44% 36% 28% -8 -3 0.81 38% 1.1 .42 11% .19 75% .14 1.11 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 43% 0.6 .25 24% .56 73% .41
Feb
3		 UCLA B- D- A+ C- B 26% 33% 41% F+ B- C+ C- C A A F C F D D F F 33% 33% 33% B F C- F F+ F B- F C-
1.05 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 14% .37 55% .20 1.55 67% 44% 61% +19 -2 1.35 34% 1.4 .48 3% .29 89% .26
Feb
7		 Nebraska B- A+ A+ D A+ 15% 44% 40% F A- C A+ B D+ C+ F C- C B+ F C- B 41% 14% 45% C B B+ B B+ F A F B-
1.00 75% 52% 29% +6 -5 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 22% .23 58% .13 1.17 57% 50% 36% +2 +1 1.09 24% 1.0 .24 9% .19 92% .18
Feb
15		 Maryland C- F C F+ F+ 22% 41% 37% F F C+ A+ A C+ A+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ 31% 20% 49% B A+ D+ A+ A- D A+ A+ A+
1.05 40% 37% 29% -7 -4 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 15% .44 79% .35 0.88 56% 10% 28% -10 0 0.80 38% 0.7 .28 15% .24 46% .11
Feb
18		 Penn St. A A A+ D+ A 42% 27% 31% D+ A- D+ B+ C- B- A+ A+ A+ A- F F A+ D- 33% 26% 40% A D+ B+ A A A+ F D+ F
1.25 70% 62% 33% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .33 18% .41 87% .36 1.06 93% 64% 18% +8 -1 1.17 23% 1.0 .23 22% .41 77% .32
Feb
21		 Minnesota C+ C- B- B- B- 32% 34% 34% D- C+ F+ A+ C- A+ F B D- F D+ B F F 39% 7% 54% D- F B+ F D+ B- A+ D+ A+
1.04 56% 41% 35% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.2 .22 12% .16 75% .12 1.37 67% 33% 56% +21 +2 1.48 24% 1.4 .33 17% .14 71% .10
Feb
24		 Washington C B C F C 31% 43% 25% F+ C- D+ C C- A+ A+ B- A+ C+ C A F+ C+ 43% 20% 37% F C A+ F B C- D- C- D-
1.02 63% 36% 23% -4 -3 0.88 23% 1.0 .23 10% .50 72% .36 1.12 62% 30% 39% +3 0 1.08 25% 1.4 .36 14% .35 76% .26
Mar
1		 Maryland D+ D F F F 50% 19% 31% B F F A+ D- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ D+ D A C+ 38% 15% 47% D+ C+ F A+ B A+ B- B B
0.98 52% 20% 24% -11 +1 0.81 13% 1.4 .18 9% .36 83% .30 0.93 61% 43% 27% -3 +1 0.98 43% 0.8 .32 27% .31 69% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.3 0.3 11th
12th 0.8 0.8 12th
13th 0.8 0.8 13th
14th 21.1 63.3 0.2 84.6 14th
15th 13.5 13.5 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 34.6 63.3 2.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 2.1% 2.1
6-14 63.3% 63.3
5-15 34.6% 34.6
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 29.0%