Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#54
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#32
Pace64.7#309
Improvement+2.0#68

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#126
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#123
Layup/Dunks+3.9#49
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#322
Freethrows+1.2#109
Improvement-1.0#252

Defense
Total Defense+8.0#18
First Shot+7.2#15
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#125
Layups/Dunks+5.7#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#174
Freethrows-0.5#218
Improvement+3.0#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.8% 4.0% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.5% 52.1% 34.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 43.2% 50.7% 32.8%
Average Seed 9.2 9.0 9.5
.500 or above 96.0% 98.4% 92.8%
.500 or above in Conference 54.7% 65.5% 39.6%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 1.0% 4.7%
First Four11.2% 11.9% 10.3%
First Round38.0% 45.1% 28.0%
Second Round15.5% 18.7% 10.9%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 3.3% 1.9%
Elite Eight0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 58.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 24 - 38 - 11
Quad 36 - 114 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 297 St. Peter's W 77-50 96%     1 - 0 +16.7 +13.4 +7.7
  Fri, Nov 7 295 Wagner W 68-61 96%     2 - 0 -3.1 -3.2 +0.7
  Mon, Nov 10 277 Fairfield W 82-59 95%     3 - 0 +13.7 +5.6 +8.6
  Thu, Nov 13 224 Monmouth W 70-58 93%     4 - 0 +5.1 -2.9 +8.7
  Tue, Nov 18 340 New Haven W 68-45 98%     5 - 0 +8.6 +0.0 +11.6
  Mon, Nov 24 28 North Carolina St. W 85-74 31%     6 - 0 +25.8 +13.4 +11.8
  Tue, Nov 25 38 USC L 81-83 38%     6 - 1 +10.5 +14.3 -3.8
  Wed, Nov 26 149 Washington St. W 75-61 80%     7 - 1 +14.8 +6.3 +9.3
  Wed, Dec 3 278 Central Connecticut St. W 77-61 95%     8 - 1 +6.7 +8.7 -0.4
  Sat, Dec 6 58 @Kansas St. W 78-67 41%     9 - 1 +22.9 +1.7 +20.2
  Sat, Dec 13 147 Rutgers W 81-59 86%     10 - 1 +19.9 +11.0 +9.7
  Fri, Dec 19 78 @Providence W 72-67 48%     11 - 1 1 - 0 +15.1 +1.4 +13.7
  Tue, Dec 23 32 Villanova L 56-64 44%     11 - 2 1 - 1 +3.0 -5.6 +7.7
  Tue, Dec 30 105 @Marquette W 70-68 58%    
  Sun, Jan 4 36 Creighton L 67-68 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 99 @Georgetown W 70-69 54%    
  Tue, Jan 13 7 Connecticut L 60-69 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 50 Butler W 72-70 58%    
  Tue, Jan 20 19 @St. John's L 65-75 18%    
  Sat, Jan 24 115 @DePaul W 67-64 62%    
  Wed, Jan 28 97 Xavier W 73-66 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 105 Marquette W 73-65 77%    
  Wed, Feb 4 32 @Villanova L 60-67 24%    
  Sat, Feb 7 36 @Creighton L 64-71 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 78 Providence W 77-72 70%    
  Sun, Feb 15 50 @Butler L 69-73 36%    
  Wed, Feb 18 115 DePaul W 70-61 80%    
  Sat, Feb 21 99 Georgetown W 73-66 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 7 @Connecticut L 57-72 9%    
  Tue, Mar 3 97 @Xavier W 70-69 53%    
  Fri, Mar 6 19 St. John's L 68-72 37%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6 5.4 2.9 0.6 0.1 14.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 7.4 7.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 21.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.7 7.9 5.8 1.7 0.2 19.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.8 3.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 13.5 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 3.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.8 5.2 8.5 12.2 15.3 15.4 14.4 11.0 7.3 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 72.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 38.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 12.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 18.5% 81.5% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 12.3% 87.7% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.7% 100.0% 9.3% 90.7% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 4.1% 97.4% 8.0% 89.4% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.1 97.2%
13-7 7.3% 92.4% 4.8% 87.6% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.6 92.0%
12-8 11.0% 82.7% 4.1% 78.6% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.9 2.8 0.9 1.9 81.9%
11-9 14.4% 69.1% 2.6% 66.5% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.6 3.8 2.5 0.0 4.5 68.3%
10-10 15.4% 49.5% 1.8% 47.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 3.2 0.1 7.8 48.6%
9-11 15.3% 23.4% 0.9% 22.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 0.1 11.7 22.7%
8-12 12.2% 7.2% 0.7% 6.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 11.3 6.6%
7-13 8.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.8% 11.2 0.1 0.0 8.4 0.8%
6-14 5.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 5.1 0.1%
5-15 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 2.7
4-16 1.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 1.0
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 44.5% 2.3% 42.2% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 3.7 6.6 9.4 11.7 10.0 0.3 0.0 55.5 43.2%