Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +10.2 #56
Expected Predictive Rating +13.1 #41
Pace 64.7 #287
Improvement -0.3 #204

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #143 D+ B+ B- B C
Defense #10 A B+ A+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #32 1.16 #179 +3.8 #57
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #128 0.65 #320 -0.3 #190
Three Pointers 32% #339 0.93 #287 -6.1 #341
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #252 -2.6 #252
Freethrows 20.4 #57 72% #177 14.8 #72
Second Chance 36.6% #33 1.06 #157 0.39 #59
Turnovers 15.1% #95
Total Offense +0.7 #143

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #130 0.92 #6 +3.6 #67
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #231 0.68 #65 +1.7 #63
Three Pointers 41% #189 0.92 #70 +2.0 #115
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #16 +7.3 #14
Freethrows 20.9 #327 69% #56 14.4 #296
Second Chance 29.2% #117 0.87 #18 0.25 #37
Turnovers 22.3% #5
Total Defense +9.5 #10

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #163 0.8% #240
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.4% #261 -14.4% #10
Possession Length 15.5 #38 18.8 #345
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #117 0.09 #7
Improvement -1.8 #291 +1.5 #93

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 1.6% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.5% 54.9% 35.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.9% 53.4% 33.8%
Average Seed 9.5 9.4 9.8
.500 or above 99.7% 99.9% 99.5%
.500 or above in Conference 65.7% 78.2% 49.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four13.5% 13.9% 13.0%
First Round39.0% 47.3% 27.9%
Second Round14.5% 17.8% 10.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.5% 3.3% 1.5%
Elite Eight0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 56.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 26 - 39 - 11
Quad 35 - 115 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 220 St. Peter's W 77 - 50 93% +16  1 - 0 +20 +16 C A+ A+ +9 A+ A A+
 Fri, Nov 7 326 Wagner W 68 - 61 98% +3  2 - 0 -6 -7 F B- F +2 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 10 274 Fairfield W 82 - 59 95% +10  3 - 0 +14 +4 F A+ A+ +10 B- A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 202 Monmouth W 70 - 58 92% +2  4 - 0 +6 +0 F D- A+ +7 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 331 New Haven W 68 - 45 98% +14  5 - 0 +9 +0 C D C+ +12 A+ B B+
 Mon, Nov 24 26 North Carolina St. W 85 - 74 31% +8  6 - 0 +26 +14 B- A+ A- +11 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 48 USC L 81 - 83 47% +2  6 - 1 +9 +15 A+ F A+ -6 C D A+
 Wed, Nov 26 141 Washington St. W 75 - 61 81% +11  7 - 1 +15 +5 B A+ F +11 A+ A A+
 Wed, Dec 3 277 Central Connecticut St. W 77 - 61 96% +9  8 - 1 +6 +6 A- F C +2 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 85 @Kansas St. W 78 - 67 50% +8  9 - 1 +21 +2 F A B+ +18 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 115 Rutgers W 81 - 59 83% +11  10 - 1 +22 +12 A+ A+ F +11 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 65 @Providence W 72 - 67 45% +3  11 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +1 C C F +15 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 23 33 Villanova L 56 - 64 47% -8  11 - 2 1 - 1 +3 -6 F D- A+ +8 D+ C A+
 Tue, Dec 30 102 @Marquette W 79 - 73 60% -2  12 - 2 2 - 1 +14 +9 F A+ B- +5 A+ C- D
 Sun, Jan 4 44 Creighton W 56 - 54 57% -5  13 - 2 3 - 1 +10 -9 F F A- +20 A+ A- A
 Sat, Jan 10 93 @Georgetown W 76 - 67 56% -2  14 - 2 4 - 1 +18 +7 F A B +10 A+ A- A
 Tue, Jan 13 7 Connecticut L 64 - 69 24% -7  14 - 3 4 - 2 +12 +6 C A+ D +6 A D- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 59 Butler L 66 - 77 64% -6  14 - 4 4 - 3 -4 -2 F B+ D- -3 B- A+ F
 Tue, Jan 20 18 @St. John's L 60 - 65 17% +7  14 - 5 4 - 4 +15 +3 C+ B- C +12 A+ A A+
 Sat, Jan 24 99 @DePaul W 66 - 64 57%
 Wed, Jan 28 81 Xavier W 73 - 67 71%
 Sat, Jan 31 102 Marquette W 74 - 65 79%
 Wed, Feb 4 33 @Villanova L 61 - 68 26%
 Sat, Feb 7 44 @Creighton L 67 - 71 35%
 Wed, Feb 11 65 Providence W 79 - 74 66%
 Sun, Feb 15 59 @Butler L 70 - 72 41%
 Wed, Feb 18 99 DePaul W 69 - 61 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 93 Georgetown W 72 - 64 76%
 Sat, Feb 28 7 @Connecticut L 58 - 71 11%
 Tue, Mar 3 81 @Xavier L 69 - 70 49%
 Fri, Mar 6 18 St. John's L 68 - 72 35%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 10 +10 +1 D+ B+ B- +10 A B+ A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.6 3.9 1.6 0.2 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.6 8.8 8.3 2.8 0.3 24.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 5.8 12.9 9.2 2.4 0.2 31.1 5th
6th 0.2 3.3 8.5 4.5 0.7 0.0 17.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 4.5 2.6 0.2 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.7 0.2 4.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.8 10.1 17.5 21.3 19.8 14.3 7.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 5.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.5% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.5% 95.8% 8.3% 87.5% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.4%
13-7 7.3% 92.9% 7.4% 85.4% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.5 92.3%
12-8 14.3% 80.4% 4.7% 75.6% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 3.7 4.0 1.3 2.8 79.4%
11-9 19.8% 60.8% 3.3% 57.4% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 4.9 3.5 0.0 7.8 59.4%
10-10 21.3% 43.7% 2.2% 41.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.5 4.3 0.0 12.0 42.5%
9-11 17.5% 20.0% 1.0% 19.0% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 0.1 14.0 19.2%
8-12 10.1% 4.6% 0.8% 3.8% 10.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 9.7 3.8%
7-13 4.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.5%
6-14 1.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.3%
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 46.5% 2.9% 43.6% 9.5 53.5 44.9%