Butler
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#55
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#53
Pace74.0#77
Improvement-0.6#231

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#52
First Shot+2.1#118
After Offensive Rebound+4.3#13
Layup/Dunks+1.8#116
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#129
Freethrows+1.0#128
Improvement+0.8#116

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#70
First Shot+3.2#75
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#159
Layups/Dunks-7.4#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#37
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#24
Freethrows+2.9#34
Improvement-1.4#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.3% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 5.9% 7.6% 2.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 43.1% 49.4% 30.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.8% 47.1% 28.7%
Average Seed 8.7 8.6 9.0
.500 or above 85.5% 90.9% 74.8%
.500 or above in Conference 58.2% 66.8% 41.2%
Conference Champion 2.2% 3.0% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.0% 6.7%
First Four7.8% 8.3% 6.8%
First Round39.0% 45.1% 27.1%
Second Round18.4% 21.5% 12.3%
Sweet Sixteen4.1% 5.0% 2.5%
Elite Eight1.2% 1.4% 0.8%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Home) - 66.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 8
Quad 25 - 49 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 13
Quad 46 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 314 Southern Indiana W 88-58 97%     1 - 0 +18.4 +5.2 +11.2
  Sat, Nov 8 356 IU Indianapolis W 112-80 99%     2 - 0 +15.2 +4.1 +3.9
  Tue, Nov 11 352 Chicago St. W 98-66 98%     3 - 0 +16.2 +12.2 +2.6
  Sat, Nov 15 40 @SMU L 85-87 32%     3 - 1 +13.0 +13.6 -0.5
  Fri, Nov 21 87 South Carolina W 79-72 65%     4 - 1 +13.1 +10.3 +2.9
  Sun, Nov 23 23 Virginia W 80-73 32%     5 - 1 +21.9 +13.2 +8.7
  Fri, Nov 28 159 Wright St. W 94-69 89%     6 - 1 +21.6 +13.8 +6.1
  Tue, Dec 2 205 Eastern Michigan W 84-68 92%     7 - 1 +10.3 +14.3 -3.1
  Sat, Dec 6 52 Boise St. L 68-77 61%     7 - 2 -1.7 +3.4 -5.5
  Sat, Dec 13 65 Providence W 87-82 66%    
  Tue, Dec 16 6 @Connecticut L 67-81 10%    
  Sat, Dec 20 61 Northwestern W 78-77 54%    
  Mon, Dec 22 348 NJIT W 89-64 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 43 @Creighton L 76-80 35%    
  Sat, Jan 3 38 Villanova W 73-72 52%    
  Tue, Jan 6 16 St. John's L 79-83 35%    
  Wed, Jan 14 77 @Xavier L 78-79 49%    
  Sat, Jan 17 64 @Seton Hall L 71-72 44%    
  Tue, Jan 20 134 DePaul W 82-71 84%    
  Fri, Jan 23 88 Marquette W 83-76 73%    
  Wed, Jan 28 16 @St. John's L 76-86 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 86 Georgetown W 83-76 73%    
  Wed, Feb 4 65 @Providence L 84-85 45%    
  Sat, Feb 7 88 @Marquette W 80-79 54%    
  Wed, Feb 11 6 Connecticut L 70-78 25%    
  Sun, Feb 15 64 Seton Hall W 74-69 66%    
  Wed, Feb 18 86 @Georgetown W 80-79 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 77 Xavier W 81-75 69%    
  Wed, Feb 25 38 @Villanova L 70-76 31%    
  Wed, Mar 4 43 Creighton W 79-77 56%    
  Sat, Mar 7 134 @DePaul W 79-74 68%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.7 4.7 2.7 0.8 0.1 13.5 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 5.8 5.2 2.2 0.4 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 6.1 4.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 15.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 5.6 4.5 1.1 0.1 13.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.7 0.8 0.1 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.0 5.0 8.2 10.7 12.4 13.7 13.2 11.0 8.5 5.8 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 76.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 41.5% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 15.4% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.2% 2.2 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 24.6% 75.4% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 20.8% 79.2% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.7% 99.8% 16.7% 83.1% 5.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
15-5 3.4% 99.1% 13.4% 85.7% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
14-6 5.8% 97.1% 10.7% 86.3% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.2 96.7%
13-7 8.5% 91.0% 7.5% 83.5% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.2 2.3 1.3 0.3 0.8 90.2%
12-8 11.0% 78.8% 4.9% 73.9% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.6 2.5 1.1 0.0 2.3 77.7%
11-9 13.2% 60.8% 3.8% 57.0% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 3.3 2.1 0.0 5.2 59.2%
10-10 13.7% 37.8% 2.1% 35.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 2.3 0.1 8.5 36.5%
9-11 12.4% 12.3% 1.2% 11.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.1 10.9 11.2%
8-12 10.7% 2.6% 0.9% 1.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.4 1.7%
7-13 8.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.1%
6-14 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
5-15 3.0% 3.0
4-16 1.7% 1.7
3-17 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 43.1% 3.8% 39.2% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.1 4.8 7.0 8.5 9.6 7.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 56.9 40.8%