Southern Indiana
Ohio Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#317
Expected Predictive Rating-13.7#343
Pace78.0#24
Improvement+1.4#81

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#326
First Shot-1.2#212
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#356
Layup/Dunks-5.2#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#166
Freethrows+0.9#133
Improvement+2.0#40

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#266
First Shot-6.0#345
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#23
Layups/Dunks-8.8#363
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#63
Freethrows-3.0#330
Improvement-0.6#236
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.4% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 12.7% 26.0% 9.6%
.500 or above in Conference 41.8% 54.6% 38.8%
Conference Champion 4.4% 7.1% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 6.5% 10.8%
First Four2.7% 3.2% 2.5%
First Round2.5% 3.9% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Indiana St. (Away) - 18.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 51 - 6
Quad 49 - 1211 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 44 @Butler L 58-88 3%     0 - 1 -15.7 -12.8 -1.0
  Fri, Nov 7 337 VMI L 74-78 70%     0 - 2 -18.0 -14.1 -3.5
  Wed, Nov 12 276 @South Dakota L 74-89 30%     0 - 3 -18.2 -13.6 -2.2
  Thu, Nov 20 171 Incarnate Word L 81-87 24%     0 - 4 -7.1 +2.2 -9.0
  Sat, Nov 22 204 Illinois-Chicago L 73-84 28%     0 - 5 -13.7 -4.0 -9.2
  Wed, Nov 26 214 @Valparaiso W 64-56 21%     1 - 5 +7.7 -7.0 +14.7
  Wed, Dec 3 267 @Western Michigan L 74-88 29%     1 - 6 -16.9 -3.0 -13.4
  Sun, Dec 7 196 @Indiana St. L 75-84 19%    
  Thu, Dec 18 305 Arkansas Little Rock W 74-72 59%    
  Sat, Dec 20 327 Morehead St. W 76-72 64%    
  Thu, Jan 1 206 @SIU Edwardsville L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Jan 3 246 @Lindenwood L 75-82 26%    
  Thu, Jan 8 233 Southeast Missouri St. L 78-79 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 239 Tennessee Martin L 72-73 46%    
  Thu, Jan 15 306 @Tennessee Tech L 76-80 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 249 @Tennessee St. L 74-81 26%    
  Thu, Jan 22 325 Eastern Illinois W 74-70 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 361 Western Illinois W 77-68 79%    
  Thu, Jan 29 246 Lindenwood L 78-79 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 206 SIU Edwardsville L 70-73 40%    
  Thu, Feb 5 239 @Tennessee Martin L 69-76 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 233 @Southeast Missouri St. L 75-82 25%    
  Thu, Feb 12 249 Tennessee St. L 77-78 47%    
  Sat, Feb 14 306 Tennessee Tech W 79-77 58%    
  Thu, Feb 19 361 @Western Illinois W 74-71 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 325 @Eastern Illinois L 71-73 41%    
  Tue, Feb 24 327 @Morehead St. L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Feb 28 305 @Arkansas Little Rock L 71-75 38%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.3 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 6.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.7 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 5.0 4.2 0.8 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.9 1.1 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.4 5.0 1.3 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.9 4.1 1.6 0.1 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 3.3 3.2 1.1 0.1 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 4.0 6.0 8.7 11.0 12.3 12.7 11.7 9.7 7.6 5.5 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 94.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-4 83.7% 0.9    0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 57.2% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 30.4% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 10.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
12-8 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 65.9% 65.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.5% 32.5% 32.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
16-4 1.0% 27.2% 27.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 0.8
15-5 2.0% 20.3% 20.3% 15.9 0.0 0.4 1.6
14-6 3.5% 20.4% 20.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 2.8
13-7 5.5% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7 4.8
12-8 7.6% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 0.6 7.0
11-9 9.7% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.3 9.4
10-10 11.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 11.5
9-11 12.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.6
8-12 12.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 12.2
7-13 11.0% 11.0
6-14 8.7% 8.7
5-15 6.0% 6.0
4-16 4.0% 4.0
3-17 2.4% 2.4
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.5 96.3 0.0%