IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Arkansas Little Rock
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.0	#305
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.4	#299

Pace	65.6	#284
Improvement	-0.5	#230

Offense
Total Offense	-5.3	#315

First Shot	-7.4	#352
After Offensive Rebound	+2.1	#67

Layup/Dunks	+4.4	#48
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#184
3 Pt Jumpshots	-7.1	#349
Freethrows	-4.5	#352

Improvement	-1.4	#288

Defense
Total Defense	-2.8	#262

First Shot	-3.5	#297
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.7	#136

Layups/Dunks	-2.2	#261
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.7	#18
3 Pt Jumpshots	-6.4	#347
Freethrows	+2.4	#55

Improvement	+0.9	#107

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.9%	6.3%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	14.3%	24.5%	9.5%
.500 or above in Conference	47.6%	55.7%	43.7%
Conference Champion	5.4%	7.8%	4.2%
Last Place in Conference	8.0%	5.4%	9.3%

First Four	3.3%	3.7%	3.1%
First Round	3.4%	4.7%	2.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas St. (Home) - 32.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 10	11 - 19

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Mon, Nov 10	221 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	72-92	24%	0 - 1			-20.6	-1.8	-19.0
Wed, Nov 12	83 @Marquette	L	49-89	6%	0 - 2			-30.1	-15.9	-16.1
Sat, Nov 15	316 @Ball St.	W	68-62	40%	1 - 2			+0.5	-3.7	+4.5
Tue, Nov 18	113 @Murray St.	L	68-89	9%	1 - 3			-14.3	+0.7	-16.2
Fri, Nov 21	232 @Texas St.	L	56-65	26%	1 - 4			-10.2	-10.9	+0.0
Sat, Nov 29	142 @Southern Illinois	L	65-74	13%	1 - 5			-4.7	+0.3	-5.8
Wed, Dec 3	273 @Central Arkansas	L	47-85	32%	1 - 6			-41.1	-26.7	-13.6
Sat, Dec 6	155 Arkansas St.	L	72-77	32%
Tue, Dec 9	65 @West Virginia	L	55-75	3%
Tue, Dec 16	327 @Morehead St.	L	67-69	45%
Thu, Dec 18	317 @Southern Indiana	L	72-74	41%
Thu, Jan 1	306 Tennessee Tech	W	73-70	61%
Sat, Jan 3	249 Tennessee St.	L	71-72	49%
Thu, Jan 8	206 @SIU Edwardsville	L	62-70	22%
Sat, Jan 10	246 @Lindenwood	L	69-75	28%
Thu, Jan 15	325 Eastern Illinois	W	68-64	65%
Sat, Jan 17	361 Western Illinois	W	72-62	80%
Thu, Jan 22	233 @Southeast Missouri St.	L	69-76	27%
Sat, Jan 24	239 @Tennessee Martin	L	64-71	28%
Thu, Jan 29	249 @Tennessee St.	L	68-74	28%
Sat, Jan 31	306 @Tennessee Tech	L	70-73	39%
Thu, Feb 5	246 Lindenwood	L	71-72	49%
Sat, Feb 7	206 SIU Edwardsville	L	65-67	42%
Thu, Feb 12	361 @Western Illinois	W	69-65	62%
Sat, Feb 14	325 @Eastern Illinois	L	65-67	44%
Thu, Feb 19	239 Tennessee Martin	L	67-68	48%
Sat, Feb 21	233 Southeast Missouri St.	L	72-73	47%
Thu, Feb 26	327 Morehead St.	W	70-66	65%
Sat, Feb 28	317 Southern Indiana	W	75-71	62%
Projected Record					11 - 18	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.6	1.4	1.6	1.1	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0		5.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.4	2.6	2.5	0.9	0.2	0.0					7.8	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.6	3.5	2.6	0.6	0.0	0.0						8.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.7	4.2	3.3	0.6	0.0	0.0							10.0	4th
5th									0.1	1.4	4.9	3.7	0.8	0.0									10.9	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	4.4	4.4	0.9	0.0										11.0	6th
7th							0.0	1.1	4.3	5.0	1.1	0.0											11.6	7th
8th						0.1	1.1	4.1	4.7	1.4	0.1												11.5	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.0	3.4	3.8	1.5	0.1													10.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	1.5	2.8	2.6	1.0	0.1														8.4	10th
11th	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.2	1.4	1.1	0.4	0.0															4.8	11th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.6	3.1	5.0	7.5	10.1	12.0	12.3	12.4	10.6	9.1	6.4	4.6	2.5	1.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	96.4%	0.4		0.4	0.1	0.0
16-4	83.9%	1.1		0.8	0.2	0.0
15-5	62.3%	1.6		0.9	0.5	0.1	0.0
14-6	30.0%	1.4		0.5	0.6	0.3	0.0
13-7	8.6%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1
12-8	1.1%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.4%	5.4		3.0	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																							0.0
19-1	0.0%																			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
18-2	0.2%		26.2%	26.2%		14.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
17-3	0.5%		31.4%	31.4%		15.2															0.0	0.1	0.0	0.3
16-4	1.3%		32.8%	32.8%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8
15-5	2.5%		25.7%	25.7%		15.9																0.1	0.6	1.9
14-6	4.6%		17.2%	17.2%		15.9																0.1	0.7	3.8
13-7	6.4%		13.9%	13.9%		16.0																0.0	0.9	5.5
12-8	9.1%		8.5%	8.5%		16.0																0.0	0.8	8.3
11-9	10.6%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																	0.6	10.0
10-10	12.4%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.3	12.1
9-11	12.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	12.2
8-12	12.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	11.9
7-13	10.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
6-14	7.5%																							7.5
5-15	5.0%																							5.0
4-16	3.1%																							3.1
3-17	1.6%																							1.6
2-18	0.5%																							0.5
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		4.9%	4.9%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.4	4.4	95.2		0.0%