Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.6 326
Results Rating -10.1 319
Consistency 0.14 115
Pace 65.2 270
Improvement -1.7 250

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 354 F+ D D+ C- D-
Defense C- 219 C- D B D D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 215 D- 50% 350 -3.8 317
2 Pt. Jumpers 60% 14 D- 32% 337 +2.5 54
Three Pointers 31% 350 D 31% 309 -6.8 351
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.5 339 F+ -6.5 354
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.86 359
Second Chance D+ 26.4% 293 D+ 0.97 279 D 0.26 305
Opponents' Steals C+ 9.1% 144
Other Turnovers F+ 9.2% 345
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 282
Freethrows D+ 0.28 261 B- 74% 122 C- 0.21 228
Total Offense F+ -9.1 354

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 47% 212 D 13.9% 332
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 148 D 7.2% 309
Three Pointers C+ 87% 125 F 2.6% 365
Total D+ 51% 280 F 8.3% 360


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 151 D 62% 300 +2.4 264
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 342 D 42% 325 -1.5 63
Three Pointers 45% 56 B- 32% 85 +0.9 236
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 324 C- +1.0 213
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 241
Second Chance D- 34.8% 333 C- 1.08 262 D 0.37 322
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.7% 82
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 76
Turnovers B 18.9% 62
Freethrows C- 0.32 248 F 78% 361 D 0.25 297
Total Defense C- -1.5 219

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 58% 346 D+ 8.7% 266
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 253 A- 9.4% 20
Three Pointers F 93% 361 D 0.3% 310
Total D- 65% 346 C- 5.0% 216

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.5 294 16.7 65
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 137 0.20 283
Consistency 0.09 4 0.14 302
Improvement -0.1 187 -1.7 268

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 329 323 314
Results Rating Rank 333 330 299
Conference Record 8 - 12 8 - 12 8 - 12
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 2% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 2% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 49 - 119 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 155 @Valparaiso L 63 - 66 10% -5  4% 0 - 1 C +0 F -10 D+ F F A +11 A+ C- A
 Fri, Nov 7 249 Nicholls St. W 65 - 57 40% +5  78% 1 - 1 C +0 F -14 F C D A+ +14 A+ A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 85 @Notre Dame L 58 - 78 4% -7  6% 1 - 2 D -10 D -5 C+ F D- F+ -8 B F C
 Fri, Nov 14 22 @Kentucky L 53 - 99 1% -27  0% 1 - 3 F -27 F -12 D- F C+ F -17 F F A
 Tue, Nov 25 171 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 81 12% -16  0% 1 - 4 F -19 F+ -8 F+ D+ C F -12 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 28 7 @Purdue L 62 - 109 0% -25  7% 1 - 5 F -23 D- -7 B+ F F F -15 F F B-
 Sat, Dec 6 276 Lindenwood L 74 - 82 45% +1  50% 1 - 6 0 - 1 F+ -17 D -6 F B A F -12 D+ F D
 Wed, Dec 10 288 Eastern Kentucky L 59 - 68 48% -5  6% 1 - 7 F -19 F -18 F D F+ C- -2 C D+ C
 Sun, Dec 14 10 @Iowa St. L 53 - 78 1% -15  13% 1 - 8 C- -2 F -10 F+ D+ D- A- +8 A- A- B+
 Thu, Dec 18 250 SIU Edwardsville W 76 - 72 OT 40% +0  45% 2 - 8 1 - 1 C- -4 C -0 B C+ F D+ -4 F A+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 223 @Southeast Missouri St. L 59 - 68 17% +2  49% 2 - 9 1 - 2 D -10 F -14 D- F C B +4 B F D
 Sat, Jan 3 230 @Tennessee Martin L 61 - 65 18% +0  47% 2 - 10 1 - 3 C- -5 D- -8 F F B- B- +3 A+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 310 Tennessee Tech W 71 - 61 56% -2  28% 3 - 10 2 - 3 C- -2 C- -2 D B- B- C+ +1 C+ C- A
 Sat, Jan 10 196 Tennessee St. W 74 - 70 30% +8  95% 4 - 10 3 - 3 C -1 D+ -3 C- C+ B+ C+ +2 C A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 13 364 Western Illinois W 57 - 55 85% +4  89% 5 - 10 4 - 3 F -20 F -25 F F F B +5 A D- B
 Thu, Jan 15 299 @Arkansas Little Rock L 63 - 74 30% +4  80% 5 - 11 4 - 4 F+ -16 F+ -10 F A F D- -7 D F C+
 Thu, Jan 22 337 @Southern Indiana W 59 - 51 OT 44% -3  10% 6 - 11 5 - 4 C -1 F -20 F F D- A+ +19 A+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 283 @Morehead St. L 68 - 73 25% -0  46% 6 - 12 5 - 5 D -9 D+ -3 F A F D -6 F F A+
 Thu, Jan 29 230 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 76 36% -7  1% 6 - 13 5 - 6 F+ -15 D+ -4 F+ C- A+ F -11 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 223 Southeast Missouri St. L 59 - 77 35% -12  0% 6 - 14 5 - 7 F -25 F -13 D- D F F -13 F A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 5 196 @Tennessee St. L 68 - 77 14% -3  8% 6 - 15 5 - 8 D+ -8 D- -7 D+ B+ F C- -2 D+ A F
 Sat, Feb 7 310 @Tennessee Tech W 60 - 54 33% +7  94% 7 - 15 6 - 8 C -0 F -13 F D- D+ A+ +14 A F+ A+
 Tue, Feb 10 364 @Western Illinois L 70 - 79 70% -4  25% 7 - 16 6 - 9 F -25 F -14 F F+ D+ F -11 F D- D+
 Sat, Feb 14 299 Arkansas Little Rock W 78 - 72 52% +2  57% 8 - 16 7 - 9 D+ -5 C +1 F B- A+ D -6 C- F+ D+
 Thu, Feb 19 283 Morehead St. L 70 - 73 46% -4  20% 8 - 17 7 - 10 D- -13 F+ -9 F B- C+ D+ -4 F A+ A
 Sat, Feb 21 337 Southern Indiana L 68 - 70 67% -8  5% 8 - 18 7 - 11 F+ -17 D- -8 F B- C F+ -10 F D+ B+
 Thu, Feb 26 276 @Lindenwood W 71 - 67 24% +5  91% 9 - 18 8 - 11 C +1 D+ -3 C F D+ B +4 B+ D- C+
 Sat, Feb 28 250 @SIU Edwardsville L 50 - 77 20% -14  0% 9 - 19 8 - 12 F -29 F -14 D+ F F+ F -20 F F C
 Wed, Mar 4 250 SIU Edwardsville L 59 - 65 29%
Totals 9 - 20 8 - 12 -11 F+ -9 C F+ D- C- -2 D B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D- D- D F+ 37% 60% 31% D- F+ D+ D+ D D+ D+ B- C- C- D D B- C- 40% 15% 45% D C- D- C- D B C- F D
0.96 50% 32% 31% -7 -2 0.86 26% 1.0 .26 18% .28 74% .21 1.11 62% 42% 32% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.1 .37 19% .32 78% .22
Nov
4		 Valparaiso F A- C F+ C+ 34% 47% 18% F D+ C F F F A+ A+ A+ A C- A+ A+ A+ 27% 9% 64% F A+ D+ C+ C- A F A+ F
0.90 69% 33% 29% 0 -4 0.95 31% 0.3 .09 29% .62 81% .50 0.94 58% 0% 18% -19 +1 0.66 34% 1.1 .36 20% .62 60% .37
Nov
7		 Nicholls St. F F F F F 40% 26% 35% D- F C- B- C D A+ D+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 33% 24% 43% A- A+ F A+ A+ C- F B- F
0.93 47% 27% 27% -11 -1 0.79 32% 1.2 .38 23% .54 76% .41 0.82 63% 8% 19% -15 -1 0.69 33% 0.4 .13 16% .46 63% .29
Nov
11		 Notre Dame D F A+ C- B 20% 38% 42% F C+ B- F F D- D- A D+ F+ D C+ A+ A- 39% 16% 45% D- B F C- F C B- D C
0.95 44% 53% 32% +1 -4 0.98 28% 0.4 .13 18% .24 83% .20 1.28 68% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 53% 1.0 .53 16% .29 73% .22
Nov
14		 Kentucky F C F B- D+ 18% 47% 35% F D- F F F C+ B+ D B- F F F F+ F 50% 10% 40% F F F F F A B+ D+ B
0.78 56% 22% 35% -7 -5 0.78 13% 0.6 .08 16% .33 68% .23 1.46 80% 60% 40% +17 +2 1.40 57% 1.4 .79 19% .29 75% .22
Nov
25		 Central Arkansas F+ B+ D F F+ 33% 25% 42% F+ F+ F A+ D+ C D A+ C+ F F A+ D F 36% 6% 57% F+ F F F F B+ C+ A B
0.95 69% 33% 25% -3 -1 0.94 17% 1.6 .28 19% .23 92% .21 1.28 82% 0% 37% +9 +2 1.23 35% 1.8 .62 19% .25 62% .16
Nov
28		 Purdue D- A+ A+ F B+ 27% 31% 41% D+ B+ F F F F D- C D F F C- F F 36% 25% 39% C+ F F F F B- C F D-
0.86 79% 50% 24% +3 -2 1.04 13% 0.8 .10 24% .16 67% .11 1.52 85% 43% 50% +20 -1 1.41 46% 1.5 .67 14% .29 89% .26
Dec
6		 Lindenwood D F+ F F F 61% 27% 12% C F C+ B+ B A D- C+ D F F+ B A+ C- 53% 14% 33% F D+ F F F D F F F
1.03 50% 19% 14% -14 +1 0.76 33% 1.2 .40 13% .29 72% .21 1.14 67% 29% 18% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 17% .39 78% .30
Dec
10		 Eastern Kentucky F D F D- F 39% 33% 28% D- F F B+ D F+ F+ A+ C- C- D- F A C+ 23% 13% 64% F+ C D C D+ C C+ F D-
0.94 56% 20% 31% -8 -2 0.83 24% 1.1 .27 19% .27 86% .24 1.08 64% 67% 27% -2 0 0.98 35% 1.1 .38 17% .25 92% .23
Dec
14		 Iowa St. F F F C- F+ 29% 33% 39% D F+ D+ D+ D+ D- C- B+ C A- F F A+ A 42% 17% 42% C- A- B A- A- B+ F D- F
0.75 43% 25% 32% -10 -2 0.78 23% 1.0 .23 26% .23 75% .17 1.11 75% 50% 20% 0 +1 1.04 34% 0.9 .31 17% .46 74% .34
Dec
18		 SIU Edwardsville C A- B D+ B 34% 28% 38% D+ B C- B+ C+ F C- B C D+ C A+ F F 32% 22% 46% D F A- A+ A+ B- D+ F F+
1.07 65% 43% 32% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.1 .34 22% .31 76% .23 1.01 56% 18% 48% +5 -1 1.10 22% 0.5 .11 20% .28 81% .23
Jan
1		 Southeast Missouri St. F F D+ B+ F+ 53% 18% 29% B D- F F F C D+ D+ D B B+ A+ A A 65% 4% 31% F B D- F F D C- A+ A
0.84 42% 38% 38% -7 +1 0.91 16% 0.4 .06 17% .38 73% .28 0.97 48% 0% 27% -11 +4 0.88 32% 1.9 .62 14% .33 45% .15
Jan
3		 Tennessee Martin D- B D F F+ 18% 33% 49% F F D+ F F B- A D- B+ B- A F A+ A+ 22% 15% 63% C+ A+ C F F A+ F F F
0.91 67% 31% 25% -7 -3 0.82 30% 0.5 .16 18% .42 65% .27 0.97 44% 67% 19% -13 0 0.76 34% 1.5 .50 27% .53 85% .45
Jan
8		 Tennessee Tech C- C F C F+ 47% 17% 36% B D B- B- B- B- B D B- C+ C+ D- A B- 33% 18% 49% D+ C+ D+ C+ C- A F F F
1.14 59% 13% 35% -3 +1 0.98 33% 1.3 .42 13% .33 72% .24 0.98 54% 43% 26% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.0 .32 24% .44 90% .40
Jan
10		 Tennessee St. D+ F F A+ C- 47% 21% 32% D+ C- C+ C+ C+ B+ F A F C+ B+ F A- C+ 34% 25% 42% D+ C B- A+ A+ C+ F B- F
1.08 48% 27% 53% +2 +1 1.08 31% 1.1 .34 16% .19 82% .16 1.02 50% 54% 27% -3 -1 0.94 29% 0.6 .18 18% .39 73% .28
Jan
13		 Western Illinois F D- F F F 45% 34% 20% F F F+ F F F A+ A- A+ B A B+ A+ A+ 57% 21% 21% F A F B- D- B D F F
0.86 55% 20% 11% -15 -1 0.70 26% 0.9 .23 18% .42 78% .33 0.83 41% 30% 10% -19 +1 0.66 34% 0.9 .32 20% .34 83% .28
Jan
15		 Arkansas Little Rock F+ F C A F+ 31% 31% 38% F F D- A+ A F F A D D- F B- C- D- 32% 30% 39% C- D F D+ F C+ F F F
0.98 43% 36% 41% -1 -2 0.96 30% 1.6 .47 26% .21 80% .17 1.15 71% 31% 35% +3 -2 1.05 44% 1.1 .47 19% .32 82% .27
Jan
22		 Southern Indiana F C- F F F 28% 50% 22% F F F C+ F D- B+ B- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 18% 49% D+ A+ C F F+ A+ F D- F
0.82 57% 28% 18% -11 -5 0.72 18% 1.0 .18 18% .37 77% .29 0.71 38% 22% 8% -29 0 0.45 29% 1.1 .33 24% .49 70% .34
Jan
24		 Morehead St. D+ F F A+ F 45% 28% 28% D- F A+ C- A F A+ A+ A+ D C- F+ F F 38% 43% 20% A+ F F D+ F A+ F F F
1.09 24% 31% 46% -12 0 0.77 51% 0.9 .49 19% .48 83% .40 1.17 60% 47% 50% +9 -3 1.15 52% 1.0 .52 27% .53 88% .46
Jan
29		 Tennessee Martin D+ B- F F F 38% 28% 34% C- F+ D+ C+ C- A+ A+ F A- F F F F F 34% 7% 59% F F D- C- D A+ F C+ F
1.01 65% 20% 22% -9 -1 0.83 30% 1.0 .30 12% .49 59% .29 1.12 71% 67% 42% +13 +1 1.32 39% 0.9 .36 30% .42 65% .27
Jan
31		 Southeast Missouri St. F F F A+ F+ 49% 20% 31% C+ D- F+ C+ D F F D+ F F F A+ F F 43% 8% 49% F F D+ A+ A+ D+ A+ D- A
0.91 38% 30% 47% -6 +1 0.92 20% 1.2 .23 21% .29 73% .21 1.18 71% 25% 46% +13 +2 1.33 30% 0.6 .17 15% .20 73% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Tennessee St. D- C- D B D+ 47% 18% 36% C- D+ F+ A+ B+ F F F F C- F A- A+ C- 43% 27% 29% D D+ A+ C+ A F F D+ F
0.99 57% 38% 38% +1 +1 1.07 23% 1.8 .42 25% .29 67% .19 1.12 77% 29% 20% -1 -1 1.00 21% 1.0 .21 10% .44 78% .34
Feb
7		 Tennessee Tech F D- F D+ F 39% 37% 24% F F F+ B- D- D+ C B+ B- A+ B- D+ A+ A+ 39% 13% 47% F A F C+ F+ A+ F F F
0.93 53% 28% 33% -6 -2 0.86 22% 1.3 .28 15% .29 81% .24 0.84 53% 40% 17% -14 +1 0.76 40% 1.0 .40 33% .46 85% .39
Feb
10		 Western Illinois F D A- F F+ 28% 37% 35% F F F B- F+ D+ F F F F F B- F F 25% 35% 39% A F C F D- D+ F F F
0.97 56% 48% 25% -2 -3 0.93 24% 1.2 .30 15% .23 57% .13 1.10 69% 33% 40% +5 -3 1.06 24% 1.3 .30 15% .43 73% .31
Feb
14		 Arkansas Little Rock C F F A+ F 46% 25% 29% D F A+ D- B- A+ A+ B- A+ D A F C- C- 33% 33% 33% C C- F+ D+ F+ D+ F B+ D-
1.17 41% 25% 43% -7 0 0.88 49% 0.8 .39 12% .51 73% .38 1.08 47% 47% 35% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.1 .39 17% .32 61% .20
Feb
19		 Morehead St. F+ C D- F F 48% 22% 30% C- F D A+ B- C+ F A+ C- D+ C- F D+ F 49% 13% 38% F F A A+ A+ A F+ C D-
1.06 58% 33% 19% -8 0 0.87 31% 1.3 .40 14% .24 93% .23 1.10 59% 100% 35% +9 +2 1.24 28% 0.6 .16 23% .37 74% .27
Feb
21		 Southern Indiana D- F B D+ F 49% 33% 18% F+ F A+ D- B- C B- B+ B F+ B B+ F F 28% 39% 33% A+ F C F+ D+ B+ F F F
1.04 40% 41% 33% -8 -1 0.84 45% 0.8 .38 15% .34 79% .27 1.07 46% 28% 53% +2 -3 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 20% .44 83% .36
Feb
26		 Lindenwood D+ C F A+ B 39% 43% 18% F C D- F F D+ A+ B+ A+ B A+ A+ B- A 52% 8% 40% F B+ F A- D- C+ B D- C+
1.03 59% 21% 75% +4 -3 1.05 26% 0.3 .06 19% .59 76% .45 0.97 42% 0% 30% -14 +3 0.80 43% 0.9 .40 20% .25 71% .18
Feb
28		 SIU Edwardsville F D A+ F C 21% 36% 44% F D+ F+ F F F+ B+ F C- F F D- F F 34% 14% 52% F F F D F C A+ F A+
0.83 50% 64% 18% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.5 .12 20% .37 61% .23 1.28 76% 43% 42% +13 +1 1.30 35% 1.1 .38 18% .08 75% .06



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.4 99.6
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.7%
Lose Out 71.5%