Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
216 Southeast Missouri St. 17.1%   16   2 - 6 0 - 0 14 - 13 12 - 7 -3.6      -2.7 241 -0.9 196 74.2 69 -5.4 249 0.0 2
230 SIU Edwardsville 16.7%   4 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 12 12 - 8 -4.0      -4.1 283 +0.2 163 65.4 287 -3.3 219 0.0 2
236 Lindenwood 16.3%   4 - 4 1 - 0 16 - 12 12 - 8 -4.3      -3.6 264 -0.7 187 76.9 35 -0.6 181 +8.3 1
240 Tennessee Martin 15.8%   4 - 2 0 - 0 17 - 11 12 - 8 -4.5      -3.6 265 -0.9 195 66.0 276 +4.8 109 0.0 2
249 Tennessee St. 12.6%   2 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 12 11 - 7 -4.9      -4.3 287 -0.6 180 75.0 50 -0.4 178 0.0 2
271 Tennessee Tech 9.5%   2 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 15 10 - 9 -5.7      -3.6 261 -2.2 237 73.3 89 -6.4 272 0.0 2
314 Southern Indiana 3.9%   1 - 6 0 - 0 10 - 18 9 - 11 -8.6      -5.9 325 -2.7 257 78.2 20 -13.6 338 0.0 2
315 Arkansas Little Rock 3.6%   1 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 19 9 - 11 -8.6      -4.9 303 -3.7 295 65.6 283 -10.7 314 0.0 2
325 Morehead St. 2.5%   1 - 7 0 - 0 9 - 19 8 - 12 -9.7      -4.9 304 -4.7 332 68.5 210 -14.0 344 0.0 2
329 Eastern Illinois 1.8%   1 - 6 0 - 1 9 - 19 8 - 12 -9.9      -6.8 343 -3.1 267 66.1 274 -11.0 318 -22.5 11
361 Western Illinois 0.2%   0 - 7 0 - 0 5 - 23 5 - 15 -14.5      -6.9 345 -7.5 358 62.4 349 -19.9 360 0.0 2




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 161 Lipscomb 83 271 Tennessee Tech 80   
Wed, Dec 3 272 Alabama A&M 80 249 Tennessee St. 53   
Wed, Dec 3 314 Southern Indiana 74 245 Western Michigan 88   
Wed, Dec 3 279 Central Arkansas 85 315 Arkansas Little Rock 47   
Sat, Dec 6 222 Chattanooga 70 216 Southeast Missouri St. 74   
Sat, Dec 6 230 SIU Edwardsville 73 245 Western Michigan 83   
Sat, Dec 6 271 Tennessee Tech 87 318 West Georgia 59   
Sat, Dec 6 325 Morehead St. 72 262 Presbyterian 80   
Sat, Dec 6 329 Eastern Illinois 74 236 Lindenwood 82   
Sat, Dec 6 149 Arkansas St. 90 315 Arkansas Little Rock 78   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 7 276 Alabama St. 69 240 Tennessee Martin 74 67%   
Sun, Dec 7 198 Indiana St. 84 314 Southern Indiana 75 81%   
Tue, Dec 9 315 Arkansas Little Rock 56 71 West Virginia 76 96%   
Wed, Dec 10 143 Southern Illinois 76 240 Tennessee Martin 67 79%   
Wed, Dec 10 329 Eastern Illinois 73 269 Eastern Kentucky 74 55%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Southeast Missouri St. 3.9 19.6 17.9 14.8 12.5 10.5 8.2 6.4 4.7 3.2 1.8 0.5
SIU Edwardsville 3.6 24.7 17.9 13.7 11.9 9.3 7.5 5.9 4.2 2.8 1.7 0.6
Lindenwood 3.5 25.3 18.1 14.6 12.1 9.4 7.2 5.7 3.7 2.3 1.3 0.3
Tennessee Martin 4.0 22.0 15.9 13.6 11.4 9.9 8.1 6.6 5.2 3.8 2.5 0.9
Tennessee St. 4.7 11.2 13.2 13.4 13.1 11.9 10.8 8.9 7.2 5.4 3.5 1.5
Tennessee Tech 5.1 9.1 11.0 11.6 12.5 11.9 11.9 10.1 8.9 6.6 4.5 2.0
Southern Indiana 6.5 4.7 5.9 7.3 8.5 10.1 10.9 11.9 12.4 12.1 10.5 5.8
Arkansas Little Rock 6.5 4.2 5.6 7.2 8.6 9.7 11.4 11.9 12.8 12.3 10.6 5.8
Morehead St. 7.2 2.6 3.9 5.2 6.9 8.4 10.0 11.9 13.8 14.9 13.8 8.7
Eastern Illinois 7.6 1.5 2.9 4.3 5.4 7.4 9.0 11.7 13.8 15.8 16.9 11.4
Western Illinois 9.6 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 3.2 5.1 7.5 12.6 21.6 45.1




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Southeast Missouri St. 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.5 5.3 7.7 10.5 12.5 13.9 13.5 11.6 8.9 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.2
SIU Edwardsville 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 3.1 4.9 7.1 9.2 11.8 12.7 12.7 12.3 9.5 6.8 4.0 2.2 0.7 0.1
Lindenwood 12 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.4 6.8 9.4 11.7 13.5 13.3 12.2 9.9 7.1 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.1
Tennessee Martin 12 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.5 4.0 5.9 7.8 10.0 11.8 12.4 12.1 10.5 8.7 6.2 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.1
Tennessee St. 11 - 9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.7 5.6 8.3 10.6 12.4 13.3 13.1 11.3 8.7 5.5 2.9 1.1 0.2
Tennessee Tech 10 - 10 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.6 4.5 7.0 9.5 11.8 13.0 13.2 11.8 9.7 6.9 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0
Southern Indiana 9 - 11 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.4 8.7 11.2 12.3 12.3 12.0 9.7 7.5 5.6 3.5 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas Little Rock 9 - 11 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 4.0 6.4 8.9 11.7 12.5 12.4 11.9 9.8 7.7 5.1 3.4 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Morehead St. 8 - 12 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.0 5.7 8.6 11.2 12.8 12.9 12.1 10.4 8.1 5.6 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Eastern Illinois 8 - 12 0.1 0.8 2.1 4.4 7.5 9.7 12.4 13.4 13.1 11.4 9.1 6.8 4.3 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Western Illinois 5 - 15 1.9 6.1 10.5 14.1 15.3 14.4 12.5 9.1 6.3 4.3 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Southeast Missouri St. 19.6% 12.2 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
SIU Edwardsville 24.7% 16.6 6.1 1.6 0.3 0.0
Lindenwood 25.3% 17.0 6.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
Tennessee Martin 22.0% 14.9 5.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
Tennessee St. 11.2% 6.4 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Tennessee Tech 9.1% 5.2 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Southern Indiana 4.7% 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Arkansas Little Rock 4.2% 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Morehead St. 2.6% 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Eastern Illinois 1.5% 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Southeast Missouri St. 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.3 9.5 82.9 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 5.4 9.1 83.3 0.0%
Lindenwood 16.3% 16.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 5.4 8.9 83.7 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 15.8% 15.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 6.4 5.8 84.2 0.0%
Tennessee St. 12.6% 12.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.8 5.8 87.4 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.2 6.8 90.6 0.0%
Southern Indiana 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.6 96.1 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.4 96.4 0.0%
Morehead St. 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 0.1 2.4 97.5 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.7 98.2 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.8 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Southeast Missouri St. 17.1% 4.6% 15.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 16.7% 4.1% 14.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 16.3% 4.0% 14.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 15.8% 2.0% 14.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 12.6% 2.5% 11.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 9.5% 4.0% 7.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 3.9% 2.9% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 3.6% 2.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 1.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 85.3% 0.9 14.7 85.3
2nd Round 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0