Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
196 Tennessee St. 38.3%   16   18 - 9 15 - 5 -2.1      -0.4 173 -1.7 222 74.9 34 -0.7 168 -1.5 2
223 Southeast Missouri St. 18.5%   16 - 12 14 - 6 -3.7      -4.5 293 +0.9 143 72.1 89 -3.7 232 -2.8 3
230 Tennessee Martin 14.7%   18 - 10 13 - 7 -3.8      -6.5 333 +2.7 100 63.1 325 -2.2 198 -4.2 4
250 SIU Edwardsville 6.7%   16 - 12 12 - 8 -4.9      -6.9 336 +2.0 121 62.9 328 -5.6 252 -5.4 5
276 Lindenwood 4.2%   14 - 14 11 - 9 -6.4      -5.4 311 -0.9 206 78.9 7 -6.2 260 -6.5 6
283 Morehead St. 15.2%   16 - 12 15 - 5 -6.7      -1.1 192 -5.6 324 64.5 288 -3.2 222 -0.9 1
299 Arkansas Little Rock 1.9%   10 - 19 9 - 11 -8.1      -3.6 265 -4.5 304 66.1 247 -9.1 310 -8.9 7
310 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   10 - 18 8 - 12 -9.1      -4.7 297 -4.5 305 68.1 185 -9.5 316 -10.1 9
326 Eastern Illinois 0.4%   9 - 19 8 - 12 -10.6      -9.1 354 -1.5 219 65.2 270 -10.1 319 -9.9 8
337 Southern Indiana 0.0%   5 - 23 4 - 16 -12.1      -8.7 350 -3.4 276 68.6 175 -16.1 356 -16.0 10
364 Western Illinois 0.0%   2 - 26 1 - 19 -19.0      -11.0 359 -8.0 356 66.0 249 -20.7 361 -23.5 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Feb 28 223 Southeast Missouri St. 89 310 Tennessee Tech 73   
Sat, Feb 28 326 Eastern Illinois 50 250 SIU Edwardsville 77   
Sat, Feb 28 196 Tennessee St. 67 230 Tennessee Martin 42   
Sat, Feb 28 299 Arkansas Little Rock 89 337 Southern Indiana 70   
Sat, Feb 28 276 Lindenwood 91 364 Western Illinois 69   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Wed, Mar 4 276 Lindenwood 77 299 Arkansas Little Rock 75 57%   
Wed, Mar 4 326 Eastern Illinois 59 250 SIU Edwardsville 65 71%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Morehead St. 1.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 1.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 3.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 4.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 5.0 100.0
Lindenwood 6.0 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 7.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 8.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 8.0 100.0
Southern Indiana 10.0 100.0
Western Illinois 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Morehead St. 15 - 5 16 - 12 100.0
Tennessee St. 15 - 5 18 - 9 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 14 - 6 16 - 12 100.0
Tennessee Martin 13 - 7 18 - 10 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 12 - 8 17 - 12 100.0
Lindenwood 11 - 9 15 - 14 100.0
Arkansas Little Rock 9 - 11 10 - 20 100.0
Eastern Illinois 8 - 12 9 - 20 100.0
Tennessee Tech 8 - 12 10 - 18 100.0
Southern Indiana 4 - 16 5 - 23 100.0
Western Illinois 1 - 19 2 - 26 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Morehead St. 100.0% 100.0
Tennessee St. 100.0% 100.0
Southeast Missouri St.
Tennessee Martin
SIU Edwardsville
Lindenwood
Arkansas Little Rock
Eastern Illinois
Tennessee Tech
Southern Indiana
Western Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Tennessee St. 38.3% 38.3% 0.0% 16   0.1 4.7 21.7 11.7 61.7 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 18.5% 18.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 7.9 9.9 81.5 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 14.7% 14.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.4 8.7 4.6 85.3 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 1.3 5.5 93.3 0.0%
Lindenwood 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.6 3.6 95.8 0.0%
Morehead St. 15.2% 15.2% 0.0% 0.0 1.0 14.2 84.8 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 1.9 98.1 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.4 99.6 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 88.5% 0.9 11.5 88.5
2nd Round 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Tennessee St. 38.3% 1.8% 37.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 18.5% 2.8% 17.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 14.7% 0.6% 14.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 6.7% 2.6% 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lindenwood 4.2% 2.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 15.2% 9.7% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Little Rock 1.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Indiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%