Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#239
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#107
Pace66.0#276
Improvement-1.4#286

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#266
First Shot-6.8#348
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#36
Layup/Dunks-8.0#358
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#69
Freethrows+1.7#94
Improvement-0.5#222

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#193
First Shot+4.3#52
After Offensive Rebounds-5.2#359
Layups/Dunks+0.8#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#35
Freethrows-3.2#334
Improvement-0.9#271
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.4% 17.1% 12.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 80.3% 86.3% 68.3%
.500 or above in Conference 78.0% 81.5% 71.0%
Conference Champion 21.9% 24.8% 16.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.4% 2.7%
First Four2.0% 1.6% 2.6%
First Round14.4% 16.3% 10.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 66.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 1
Quad 32 - 33 - 4
Quad 415 - 818 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 131 @UNLV W 86-81 19%     1 - 0 +10.0 +3.1 +6.3
  Wed, Nov 12 124 @Bradley W 78-67 17%     2 - 0 +16.9 +5.5 +10.9
  Tue, Nov 18 100 @Florida St. L 73-87 13%     2 - 1 -6.0 -0.2 -4.9
  Sat, Nov 22 322 Prairie View W 69-68 68%     3 - 1 -8.2 -6.6 -1.6
  Sun, Nov 23 219 Southern Miss L 60-70 46%     3 - 2 -13.6 -1.0 -15.1
  Tue, Dec 2 288 Charleston Southern W 73-56 70%     4 - 2 +7.1 +0.6 +7.5
  Sun, Dec 7 268 Alabama St. W 73-69 67%    
  Wed, Dec 10 142 @Southern Illinois L 67-76 21%    
  Thu, Dec 18 249 @Tennessee St. L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Dec 20 306 @Tennessee Tech W 72-71 52%    
  Thu, Jan 1 361 Western Illinois W 74-61 89%    
  Sat, Jan 3 325 Eastern Illinois W 70-62 76%    
  Thu, Jan 8 327 @Morehead St. W 69-67 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 317 @Southern Indiana W 73-72 54%    
  Thu, Jan 15 206 SIU Edwardsville W 66-65 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 246 Lindenwood W 73-70 61%    
  Tue, Jan 20 233 @Southeast Missouri St. L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 305 Arkansas Little Rock W 71-64 72%    
  Thu, Jan 29 325 @Eastern Illinois W 67-65 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 361 @Western Illinois W 71-64 73%    
  Thu, Feb 5 317 Southern Indiana W 76-69 73%    
  Sat, Feb 7 327 Morehead St. W 72-64 76%    
  Thu, Feb 12 246 @Lindenwood L 70-73 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 206 @SIU Edwardsville L 63-68 34%    
  Tue, Feb 17 233 Southeast Missouri St. W 74-71 60%    
  Thu, Feb 19 305 @Arkansas Little Rock W 68-67 52%    
  Thu, Feb 26 306 Tennessee Tech W 75-68 72%    
  Sat, Feb 28 249 Tennessee St. W 73-70 61%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.6 5.6 5.3 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 21.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.3 5.4 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.2 4.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.6 4.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.9 3.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.5 0.7 0.1 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 0.8 0.1 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.3 0.9 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.7 8.0 9.7 11.2 12.4 12.7 10.8 8.9 6.2 3.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
18-2 99.6% 1.7    1.7 0.0
17-3 96.5% 3.4    3.1 0.3 0.0
16-4 85.8% 5.3    4.1 1.2 0.0
15-5 63.1% 5.6    3.3 2.0 0.3 0.0
14-6 33.4% 3.6    1.4 1.5 0.6 0.1
13-7 9.4% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 21.9% 21.9 14.7 5.4 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 53.8% 53.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.7% 47.4% 47.4% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-2 1.7% 44.0% 44.0% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0
17-3 3.6% 45.2% 45.2% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.9
16-4 6.2% 37.1% 37.1% 14.7 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.2 3.9
15-5 8.9% 30.2% 30.2% 15.1 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.8 6.2
14-6 10.8% 26.0% 26.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.2 8.0
13-7 12.7% 17.0% 17.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 10.6
12-8 12.4% 10.2% 10.2% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 11.1
11-9 11.2% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.1 0.6 10.4
10-10 9.7% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.4
9-11 8.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.8
8-12 5.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.7
7-13 3.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.7
6-14 2.3% 2.3
5-15 1.2% 1.2
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 15.4% 15.4% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 6.3 5.7 84.6 0.0%