Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -5.0 250
Results Rating -6.7 267
Consistency 0.15 144
Pace 76.8 18
Improvement +0.0 187

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 240 C+ D D D- B
Defense C- 248 B- C F D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 198 C 58% 183 -0.5 200
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 344 C- 37% 219 -3.8 345
Three Pointers 51% 18 B- 36% 103 +6.6 21
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 39 C+ +1.0 129
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.07 107
Second Chance C- 28.4% 238 D- 0.90 340 D 0.26 306
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 307
Other Turnovers C- 7.8% 253
Turnovers D 18.6% 302
Freethrows D 0.26 322 F+ 66% 349 D- 0.17 348
Total Offense C- -2.7 240

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 203 B- 9.1% 81
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 265 D 7.2% 311
Three Pointers D 78% 302 C 0.9% 188
Total C+ 57% 141 B- 4.7% 77


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 87 B 53% 53 -0.1 172
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 33 C 38% 164 +2.3 338
Three Pointers 31% 362 C 34% 181 -5.1 9
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 87 B- -2.4 85
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 78
Second Chance C 29.8% 165 C 1.03 172 C 0.31 168
Turnovers from Steals F+ 6.0% 358
Other Turnovers D 6.1% 328
Turnovers F 12.1% 363
Freethrows D 0.35 318 B- 71% 86 D 0.25 299
Total Defense C- -2.4 248

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 27 B 14.8% 52
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 17% 32 C- 3.7% 243
Three Pointers B 79% 49 D 0.3% 304
Total A 44% 9 B 7.3% 58

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.0 50 16.4 32
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 308 0.18 204
Consistency 0.13 200 0.12 188
Improvement +0.5 162 -0.5 213

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 264 252 234
Results Rating Rank 286 281 245
Conference Record 6 - 10 6 - 10 6 - 10
Conference Finish 7 7 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 10% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four3% 9% 0%
First Round2% 6% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 43 - 8
Quad 410 - 912 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 56 @Virginia Tech L 67 - 98 6% -13  12% 0 - 1 F -18 F+ -9 C- F D+ D -6 B+ F F
 Mon, Nov 10 343 @The Citadel W 96 - 86 68% +0  43% 1 - 1 C +0 A +13 B C+ B+ F -13 F A F
 Thu, Nov 13 302 @Alabama A&M L 64 - 68 52% -5  20% 1 - 2 D -10 F -14 D- C- F B +5 A F A-
 Fri, Nov 14 269 Lindenwood L 77 - 83 54% +6  73% 1 - 3 D- -12 D- -7 B- F D- D+ -5 D A F
 Tue, Nov 18 327 IU Indianapolis W 103 - 91 80% +13  84% 2 - 3 C- -2 C+ +3 B+ B- D D- -7 B D+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 234 @East Carolina W 77 - 65 35% +7  99% 3 - 3 B +11 C+ +2 A- F A A +9 B+ C- D-
 Fri, Nov 28 98 @South Carolina L 62 - 74 11% -4  7% 3 - 4 C- -3 F+ -9 D+ F B- B+ +6 A C F
 Tue, Dec 2 231 @Tennessee Martin L 56 - 73 34% -5  15% 3 - 5 F+ -18 F -12 F+ D+ D D- -7 B B- F
 Mon, Dec 8 359 South Carolina St. W 84 - 44 90% +15  72% 4 - 5 A +21 C+ +3 C F C+ A+ +19 A+ A+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 340 North Florida W 113 - 90 84% +12  99% 5 - 5 B- +8 A +11 A+ F D D- -7 C B- F
 Sun, Dec 21 186 @Furman L 76 - 84 27% -6  10% 5 - 6 D+ -7 C- -2 C D- B D+ -4 B D- F
 Sun, Dec 28 135 @Richmond W 77 - 72 18% +4  83% 6 - 6 B +10 C +1 C- C- C- A +9 A- A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 31 360 @Gardner-Webb W 89 - 79 82% -1  51% 7 - 6 1 - 0 C- -5 C+ +2 C C+ C- D- -7 A- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 246 UNC Asheville W 86 - 83 61% +6  95% 8 - 6 2 - 0 C- -5 B- +5 A+ A F F+ -9 A+ F F
 Wed, Jan 7 145 @Winthrop L 77 - 81 20% +2  56% 8 - 7 2 - 1 C +0 D -5 F A A B +5 A B- D
 Sat, Jan 10 94 High Point L 82 - 84 OT 23% +2  61% 8 - 8 2 - 2 C +1 D -6 C F A+ A- +7 A A D
 Wed, Jan 14 307 South Carolina Upstate L 81 - 86 OT 74% +1  59% 8 - 9 2 - 3 F+ -17 D- -7 A F C+ F+ -9 A- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 271 @Presbyterian L 83 - 87 43% -8  5% 8 - 10 2 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +3 C+ A- C+ F -10 F A- F
 Fri, Jan 23 253 @Longwood L 79 - 81 OT 39% -6  10% 8 - 11 2 - 5 C- -4 D- -8 C D+ F B +4 B- A+ C+
 Thu, Jan 29 243 Radford L 75 - 84 60% -8  6% 8 - 12 2 - 6 F+ -17 F -13 F F+ D C- -3 C+ F+ C
 Wed, Feb 4 94 @High Point L 55 - 80 10% -11  7% 8 - 13 2 - 7 F+ -16 F -19 C+ F F B- +3 B C D
 Sat, Feb 7 307 @South Carolina Upstate L 94 - 100 OT 53% +0  48% 8 - 14 2 - 8 D- -12 A- +10 B- A+ F F -21 F B F
 Thu, Feb 12 271 Presbyterian W 84 - 67 65% +8  94% 9 - 14 3 - 8 B- +8 B+ +8 B+ A+ F C+ +0 B C- B-
 Sat, Feb 14 243 @Radford L 80 - 90 37% -14  3% 9 - 15 3 - 9 D- -12 D -4 B- F D+ D -6 F D- C-
 Tue, Feb 17 360 Gardner-Webb W 75 - 66 92% +10  99% 10 - 15 4 - 9 D- -12 F -15 F D B- B- +3 C- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 253 Longwood L 96 - 107 2OT 62% +5  79% 10 - 16 4 - 10 F -19 C +1 A+ B F F -18 B+ F F
 Thu, Feb 26 145 Winthrop W 86 - 84 38% +4  83% 11 - 16 5 - 10 C +0 C- -2 B- F+ D B- +2 A- D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 28 246 @UNC Asheville W 92 - 75 38% +3  56% 12 - 16 6 - 10 A- +15 A+ +15 A+ F F C -0 C C F
 Fri, Mar 6 145 Winthrop L 79 - 85 28%
Totals 12 - 17 6 - 10 -5 C- -3 C+ C+ B C- -2 B- F+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C- B- C+ 38% 20% 51% B C+ C- D- D D D F+ D- C- B C C B- 42% 27% 31% B- B- C C C F D B- D
1.05 58% 37% 36% +1 +1 1.07 28% 0.9 .26 19% .26 66% .17 1.12 53% 38% 34% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.0 .31 12% .35 71% .18
Nov
3		 Virginia Tech F+ F F A D+ 38% 14% 48% B+ C- C F F D+ C D- C- D D- A B- B 32% 29% 39% A- B+ F F F F F+ B D
0.86 41% 13% 39% -6 +1 0.91 29% 0.5 .16 19% .24 67% .16 1.26 70% 28% 33% 0 -2 1.00 41% 1.4 .57 9% .38 70% .27
Nov
10		 The Citadel A C+ A+ A B- 45% 7% 47% B B B+ D C+ B+ B+ A- A- F F F F F 35% 33% 33% A F A A+ A F F C F
1.33 64% 50% 42% +9 +2 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 12% .33 76% .25 1.19 67% 53% 41% +11 -2 1.21 19% 0.7 .13 11% .47 67% .31
Nov
13		 Alabama A&M F B+ F F F+ 41% 11% 48% B- D- B+ F C- F B F D+ B A+ D D+ A 41% 34% 25% B- A F F+ F A- A+ F B+
0.92 67% 20% 29% -2 +1 1.00 38% 0.8 .30 26% .37 58% .21 0.98 26% 42% 36% -11 -2 0.77 38% 1.2 .45 20% .22 92% .20
Nov
14		 Lindenwood D- A A+ F+ C+ 41% 4% 55% A- B- D- F F D- F D+ F D+ B- D F+ F+ 40% 32% 28% A D B A+ A F F C- F
0.99 70% 50% 29% +1 +2 1.09 25% 0.7 .18 20% .26 69% .18 1.06 52% 39% 38% -1 -1 0.98 27% 0.8 .23 14% .46 68% .31
Nov
18		 IU Indianapolis C+ A+ A+ C+ A- 33% 7% 60% C B+ D+ A+ B- D A- F C- D- D- A+ A+ B+ 38% 23% 39% C- B B- F D+ F F+ A+ D+
1.25 78% 75% 36% +11 +1 1.27 33% 1.5 .48 21% .46 60% .28 1.10 65% 25% 26% -5 0 0.91 24% 1.3 .33 5% .26 60% .15
Nov
21		 East Carolina C+ C F A+ A 22% 22% 56% D A- F F F A D- B- D A C+ B- A+ A- 47% 33% 20% C+ B+ A F C- D- D- A+ B-
1.10 58% 25% 48% +9 -1 1.18 15% 0.8 .12 13% .21 77% .16 0.92 54% 35% 10% -10 -1 0.80 26% 1.3 .34 14% .40 54% .22
Nov
28		 South Carolina F+ D+ D+ F D- 43% 10% 47% A D+ C+ F F B- F F F B+ D+ D A+ A 37% 24% 39% B- A A+ F C F D- B D+
0.88 54% 33% 25% -9 +2 0.88 30% 0.5 .14 14% .13 63% .08 1.05 65% 46% 14% -7 -1 0.87 19% 1.7 .32 7% .38 76% .29
Dec
2		 Tennessee Martin F B B F F 19% 10% 71% B- F+ C- D D+ D F F F D- D+ A+ B+ B+ 27% 15% 58% C- B F+ A+ B- F F F F
0.85 67% 40% 24% -9 0 0.83 31% 0.8 .26 21% .23 58% .13 1.11 62% 14% 29% -7 0 0.88 40% 0.7 .27 12% .55 78% .43
Dec
8		 South Carolina St. C+ F F A+ C 34% 9% 57% D+ C D+ F F C+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ 28% 52% 20% A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ C+ F A+ B+
1.23 50% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.7 .24 16% .52 80% .42 0.64 31% 25% 33% -15 -5 0.63 28% 0.5 .13 22% .45 38% .17
Dec
18		 North Florida A A+ A- A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C- A+ F F F D C+ A+ B+ D- C C C C 40% 16% 44% C C A+ F B- F F C- F
1.41 80% 50% 51% +24 0 1.50 23% 1.0 .23 15% .29 85% .25 1.12 56% 40% 33% -1 +1 1.02 16% 1.5 .24 11% .35 80% .28
Dec
21		 Furman C- B+ C F D+ 43% 8% 49% A C F+ C D- B F F F D+ B+ A D+ B 38% 21% 41% B+ B A+ F D- F F F F
1.02 63% 40% 26% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 56% .08 1.13 52% 33% 35% -3 0 0.96 20% 1.8 .35 11% .39 77% .30
Dec
28		 Richmond C A F F+ D+ 31% 11% 58% A- C- B+ F C- C- A F+ B+ A A+ A- F B+ 29% 39% 31% A A- C+ A+ A+ D+ F F F
1.06 71% 17% 28% -4 +1 0.96 36% 0.9 .31 18% .39 65% .25 1.00 47% 30% 44% -2 -3 0.92 24% 0.2 .05 12% .46 86% .39
Dec
31		 Gardner-Webb C+ F+ A+ A- C 48% 12% 40% B C D- A+ C+ C- A+ F+ A+ D- A+ F D+ A 48% 13% 38% D A- F+ F F F F F F
1.21 54% 67% 40% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.4 .41 16% .50 68% .34 1.07 28% 43% 35% -13 +2 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 14% .52 88% .46
Jan
3		 UNC Asheville B- A+ A A- A+ 53% 9% 38% A A+ A+ B- A F A+ F A- F+ A+ B- A+ A+ 42% 32% 26% F+ A+ F F F F F C- F
1.19 72% 50% 39% +11 +3 1.30 42% 1.0 .42 22% .52 52% .27 1.15 33% 38% 23% -15 -1 0.70 44% 1.3 .58 11% .61 69% .42
Jan
7		 Winthrop D F+ A- F F 43% 10% 47% B+ F C A+ A A C F F+ B B- A- A+ A+ 54% 12% 34% D- A D+ A- B- D F A+ C-
1.00 48% 50% 19% -14 +2 0.78 30% 1.5 .45 12% .34 57% .19 1.05 50% 29% 20% -13 +2 0.81 36% 0.9 .32 13% .46 61% .28
Jan
10		 High Point D F A+ A- C- 46% 10% 44% B+ C F B- F A+ F F F A- C+ A+ C A 49% 25% 25% B+ A C A+ A D F A+ F
1.01 41% 67% 39% -1 +2 1.03 19% 1.1 .21 15% .22 60% .13 1.04 59% 13% 33% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.8 .25 11% .56 60% .33
Jan
14		 South Carolina Upstate D- A+ A- C A 44% 16% 40% C+ A F F F C+ A F D+ F+ A+ C- A B+ 46% 37% 17% A A- D F F F F+ B+ D
1.02 72% 44% 35% +8 +1 1.19 19% 0.0 .00 15% .37 52% .19 1.08 41% 39% 27% -9 -2 0.81 33% 1.3 .41 10% .35 64% .22
Jan
21		 Presbyterian C+ D+ F A- C+ 41% 7% 52% B+ C+ D A+ A- C+ F F F F F D+ F F 40% 36% 23% A- F A+ D- A- F F A F
1.13 54% 25% 40% +2 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 15% .13 38% .05 1.18 68% 41% 55% +13 -2 1.23 20% 1.2 .23 12% .56 61% .34
Jan
23		 Longwood D- F+ D A C- 35% 6% 59% B C C+ F D+ F C- D- D+ B A D F+ C+ 51% 33% 16% C+ B- A+ B A+ C+ F F F
0.97 53% 33% 41% +4 +2 1.13 30% 0.7 .21 27% .33 65% .22 0.99 46% 41% 38% -4 -1 0.92 21% 0.9 .18 21% .52 82% .43
Jan
29		 Radford F C- F F F 42% 6% 52% B+ F C F F+ D A+ F A+ C- A+ F F C+ 45% 31% 24% B+ C+ C F F+ C F F+ F
0.96 57% 0% 27% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.7 .23 20% .58 61% .35 1.07 41% 47% 42% -2 -1 0.96 29% 1.3 .37 18% .51 79% .40
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 High Point F A+ D D C+ 29% 7% 63% C+ C+ B- F F F F A+ F B- C A+ A B+ 58% 15% 27% D- B C- B C D B C B-
0.78 75% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.07 35% 0.6 .19 41% .17 86% .14 1.14 59% 25% 27% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 11% .32 75% .24
Feb
7		 South Carolina Upstate A- A- A+ D- B- 37% 5% 58% B B- A+ B A+ F C- A+ B- F A- F F F 45% 23% 32% C- F D A+ B F D- F F
1.22 67% 67% 30% +1 +2 1.09 47% 1.3 .61 22% .28 82% .23 1.30 46% 64% 45% +6 0 1.15 33% 0.6 .21 4% .34 80% .27
Feb
12		 Presbyterian B+ A+ F D B 57% 4% 39% A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F D+ B C- C+ D+ A A+ B 46% 36% 18% B+ B D- B C- B- F A F
1.24 71% 0% 32% +5 +3 1.18 50% 1.3 .65 22% .27 71% .19 0.99 61% 28% 22% -6 -1 0.88 37% 0.9 .34 21% .52 61% .32
Feb
14		 Radford D F A+ A+ C+ 46% 3% 51% A B- F D+ F D+ F F F D D+ F F F 38% 26% 36% B+ F D+ F D- C- C- A- C+
1.04 44% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 22% 1.0 .22 19% .13 38% .05 1.17 60% 50% 42% +8 -1 1.17 31% 1.2 .36 17% .37 67% .25
Feb
17		 Gardner-Webb F F F F+ F 59% 7% 34% A+ F F+ B- D B- B- F C- B- F+ B- A+ C- 43% 17% 40% C C- B+ A+ A+ F A D A-
1.01 50% 0% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.2 .33 13% .31 65% .20 0.89 65% 30% 25% -4 +1 0.97 18% 0.1 .02 13% .17 73% .12
Feb
21		 Longwood C B+ A+ A+ A 49% 4% 47% A A+ C A B F C C- C- F A+ F B B+ 40% 31% 29% B B+ F F+ F F F F F
1.13 69% 50% 44% +13 +3 1.34 29% 1.1 .32 24% .34 68% .23 1.26 37% 48% 30% -7 -1 0.85 43% 1.1 .47 9% .45 91% .42
Feb
26		 Winthrop C- F A+ A B- 39% 8% 52% B+ B- C F F+ D C- F F+ B- A+ A+ F+ A- 45% 17% 38% C A- F B+ D+ B- F A+ F+
1.07 42% 80% 41% +2 +2 1.10 30% 0.7 .20 19% .32 57% .18 1.05 37% 20% 39% -10 +1 0.85 42% 0.9 .38 16% .51 65% .33
Feb
28		 UNC Asheville A+ B F A+ A+ 47% 9% 45% B+ A+ F D- F F A+ C- A C C- F A+ C 36% 34% 30% D C B- D- C F F A F
1.30 64% 25% 67% +23 +2 1.53 21% 0.8 .17 21% .43 67% .29 1.06 59% 56% 21% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.1 .30 13% .52 59% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 2.8 97.2
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 16.0 97.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.8% 100.0% 16.0 0.7 99.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 13.6%
Lose Out 72.2%