Richmond
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.5#104
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#75
Pace69.8#179
Improvement+0.3#168

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#100
First Shot+5.6#43
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#327
Layup/Dunks-3.0#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#66
Freethrows+4.4#14
Improvement-1.1#270

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#121
First Shot+2.8#87
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#261
Layups/Dunks+4.3#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement+1.4#62
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.0% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 11.3
.500 or above 92.3% 93.9% 83.1%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 61.7% 48.0%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.6% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.6% 2.9%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round4.3% 4.7% 2.3%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 85.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 411 - 11
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 245 East Carolina W 87-72 87%     1 - 0 +7.3 +7.4 -0.9
  Tue, Nov 11 118 William & Mary W 90-86 66%     2 - 0 +4.2 +9.3 -5.5
  Wed, Nov 19 337 VMI W 87-54 95%     3 - 0 +19.0 +11.9 +9.1
  Sat, Nov 22 360 Gardner-Webb W 102-67 97%     4 - 0 +17.6 +14.4 +0.9
  Thu, Nov 27 153 Furman L 72-73 67%     4 - 1 -0.9 -0.7 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 28 186 Charlotte W 71-66 73%     5 - 1 +3.1 +0.3 +3.1
  Wed, Dec 3 88 @Belmont W 84-76 34%     6 - 1 +16.8 +11.6 +4.8
  Sat, Dec 6 220 Old Dominion W 80-69 85%    
  Sat, Dec 13 142 Southern Illinois W 78-72 72%    
  Wed, Dec 17 223 @Elon W 82-77 68%    
  Sat, Dec 20 363 The Citadel W 85-62 98%    
  Sun, Dec 28 288 Charleston Southern W 82-68 91%    
  Wed, Dec 31 62 George Washington L 80-82 45%    
  Sun, Jan 4 211 @Fordham W 73-68 67%    
  Wed, Jan 7 111 @St. Bonaventure L 70-72 42%    
  Sun, Jan 11 184 Saint Joseph's W 79-70 79%    
  Wed, Jan 14 229 La Salle W 77-65 85%    
  Sat, Jan 17 46 @Saint Louis L 73-83 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 110 Rhode Island W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 24 62 @George Washington L 77-85 25%    
  Tue, Jan 27 43 @Virginia Commonwealth L 70-80 18%    
  Sat, Jan 31 137 Davidson W 75-69 69%    
  Sat, Feb 7 110 @Rhode Island L 73-75 42%    
  Tue, Feb 10 66 George Mason L 71-72 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 43 Virginia Commonwealth L 73-77 37%    
  Wed, Feb 18 137 @Davidson L 72-73 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 111 St. Bonaventure W 73-69 64%    
  Sat, Feb 28 259 @Loyola Chicago W 76-69 73%    
  Tue, Mar 3 67 Dayton L 73-74 47%    
  Sat, Mar 7 135 @Duquesne L 78-79 49%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.3 2.0 0.4 0.1 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 3.2 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.6 0.6 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.6 1.3 0.0 9.8 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 5.5 2.1 0.1 10.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.8 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.3 4.1 0.7 11.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 4.5 4.3 0.9 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.0 3.5 1.2 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.9 0.8 0.1 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 3.9 12th
13th 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.9 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.5 4.9 7.6 10.5 13.2 14.2 13.6 11.3 8.9 5.7 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 88.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 69.9% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 29.4% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 85.7% 47.6% 38.1% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 72.7%
16-2 0.6% 46.1% 17.1% 29.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 35.0%
15-3 1.6% 34.9% 18.1% 16.8% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.0 20.6%
14-4 3.6% 20.9% 14.5% 6.4% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 2.8 7.5%
13-5 5.7% 13.0% 11.5% 1.5% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.0 1.7%
12-6 8.9% 8.3% 7.9% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 8.2 0.4%
11-7 11.3% 5.2% 5.1% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 10.7 0.1%
10-8 13.6% 2.6% 2.6% 11.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 13.2
9-9 14.2% 1.4% 1.4% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.0
8-10 13.2% 1.5% 1.5% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.0
7-11 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 7.6% 0.4% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 7.5
5-13 4.9% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 2.5
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 4.7% 3.8% 0.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.3 0.9%