VMI
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.0#337
Expected Predictive Rating-13.2#340
Pace69.4#188
Improvement-0.8#249

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#307
First Shot-5.9#325
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#136
Layup/Dunks-7.6#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#114
Freethrows-0.9#231
Improvement-0.3#202

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#346
First Shot-1.4#217
After Offensive Rebounds-4.6#354
Layups/Dunks-1.3#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#283
Freethrows+3.0#30
Improvement-0.6#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.8% 1.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 9.6% 12.1% 6.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 27.3% 24.2% 31.0%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 53.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 47 - 107 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 317 @Southern Indiana W 78-74 30%     1 - 0 -1.6 -4.3 +2.3
  Sun, Nov 9 37 @Missouri L 68-106 2%     1 - 1 -22.2 -3.9 -15.6
  Sat, Nov 15 275 Jacksonville L 67-69 43%     1 - 2 -11.2 -5.2 -6.1
  Wed, Nov 19 104 @Richmond L 54-87 5%     1 - 3 -25.5 -12.4 -15.0
  Sat, Nov 22 348 @Stetson L 80-99 41%     1 - 4 -27.7 +7.6 -36.4
  Mon, Nov 24 215 Buffalo L 70-78 23%     1 - 5 -11.3 -2.7 -9.0
  Wed, Nov 26 119 Bowling Green L 48-81 10%     1 - 6 -29.8 -19.1 -12.4
  Sat, Nov 29 63 @Central Florida L 57-82 3%     1 - 7 -13.2 -10.7 -3.2
  Tue, Dec 9 319 Loyola Maryland W 75-74 54%    
  Sun, Dec 21 290 @Radford L 75-82 26%    
  Thu, Jan 1 228 Samford L 73-77 35%    
  Sat, Jan 3 209 Chattanooga L 71-76 32%    
  Wed, Jan 7 115 @East Tennessee St. L 66-83 6%    
  Sat, Jan 10 153 @Furman L 66-80 10%    
  Thu, Jan 15 191 Mercer L 76-82 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 363 The Citadel W 76-69 74%    
  Wed, Jan 21 293 UNC Greensboro L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 281 @Western Carolina L 72-79 25%    
  Thu, Jan 29 363 @The Citadel W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 191 @Mercer L 73-85 15%    
  Wed, Feb 4 208 Wofford L 73-78 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 115 East Tennessee St. L 69-80 16%    
  Wed, Feb 11 293 @UNC Greensboro L 70-77 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 153 Furman L 69-77 23%    
  Wed, Feb 18 208 @Wofford L 70-81 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 281 Western Carolina L 75-76 45%    
  Thu, Feb 26 228 @Samford L 70-80 19%    
  Sat, Feb 28 209 @Chattanooga L 68-79 16%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.1 0.8 0.1 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.8 5.5 2.4 0.3 12.8 7th
8th 0.4 2.5 6.6 7.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 20.2 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 7.2 11.0 8.2 2.6 0.3 0.0 31.8 9th
10th 0.9 3.4 5.9 5.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 18.5 10th
Total 0.9 3.6 8.1 12.8 16.1 16.1 14.1 11.1 7.7 4.7 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 68.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 28.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 6.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 4.8% 4.8% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.5% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.3% 4.2% 4.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3
10-8 2.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.7
9-9 4.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 4.6
8-10 7.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.6
7-11 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.0
6-12 14.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.1
5-13 16.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.1
4-14 16.1% 16.1
3-15 12.8% 12.8
2-16 8.1% 8.1
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%