Western Carolina
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#281
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#207
Pace74.5#63
Improvement+0.5#143

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#295
First Shot-4.2#294
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#189
Layup/Dunks-1.3#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#60
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#288
Freethrows-1.9#284
Improvement-0.2#193

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#237
First Shot-4.6#320
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#50
Layups/Dunks+1.3#134
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#332
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#307
Freethrows+0.7#140
Improvement+0.7#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.3% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 16.0% 26.2% 9.7%
.500 or above in Conference 40.6% 48.3% 35.9%
Conference Champion 2.4% 3.5% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 4.9% 8.9%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 1.2%
First Round2.5% 3.6% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina Upstate (Away) - 38.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 49 - 511 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 68 @Cincinnati L 63-94 6%     0 - 1 -19.6 -6.9 -8.9
  Sat, Nov 8 3 @Duke L 54-95 1%     0 - 2 -16.1 -11.1 -1.5
  Sun, Nov 16 348 Stetson W 76-65 78%     1 - 2 -3.7 -7.3 +3.1
  Wed, Nov 19 210 UNC Asheville W 80-73 48%     2 - 2 +1.0 +10.0 -8.4
  Sat, Nov 22 164 @Lipscomb L 62-83 20%     2 - 3 -18.7 -12.0 -5.5
  Sat, Nov 29 93 @High Point L 73-93 9%     2 - 4 -11.7 -3.3 -7.3
  Sat, Dec 6 278 @South Carolina Upstate L 74-77 38%    
  Thu, Dec 11 70 @Virginia Tech L 69-86 5%    
  Thu, Dec 18 19 @Georgia L 72-97 1%    
  Wed, Dec 31 208 Wofford L 76-77 48%    
  Sat, Jan 3 153 @Furman L 69-79 19%    
  Wed, Jan 7 228 @Samford L 73-79 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 363 @The Citadel W 76-71 69%    
  Wed, Jan 14 115 East Tennessee St. L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Jan 17 209 Chattanooga L 74-75 48%    
  Wed, Jan 21 191 @Mercer L 76-83 25%    
  Sat, Jan 24 337 VMI W 79-72 75%    
  Thu, Jan 29 115 @East Tennessee St. L 68-81 13%    
  Sat, Jan 31 228 Samford W 76-75 52%    
  Wed, Feb 4 293 @UNC Greensboro L 74-76 43%    
  Sat, Feb 7 208 @Wofford L 73-80 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 363 The Citadel W 79-68 84%    
  Sat, Feb 14 209 @Chattanooga L 71-78 28%    
  Wed, Feb 18 293 UNC Greensboro W 77-73 63%    
  Sat, Feb 21 337 @VMI W 76-75 55%    
  Wed, Feb 25 191 Mercer L 79-80 45%    
  Sat, Feb 28 153 Furman L 72-76 37%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 2.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 3.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 7.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 4.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.6 3.8 0.6 0.0 12.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.3 4.2 0.7 0.0 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.1 7.0 4.3 0.7 0.0 16.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.6 4.8 6.0 3.2 0.6 16.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.6 3.4 1.1 0.2 10.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.3 6.0 9.1 11.5 13.5 13.8 12.7 10.2 7.6 5.0 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 81.5% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 53.4% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 24.6% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 17.5% 17.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 29.5% 29.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
14-4 1.5% 14.5% 14.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3
13-5 2.9% 11.7% 11.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.5
12-6 5.0% 8.7% 8.7% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.5
11-7 7.6% 6.6% 6.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.1
10-8 10.2% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.1 0.3 9.8
9-9 12.7% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.3
8-10 13.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.5
7-11 13.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.4
6-12 11.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.5
5-13 9.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.0
4-14 6.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 96.9 0.0%