South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#278
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#255
Pace73.1#98
Improvement+0.5#151

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#298
First Shot-3.9#288
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#213
Layup/Dunks+0.3#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#285
Freethrows-1.4#257
Improvement-0.3#204

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#231
First Shot+1.5#128
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#337
Layups/Dunks-2.8#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#91
Freethrows+0.5#150
Improvement+0.7#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.8% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 18.7% 24.6% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.7% 45.0% 33.6%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.5% 5.3% 8.6%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
First Round1.9% 2.4% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Carolina (Home) - 61.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 410 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 130 @California Baptist L 75-87 14%     0 - 1 -6.9 +5.1 -11.9
  Wed, Nov 5 179 @Fresno St. W 67-66 22%     1 - 1 +2.6 -4.8 +7.4
  Sat, Nov 15 109 @UNC Wilmington L 60-73 11%     1 - 2 -5.9 -2.4 -5.3
  Wed, Nov 19 306 Tennessee Tech L 84-88 67%     1 - 3 -15.1 -1.3 -13.4
  Fri, Nov 21 285 @West Georgia L 64-72 39%     1 - 4 -11.7 -11.0 -0.5
  Tue, Nov 25 336 NC Central W 82-67 76%     2 - 4 +1.0 +4.7 -3.4
  Sat, Nov 29 49 @Nebraska L 63-72 4%     2 - 5 +4.9 -5.0 +10.1
  Wed, Dec 3 260 Coastal Carolina W 85-78 OT 58%     3 - 5 -1.6 +0.0 -2.4
  Sat, Dec 6 281 Western Carolina W 77-74 62%    
  Sat, Dec 13 21 @North Carolina L 65-89 1%    
  Tue, Dec 16 352 @South Carolina St. W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Dec 20 178 @Youngstown St. L 70-78 22%    
  Wed, Dec 31 290 Radford W 81-77 63%    
  Sat, Jan 3 257 @Presbyterian L 64-68 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 107 Winthrop L 75-83 24%    
  Wed, Jan 14 288 @Charleston Southern L 73-76 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 93 @High Point L 73-88 9%    
  Wed, Jan 21 210 UNC Asheville L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 360 @Gardner-Webb W 80-75 67%    
  Thu, Jan 29 289 Longwood W 78-74 62%    
  Wed, Feb 4 210 @UNC Asheville L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Feb 7 288 Charleston Southern W 76-73 62%    
  Thu, Feb 12 93 High Point L 76-85 21%    
  Sat, Feb 14 289 @Longwood L 75-77 41%    
  Thu, Feb 19 107 @Winthrop L 72-86 11%    
  Sat, Feb 21 257 Presbyterian W 67-65 57%    
  Thu, Feb 26 290 @Radford L 78-80 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 360 Gardner-Webb W 83-72 83%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 4.8 4.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.3 3.1 7.0 5.5 1.6 0.1 17.6 4th
5th 0.4 3.9 8.3 4.8 1.1 0.0 18.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.6 7.9 4.1 0.6 0.0 16.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.7 3.1 0.4 0.0 14.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.0 4.1 1.8 0.1 9.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.9 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.1 4.6 8.6 12.4 15.3 15.9 14.3 11.6 7.5 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 86.5% 0.2    0.2 0.1
13-3 51.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 18.9% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 4.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 44.0% 44.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 16.2% 16.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.7% 16.9% 16.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6
12-4 2.0% 10.3% 10.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
11-5 4.2% 8.0% 8.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.9
10-6 7.5% 5.2% 5.2% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 7.1
9-7 11.6% 3.5% 3.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 11.2
8-8 14.3% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.9
7-9 15.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 15.6
6-10 15.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 15.1
5-11 12.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.3
4-12 8.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-13 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.6
2-14 2.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.1
1-15 0.5% 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 97.6 0.0%