Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
97 High Point 46.9%   14   7 - 2 0 - 0 23 - 5 13 - 3 +5.2      +5.9 55 -0.7 189 73.8 82 +3.3 125 0.0 1
118 Winthrop 32.2%   5 - 5 0 - 0 18 - 10 12 - 4 +3.2      +4.7 70 -1.6 216 72.8 103 -0.5 180 0.0 1
203 UNC Asheville 8.7%   3 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 14 9 - 7 -2.6      -0.5 176 -2.1 234 68.2 218 -5.7 256 0.0 1
262 Presbyterian 3.2%   4 - 6 0 - 0 12 - 16 8 - 8 -5.5      -4.4 289 -1.1 202 59.8 363 -5.0 243 0.0 1
274 South Carolina Upstate 3.0%   4 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -5.9      -4.4 290 -1.5 214 72.7 105 -4.7 239 0.0 1
285 Charleston Southern 2.0%   3 - 5 0 - 0 10 - 16 5 - 9 -6.9      -4.5 293 -2.5 250 73.6 83 -6.6 275 0.0 1
287 Longwood 2.0%   4 - 5 0 - 0 12 - 16 7 - 9 -7.1      -3.3 255 -3.8 302 72.3 117 -6.9 280 0.0 1
288 Radford 2.0%   1 - 7 0 - 0 10 - 18 7 - 9 -7.1      -3.3 256 -3.8 303 78.7 16 -16.2 353 0.0 1
359 Gardner-Webb 0.1%   0 - 10 0 - 0 3 - 23 2 - 12 -14.2      -7.0 346 -7.1 353 76.6 37 -15.3 348 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Dec 3 97 High Point 84 143 Southern Illinois 86   
Wed, Dec 3 262 Presbyterian 56 247 Wofford 63   
Wed, Dec 3 288 Radford 75 224 Southern Miss 82   
Wed, Dec 3 235 Coastal Carolina 78 274 South Carolina Upstate 85   
Wed, Dec 3 359 Gardner-Webb 74 196 Queens 107   
Fri, Dec 5 97 High Point 89 348 NJIT 72   
Sat, Dec 6 274 South Carolina Upstate 78 289 Western Carolina 67   
Sat, Dec 6 235 Coastal Carolina 88 118 Winthrop 84   
Sat, Dec 6 36 North Carolina St. 75 203 UNC Asheville 63   
Sat, Dec 6 325 Morehead St. 72 262 Presbyterian 80   
Sat, Dec 6 287 Longwood 84 358 Morgan St. 80   
Sat, Dec 6 232 Georgia Southern 88 359 Gardner-Webb 84   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Dec 7 288 Radford 84 357 St. Francis (PA) 75 82%   
Mon, Dec 8 285 Charleston Southern 79 349 South Carolina St. 71 79%   
Wed, Dec 10 112 Miami (OH) 79 203 UNC Asheville 76 62%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1.5 64.3 25.4 7.0 2.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Winthrop 1.9 40.2 38.6 13.5 4.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
UNC Asheville 3.7 7.4 16.6 28.7 19.3 12.7 7.8 4.8 2.2 0.5
Presbyterian 4.8 2.1 7.0 16.9 20.5 18.4 15.2 11.3 6.7 1.9
South Carolina Upstate 5.0 1.8 6.2 15.2 19.0 18.0 16.1 13.2 8.1 2.5
Charleston Southern 6.5 0.2 1.4 4.7 8.9 12.6 16.9 21.6 26.0 7.8
Longwood 5.5 1.1 3.9 10.8 15.5 18.3 17.7 16.9 11.5 4.4
Radford 5.5 1.0 4.2 11.0 15.9 17.7 17.8 16.4 11.7 4.4
Gardner-Webb 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.9 9.2 22.8 61.6




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.5 5.0 9.6 15.5 20.9 22.1 16.4 6.5
Winthrop 12 - 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.7 5.7 10.0 14.9 18.7 19.5 15.7 8.6 2.3
UNC Asheville 9 - 7 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 4.1 7.0 10.9 14.2 16.2 15.2 13.0 9.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
Presbyterian 8 - 8 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 6.1 9.6 13.6 16.6 15.8 13.3 9.9 6.1 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
South Carolina Upstate 7 - 9 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.6 7.5 11.5 14.3 16.1 15.0 12.5 9.0 5.1 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Charleston Southern 5 - 11 0.7 2.8 7.2 12.2 16.0 17.5 15.9 12.1 8.2 4.3 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Longwood 7 - 9 0.1 0.8 2.6 5.7 10.0 13.9 16.0 16.2 13.5 9.7 6.1 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
Radford 7 - 9 0.1 0.8 2.7 5.9 9.8 13.8 16.2 15.8 13.3 9.7 6.4 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Gardner-Webb 2 - 14 9.9 21.3 23.9 20.2 13.2 6.8 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
High Point 64.3% 50.2 12.8 1.3 0.1
Winthrop 40.2% 27.3 11.6 1.2 0.1
UNC Asheville 7.4% 3.7 2.9 0.8 0.1
Presbyterian 2.1% 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
South Carolina Upstate 1.8% 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
Charleston Southern 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Longwood 1.1% 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
Radford 1.0% 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
Gardner-Webb


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
High Point 46.9% 46.9% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.0 11.7 18.0 10.9 2.6 0.3 53.1 0.0%
Winthrop 32.2% 32.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.8 11.0 11.3 4.7 0.8 67.8 0.0%
UNC Asheville 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.2 3.1 91.3 0.0%
Presbyterian 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 96.8 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 97.0 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 98.0 0.0%
Longwood 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 98.0 0.0%
Radford 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 98.0 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 46.9% 0.0% 46.9% 6.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Winthrop 32.2% 0.2% 32.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Asheville 8.7% 1.7% 8.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Presbyterian 3.2% 1.2% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina Upstate 3.0% 1.1% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charleston Southern 2.0% 1.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Longwood 2.0% 1.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Radford 2.0% 1.4% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gardner-Webb 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 96.6% 1.0 3.5 96.5 0.0
2nd Round 9.3% 0.1 90.7 9.3
Sweet Sixteen 1.8% 0.0 98.2 1.8
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0