West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#316
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#221
Pace70.4#157
Improvement-1.7#289

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#298
First Shot-5.5#333
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#130
Layup/Dunks-4.3#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#316
Freethrows-1.3#267
Improvement-0.4#205

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#315
First Shot-2.6#260
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#304
Layups/Dunks-5.4#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#179
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#59
Freethrows-0.9#246
Improvement-1.3#284
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 20.8% 30.5% 11.3%
.500 or above in Conference 32.3% 44.5% 20.3%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 13.2% 7.0% 19.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 42 - 7
Quad 410 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 25 @Nebraska L 53-86 1%     0 - 1 -14.9 -11.9 -2.7
  Mon, Nov 10 30 @UCLA L 62-83 2%     0 - 2 -3.6 +0.8 -5.9
  Fri, Nov 14 355 The Citadel W 100-92 77%     1 - 2 -8.7 +9.4 -18.8
  Mon, Nov 17 285 @Tennessee Tech W 61-59 30%     2 - 2 -1.6 -10.6 +9.1
  Fri, Nov 21 264 South Carolina Upstate W 72-64 49%     3 - 2 -0.7 -4.9 +4.1
  Sun, Nov 23 129 @Georgia Tech L 66-82 10%     3 - 3 -11.0 -4.1 -6.4
  Mon, Dec 1 139 @Troy W 93-89 2OT 11%     4 - 3 +8.5 +5.5 +2.2
  Sat, Dec 6 285 Tennessee Tech L 59-87 52%     4 - 4 -37.6 -18.4 -19.3
  Sat, Dec 13 213 Georgia Southern L 85-91 40%     4 - 5 -12.4 +3.8 -15.9
  Mon, Dec 22 22 @Georgia L 74-103 1%     4 - 6 -10.1 -2.5 -2.8
  Thu, Jan 1 267 Bellarmine L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Jan 3 259 Eastern Kentucky L 75-76 48%    
  Thu, Jan 8 350 @North Florida W 83-82 52%    
  Sat, Jan 10 317 @Jacksonville L 69-72 39%    
  Thu, Jan 15 349 @Stetson W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 186 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72-82 17%    
  Thu, Jan 22 282 Central Arkansas W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 211 Queens L 79-82 40%    
  Wed, Jan 28 267 @Bellarmine L 73-79 29%    
  Sat, Jan 31 195 Austin Peay L 69-73 37%    
  Thu, Feb 5 350 North Florida W 86-79 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 317 Jacksonville W 72-69 61%    
  Wed, Feb 11 244 @North Alabama L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 282 @Central Arkansas L 71-77 31%    
  Wed, Feb 18 259 @Eastern Kentucky L 72-79 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 211 @Queens L 76-85 22%    
  Wed, Feb 25 144 Lipscomb L 72-79 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 244 North Alabama L 72-73 46%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 3.7 1.1 0.1 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.9 1.8 0.1 9.4 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 11.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 5.7 4.1 0.4 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.7 4.8 0.9 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 5.2 5.0 1.2 0.1 13.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.9 3.7 1.0 0.1 10.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 7.6 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.8 7.5 11.1 13.6 14.2 13.4 11.5 8.5 6.0 3.4 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 82.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 48.4% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
13-5 19.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 0.1
15-3 0.2% 0.2
14-4 0.9% 0.9
13-5 1.8% 1.8
12-6 3.4% 3.4
11-7 6.0% 6.0
10-8 8.5% 8.5
9-9 11.5% 11.5
8-10 13.4% 13.4
7-11 14.2% 14.2
6-12 13.6% 13.6
5-13 11.1% 11.1
4-14 7.5% 7.5
3-15 4.8% 4.8
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%