West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.3 #338
Expected Predictive Rating -7.2 #282
Pace 70.4 #142
Improvement -4.2 #340

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #296 F C C D+ F
Defense #348 F C D- C- F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #275 1.02 #328 -4.4 #324
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% #12 0.77 #155 +5.1 #11
Three Pointers 32% #344 0.88 #333 -7.0 #347
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #342 -6.3 #340
Freethrows 15.5 #290 74% #121 11.5 #264
Second Chance 30.6% #183 1.08 #133 0.33 #153
Turnovers 16.8% #201
Total Offense -4.6 #296

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #6 1.26 #308 -7.7 #361
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #302 0.84 #300 +0.9 #129
Three Pointers 36% #307 1.09 #285 +1.1 #138
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #336 -5.7 #336
Freethrows 18.9 #252 72% #173 13.6 #249
Second Chance 31.3% #210 1.05 #193 0.33 #210
Turnovers 14.1% #313
Total Defense -6.7 #348

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.7% #350 2.3% #353
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.0% #322 8.6% #323
Possession Length 18.3 #273 16.4 #43
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #226 0.26 #361
Improvement -0.7 #225 -3.4 #338

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 4.6% 12.0% 2.1%
.500 or above in Conference 12.5% 26.6% 7.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.7% 5.1% 17.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Home) - 24.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 49 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 14 @Nebraska L 53 - 86 1% -11  0 - 1 -12 -10 F B+ B+ -2 A+ F C
 Mon, Nov 10 36 @UCLA L 62 - 83 1% -11  0 - 2 -5 +1 A+ D F -7 D B B+
 Fri, Nov 14 351 The Citadel W 100 - 92 66% +8  1 - 2 -8 +10 C+ A+ B- -19 F A- F
 Mon, Nov 17 342 @Tennessee Tech W 61 - 59 39% +6  2 - 2 -7 -12 F F F +6 A C B+
 Fri, Nov 21 303 South Carolina Upstate W 72 - 64 49% +4  3 - 2 -3 -6 F A+ F +2 A+ A- F
 Sun, Nov 23 113 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 82 6% -3  3 - 3 -10 -4 D D A- -5 D F C
 Mon, Dec 1 112 @Troy W 93 - 89 2OT 6% -0  4 - 3 +10 +6 D D+ A+ +4 D A+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 342 Tennessee Tech L 59 - 87 62% -11  4 - 4 -43 -20 F C+ F -23 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 251 Georgia Southern L 85 - 91 37% -9  4 - 5 -14 +4 D A+ F -17 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 24 @Georgia L 74 - 103 1% -20  4 - 6 -10 -2 F C D -3 B+ F D+
 Thu, Jan 1 300 Bellarmine W 87 - 85 48% +6  5 - 6 1 - 0 -9 +6 D- F A+ -15 F B F
 Sat, Jan 3 254 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 76 38% -1  6 - 6 2 - 0 +4 +9 C- A- B- -5 D+ C- F
 Thu, Jan 8 350 @North Florida W 85 - 73 43% +6  7 - 6 3 - 0 +3 +1 D+ D C+ +1 A- F C+
 Sat, Jan 10 292 @Jacksonville L 43 - 75 26% -20  7 - 7 3 - 1 -37 -23 F F F -19 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 332 @Stetson L 86 - 95 36% -4  7 - 8 3 - 2 -17 +5 F B+ A- -21 F C- B
 Sat, Jan 17 225 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72 - 90 16% -6  7 - 9 3 - 3 -19 -4 F F A -15 F F C+
 Thu, Jan 22 236 Central Arkansas L 65 - 86 34% -9  7 - 10 3 - 4 -28 -9 C+ A+ F -20 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 177 Queens L 78 - 85 25%
 Wed, Jan 28 300 @Bellarmine L 76 - 82 26%
 Sat, Jan 31 171 Austin Peay L 71 - 78 25%
 Thu, Feb 5 350 North Florida W 87 - 83 65%
 Sat, Feb 7 292 Jacksonville L 70 - 71 47%
 Wed, Feb 11 328 @North Alabama L 74 - 78 37%
 Sat, Feb 14 236 @Central Arkansas L 70 - 80 18%
 Wed, Feb 18 254 @Eastern Kentucky L 74 - 83 20%
 Sat, Feb 21 177 @Queens L 75 - 88 11%
 Wed, Feb 25 174 Lipscomb L 74 - 81 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 328 North Alabama W 77 - 75 57%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 11 -11 -5 F C C -7 F C D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 2.8 1.6 0.2 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 6.4 6.6 1.2 0.0 14.8 7th
8th 0.2 5.0 9.4 2.3 0.1 17.1 8th
9th 0.0 2.4 10.2 4.4 0.2 17.2 9th
10th 0.9 8.0 6.1 0.5 0.0 15.5 10th
11th 0.2 3.9 5.9 0.9 0.0 10.9 11th
12th 1.6 3.4 1.0 0.0 6.1 12th
Total 1.8 8.3 17.4 22.8 21.7 15.4 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 12.5% 0.0    0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.2
11-7 1.0% 1.0
10-8 3.3% 3.3
9-9 7.9% 7.9
8-10 15.4% 15.4
7-11 21.7% 21.7
6-12 22.8% 22.8
5-13 17.4% 17.4
4-14 8.3% 8.3
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.8%