Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
169 Central Arkansas 28.7%   15   18 - 11 15 - 3 -0.7      0.0 162 -0.8 204 69.3 157 -0.5 164 +2.7 1
176 Austin Peay 24.2%   19 - 8 15 - 3 -1.0      -0.9 187 -0.1 174 72.2 82 +1.3 137 +2.5 2
197 Lipscomb 17.0%   17 - 12 12 - 6 -2.1      -1.7 213 -0.4 190 72.9 62 -1.6 188 -2.7 4
204 Queens 18.4%   17 - 13 13 - 5 -2.4      +4.1 85 -6.4 333 72.3 79 -2.5 208 -1.6 3
264 Florida Gulf Coast 5.1%   13 - 17 8 - 10 -5.8      -2.9 250 -3.0 259 68.9 167 -6.8 269 -7.9 5
285 Bellarmine 3.4%   11 - 18 7 - 11 -6.9      +4.5 77 -11.4 365 63.6 312 -7.6 290 -8.7 8
293 Jacksonville 0.0%   10 - 20 7 - 11 -7.8      -4.3 284 -3.6 279 61.1 349 -8.8 304 -9.1 10
294 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 11 -7.9      0.0 165 -7.9 354 68.4 180 -9.0 308 -8.6 7
303 West Georgia 1.7%   13 - 16 8 - 10 -8.6      -4.2 283 -4.3 299 71.4 102 -7.0 277 -8.0 6
309 Stetson 1.5%   10 - 20 7 - 11 -9.1      -2.6 239 -6.5 337 67.5 205 -8.5 301 -9.0 9
340 North Florida 0.0%   5 - 25 5 - 13 -12.5      -2.1 232 -10.3 364 75.1 29 -13.9 347 -11.5 11
342 North Alabama 0.0%   7 - 21 4 - 14 -12.6      -6.6 335 -6.0 329 63.6 310 -11.1 332 -13.7 12


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Mar 4 264 Florida Gulf Coast 69 342 North Alabama 58   
Wed, Mar 4 285 Bellarmine 82 293 Jacksonville 79   
Wed, Mar 4 340 North Florida 85 303 West Georgia 93   
Wed, Mar 4 294 Eastern Kentucky 76 309 Stetson 92   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Fri, Mar 6 264 Florida Gulf Coast 74 197 Lipscomb 78 64%   
Fri, Mar 6 285 Bellarmine 77 169 Central Arkansas 83 72%   
Fri, Mar 6 204 Queens 86 303 West Georgia 80 73%   
Fri, Mar 6 176 Austin Peay 81 309 Stetson 73 78%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Austin Peay 1.0 100.0
Central Arkansas 1.0 100.0
Queens 3.0 100.0
Lipscomb 4.0 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 5.0 100.0
West Georgia 5.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 7.0 100.0
Bellarmine 7.0 100.0
Jacksonville 7.0 100.0
Stetson 7.0 100.0
North Florida 11.0 100.0
North Alabama 12.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Austin Peay 15 - 3 20 - 8 100.0
Central Arkansas 15 - 3 19 - 11 100.0
Queens 13 - 5 18 - 13 100.0
Lipscomb 12 - 6 18 - 12 100.0
Florida Gulf Coast 8 - 10 13 - 18 100.0
West Georgia 8 - 10 13 - 17 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 7 - 11 9 - 21 100.0
Bellarmine 7 - 11 11 - 19 100.0
Jacksonville 7 - 11 10 - 20 100.0
Stetson 7 - 11 10 - 21 100.0
North Florida 5 - 13 5 - 25 100.0
North Alabama 4 - 14 7 - 21 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Austin Peay 100.0% 100.0
Central Arkansas 100.0% 100.0
Queens
Lipscomb
Florida Gulf Coast
West Georgia
Eastern Kentucky
Bellarmine
Jacksonville
Stetson
North Florida
North Alabama


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Central Arkansas 28.7% 28.7% 0.0% 15   0.0 1.7 13.8 12.5 0.7 71.3 0.0%
Austin Peay 24.2% 24.2% 0.0% 0.0 2.5 12.9 8.6 0.3 75.8 0.0%
Lipscomb 17.0% 17.0% 0.0% 0.5 5.5 9.8 1.2 83.0 0.0%
Queens 18.4% 18.4% 0.0% 0.1 4.3 11.0 3.0 81.6 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 5.1 94.9 0.0%
Bellarmine 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4 96.6 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
West Georgia 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7 98.3 0.0%
Stetson 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5 98.6 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.6% 0.9 5.4 94.6
2nd Round 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Central Arkansas 28.7% 0.0% 28.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 24.2% 0.0% 24.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 17.0% 0.0% 17.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Queens 18.4% 0.3% 18.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida Gulf Coast 5.1% 4.9% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bellarmine 3.4% 3.4% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
West Georgia 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Florida 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Alabama 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%