Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#177
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#220
Pace72.2#116
Improvement+0.5#149

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#130
First Shot+0.0#177
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#101
Layup/Dunks+1.8#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
Freethrows-1.4#256
Improvement-1.3#283

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#259
First Shot-4.7#323
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#69
Layups/Dunks-2.5#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#177
Freethrows-3.9#344
Improvement+1.8#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.7% 20.2% 15.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.9
.500 or above 75.9% 85.8% 67.3%
.500 or above in Conference 86.8% 90.0% 84.0%
Conference Champion 23.1% 27.4% 19.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.4% 0.9%
First Four1.6% 1.0% 2.0%
First Round16.9% 19.6% 14.5%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Home) - 46.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 414 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 17 @Illinois L 70-113 3%     0 - 1 -23.0 +1.6 -21.7
  Tue, Nov 11 226 Georgia Southern L 94-95 71%     0 - 2 -8.0 +13.7 -21.6
  Sat, Nov 15 209 Chattanooga W 91-73 67%     1 - 2 +12.0 +14.7 -2.5
  Wed, Nov 19 228 @Samford W 77-62 49%     2 - 2 +14.0 +4.0 +10.3
  Mon, Nov 24 311 Oral Roberts W 93-88 83%     3 - 2 -6.4 +7.9 -14.5
  Tue, Nov 25 217 Rice W 78-63 OT 69%     4 - 2 +8.6 -7.5 +14.3
  Wed, Nov 26 162 Kennesaw St. L 100-102 OT 58%     4 - 3 -5.4 +4.3 -9.4
  Wed, Dec 3 207 @Florida International L 83-89 45%     4 - 4 -6.0 +4.8 -10.3
  Sun, Dec 7 126 Florida Atlantic L 78-79 46%    
  Sun, Dec 14 103 @New Mexico L 77-86 21%    
  Sat, Dec 20 63 @Central Florida L 77-90 11%    
  Thu, Jan 1 273 @Central Arkansas W 77-75 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 200 @North Alabama L 74-76 43%    
  Thu, Jan 8 182 Austin Peay W 77-74 62%    
  Sat, Jan 10 164 Lipscomb W 79-77 59%    
  Thu, Jan 15 199 Queens W 84-80 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 285 West Georgia W 80-72 77%    
  Thu, Jan 22 182 @Austin Peay L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 164 @Lipscomb L 76-80 37%    
  Thu, Jan 29 200 North Alabama W 77-73 65%    
  Sat, Jan 31 275 @Jacksonville W 74-72 56%    
  Thu, Feb 5 258 @Eastern Kentucky W 82-81 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 292 @Bellarmine W 80-77 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 343 North Florida W 91-78 87%    
  Sat, Feb 14 348 Stetson W 83-70 89%    
  Thu, Feb 19 275 Jacksonville W 77-69 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 273 Central Arkansas W 80-72 76%    
  Thu, Feb 26 343 @North Florida W 88-81 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 348 @Stetson W 80-73 75%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.6 6.8 6.3 3.6 1.5 0.3 23.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.8 6.8 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.9 3.1 0.4 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.4 3.4 5.8 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.1 2.1 4.9 2.4 0.3 9.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.1 2.4 0.2 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.2 0.3 5.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.7 5.9 9.2 11.7 13.6 14.5 13.8 11.1 7.3 3.8 1.5 0.3 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.5% 1.5    1.4 0.0
16-2 96.5% 3.6    3.3 0.3
15-3 86.0% 6.3    4.9 1.3 0.1
14-4 61.4% 6.8    3.6 2.7 0.5 0.0
13-5 25.9% 3.6    1.0 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 6.5% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.1% 23.1 14.6 6.2 1.8 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 42.9% 42.9% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-1 1.5% 46.2% 46.2% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.8
16-2 3.8% 41.5% 41.5% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2
15-3 7.3% 32.6% 32.6% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.8 0.1 4.9
14-4 11.1% 29.2% 29.2% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.3 7.9
13-5 13.8% 22.3% 22.3% 14.8 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.4 10.7
12-6 14.5% 17.1% 17.1% 15.1 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.6 12.0
11-7 13.6% 12.8% 12.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 11.9
10-8 11.7% 11.2% 11.2% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 10.4
9-9 9.2% 7.1% 7.1% 15.8 0.1 0.5 8.5
8-10 5.9% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.2 5.7
7-11 3.7% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.2 3.5
6-12 2.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 2.1
5-13 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 17.7% 17.7% 0.0% 14.7 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.6 7.1 4.2 82.3 0.0%