Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.2 199
Results Rating -3.0 216
Consistency 0.12 29
Pace 77.6 13
Improvement -1.3 231

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 204 C C+ C- C C+
Defense C 197 C- D+ A- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 32 C- 56% 239 +2.4 94
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 91 C- 36% 233 +0.1 174
Three Pointers 33% 328 C+ 35% 121 -3.2 284
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 164 C- -0.8 203
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 190
Second Chance C+ 32.3% 116 C 1.04 163 C+ 0.34 116
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.6% 297
Other Turnovers C+ 6.9% 130
Turnovers C- 17.5% 236
Freethrows C+ 0.32 140 D 69% 298 C 0.22 187
Total Offense C- -1.5 204

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 186 B- 9.6% 102
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 28% 135 B- 3.6% 83
Three Pointers C- 82% 226 B- 0.5% 76
Total C- 54% 223 C+ 5.2% 141


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 236 C 57% 163 -1.1 128
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 341 F+ 44% 347 -1.5 68
Three Pointers 48% 15 C- 35% 226 +4.3 339
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 280 C- +1.2 231
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 243
Second Chance D- 35.2% 338 C+ 1.01 146 D+ 0.36 292
Turnovers from Steals A- 12.7% 15
Other Turnovers C+ 7.7% 114
Turnovers A- 20.5% 24
Freethrows C- 0.32 224 C 73% 197 C- 0.23 230
Total Defense C -0.7 197

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 312 B 15.1% 48
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 41% 350 B- 6.2% 88
Three Pointers D- 90% 336 C- 0.6% 228
Total F+ 66% 350 B- 6.8% 85

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.0 12 17.3 182
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 64 0.17 192
Consistency 0.10 50 0.09 3
Improvement -1.9 285 +0.6 165

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 223 199 172
Results Rating Rank 248 212 176
Conference Record 7 - 13 8 - 12 9 - 11
Conference Finish 10 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 16.0
.500 or above 3% 5% 1%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 2% 0% 4%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round2% 3% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Middle Tennessee (Home) - 54.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 513 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 16 @Nebraska L 66 - 96 2% -21  2% 0 - 1 D -9 C- -2 D+ A- F D+ -4 F D- A+
 Thu, Nov 13 59 @LSU L 81 - 98 9% -10  1% 0 - 2 C- -4 C +1 C- B B+ D+ -4 B F B+
 Mon, Nov 24 207 James Madison L 72 - 80 62% +1  60% 0 - 3 D- -13 D -4 D+ D B F+ -9 A+ F D
 Wed, Nov 26 253 Nebraska Omaha W 74 - 61 72% +8  94% 1 - 3 C+ +5 F+ -9 D- C- A A+ +13 A+ F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 269 Florida Gulf Coast W 89 - 83 74% +6  86% 2 - 3 C- -3 C+ +2 D+ B C- D -5 C+ D- B-
 Sat, Dec 6 293 Jacksonville W 88 - 65 79% +18  95% 3 - 3 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ D+ D+ B- +3 B F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 35 @Miami (FL) L 81 - 98 5% -6  10% 3 - 4 C -0 B +7 B B+ C+ D -6 F C+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 218 LIU Brooklyn W 86 - 79 65% +2  46% 4 - 4 C +1 C+ +2 A D+ D+ C- -2 C C A+
 Sun, Dec 28 114 Liberty L 94 - 97 OT 40% +0  50% 4 - 5 0 - 1 C- -3 B +7 C A+ C- F+ -9 C F C-
 Fri, Jan 2 176 New Mexico St. W 89 - 74 57% +11  86% 5 - 5 1 - 1 B +11 B+ +9 B+ A+ F+ C+ +2 F A A+
 Sun, Jan 4 259 UTEP W 76 - 64 73% +2  53% 6 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +3 C+ +2 C A+ C B- +2 B- C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 192 @Jacksonville St. L 64 - 71 38% -1  34% 6 - 6 2 - 2 D+ -6 D -5 C- D D C -1 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 204 @Missouri St. L 71 - 79 39% -6  8% 6 - 7 2 - 3 D+ -7 D -6 F B- B- C- -2 C- F A
 Wed, Jan 14 157 @Kennesaw St. L 86 - 89 31% +4  72% 6 - 8 2 - 4 C +0 B +7 D- A+ B+ D -6 D- C+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 108 Sam Houston St. L 63 - 76 38% -7  3% 6 - 9 2 - 5 D- -12 F -18 F D- F B+ +6 B- B A+
 Thu, Jan 22 259 @UTEP L 77 - 83 52% -5  7% 6 - 10 2 - 6 D -9 C +0 B+ F+ C F+ -9 F F A
 Sat, Jan 24 176 @New Mexico St. W 81 - 78 34% +4  71% 7 - 10 3 - 6 B- +5 C- -1 C F A+ B+ +5 A- C+ A
 Wed, Jan 28 192 Jacksonville St. L 74 - 78 61% +4  69% 7 - 11 3 - 7 D -9 F -12 C- D F B +4 D+ A B+
 Wed, Feb 4 164 @Middle Tennessee W 88 - 84 OT 32% +1  58% 8 - 11 4 - 7 B- +7 C +1 D+ D+ B B+ +5 C A+ D+
 Sat, Feb 7 130 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 80 25% +1  55% 8 - 12 4 - 8 D+ -5 C +0 C C+ C- D -6 B- F+ F+
 Thu, Feb 12 274 Delaware L 66 - 68 75% -3  36% 8 - 13 4 - 9 D -11 F -12 F B C- C+ +0 C- F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 220 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 64 67% +4  77% 9 - 13 5 - 9 B- +6 B- +5 B A+ F B- +2 D- B+ A
 Thu, Feb 19 114 @Liberty L 89 - 90 OT 21% -1  38% 9 - 14 5 - 10 B- +5 C+ +3 C B- D B- +3 D+ C A
 Sat, Feb 21 204 Missouri St. W 70 - 67 62% +3  87% 10 - 14 6 - 10 C- -2 D -5 D+ D+ A- B- +3 C- A- A-
 Thu, Feb 26 108 @Sam Houston St. L 67 - 100 20% -20  0% 10 - 15 6 - 11 F -26 F+ -9 F B F F -15 F D- B
 Sat, Feb 28 220 @Louisiana Tech W 84 - 76 44% +1  51% 11 - 15 7 - 11 B- +7 A +13 A+ F+ F+ D -5 F D- A+
 Thu, Mar 5 164 Middle Tennessee W 77 - 76 54%
 Sat, Mar 7 130 Western Kentucky L 80 - 81 45%
Totals 12 - 16 8 - 12 -2 C- -2 C+ C- C+ C -1 C+ D C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C- C- C+ C- 44% 45% 33% C+ C C+ C C+ C- C+ D C C C F+ C- C- 37% 15% 48% D+ C- D- C+ D+ A- C- C C-
1.06 56% 36% 35% -1 0 1.01 32% 1.0 .34 18% .32 69% .22 1.10 57% 44% 35% +1 +1 1.06 35% 1.0 .36 20% .32 73% .23
Nov
8		 Nebraska C- F A+ D+ F+ 48% 17% 34% A+ D+ A+ C- A- F F D+ F D+ C C+ F F 37% 10% 53% C- F C F D- A+ A+ A+ A+
0.86 36% 50% 30% -11 +1 0.83 39% 0.8 .32 26% .11 67% .07 1.25 64% 33% 52% +15 +1 1.36 28% 1.3 .38 20% .13 63% .08
Nov
13		 LSU C D+ A+ F D 48% 13% 38% A C- C+ B+ B B+ C+ F+ C- D+ D- C A+ B 43% 25% 31% B B D- F F B+ F F F
1.04 52% 50% 26% -6 +2 0.93 31% 1.1 .33 13% .31 62% .19 1.26 68% 38% 25% 0 0 1.02 39% 1.8 .68 18% .53 88% .47
Nov
24		 James Madison D F A+ B- D 38% 15% 47% C+ D+ B F D B A+ F C+ F+ A+ D A+ A+ 32% 10% 58% C- A+ F D F D F D F
1.07 30% 63% 36% -6 +1 0.92 35% 0.7 .25 10% .45 59% .26 1.18 38% 40% 21% -18 +1 0.68 51% 1.2 .59 15% .52 73% .38
Nov
26		 Nebraska Omaha F+ C- F B- D 27% 23% 50% D- D- D B- C- A B F D- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 15% 51% D+ A+ F F F A+ F B- F+
1.03 60% 23% 36% -2 -1 0.96 25% 1.1 .28 10% .34 50% .17 0.85 38% 57% 21% -14 0 0.74 32% 1.5 .49 28% .38 70% .27
Dec
3		 Florida Gulf Coast C+ D+ F C D 40% 14% 46% B- D+ D+ A+ B C- A+ A+ A+ D C- B+ A B+ 49% 11% 40% F C+ F B D- B- F F F
1.17 55% 29% 35% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.4 .41 17% .56 86% .48 1.09 59% 33% 27% -4 +2 0.98 41% 0.9 .38 18% .34 86% .29
Dec
6		 Jacksonville A- B F A+ A+ 48% 18% 34% C+ A+ D- B- D+ D+ A+ A A+ B- A+ A- C- B 23% 19% 58% B B F B F A+ C+ A B-
1.29 67% 25% 67% +18 +1 1.41 23% 1.0 .23 16% .52 77% .40 0.95 33% 30% 33% -8 -1 0.85 43% 0.9 .41 26% .28 64% .18
Dec
16		 Miami (FL) B A- A+ F B 43% 26% 30% C+ B A+ D- B+ C+ A D+ A- D F F B+ F+ 55% 9% 36% F F D- A C+ C F D+ F
1.07 65% 50% 25% +2 0 1.06 35% 0.9 .32 18% .34 67% .23 1.29 74% 80% 30% +11 +3 1.29 44% 0.9 .41 16% .49 71% .34
Dec
20		 LIU Brooklyn C+ A+ F B A 52% 17% 31% B- A C D- D+ D+ A- D+ B C- B- F C C+ 49% 11% 40% F C F A+ C A+ C- C+ C-
1.13 78% 11% 38% +7 +1 1.19 34% 0.9 .31 20% .39 67% .26 1.04 54% 50% 33% -1 +2 1.04 45% 0.7 .33 26% .30 65% .20
Dec
28		 Liberty B F A+ B D+ 60% 16% 24% A C A+ C+ A+ C- A+ D- A+ F+ F+ B D+ C- 34% 5% 61% B C F C- F C- B- F+ C
1.22 42% 78% 38% -1 +2 1.04 50% 1.3 .63 18% .37 70% .25 1.26 71% 33% 38% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 13% .24 75% .18
Jan
2		 New Mexico St. B+ A- F A+ A- 40% 25% 35% C B+ A A+ A+ F+ A D B+ C+ D+ F F+ F 31% 18% 51% F+ F A+ C- A A+ B+ A- A-
1.25 68% 25% 41% +5 0 1.10 41% 1.5 .62 18% .45 73% .33 1.04 63% 56% 38% +8 0 1.18 20% 1.0 .20 21% .21 67% .14
Jan
4		 UTEP C+ B+ B- F D+ 53% 16% 31% A C B+ A+ A+ C A+ F B+ B- A+ C+ D+ B+ 35% 17% 48% F B- F+ A C+ C+ B+ F C
1.14 67% 43% 21% -1 +2 1.04 39% 1.3 .52 18% .49 63% .31 0.96 39% 33% 36% -6 0 0.90 32% 0.8 .24 18% .22 83% .18
Jan
7		 Jacksonville St. D C+ A- F C- 46% 23% 31% C- C- F A- D D B- A- B+ C C F F F 44% 10% 46% C- F F F F A+ F+ F+ F
0.99 59% 45% 27% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.2 .21 19% .36 84% .30 1.10 56% 50% 42% +6 +2 1.17 38% 1.2 .46 25% .41 75% .31
Jan
10		 Missouri St. D A D- F F 30% 42% 28% D F C- A- B- B- D- F F C- D F B- D+ 14% 20% 66% B C- D- F F A F B+ F
0.99 75% 32% 20% -3 -3 0.89 30% 1.3 .38 15% .31 58% .18 1.11 67% 56% 31% +2 -2 1.02 36% 1.5 .55 22% .56 61% .34
Jan
14		 Kennesaw St. B F F A+ F 53% 13% 35% B+ D- A+ A A+ B+ C- D D+ D B- A+ F F 31% 15% 55% B D- D+ A- C+ D F A+ D
1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28 1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27
Jan
17		 Sam Houston St. F F F A F 37% 21% 42% C F C+ F D- F A+ F A+ B+ F B+ B+ C+ 29% 20% 51% B B- B B B A+ F A+ D-
0.84 25% 11% 39% -15 0 0.72 32% 0.7 .22 24% .68 62% .42 1.01 73% 30% 31% 0 -1 1.02 33% 0.9 .30 23% .45 54% .24
Jan
22		 UTEP C B+ D A+ A- 38% 36% 26% D- B+ C- F F+ C A+ F B- F+ D F+ F F 32% 26% 42% D+ F D+ F F A C+ D+ C
1.07 67% 35% 50% +8 -2 1.15 31% 0.8 .25 18% .46 63% .29 1.16 65% 43% 41% +8 -1 1.15 29% 1.3 .39 22% .25 71% .18
Jan
24		 New Mexico St. C- C A+ F C 39% 19% 42% B- C F F+ F A+ B- F C- B+ A+ A C- A- 30% 28% 43% C+ A- F A+ C+ A F A- F
1.07 59% 55% 25% -2 0 0.98 20% 1.0 .20 8% .40 68% .27 1.03 44% 27% 35% -7 -2 0.85 43% 0.7 .29 20% .45 67% .30
Jan
28		 Jacksonville St. F C C+ F+ D+ 50% 10% 40% A- C- D- C- D F B- D- C+ B F A A+ C- 62% 8% 30% F D+ A+ C A B+ F C F
0.93 58% 40% 29% -3 +2 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 24% .36 73% .26 0.98 68% 25% 20% -1 +3 1.06 18% 1.0 .18 20% .50 69% .34
Feb
4		 Middle Tennessee C D C A C- 48% 34% 18% D- D+ C- F+ D+ B A+ F+ A+ B+ D- F C+ C+ 21% 7% 71% F+ C A A+ A+ D+ F D+ F
1.07 52% 37% 40% -2 -1 0.96 25% 0.9 .23 13% .52 70% .37 1.02 67% 50% 33% +1 +1 1.05 22% 0.3 .07 15% .47 70% .33
Feb
7		 Western Kentucky C A F B+ C 35% 31% 33% D C C+ C- C+ C- D- A+ C- D C+ A+ B+ B 40% 12% 47% D B- F B F+ F+ A+ F A-
1.03 71% 20% 38% +1 -2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .34 79% .27 1.17 52% 14% 30% -8 +1 0.88 44% 0.9 .40 10% .21 85% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Delaware F F+ D- F F 37% 24% 39% C+ F C+ B B C- F D+ F C+ F+ F B C- 31% 10% 58% D- C- F F F A+ B B+ B
0.99 50% 31% 29% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .37 15% .16 78% .12 1.02 67% 60% 32% +3 +1 1.10 31% 1.1 .34 24% .22 73% .16
Feb
14		 Louisiana Tech B- C+ F+ A B 43% 21% 36% C B A+ C- A+ F B- F D+ B- D B B D 53% 12% 35% F D- A+ B- B+ A C+ A- B-
1.14 55% 30% 41% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.0 .52 24% .35 61% .21 0.95 62% 33% 29% -1 +2 1.04 26% 0.8 .19 24% .27 57% .16
Feb
19		 Liberty C+ D- D- A+ C- 54% 21% 25% B C A F+ B- D A- A+ A+ B- B+ F F D+ 47% 4% 49% C- D+ C+ C- C A F D F
1.12 48% 33% 50% 0 +1 1.04 41% 1.1 .44 20% .30 89% .27 1.14 54% 50% 48% +9 +3 1.25 17% 1.0 .17 19% .34 73% .25
Feb
21		 Missouri St. D C+ C F D 40% 32% 28% B- D+ F A+ D+ A- B+ F C+ B- A+ F F C+ 38% 17% 45% F+ C- D A+ A- A- D- C D
1.04 65% 38% 29% 0 -1 1.00 19% 1.5 .29 13% .41 67% .27 1.00 33% 50% 43% -2 0 1.00 35% 0.8 .27 21% .39 67% .26
Feb
26		 Sam Houston St. F+ C+ C F F 27% 38% 35% F F F+ A+ B F A+ B+ A+ F F F+ F F 49% 22% 29% C- F F C D- B F F F
0.91 62% 39% 12% -11 -3 0.75 22% 1.8 .39 20% .50 76% .38 1.36 71% 45% 64% +21 +1 1.45 43% 1.0 .43 19% .42 80% .34
Feb
28		 Louisiana Tech A F B- A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F A+ B- F F+ F+ A+ B+ A+ D F+ C- F+ F 40% 23% 37% C+ F F B- D- A+ F F F
1.21 36% 42% 59% +14 -2 1.27 37% 0.6 .23 22% .49 78% .38 1.09 65% 40% 38% +5 0 1.12 47% 0.7 .34 27% .51 73% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 1.9 1.9 5th
6th 7.8 7.8 6th
7th 10.8 10.8 7th
8th 3.7 38.0 4.3 46.0 8th
9th 12.0 12.0 24.0 9th
10th 8.2 8.2 10th
11th 1.3 1.3 11th
12th 12th
Total 25.3 49.9 24.8 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 24.8% 3.6% 3.6% 14.8 0.2 0.7 0.0 23.9
8-12 49.9% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.1 0.9 48.9
7-13 25.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4 24.8
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 15.5 97.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 14.8 18.1 80.2 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.9%
Lose Out 13.7%