Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#207
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#204
Pace74.9#55
Improvement+1.4#82

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#232
First Shot-3.1#262
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#141
Layup/Dunks+0.7#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
Freethrows-3.0#326
Improvement+0.3#159

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#183
First Shot+6.1#28
After Offensive Rebounds-6.6#364
Layups/Dunks+4.2#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#80
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement+1.2#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 3.2% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 28.6% 34.0% 13.8%
.500 or above in Conference 36.0% 39.5% 26.7%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.4% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 9.9% 16.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round2.7% 3.1% 1.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Home) - 73.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 34 - 74 - 13
Quad 48 - 413 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 49 @Nebraska L 66-96 7%     0 - 1 -16.1 -6.4 -7.1
  Thu, Nov 13 29 @LSU L 81-98 4%     0 - 2 -0.2 +7.8 -6.2
  Mon, Nov 24 169 James Madison L 72-80 54%     0 - 3 -12.0 -3.0 -9.3
  Wed, Nov 26 252 Nebraska Omaha W 74-61 70%     1 - 3 +4.8 -7.1 +11.5
  Wed, Dec 3 177 Florida Gulf Coast W 89-83 55%     2 - 3 +1.7 +5.2 -4.0
  Sat, Dec 6 275 Jacksonville W 75-69 73%    
  Tue, Dec 16 34 @Miami (FL) L 67-86 4%    
  Sat, Dec 20 230 LIU Brooklyn W 78-74 64%    
  Sun, Dec 28 98 Liberty L 72-77 33%    
  Fri, Jan 2 116 New Mexico St. L 69-72 39%    
  Sun, Jan 4 241 UTEP W 72-67 66%    
  Wed, Jan 7 238 @Jacksonville St. L 68-69 45%    
  Sat, Jan 10 242 @Missouri St. L 69-70 45%    
  Wed, Jan 14 162 @Kennesaw St. L 79-85 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 133 Sam Houston St. L 78-80 44%    
  Thu, Jan 22 241 @UTEP L 69-70 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 116 @New Mexico St. L 66-75 20%    
  Wed, Jan 28 238 Jacksonville St. W 71-66 64%    
  Wed, Feb 4 138 @Middle Tennessee L 72-80 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 123 @Western Kentucky L 75-84 22%    
  Thu, Feb 12 287 Delaware W 78-71 73%    
  Sat, Feb 14 188 Louisiana Tech W 70-68 57%    
  Thu, Feb 19 98 @Liberty L 69-80 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 242 Missouri St. W 72-67 66%    
  Thu, Feb 26 133 @Sam Houston St. L 75-83 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 188 @Louisiana Tech L 67-71 37%    
  Thu, Mar 5 138 Middle Tennessee L 75-77 45%    
  Sat, Mar 7 123 Western Kentucky L 78-81 40%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.9 1.7 0.2 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.4 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.6 5.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 2.3 4.7 3.0 0.7 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.9 3.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 10.7 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.2 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.2 5.3 7.4 10.2 11.6 12.4 11.6 10.8 9.1 6.5 4.4 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 94.8% 0.4    0.3 0.0 0.0
16-4 68.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 43.1% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 14.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 34.8% 34.8% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 27.0% 27.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 0.6% 18.7% 18.7% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.4% 14.5% 14.5% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-6 2.7% 13.1% 13.1% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.3
13-7 4.4% 11.9% 11.9% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.9
12-8 6.5% 7.0% 7.0% 14.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.0
11-9 9.1% 4.2% 4.2% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.7
10-10 10.8% 2.0% 2.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.6
9-11 11.6% 1.7% 1.7% 15.4 0.1 0.1 11.4
8-12 12.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 12.3
7-13 11.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.6
6-14 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.2
5-15 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
4-16 5.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-17 3.2% 3.2
2-18 1.6% 1.6
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 97.2 0.0%