Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#287
Expected Predictive Rating-8.0#284
Pace66.6#262
Improvement-0.4#221

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#248
First Shot+2.5#112
After Offensive Rebound-5.6#363
Layup/Dunks-2.0#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#11
Freethrows-6.6#365
Improvement-0.5#224

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#303
First Shot-3.3#291
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#230
Layups/Dunks+4.7#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#349
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement+0.1#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.6
.500 or above 7.1% 9.4% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 11.2% 13.3% 7.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 36.7% 33.1% 43.1%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Away) - 64.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 93 - 14
Quad 48 - 710 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 304 @Bucknell L 70-78 42%     0 - 1 -12.9 -6.1 -6.7
  Tue, Nov 11 8 @BYU L 68-85 1%     0 - 2 +5.3 +14.9 -12.2
  Tue, Nov 18 329 St. Peter's W 81-70 71%     1 - 2 -1.7 +6.5 -7.7
  Sun, Nov 23 142 Southern Illinois L 59-79 22%     1 - 3 -18.7 -11.8 -7.4
  Tue, Nov 25 293 UNC Greensboro W 73-60 52%     2 - 3 +5.6 +2.8 +4.0
  Mon, Dec 1 174 Iona L 66-89 40%     2 - 4 -27.2 -9.4 -17.8
  Sat, Dec 6 355 @Delaware St. W 71-67 64%    
  Wed, Dec 10 62 @George Washington L 69-88 4%    
  Sat, Dec 13 253 Cal St. Northridge W 77-76 55%    
  Tue, Dec 16 335 Rider W 74-67 73%    
  Mon, Dec 29 242 Missouri St. W 67-66 52%    
  Fri, Jan 2 238 Jacksonville St. W 67-66 52%    
  Sun, Jan 4 162 Kennesaw St. L 77-80 38%    
  Thu, Jan 8 133 @Sam Houston St. L 69-81 14%    
  Sat, Jan 10 188 @Louisiana Tech L 62-70 24%    
  Thu, Jan 15 241 UTEP W 68-67 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 116 New Mexico St. L 65-72 26%    
  Sat, Jan 24 98 @Liberty L 64-79 9%    
  Wed, Jan 28 116 @New Mexico St. L 62-75 12%    
  Sat, Jan 31 241 @UTEP L 65-70 31%    
  Wed, Feb 4 98 Liberty L 67-76 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 138 Middle Tennessee L 71-76 31%    
  Thu, Feb 12 207 @Florida International L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Feb 14 242 @Missouri St. L 64-69 32%    
  Wed, Feb 18 123 Western Kentucky L 72-79 27%    
  Sat, Feb 21 138 @Middle Tennessee L 68-79 15%    
  Thu, Feb 26 238 @Jacksonville St. L 64-69 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 162 @Kennesaw St. L 74-83 21%    
  Thu, Mar 5 133 Sam Houston St. L 72-78 31%    
  Sat, Mar 7 188 Louisiana Tech L 65-67 43%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.8 1.2 0.1 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.9 1.7 0.2 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.9 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.7 6.0 3.5 0.7 0.0 15.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.4 6.0 6.8 3.6 0.7 0.0 20.2 11th
12th 0.7 3.3 5.9 7.3 6.0 2.6 0.5 0.1 26.4 12th
Total 0.7 3.3 6.4 9.9 13.1 13.7 13.6 11.6 9.8 6.7 4.7 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 61.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 47.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 15.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.2% 16.9% 16.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-6 0.4% 3.0% 3.0% 14.0 0.0 0.4
13-7 0.9% 2.2% 2.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.9
12-8 1.8% 4.0% 4.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
11-9 3.0% 2.1% 2.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9
10-10 4.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 4.6
9-11 6.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 6.7
8-12 9.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 9.7
7-13 11.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.6
6-14 13.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.6
5-15 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
4-16 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
3-17 9.9% 9.9
2-18 6.4% 6.4
1-19 3.3% 3.3
0-20 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%