Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.4 273
Expected Predictive Rating -6.4 265
Pace 60.4 357
Improvement +2.5 84

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 269 C+ F D+ D- C
Defense C- 257 C- C+ D C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 291 C 58% 181 -2.4 267
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 207 C+ 39% 136 -0.2 189
Three Pointers 46% 73 B 37% 47 +5.0 35
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 207 B- +2.3 100
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 108
Second Chance F 20.4% 359 F+ 0.87 349 F 0.18 364
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 280
Freethrows F+ 0.24 350 B- 75% 94 D- 0.18 332
Total Offense D+ -3.7 269

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 343 C- 60% 228 +3.9 57
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 111 C 39% 207 -0.8 257
Three Pointers 47% 34 C- 35% 240 -3.9 332
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.1 207 C- +2.3 100
1st FG Attempt 1.04 206 C- -0.8 206
Second Chance C 30.0% 159 B- 0.96 82 C+ 0.29 105
Turnovers D 14.3% 325
Freethrows B- 0.27 71 F 80% 364 C 0.22 167
Total Defense C- -2.7 257

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.2 363 17.0 133
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 362 0.19 244
Improvement +1.9 #83 +0.6 #146

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 1% 2% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 69% 48% 75%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Away) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 85 - 11
Quad 46 - 1010 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 323 @Bucknell L 70 - 78 53% -6  6% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F+ -9 F B+ C+ D -7 F+ F D+
 Tue, Nov 11 21 @BYU L 68 - 85 1% +0  60% 0 - 2 C+ +4 A- +10 A F+ A+ D- -9 B+ F D
 Tue, Nov 18 228 St. Peter's W 81 - 70 51% +14  100% 1 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +8 A+ F D+ C- -3 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 122 Southern Illinois L 59 - 79 20% -10  0% 1 - 3 F+ -18 F+ -9 B- D- F D- -9 C+ F D+
 Tue, Nov 25 300 UNC Greensboro W 73 - 60 57% +1  47% 2 - 3 B- +5 D+ -2 A+ F F+ A- +8 A- A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 1 248 Iona L 66 - 89 55% -7  14% 2 - 4 F -31 F -12 C F C- F -19 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 359 @Delaware St. L 72 - 75 OT 72% -1  31% 2 - 5 F+ -15 F -11 D+ F F D+ -4 F D+ B
 Wed, Dec 10 82 @George Washington W 70 - 58 8% +6  98% 3 - 5 A +22 C- -2 A C- F A+ +24 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 185 Cal St. Northridge L 66 - 88 43% -19  0% 3 - 6 F -27 F+ -10 C- F F F -18 F B- F+
 Tue, Dec 16 354 Rider W 65 - 57 84% +6  87% 4 - 6 D -9 F -11 D F D+ B- +3 A F D-
 Mon, Dec 29 181 Missouri St. L 43 - 61 42% -12  0% 4 - 7 0 - 1 F -22 F -27 F F F C+ +2 C A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 184 Jacksonville St. L 64 - 67 43% -4  7% 4 - 8 0 - 2 D+ -8 C- -2 A- F B+ D -6 C- D+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 156 Kennesaw St. W 67 - 52 38% +5  77% 5 - 8 1 - 2 B+ +12 D -5 B+ F C A+ +18 A+ A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 8 120 @Sam Houston St. L 60 - 72 13% -7  0% 5 - 9 1 - 3 D+ -6 D -6 C- F B+ C- -2 B+ B F
 Sat, Jan 10 213 @Louisiana Tech L 68 - 70 OT 27% +5  89% 5 - 10 1 - 4 C- -2 C -0 B D C- C- -2 B- D+ D-
 Thu, Jan 15 239 UTEP L 69 - 70 54% +2  63% 5 - 11 1 - 5 D -8 C +1 D- B- A+ F+ -9 D- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 168 New Mexico St. L 68 - 97 39% -14  0% 5 - 12 1 - 6 F -32 C- -2 B- F+ A+ F -35 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 93 @Liberty L 51 - 67 9% -7  17% 5 - 13 1 - 7 D+ -8 F -15 C+ F F B +5 C A D-
 Wed, Jan 28 168 @New Mexico St. W 73 - 64 20% +5  76% 6 - 13 2 - 7 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ F C- B- +3 D A B-
 Sat, Jan 31 239 @UTEP L 55 - 70 31% -2  43% 6 - 14 2 - 8 F+ -16 F -13 F D- F+ D -6 C+ C F
 Wed, Feb 4 93 Liberty L 69 - 75 20% -1  28% 6 - 15 2 - 9 C- -4 C +0 A F B- D+ -4 D A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 167 Middle Tennessee W 89 - 88 OT 39% +0  45% 7 - 15 3 - 9 C- -2 A +14 A+ C- D F -16 D+ F D+
 Thu, Feb 12 197 @Florida International W 68 - 66 25% +3  62% 8 - 15 4 - 9 C+ +3 D+ -3 B C- F+ B+ +6 A D+ D
 Sat, Feb 14 181 @Missouri St. L 62 - 70 23%
 Wed, Feb 18 161 Western Kentucky L 67 - 70 39%
 Sat, Feb 21 167 @Middle Tennessee L 63 - 72 20%
 Thu, Feb 26 184 @Jacksonville St. L 61 - 69 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 156 @Kennesaw St. L 69 - 78 20%
 Thu, Mar 5 120 Sam Houston St. L 69 - 75 28%
 Sat, Mar 7 213 Louisiana Tech L 62 - 63 49%
Totals 10 - 20 6 - 14 -6 F -4 C- B- C C- -3 B B- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C C+ B B- 35% 19% 46% C C+ F F+ F D+ F+ B- D- C- C- C C- C- 31% 22% 47% B C- C B- C+ D B- F C
1.03 58% 39% 37% +2 0 1.06 20% 0.9 .18 18% .24 75% .18 1.12 60% 39% 35% +2 -1 1.04 30% 1.0 .29 14% .27 80% .19
Nov
3		 Bucknell F+ F F F F 40% 13% 47% B+ F D A+ B+ C+ C- F D- D C- A+ F F 37% 20% 43% C+ F+ F C F D+ B F C+
0.98 48% 14% 28% -11 +1 0.81 29% 1.6 .45 17% .30 61% .19 1.10 58% 20% 41% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 86% .21
Nov
11		 BYU A- D- D+ A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% C+ A D- F F+ A+ F A D- D- A- D+ C- A- 31% 18% 51% C- B+ F C F D B+ F C
1.12 50% 33% 48% +6 -2 1.10 21% 0.9 .18 8% .16 78% .13 1.40 53% 44% 36% +1 0 1.04 51% 1.2 .62 12% .28 87% .24
Nov
18		 St. Peter's B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 26% 43% F+ A+ D- F F D+ D+ D D C- A- F+ F F 28% 19% 53% C+ F A+ C- A+ F A+ F A+
1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26 1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10
Nov
23		 Southern Illinois F+ A+ A+ D A- 11% 32% 57% F B- C+ F D- F F C+ F D- F D- A+ D+ 20% 51% 29% A+ C+ F C- F D+ F F F
0.87 80% 53% 30% +4 -3 1.02 30% 0.7 .20 28% .14 71% .10 1.16 90% 48% 14% +3 -5 0.98 41% 1.0 .41 15% .43 80% .34
Nov
25		 UNC Greensboro D+ A+ B- A+ A+ 14% 38% 48% F A+ F F F F+ F F F A- B A+ D+ C+ 4% 43% 53% A+ A- A- A+ A+ D+ D+ F F
1.14 86% 42% 54% +20 -4 1.34 19% 0.4 .07 17% .15 50% .08 0.94 50% 25% 36% -4 -5 0.83 21% 0.6 .13 14% .40 82% .33
Dec
1		 Iona F B+ F C C 44% 18% 38% C+ C F C+ F C- F F F F F F F F 33% 19% 48% B- F A+ A+ A+ D- F+ F F
0.94 67% 20% 33% 0 +1 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 17% .14 38% .05 1.27 76% 60% 48% +20 0 1.42 8% 0.5 .04 14% .32 79% .25
Dec
6		 Delaware St. F D+ F A- D+ 41% 17% 43% C- D+ F B- F F F A+ C- D+ C- D+ F+ F 45% 25% 30% F F C D D+ B F B+ F+
0.94 59% 22% 39% +1 +1 1.06 17% 1.2 .20 23% .22 100% .22 0.98 54% 38% 38% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.9 .22 22% .40 63% .25
Dec
10		 George Washington C- D- A+ A+ A 40% 17% 43% B- A F A+ C- F D+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 37% 14% 49% A- A+ C+ A+ A+ C F A+ D+
1.02 53% 63% 45% +9 +1 1.21 18% 1.5 .27 26% .26 85% .22 0.85 44% 14% 29% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.4 .15 18% .39 64% .25
Dec
13		 Cal St. Northridge F+ F A B- C- 29% 13% 58% C+ C- C- F F F B B- B F B F F F 43% 19% 38% B- F F+ A+ B- F+ A- F C+
0.98 43% 50% 36% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.6 .15 22% .34 78% .27 1.30 52% 70% 50% +13 +1 1.28 38% 0.7 .26 13% .24 79% .19
Dec
16		 Rider F D A+ D+ D- 53% 12% 35% B- D F C- F D+ A A+ A+ B- A D+ A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% F+ A B F F D- A+ F B-
1.04 52% 60% 33% -1 +2 1.05 15% 1.0 .15 14% .37 80% .30 0.91 41% 40% 17% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 14% .17 100% .17
Dec
29		 Missouri St. F F B F F 32% 18% 50% A- F F B+ F F C D- D+ C+ B F+ C+ C+ 36% 16% 49% F C A A+ A+ C- D+ F D-
0.71 25% 43% 26% -15 0 0.71 18% 1.2 .21 25% .35 69% .24 1.01 56% 43% 32% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.5 .13 17% .38 74% .28
Jan
2		 Jacksonville St. C- B+ A+ B- A- 28% 10% 62% C+ A- F F F B+ F A- F D C A+ C+ C 51% 3% 46% F C- B F D+ C F C- F
1.06 64% 60% 35% +5 +1 1.14 19% 0.3 .06 13% .12 83% .10 1.11 55% 0% 33% -3 +3 1.03 26% 1.3 .33 18% .53 69% .37
Jan
4		 Kennesaw St. D B+ B+ C+ B+ 51% 19% 30% C+ B+ F F F C F F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 22% 16% 61% A A+ C A+ A+ B+ A+ F B
1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19 0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22
Jan
8		 Sam Houston St. D A- F D D+ 27% 10% 63% C+ C- F F F B+ F D F C- F+ A+ C+ B+ 35% 25% 40% B+ B+ C- A B F D- F F
0.96 69% 20% 29% -3 0 0.96 17% 0.8 .14 14% .22 67% .15 1.15 67% 15% 33% -3 -1 0.94 37% 0.8 .29 10% .32 89% .28
Jan
10		 Louisiana Tech C D- B A- B 36% 15% 49% C B F A+ D C- D C+ D C- D+ A+ B C+ 36% 34% 30% A B- C+ D- D+ D- F C+ F
1.03 47% 43% 39% +1 +1 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 18% .28 73% .20 1.06 59% 25% 29% -7 -2 0.85 33% 0.9 .31 15% .53 63% .34
Jan
15		 UTEP C F F A F+ 37% 23% 40% C D- D+ A+ B- A+ C+ C- C+ F+ F B- C+ D 33% 24% 44% D- D- A+ F C+ F A+ C+ A+
1.12 38% 30% 41% -5 0 0.91 30% 1.4 .41 13% .39 71% .28 1.14 72% 31% 33% +3 -1 1.05 18% 1.3 .24 6% .16 67% .10
Jan
17		 New Mexico St. C- F F A+ C+ 39% 17% 43% B B- F A F+ A+ D- D F+ F F D+ F F 27% 30% 43% B F C- F F F A F C+
1.10 44% 25% 45% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 10% .32 72% .23 1.57 80% 41% 46% +15 -2 1.27 33% 2.0 .67 6% .19 100% .19
Jan
24		 Liberty F A+ F B B- 33% 28% 40% D C+ F A+ F F B+ F C- B D+ B F+ C- 36% 6% 57% B C B- A+ A D- C+ A B-
0.85 69% 27% 38% +3 -1 1.05 4% 2.0 .08 27% .29 54% .16 1.11 65% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.21 16% 0.4 .06 10% .24 62% .15
Jan
28		 New Mexico St. A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 23% 43% C A+ F F F C- F A+ C+ B- C+ D F F+ 18% 32% 50% A D C- A+ A B- A+ D+ A+
1.22 80% 50% 42% +16 -1 1.32 19% 0.5 .10 17% .30 100% .30 1.07 56% 44% 40% +6 -3 1.08 34% 0.6 .20 17% .16 75% .12
Jan
31		 UTEP F A+ F F F 27% 22% 51% D+ F B F D- F+ A+ A+ A+ D D- A+ F C- 27% 42% 31% A C+ F A C F F F F
0.88 73% 11% 10% -21 -1 0.59 39% 0.6 .25 22% .60 93% .56 1.12 67% 21% 43% -1 -4 0.93 35% 0.8 .27 10% .44 80% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Liberty C A+ A B A 28% 24% 48% D A F F F B- D- A+ C- D+ F A+ F+ F 30% 9% 61% A D A+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.11 71% 50% 38% +9 -1 1.18 8% 1.0 .08 16% .17 89% .15 1.20 85% 25% 41% +13 +1 1.30 9% 0.0 .00 14% .37 90% .34
Feb
7		 Middle Tennessee A B D+ A+ A+ 35% 7% 59% B+ A+ D B+ C- D B+ A+ A+ F F F B D- 11% 30% 59% A+ D+ F F F D+ D- D+ D-
1.30 63% 33% 52% +17 +2 1.39 22% 1.2 .26 18% .37 90% .34 1.28 83% 63% 31% +8 -3 1.11 42% 1.3 .53 15% .32 68% .22
Feb
12		 Florida International D+ A- A+ C- B 31% 10% 58% C+ B D B- C- F+ F C F B+ B+ B+ A- A 37% 24% 39% B+ A C D D+ D A+ F A+
1.02 67% 60% 32% +3 +1 1.10 31% 1.1 .34 24% .22 73% .16 0.99 50% 31% 29% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .37 15% .16 78% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 4th
5th 0.4 0.2 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 0.9 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.2 3.5 0.3 4.0 8th
9th 0.2 3.6 3.6 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 4.2 9.4 1.0 0.0 14.9 10th
11th 0.4 5.0 13.4 6.4 0.1 25.3 11th
12th 10.3 20.8 12.3 1.2 0.0 44.6 12th
Total 10.7 26.1 30.2 20.8 9.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
9-11 2.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.5
8-12 9.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.1
7-13 20.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 20.7
6-14 30.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 30.1
5-15 26.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 26.0
4-16 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.7
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.0%