Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.1 159
Results Rating +0.1 155
Consistency 0.14 107
Pace 76.5 20
Improvement +2.4 101

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 136 C C+ C B- B
Defense C- 208 C C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 91 C- 55% 253 +0.8 154
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 302 D+ 34% 295 -3.1 320
Three Pointers 44% 107 C+ 35% 147 +2.3 104
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.1 44 C- -1.2 219
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 176
Second Chance B 34.3% 71 D+ 0.95 295 C+ 0.33 134
Opponents' Steals D 10.8% 306
Other Turnovers B 6.1% 52
Turnovers C 16.9% 192
Freethrows B 0.35 48 D 69% 303 B- 0.24 112
Total Offense C+ +1.1 136

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 307 F+ 15.3% 350
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 200 D+ 6.8% 295
Three Pointers B- 88% 91 C- 1.2% 266
Total C 55% 188 F+ 7.8% 348


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 94 B+ 52% 38 -0.7 155
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 238 C- 39% 224 -0.5 144
Three Pointers 39% 235 D- 37% 319 +1.2 246
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 261 C -0.5 159
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 174
Second Chance C 29.7% 162 B- 0.97 93 C+ 0.29 113
Turnovers from Steals C 9.4% 187
Other Turnovers C- 6.8% 246
Turnovers C- 16.2% 210
Freethrows F 0.41 362 D- 76% 341 F 0.31 364
Total Defense C- -1.0 208

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 156 A 20.0% 10
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 20% 70 C+ 5.9% 104
Three Pointers B 79% 56 B 1.6% 55
Total C+ 53% 135 A+ 10.2% 7

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.8 39 17.1 136
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 197 0.18 216
Consistency 0.12 142 0.14 304
Improvement +1.4 122 +1.0 135

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 178 157 134
Results Rating Rank 200 154 130
Conference Record 10 - 10 11 - 9 12 - 8
Conference Finish 5 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 11% 7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round9% 11% 7%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: UTEP (Away) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 412 - 417 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 319 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 74% +9  87% 1 - 0 B+ +13 B- +4 A- D- C+ B+ +7 A+ C F
 Sun, Nov 16 54 South Florida L 89 - 108 24% -9  0% 1 - 1 D- -12 B +6 D A+ B F -16 D+ D F+
 Mon, Nov 24 218 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 64% -1  34% 2 - 1 C +2 C- -1 D+ C C B- +2 C B C+
 Tue, Nov 25 315 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 81% +1  55% 2 - 2 F+ -17 D -4 D+ D+ F F -12 F A- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 264 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 61% +0  50% 3 - 2 C -1 B- +5 B D- F D- -7 D+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 345 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 92% +9  74% 4 - 2 C -1 C +1 F A A- C- -2 B+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 6 304 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 86% +16  97% 5 - 2 B+ +11 D+ -3 A C F A +10 A+ F+ D
 Wed, Dec 17 163 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 40% -7  4% 5 - 3 0 - 1 C +2 D- -7 F C+ F+ A- +8 A A+ A-
 Sun, Dec 21 16 Alabama L 81 - 92 5% -18  0% 5 - 4 B- +8 C +1 C+ A F A- +8 A+ B D
 Fri, Jan 2 115 @Liberty L 73 - 81 28% -8  1% 5 - 5 0 - 2 C- -2 D -6 F D+ C B +5 B- B- B
 Sun, Jan 4 275 @Delaware L 52 - 67 63% -5  22% 5 - 6 0 - 3 F -18 F -21 F F F C+ +1 D+ B- D
 Wed, Jan 7 205 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 70% +8  90% 6 - 6 1 - 3 C+ +5 B +6 A B- F C- -2 C C C
 Sat, Jan 10 192 Jacksonville St. W 88 - 82 69% +5  96% 7 - 6 2 - 3 C +1 B+ +8 C A+ B D- -7 F C C
 Wed, Jan 14 200 Florida International W 89 - 86 69% -4  19% 8 - 6 3 - 3 C- -2 B +7 B- D+ A+ F+ -9 B+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 131 @Western Kentucky W 81 - 65 32% +5  79% 9 - 6 4 - 3 A +21 B +7 B- F+ B+ A+ +14 A- A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 107 @Sam Houston St. L 87 - 93 26% -5  2% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C +1 A- +9 C B A+ F+ -8 F C+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 221 @Louisiana Tech L 76 - 82 53% +2  63% 9 - 8 4 - 5 D+ -7 B+ +9 C B- A F -16 F F D
 Wed, Jan 28 131 Western Kentucky W 72 - 69 55% -0  56% 10 - 8 5 - 5 C+ +2 D+ -4 C C- C B+ +6 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 177 New Mexico St. W 76 - 53 66% +15  82% 11 - 8 6 - 5 A +19 C +1 C A- B+ A+ +19 A+ A+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 192 @Jacksonville St. L 58 - 77 47% -11  4% 11 - 9 6 - 6 F -18 F -13 F B C D -6 D- C- D+
 Thu, Feb 12 163 Middle Tennessee L 87 - 90 63% +3  81% 11 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -6 A- +9 B A+ A- F -16 F B C+
 Sat, Feb 14 107 Sam Houston St. L 79 - 83 47% -2  14% 11 - 11 6 - 8 C- -3 B +7 B+ B- B+ F -10 F D C
 Wed, Feb 18 205 @Missouri St. W 91 - 87 48% +5  94% 12 - 11 7 - 8 C+ +5 A +13 A B- A F+ -8 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 21 221 Louisiana Tech W 58 - 55 74% +1  51% 13 - 11 8 - 8 C- -4 F -15 F F D+ A+ +11 B B A+
 Thu, Feb 26 115 Liberty W 74 - 65 49% +3  62% 14 - 11 9 - 8 B +9 C+ +3 A D- D+ A- +7 B+ A- A
 Sat, Feb 28 275 Delaware W 90 - 82 81% +16  92% 15 - 11 10 - 8 C -1 A- +10 A+ B D- F -11 F A- C-
 Thu, Mar 5 260 @UTEP W 76 - 73 60%
 Sat, Mar 7 177 @New Mexico St. L 79 - 81 43%
Totals 16 - 12 11 - 9 +0 C+ +1 A C- B C- -1 C+ D B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- D+ C+ C- 42% 27% 44% B C B D+ C+ C B D B- C- B+ C- D- C 42% 19% 39% D+ C C B- C+ C- F D- F
1.10 55% 34% 35% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.0 .33 17% .35 69% .24 1.10 52% 39% 37% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .29 16% .41 76% .26
Nov
8		 Florida A&M B- A C- A- A- 47% 15% 38% B- A- F A+ D- C+ A D- B+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ 49% 20% 31% F A+ D+ B- C F F F+ F
1.14 72% 38% 40% +10 +1 1.25 15% 1.5 .22 17% .42 71% .30 0.89 41% 25% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 15% .48 73% .35
Nov
16		 South Florida B C F F F 52% 5% 43% A+ D A+ C A+ B A+ D- A+ F B B- F+ C- 60% 6% 35% F+ D+ C D- D F+ F F F
1.12 55% 0% 25% -9 +3 0.89 46% 1.0 .44 18% .59 64% .38 1.36 52% 33% 39% -2 +3 1.06 39% 1.3 .50 11% .65 83% .54
Nov
24		 Rice C- D- F B D- 40% 17% 43% A D+ B+ F C C A+ B- A+ B- A D- D- C 33% 29% 38% C- C C+ A- B C+ F A- F
1.10 54% 20% 38% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 16% .44 77% .34 1.04 44% 44% 38% 0 -2 0.98 34% 0.8 .27 19% .58 63% .37
Nov
25		 Oral Roberts D D+ A+ D- C- 38% 22% 40% D- D+ C+ F D+ F A+ D A+ F F A+ F F 44% 11% 44% F+ F A+ C- A- A+ F F F
1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37 1.17 65% 20% 60% +18 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42
Nov
26		 Florida Gulf Coast B- B+ A C- B- 49% 7% 44% A B B+ F D- F A+ A- A+ D- B C+ F D+ 42% 20% 38% F+ D+ B- C+ B- D- F C F
1.17 67% 50% 33% +5 +2 1.16 36% 0.7 .25 22% .53 81% .43 1.15 52% 38% 42% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .27 14% .52 72% .37
Dec
2		 Jackson St. C D+ F F F 41% 2% 57% A F A+ C A A- A+ F A+ C- A+ D A- A- 31% 24% 45% C- B+ D+ F F C+ F F F
1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39 1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44
Dec
6		 Georgia St. D+ B- C- A+ A 44% 15% 41% B- A D- A C F A+ F A- A A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 46% F A+ C+ F F+ D F B- F
1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28 0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35
Dec
17		 Middle Tennessee D- D F F F 56% 8% 35% A+ F A+ F C+ F+ A- A- A A- B A C+ A 29% 31% 40% A- A F+ A+ A+ A- F F F
0.97 52% 25% 18% -13 +3 0.81 43% 0.7 .31 19% .39 82% .32 0.98 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 37% 0.4 .15 20% .58 75% .43
Dec
21		 Alabama C B C D- B- 30% 33% 37% D C+ A- A A F B- A+ A- A- B- A+ A- A+ 40% 14% 46% B- A+ B+ C B D C+ C- C+
1.03 59% 37% 29% -3 -2 0.91 35% 1.2 .42 20% .29 78% .22 1.17 58% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.97 30% 1.2 .34 10% .33 78% .25
Jan
2		 Liberty D F F F F 40% 12% 48% B+ F A+ F D+ C C- D- D+ B B- F D- B 56% 4% 40% D B- B C- B- B F F F
1.00 38% 29% 28% -14 +1 0.77 46% 0.8 .35 18% .22 69% .15 1.11 57% 50% 40% +4 +3 1.16 14% 1.0 .14 16% .39 79% .31
Jan
4		 Delaware F F A+ F F 22% 16% 61% C F B F F F D A+ C- C+ D+ D C- C- 51% 19% 30% F+ D+ C A B- D F+ A+ C+
0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22 1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19
Jan
7		 Missouri St. B A- D A A- 38% 6% 56% A+ A B C B- F A+ B+ A+ C- A- D+ C B- 46% 15% 39% F C F A+ C C F A F
1.21 72% 33% 41% +11 +2 1.27 36% 1.1 .39 24% .57 78% .44 1.07 52% 38% 33% -3 +1 0.98 42% 0.8 .36 17% .50 58% .29
Jan
10		 Jacksonville St. B+ C- F C+ C- 48% 9% 43% A- C B A+ A+ B A+ D A+ D- C+ F F F 55% 4% 40% F F D+ B C C F B+ D-
1.21 55% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 14% .54 74% .40 1.13 54% 50% 47% +6 +3 1.21 31% 0.9 .28 17% .45 63% .28
Jan
14		 Florida International B D F A+ B 31% 15% 55% C- B- C+ F D+ A+ A+ F B+ F+ A+ A- F A 53% 13% 35% F B+ F F+ F F+ F+ D F
1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27 1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28
Jan
17		 Western Kentucky B F B+ A+ B 27% 22% 51% C- B- B- F F+ B+ A- A- A A+ A+ B- D A 37% 16% 47% C- A- B A+ A+ D- D A+ C+
1.12 43% 45% 42% +4 -1 1.08 32% 0.5 .16 15% .47 76% .36 0.90 24% 33% 37% -11 +1 0.81 27% 0.5 .14 11% .36 65% .23
Jan
21		 Sam Houston St. A- B- F B+ C 33% 21% 47% C- C B+ C B A+ D+ B- C- F+ F A+ F F 41% 23% 36% C+ F A+ F C+ F C- A+ C+
1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21 1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19
Jan
23		 Louisiana Tech B+ F A+ C+ C- 43% 15% 43% B- C B- C+ B- A A+ D A+ F B F F F 48% 22% 30% D+ F D- F F D F D F
1.16 40% 57% 35% -4 +1 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 14% .58 70% .41 1.25 50% 60% 50% +8 +1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 17% .44 67% .29
Jan
28		 Western Kentucky D+ F F A+ D 59% 5% 36% A+ C B- F C- C A+ F+ B+ B+ A+ A B A+ 40% 19% 40% C A+ D D+ D- D- F F F
1.01 46% 0% 44% -3 +4 1.02 31% 0.7 .23 18% .52 63% .33 0.97 26% 27% 30% -17 0 0.68 36% 1.1 .38 11% .40 88% .35
Jan
31		 New Mexico St. C A F F+ C 33% 19% 49% C+ C B- A A- B+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 41% 33% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A- F D- F
1.14 71% 25% 29% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 12% .61 69% .42 0.79 30% 38% 15% -17 -4 0.62 26% 0.6 .16 18% .64 77% .49
Feb
7		 Jacksonville St. F F D F F 31% 12% 57% C F C+ A B C C+ F D+ D C+ D F F+ 41% 11% 48% C D- C- C C- D+ F D+ F
0.88 44% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.71 30% 1.2 .36 17% .34 68% .24 1.16 53% 40% 41% +3 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .30 15% .43 71% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Middle Tennessee A- C- A+ B B- 43% 7% 50% A- B B- A+ A+ A- B- F D F D- F F F 44% 15% 42% F F C A B C+ F F F
1.24 57% 50% 37% +2 +2 1.11 29% 1.7 .50 11% .34 62% .21 1.28 67% 57% 45% +13 +1 1.31 31% 0.8 .23 17% .48 82% .40
Feb
14		 Sam Houston St. B D+ F A+ B+ 43% 17% 41% B B+ B+ D+ B- B+ D D+ D F D- F F+ F 47% 20% 33% D+ F B- F D C F D+ F
1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19 1.25 67% 56% 40% +10 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36
Feb
18		 Missouri St. A A+ D- A+ A+ 15% 34% 51% D- A C- A B- A A+ F+ A+ F+ F D- F F 26% 26% 49% B- F B+ B A- F F C F
1.26 86% 31% 50% +14 -3 1.23 29% 1.3 .38 12% .54 68% .36 1.20 75% 42% 39% +9 -2 1.17 27% 1.0 .27 12% .62 67% .41
Feb
21		 Louisiana Tech F F A+ F F 45% 8% 47% A- F D F F D+ C+ F D A+ A- C B+ B- 36% 31% 33% A- B F A+ B A+ F F F
0.86 41% 75% 22% -13 +2 0.80 28% 0.7 .21 19% .33 61% .20 0.81 47% 38% 29% -7 -2 0.86 43% 0.5 .22 27% .38 79% .30
Feb
26		 Liberty C+ F D+ A+ A 48% 17% 35% B+ A C+ F D- D+ C F D A- B- A+ C- A- 45% 2% 52% C- B+ A+ F A- A F F F
1.17 43% 38% 65% +9 +1 1.23 33% 0.9 .30 19% .23 58% .14 1.03 58% 0% 36% +1 +3 1.10 4% 2.0 .09 19% .45 83% .37
Feb
28		 Delaware A- A+ F A+ A+ 45% 9% 45% A+ A+ B+ C- B D- A+ F A+ F A F F F 28% 26% 46% A- F B A+ A- C- F F F
1.29 75% 25% 50% +17 +2 1.41 38% 1.0 .38 17% .54 71% .38 1.18 46% 50% 52% +12 -1 1.24 16% 0.5 .08 17% .45 96% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 10.1 17.8 27.9 3rd
4th 14.0 39.5 8.8 62.4 4th
5th 8.0 8.0 5th
6th 1.6 1.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 23.8 49.6 26.6 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 26.6% 11.6% 11.6% 13.5 0.2 1.4 1.3 0.2 23.5
11-9 49.6% 10.0% 10.0% 14.0 0.0 0.9 3.0 1.0 0.0 44.7
10-10 23.8% 5.0% 5.0% 14.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 22.6
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 13.9 90.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.1% 100.0% 13.5 5.2 46.4 42.9 5.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.3%
Lose Out 8.9%