Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#162
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#169
Pace78.9#15
Improvement-0.6#234

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#123
First Shot-2.5#247
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#19
Layup/Dunks-0.7#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#324
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#248
Freethrows+3.2#36
Improvement-0.1#187

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#234
First Shot-2.9#274
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#123
Layups/Dunks+2.3#93
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#203
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#85
Freethrows-8.1#364
Improvement-0.5#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.1% 6.5% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 64.3% 67.1% 40.7%
.500 or above in Conference 58.2% 59.9% 43.7%
Conference Champion 5.9% 6.3% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 3.9% 7.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round6.1% 6.5% 2.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 89.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 410 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 345 @Florida A&M W 92-72 78%     1 - 0 +11.6 +3.9 +5.1
  Sun, Nov 16 79 South Florida L 89-108 32%     1 - 1 -14.7 +7.2 -19.6
  Mon, Nov 24 217 Rice W 89-84 OT 61%     2 - 1 +1.6 +2.7 -1.7
  Tue, Nov 25 311 Oral Roberts L 83-91 78%     2 - 2 -16.4 -3.6 -12.0
  Wed, Nov 26 177 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102-100 OT 42%     3 - 2 +3.7 +8.2 -5.0
  Tue, Dec 2 312 Jackson St. W 88-73 85%     4 - 2 +3.6 +8.7 -5.6
  Sat, Dec 6 334 Georgia St. W 85-72 89%    
  Wed, Dec 17 138 @Middle Tennessee L 79-84 32%    
  Sun, Dec 21 11 Alabama L 83-102 4%    
  Fri, Jan 2 98 @Liberty L 75-83 22%    
  Sun, Jan 4 287 @Delaware W 80-77 62%    
  Wed, Jan 7 242 Missouri St. W 77-70 73%    
  Sat, Jan 10 238 Jacksonville St. W 77-70 74%    
  Wed, Jan 14 207 Florida International W 85-79 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 123 @Western Kentucky L 82-88 28%    
  Wed, Jan 21 133 @Sam Houston St. L 81-86 32%    
  Sat, Jan 24 188 @Louisiana Tech L 73-74 45%    
  Wed, Jan 28 123 Western Kentucky L 84-85 49%    
  Sat, Jan 31 116 New Mexico St. L 75-76 48%    
  Sat, Feb 7 238 @Jacksonville St. W 74-73 54%    
  Thu, Feb 12 138 Middle Tennessee W 82-81 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 133 Sam Houston St. W 84-83 53%    
  Wed, Feb 18 242 @Missouri St. W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 188 Louisiana Tech W 76-71 66%    
  Thu, Feb 26 98 Liberty L 78-80 41%    
  Sat, Feb 28 287 Delaware W 83-74 79%    
  Thu, Mar 5 241 @UTEP W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Mar 7 116 @New Mexico St. L 72-79 28%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.9 2.2 0.7 0.1 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.0 2.1 0.5 0.1 9.6 3rd
4th 0.5 3.0 4.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.4 2.5 5.3 2.9 0.5 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.9 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.6 2.9 0.6 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 4.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.4 5.6 7.8 10.5 11.2 12.6 11.7 10.7 8.6 6.0 4.2 2.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
17-3 89.6% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
16-4 69.4% 1.7    1.1 0.6 0.0
15-5 35.6% 1.5    0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 12.0% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 3.3 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 38.5% 38.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.4% 35.5% 35.5% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.3% 26.4% 26.4% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.5% 25.5% 25.5% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.9
15-5 4.2% 17.4% 17.4% 12.8 0.2 0.4 0.1 3.5
14-6 6.0% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 5.2
13-7 8.6% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 7.4
12-8 10.7% 8.1% 8.1% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 9.8
11-9 11.7% 5.1% 5.1% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 11.1
10-10 12.6% 3.2% 3.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.2
9-11 11.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.0
8-12 10.5% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.1 0.1 10.4
7-13 7.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.8
6-14 5.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.5
5-15 3.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-16 1.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.2 1.7 0.7 0.3 93.9 0.0%