Oral Roberts
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.2 333
Expected Predictive Rating -12.7 346
Pace 68.6 184
Improvement -5.7 354

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 332 D D C- C B-
Defense D+ 309 C- D D C- F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 177 D- 50% 341 -2.9 283
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 279 C 38% 183 -1.7 266
Three Pointers 45% 93 D 30% 311 -0.1 179
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 105 D- -5.2 336
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 322
Second Chance D 26.3% 297 D 0.93 303 D 0.25 318
Turnovers C- 18.0% 259
Freethrows C- 0.30 215 C 73% 175 C 0.22 199
Total Offense D -6.5 332

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 49% 2 B- 54% 81 -4.0 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 304 D- 43% 330 +0.6 136
Three Pointers 35% 339 D 37% 309 +1.6 111
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ +0.6 105 C -5.2 336
1st FG Attempt 1.05 235 C- -1.7 235
Second Chance D+ 32.9% 283 D 1.14 320 D 0.37 316
Turnovers D 14.7% 309
Freethrows C- 0.33 261 C+ 71% 107 C- 0.23 241
Total Defense D+ -4.7 309

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 171 16.6 71
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 154 0.15 114
Improvement -4.1 #344 -1.6 #279

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 41% 24% 49%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Home) - 31.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 44 - 106 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 59 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 95 3% -9  3% 0 - 1 D- -12 F -12 F D+ C- B +5 A- F B
 Wed, Nov 12 70 Tulsa L 87 - 88 7% +2  67% 0 - 2 C+ +4 B +7 A C+ B C- -3 A- C- B-
 Sat, Nov 15 78 Belmont L 60 - 83 8% -6  27% 0 - 3 F -19 F -21 F F C+ B- +4 C+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 54 @Oklahoma L 71 - 95 2% -19  0% 0 - 4 D -11 C- -1 D A+ F F+ -9 B- F F
 Mon, Nov 24 245 @Florida Gulf Coast L 88 - 93 18% -0  40% 0 - 5 D+ -7 B +7 A+ C+ F F -13 F F D+
 Tue, Nov 25 156 Kennesaw St. W 91 - 83 15% -1  39% 1 - 5 B- +8 B +6 A+ F F C+ +1 C B- B
 Wed, Nov 26 218 Rice L 62 - 81 22% -10  9% 1 - 6 F -22 F+ -8 F A- D+ F -16 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 224 @Weber St. L 66 - 92 16% -17  2% 1 - 7 F -26 F -15 D- F F F+ -10 F C+ F+
 Sat, Dec 6 157 Montana St. W 72 - 68 22% -6  12% 2 - 7 C +1 C+ +2 D- C D C -1 D B- A
 Tue, Dec 16 181 @Missouri St. L 62 - 63 12% -2  18% 2 - 8 C +1 D -6 F+ D C+ B+ +6 C+ A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 18 50 @TCU L 53 - 72 2% -15  0% 2 - 9 D+ -5 D -4 B F D- D+ -4 B F D
 Mon, Dec 22 175 Texas Arlington L 57 - 69 24% -6  5% 2 - 10 F+ -16 F -15 F D- F+ C -1 D+ F+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 288 @North Dakota L 61 - 72 26% -10  0% 2 - 11 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -18 F D- B+ B- +2 C D+ A
 Sat, Jan 3 145 @North Dakota St. L 77 - 79 2OT 9% +0  40% 2 - 12 0 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -3 D- C C+ B +5 A F A
 Sat, Jan 10 126 St. Thomas L 71 - 82 17% -2  21% 2 - 13 0 - 3 D- -12 D+ -3 C- D- A F+ -10 C+ C F
 Wed, Jan 14 247 @Denver L 87 - 98 18% -6  13% 2 - 14 0 - 4 D- -13 B- +5 B- D A F -18 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 242 Nebraska Omaha L 62 - 73 36% -6  1% 2 - 15 0 - 5 F -19 F -16 F D- F+ C- -3 D- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 288 North Dakota L 62 - 79 47% -8  6% 2 - 16 0 - 6 F -27 F -17 F B F F -12 D+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 145 North Dakota St. L 58 - 86 19% -19  3% 2 - 17 0 - 7 F -30 F -12 D+ C- D- F -21 F F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 278 @South Dakota L 69 - 77 24% -1  36% 2 - 18 0 - 8 D- -12 F -10 D F B C- -2 B+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 214 @South Dakota St. L 72 - 95 15% -14  2% 2 - 19 0 - 9 F -23 D- -6 F D- B+ F -16 F F D
 Sat, Feb 7 126 @St. Thomas L 75 - 92 7% -5  28% 2 - 20 0 - 10 D- -12 D -5 F+ C+ B- D -6 D B+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 357 UMKC W 69 - 60 74% +4  57% 3 - 20 1 - 10 D -9 D- -7 D+ F B+ C -2 A- D F+
 Sat, Feb 14 214 South Dakota St. L 71 - 76 31%
 Wed, Feb 18 242 @Nebraska Omaha L 70 - 80 18%
 Sat, Feb 21 278 South Dakota L 77 - 78 45%
 Thu, Feb 26 247 Denver L 77 - 81 37%
 Sat, Feb 28 357 @UMKC W 72 - 71 53%
Totals 5 - 23 3 - 13 -11 F -6 F+ D- B- C- -5 D C C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C D D- 39% 16% 45% B- D D D D C- C- C C D+ B- D- D C 49% 17% 35% F+ C- D+ D D D C- C+ C-
0.99 50% 38% 30% -5 +1 0.92 26% 0.9 .25 18% .30 73% .22 1.15 54% 43% 37% 0 +1 1.05 33% 1.1 .37 15% .33 71% .21
Nov
4		 Oklahoma St. F B- F F F 38% 8% 54% B F D C+ D+ C- B D+ B- B A F C+ A 55% 10% 35% D A- D- F F B F D+ F
0.83 61% 0% 18% -15 +2 0.75 23% 1.1 .25 19% .32 68% .22 1.11 45% 50% 33% -6 +3 0.95 37% 1.3 .46 18% .43 77% .33
Nov
12		 Tulsa B A+ F A+ A 31% 13% 56% C+ A F+ A+ C+ B B F C+ C- B+ A+ C- A 51% 9% 40% D+ A- D+ C+ C- B- F C+ F
1.20 76% 0% 42% +8 0 1.18 19% 1.7 .31 14% .32 65% .21 1.21 50% 25% 37% -3 +2 1.00 34% 1.3 .43 16% .59 78% .46
Nov
15		 Belmont F D+ A+ F F 33% 15% 52% B- F F D F C+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- C+ F C+ 45% 16% 39% B- C+ F F F A+ C A+ A
0.80 53% 50% 11% -18 0 0.67 23% 0.9 .20 17% .42 77% .32 1.10 59% 38% 47% +8 +1 1.20 35% 1.5 .52 25% .30 47% .14
Nov
20		 Oklahoma C- F D+ C- D- 30% 26% 45% C- D B+ A+ A+ F C A- C+ F+ C D B+ B- 43% 22% 34% C+ B- B- F F F D+ B+ C
1.01 43% 33% 33% -6 -1 0.87 37% 1.4 .51 26% .29 80% .23 1.35 60% 46% 30% +1 0 1.03 32% 1.8 .57 4% .34 70% .24
Nov
24		 Florida Gulf Coast B B- B- A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% B+ A+ C B C+ F A C+ A F F F B- F 36% 30% 34% C F F D- F D+ F C+ F
1.19 64% 40% 48% +12 +2 1.29 31% 1.1 .35 24% .45 76% .34 1.26 82% 50% 31% +11 -1 1.21 41% 1.2 .48 16% .55 71% .39
Nov
25		 Kennesaw St. B A- F A+ A+ 44% 11% 44% B A+ F C F F A A+ A+ C+ B- F B D+ 38% 22% 40% A- C C+ B- B- B F B F
1.17 65% 20% 60% +18 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42 1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37
Nov
26		 Rice F+ F A+ F F 37% 14% 49% A F C A+ A- D+ F F F F A F F F 37% 27% 37% D- F F F F D+ A- F C-
1.00 39% 57% 25% -11 +1 0.82 33% 1.4 .45 18% .20 60% .12 1.31 44% 54% 56% +11 -1 1.22 43% 1.4 .61 16% .23 92% .21
Dec
3		 Weber St. F F D A D- 36% 11% 53% C+ D- F F F F C D C- F+ F A+ C- F 65% 11% 25% F F C+ C C+ F+ B+ F+ B-
0.89 37% 33% 39% -4 +1 0.96 16% 0.5 .08 20% .32 68% .22 1.25 73% 17% 36% +8 +3 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 12% .28 78% .22
Dec
6		 Montana St. C+ D C F D- 51% 21% 28% C+ D- A F C D A+ A+ A+ C F F+ B- D+ 37% 12% 51% F D F A+ B- A C B+ C+
1.12 50% 40% 23% -8 +1 0.87 41% 0.8 .32 19% .50 92% .46 1.06 67% 50% 32% +3 +1 1.10 40% 0.6 .26 22% .26 69% .18
Dec
16		 Missouri St. D B+ F A F+ 16% 40% 44% F F+ F A+ D C+ A A+ A+ B+ F F+ A C- 18% 31% 51% A C+ A- A A+ D+ D D- D-
0.98 71% 17% 40% -2 -4 0.89 15% 1.8 .27 17% .44 87% .38 0.99 88% 43% 26% +1 -3 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 16% .39 71% .28
Dec
18		 TCU D D+ F A+ B 41% 16% 43% B B C+ F F D- F F+ F D+ C+ B- A A- 62% 13% 24% F B F C- F D F+ B+ D+
0.88 50% 29% 42% +1 +1 1.05 28% 0.2 .06 23% .17 63% .11 1.20 57% 33% 27% -4 +3 1.00 47% 1.1 .53 13% .40 67% .27
Dec
22		 Texas Arlington F D- D+ F F 46% 19% 35% A- F B- F D- F+ A A+ A+ C A+ A+ F C 57% 2% 41% F D+ A- F F+ C D+ A C+
0.85 50% 33% 12% -16 +1 0.71 32% 0.8 .24 21% .47 84% .39 1.03 40% 0% 44% -5 +4 1.00 29% 1.4 .42 21% .38 65% .24
Jan
1		 North Dakota F F A+ F F 41% 14% 45% C F F A D- B+ D- F F+ B- A+ B+ F C+ 51% 16% 33% D+ C F B D+ A F C+ F
0.88 45% 57% 18% -13 +1 0.78 23% 1.3 .30 17% .33 63% .21 1.04 41% 29% 43% -6 +1 0.93 36% 0.9 .33 20% .62 68% .42
Jan
3		 North Dakota St. D+ D F C- F+ 31% 12% 57% B- D- C+ C- C C+ D A C- B A A- B+ A+ 39% 24% 37% D+ A F B F A F A+ F
1.03 56% 29% 33% -2 +1 0.98 33% 0.8 .28 19% .21 85% .18 1.05 48% 31% 30% -8 0 0.85 52% 0.9 .45 21% .53 61% .32
Jan
10		 St. Thomas D+ A D- D- C 37% 20% 43% D+ C- D- C- D- A A+ F C F+ D C+ A+ B 60% 6% 33% F C+ F A+ C F F D F
1.07 72% 30% 29% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 14% .39 55% .21 1.24 69% 33% 25% +2 +3 1.13 31% 0.6 .19 9% .52 74% .38
Jan
14		 Denver B- B+ C+ C- C+ 49% 9% 42% B+ B- C F D A C F D- F B- F F F 32% 25% 43% C- F D- D+ D- D+ F F F
1.24 68% 40% 33% +5 +2 1.16 35% 0.9 .32 9% .31 55% .17 1.40 53% 62% 48% +13 -1 1.26 34% 1.2 .41 13% .43 85% .36
Jan
17		 Nebraska Omaha F F A+ F F 43% 7% 50% A- F F+ C D- F+ A+ C+ A+ C- A- F F D 52% 13% 35% F D- A+ B A+ F C A+ B
0.92 42% 100% 23% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.0 .21 18% .45 76% .34 1.09 48% 57% 44% +3 +2 1.12 13% 1.0 .13 12% .30 61% .19
Jan
22		 North Dakota F D F F F 55% 3% 43% A F B C+ B F A+ C A+ F A+ C+ F C 63% 12% 25% F D+ D+ F F F B- F D-
0.94 55% 0% 18% -13 +4 0.83 39% 1.2 .45 27% .57 70% .40 1.20 39% 33% 54% -5 +3 0.98 30% 1.4 .42 9% .30 89% .27
Jan
24		 North Dakota St. F D+ C- C D 40% 17% 43% B- D+ D- B+ C- D- F+ F F F D F F F 53% 8% 40% F F C+ F F+ F A+ F B+
0.93 58% 38% 35% +1 +1 1.04 23% 1.0 .23 22% .19 67% .12 1.38 64% 50% 43% +10 +3 1.26 31% 1.3 .41 10% .16 89% .14
Jan
29		 South Dakota F F A+ A- D 53% 24% 24% D D F F F B D+ F D- C- A- A+ A+ A+ 67% 8% 25% F B+ B- F F F F A F
0.97 41% 62% 38% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.6 .13 14% .25 67% .16 1.09 47% 25% 25% -12 +4 0.85 26% 1.5 .38 7% .56 68% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 South Dakota St. D- F A C- F 26% 14% 60% C F D D- D- B+ A+ D A F B F F F 57% 12% 31% F F C- F F D A A+ A
0.98 20% 50% 32% -10 0 0.82 24% 0.9 .22 12% .42 70% .30 1.30 52% 71% 56% +10 +2 1.28 30% 1.6 .48 14% .19 58% .11
Feb
7		 St. Thomas D D- A+ F F 30% 14% 56% C- F+ B- D C+ B- C F D D D- F C+ D+ 54% 12% 35% D D A D+ B+ F F A- F
1.00 53% 50% 25% -7 0 0.88 34% 1.1 .36 16% .27 65% .17 1.23 71% 50% 33% +8 +2 1.23 12% 1.0 .12 5% .53 63% .34
Feb
12		 UMKC D- F A+ B- D 44% 13% 42% B- D+ D+ F F B+ C+ A+ B+ C A+ A+ C A+ 50% 9% 41% F A- F+ C- D F+ D+ B+ C
1.06 48% 57% 36% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.3 .11 14% .29 81% .23 0.92 37% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.76 35% 0.9 .30 15% .29 63% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 0.5 1.3 7th
8th 20.0 31.8 19.7 5.5 0.1 77.1 8th
9th 11.0 9.0 1.4 0.0 21.4 9th
Total 11.0 29.0 33.2 19.8 6.2 0.8 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 0.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-11 6.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.1
4-12 19.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 19.7
3-13 33.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 33.1
2-14 29.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 28.9
1-15 11.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.0
0-16
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 4.7%