Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#192
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#237
Pace71.5#135
Improvement+2.1#42

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#170
First Shot+0.6#164
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#220
Layup/Dunks+4.3#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#273
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement+1.1#90

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#235
First Shot-2.4#253
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#161
Layups/Dunks-3.9#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#68
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement+1.0#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 12.4% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 47.4% 64.4% 38.7%
.500 or above in Conference 58.2% 67.6% 53.3%
Conference Champion 10.3% 13.9% 8.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 5.3% 9.9%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round8.7% 12.0% 6.9%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Away) - 34.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 411 - 515 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 117 @Utah L 89-92 OT 21%     0 - 1 +3.2 +2.4 +1.4
  Wed, Nov 12 51 @Utah St. L 73-83 8%     0 - 2 +3.6 +5.3 -1.6
  Sat, Nov 15 125 @UC Irvine L 70-79 22%     0 - 3 -3.2 -1.0 -1.3
  Wed, Nov 19 224 Campbell W 91-85 67%     1 - 3 -0.8 +10.0 -11.1
  Sat, Nov 22 190 Texas Arlington L 73-74 61%     1 - 4 -6.1 +3.4 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 29 339 UMKC W 82-61 86%     2 - 4 +6.9 +5.5 +1.9
  Wed, Dec 3 311 Oral Roberts W 92-66 81%     3 - 4 +14.6 +7.2 +6.1
  Sun, Dec 7 166 @St. Thomas L 74-78 34%    
  Wed, Dec 10 339 @UMKC W 78-72 72%    
  Wed, Dec 17 90 @Utah Valley L 69-80 15%    
  Sat, Dec 20 254 Utah Tech W 77-71 72%    
  Thu, Jan 1 156 Portland St. W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 274 Sacramento St. W 82-75 74%    
  Thu, Jan 8 263 @Northern Arizona W 75-74 51%    
  Sat, Jan 10 151 @Northern Colorado L 74-79 31%    
  Thu, Jan 15 251 Eastern Washington W 82-76 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 187 Idaho W 77-74 60%    
  Thu, Jan 22 197 @Montana L 78-81 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 152 @Montana St. L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Jan 31 167 Idaho St. W 72-70 56%    
  Mon, Feb 2 274 @Sacramento St. W 79-78 53%    
  Thu, Feb 5 151 Northern Colorado W 77-76 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 263 Northern Arizona W 78-71 71%    
  Thu, Feb 12 187 @Idaho L 74-77 39%    
  Sat, Feb 14 251 @Eastern Washington L 79-80 49%    
  Thu, Feb 19 152 Montana St. W 74-73 53%    
  Sat, Feb 21 197 Montana W 81-78 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 167 @Idaho St. L 69-73 36%    
  Mon, Mar 2 156 @Portland St. L 73-78 33%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.8 2.9 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 10.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.1 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 5.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 5.7 2.9 0.3 11.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.6 3.5 0.5 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 3.1 0.7 9.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.9 2.1 0.6 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.1 0.3 4.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.1 5.5 7.9 10.5 12.4 12.8 12.8 11.3 8.6 6.0 3.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
16-2 99.2% 0.8    0.8 0.0
15-3 94.2% 1.7    1.5 0.2
14-4 75.9% 2.9    2.1 0.8 0.1
13-5 46.0% 2.8    1.2 1.2 0.3 0.0
12-6 17.3% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 3.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.3% 10.3 6.2 3.0 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 36.0% 36.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.8% 45.0% 45.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.9% 29.5% 29.5% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.3
14-4 3.9% 25.6% 25.6% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.9
13-5 6.0% 21.5% 21.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 4.7
12-6 8.6% 15.2% 15.2% 14.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 7.3
11-7 11.3% 13.4% 13.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.2 9.8
10-8 12.8% 9.5% 9.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 11.6
9-9 12.8% 6.7% 6.7% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 11.9
8-10 12.4% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 12.0
7-11 10.5% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 10.3
6-12 7.9% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-13 5.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 5.4
4-14 3.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.1
3-15 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.2 2.0 90.9 0.0%