Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#223
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#257
Pace70.6#148
Improvement-2.6#326

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#184
First Shot+0.0#172
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#232
Layup/Dunks+3.4#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#248
Freethrows+0.3#153
Improvement-0.3#202

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#281
First Shot-2.7#267
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#222
Layups/Dunks-2.4#266
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#128
Freethrows-0.5#219
Improvement-2.3#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% 8.1% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 26.2% 36.3% 15.7%
.500 or above in Conference 48.2% 61.1% 35.0%
Conference Champion 6.6% 10.3% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 7.1% 18.3%
First Four1.9% 1.8% 2.0%
First Round5.7% 7.3% 4.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Home) - 50.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 72 - 11
Quad 411 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 111 @Utah L 89-92 OT 16%     0 - 1 +3.6 +1.3 +2.8
  Wed, Nov 12 33 @Utah St. L 73-83 4%     0 - 2 +6.5 +6.4 +0.3
  Sat, Nov 15 131 @UC Irvine L 70-79 21%     0 - 3 -4.2 -3.2 -0.1
  Wed, Nov 19 225 Campbell W 91-85 62%     1 - 3 -1.0 +9.6 -10.9
  Sat, Nov 22 167 Texas Arlington L 73-74 49%     1 - 4 -4.6 +5.6 -10.3
  Sat, Nov 29 343 UMKC W 82-61 84%     2 - 4 +6.3 +7.0 -0.2
  Wed, Dec 3 303 Oral Roberts W 92-66 75%     3 - 4 +15.0 +8.6 +5.1
  Sun, Dec 7 135 @St. Thomas L 65-88 21%     3 - 5 -18.3 -6.3 -11.8
  Wed, Dec 10 343 @UMKC W 64-60 68%     4 - 5 -4.7 -13.4 +8.5
  Wed, Dec 17 85 @Utah Valley L 74-90 11%     4 - 6 -6.4 +12.9 -20.3
  Sat, Dec 20 251 Utah Tech L 80-82 66%     4 - 7 -10.2 +7.3 -17.6
  Thu, Jan 1 173 Portland St. W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 276 Sacramento St. W 81-76 69%    
  Thu, Jan 8 289 @Northern Arizona L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Jan 10 171 @Northern Colorado L 75-81 28%    
  Thu, Jan 15 258 Eastern Washington W 83-78 66%    
  Sat, Jan 17 177 Idaho W 75-74 51%    
  Thu, Jan 22 209 @Montana L 77-81 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 168 @Montana St. L 70-76 28%    
  Sat, Jan 31 175 Idaho St. W 73-72 51%    
  Mon, Feb 2 276 @Sacramento St. L 78-79 48%    
  Thu, Feb 5 171 Northern Colorado L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Feb 7 289 Northern Arizona W 76-70 70%    
  Thu, Feb 12 177 @Idaho L 72-78 30%    
  Sat, Feb 14 258 @Eastern Washington L 80-81 45%    
  Thu, Feb 19 168 Montana St. L 72-73 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 209 Montana W 80-78 58%    
  Sat, Feb 28 175 @Idaho St. L 70-76 30%    
  Mon, Mar 2 173 @Portland St. L 70-76 30%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.0 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.3 3.2 5.5 1.8 0.2 10.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 6.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 5.4 4.2 0.4 0.0 11.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 4.3 0.8 0.0 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.7 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 7.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.3 4.2 7.2 10.2 12.6 14.3 13.7 11.7 9.3 6.7 3.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 95.5% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 81.9% 1.6    1.1 0.4 0.0
13-5 53.7% 2.0    1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0
12-6 21.7% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 4.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.6% 6.6 3.5 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 34.6% 34.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 31.0% 31.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.9% 27.3% 27.3% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6
14-4 2.0% 23.0% 23.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
13-5 3.7% 17.9% 17.9% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 3.0
12-6 6.7% 14.3% 14.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 5.7
11-7 9.3% 11.3% 11.3% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 8.2
10-8 11.7% 8.5% 8.5% 15.6 0.4 0.6 10.7
9-9 13.7% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8 12.8
8-10 14.3% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.6 13.7
7-11 12.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 12.3
6-12 10.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.0
5-13 7.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.2
4-14 4.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-15 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.2 93.6 0.0%